DFS/Props Week 3 2024 Discussion

Darnold ov 235.6 pass
Swift ov 50.5 rush
Swift ov 15.5 rec
Pierce ov 29,5 rec
Cooper ov 50.5 rec
Kumara ov 71.5 rysh
Barkley ov 72.5 rysh
Williams ov 20.5 rush
Quentin Johnston ov 34.5 rec
 
Is there weather issues today? It been raining it ass off here in stl all night, I know we don’t have team and it was dome anyways, lol just saying if rained all night here it likely to be moving around rest of Midwest to East

Sorry I am late to this (all of this)

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Love we get the baseball weather update and it's been consistent rain in Chicago

I don't even think there is a Midwest home game today that's not in a dome
 
Not sure wtf to do in Dallas? Dak passing yards? Does Lamar run more in a gotta have it game? Feel like Henry rush number high.
 
Good call getting me on Cooper guys, im sure I wouldn’t even have looked at that game without ya’ll bringing up! Free money baby! He was all way down to 50.5 when I got! At least got swift receiving yards, it like he wasn’t even damn lead back most the game, you give him Roshin rush yards and he hits both! That was bummer then man, feel like Darnold was a good play, I loved Vikings but I sure didn’t forsee such a ass whipping that he would basically not have to throw a pass in 4th qrtr plus all the short fields didn’t help any. I did think Vikings blitzing could effect stroud but really thought they would find some big plays also, Vikings are really really good, not 1 really but 2 or 3!! lol . Other than that think overall did pretty well
 
Still got a few games left boys!

I’m not sure if this because I was such a huge fav of watching him catch bombs at lsu but really taking a liking to Brian Thomas over 42.5 rec yards, that’s one play for him! He so long and fast, he hit one for 66 and 28 last week on 4 targets. He was 4-4 in week 1 for 47 yards, think the explosive play is where he gonna make most his money. Maybe I’m crazy here since bills d hasn’t allowed a pass play longer than 24 yards this year and that was playing against 2 pretty explosive offenses. That said while Miami is explosive they don’t have a guy with this kind of size who can stretch a d! Gotta think they find a way to hit one shot which all it take to pay at this number.

debating maybe playing Trevor ov 16.5 rush yards, think in desperation mode he will surely take off a time or 2 to pick up a 1st down and don’t think he the kind of qb teams come in looking to stop his scrambling even tho he more than capable.

With what achane did in the pass game vs jags d gotta think cook over 17.5 rec yards. He only had 1 for 17 last week but I think more weeks than not he gonna get at least 2-3 passes in this offense and he capable of getting this number anytime he gets a pass out in open space.

That what I saw I like most in the jags/bills. Maybe an Allen td? Feel like most weeks this dude gonna run 1 in!


Havnt looked at the bungals/washington game yet.
 
This feels to me like the week chase has himself a monster game, Washington hasn’t shown any ability to stop a teams #1 wr, with higgens back it will draw attention away from chase and after not having a camp him and burrow have now had several weeks of practices and a few games, think Chase goes off tonight much like other top WRs have done vs Washington this year. Think this my fav prop of the night!

Then on washigton side they are really high with the Daniels rush number and I’m sure teams watching film and saying “gotta take his legs away”, what I do love for them here, think it pretty likely bungals are up in this game and Washington has to throw, Daniels hasn’t figured out how to get his top WRs involved but what been very clear is ekler gonna make plays in the passing game, if I’m correct and bungals get the couple score lead it takes Brian Thomas out and puts ekler in catching passes, he has smashed this 18.5 number both games and think he does so again here.
 
I know a lot are trashing Lawrence and his 51% completion %, but he has steadily been between 60 to 66% most of his career, and I took a look further, and he is 2nd in air yards per attempt, they are also underdogs which means a positive passing script is most likely.

T. Lawrence Pass Yds O222.5 -110 4.4-4
T. Lawrence Longest Pass O35.5 -113 2.26-2


and I will scatter some receiving yard plays too.

I and my fantasy teams want Kincaid to succeed here, but a negative aDOT and possibly not fully healthy concerns the shit out of me. I do think K. Coleman is a sneaky play in DFS, 3 catches should be more than enough for his number to hit.

K. Coleman Rec Yds O35.5 -110 2.2-2

In a close game script last week McLaurin finished with 8 targets, and the OC has publicly stated he wants to get him the ball more, while I want to take his rec yards, because I think he can HR hit at anytime, 4.5 receptions seems low.

T. McLaurin Receptions O4.5 +112 2-2.24

Playing Moss at a lower number, but he hit 80% of snaps last week, and hopefully Higgins opens up more space/opportunity for him. I know he hasn't surpassed this number just yet, but I'd say he is trending in the right direction.

Z. Moss Rush&Rec Yds O65.5 -115 1.15-1
 
I agree Lawrence can’t possibly keep being this bad. Think my Brian Thomas play falls in line with his yards and def his longest completion! Cook rec yards started taking off, I got at 17.5 but I see 19.5 now, I’d still play but think that be my cutoff I wouldn’t want to play in the 20s even tho he capable.

So bills game I got

Cook ov 17.5 rec
Thomas ov 44.5 rec (didn’t get his 42.5 before it went up).
Allen to score a td -140
Lawrence ov 17.5 rush

Washigton bungals

Chase over 81.5 rec
Ekler ov 18.5 rec

Those my 2 favs but also on burrow

Burrow ov 263.5 passing and ov 1.5 td passes

Washington pass d is bad, think bungals look like the team we know they are tonight.
 
Keyed on cook and chase for a 2 teamer.

Cook ov 18.5 (went up a point after 1st time I bet him!)

Chase ov 81.5

2 man parlay
 
BOL Scope and thanks for the great thread every week! I think Buffalo is going to be able to throw the ball w success tonight and I am following your lead on Coleman rec ydg and also took Brian Robinson rushing ydg over. GL
 
I think the Bills may stay in cover 2 shell with how thin they are at LB. I can't see why they wouldn't just to try and cover Kirk/Gabe & BTjr with the extra cbs. I think it would be Jags best interest to try and pound the run with sprinkled misdirections in there.

I think Etienne will be getting a ton of touches and lean yds over/td

Trevor rushing yds o17.5 looks like a winner to me he could get there with one run and in an obvious passing situation all it takes is him slipping past the rush a couple times to get there.
 
on the Bills side idk I think Jax does everything to not let Cook beat them. Looks to me like a game where Allen might be taking off a couple times. Heavy lean to rush yds over maybe rushing td
 
Ray Davis o16.5 rushing yards just locked in- only wager so far

I again think Kincaid goes over and am considering it again.

Keon TD gotta believe this is more of a passing game for Allen and again I think it's something they ant to see sooner rather than later.
 
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