KJ 2017-2018 UEFA CL and Europa Qual and Group

[KJ]

Going to split up group and knockouts this time, throwing these qualifiers in as well. Champions League only, going to track the difference between this and Europa. Missed out on our champions from Gibraltar today, major overlook on my part.

But let's get it going...line has moved away from the -2 and should have gotten in earlier, but this should be 3-0 or 4-0 at minimum for Linfield I think. Of course it's midnight. But I expect great defending at home from the NI club and literally nothing from San Marino. Small play on the over because I expect at least 3 from Linfield here, just a save bet that both can win. This could be disturbing tbh.

6/28 CL Qualifying

20413 Linfield -2.25 -116 3*
20413 Linfield/La Fiorita o3.75 -101

 

[KJ]

-4.49 ytd

7/13 Europa Qualy

20576 Aberdeen -1.25 -133
20583 AIK pk -126 3*
20583 AIK ML +150
20589 Midtjylland -.25 -130 3*
20589 Midtjylland ML +100 1.5*
20588 Ferencvaros/Midtjylland o2.5 -122 3*

 

[KJ]

20597 Valur/Damzale u2.25 +103 2*
20597 Valur/Damzale draw +200 .5*

 

[KJ]

-1.82 ytd

Fairoe Islands and Iceland, does it get any better with a berth in the next round on the line? Ya, probably. Hope the dogs bark here...

7/18

20416 Vikingur +.25 -113 2*
20416 Vikingur ML +210
20413 New Saints/Rijeka o2.5 -125 2*
20410 Samtredia/Qarabag draw +220 .5*
20410 Samtredia/Qarabag u2.5 -114
20420 Partizan -1 +101 2*

 

[KJ]

-4.58 ytd

No line on RB Salzburg, that's funny. Guessing it would be very high...speaking of which, today is going to be some ridiculous chalk. I'm bored and can do it, these are all teams that should romp. And Celtic might win 7-0 or something like that. Honestly missed the best bet of this round by not betting Copenhagen last week, was obvious. Now just going to put as much on them as I can today, another 5-1 type imo. Bunch of quality teams at home which breeds large chalk.

7/19

20425 Rosenborg ML -217 2*
20425 Rosenborg -1 -120
20428 FC Copenhagen ML -278 3*
20428 FC Copenhagen -1.25 -129
20434 Ludogorets -1.5 -109 2*
20437 Maribor -.75 -131
20443 Celtic -3 -197 3* (over is 4 -174, rather just lay the lumber at this price, again, Celtic might hit the over itself)
20446 Legia/Mariehamn draw +600 .5*
20450 Happoel Beer Sheva ML +104 3*

 

[KJ]

Not going well, da fuck are Copenhagen doing? 8-3 shots and launching into the stands

 

[KJ]

7/26

Club Brugge -.25 -105 2*
Club Brugge ML +131

 

[B.A.R.]

:shake2:

 

[KJ]

-12.13, these early qualifiers are kickin my ass and it's the first time I've tried it. Getting into the bigger clubs now, first legs today and just missed out on Astana, figured that one for sure. Celtic need a shutout and just score, they are far the better in that one. Hapoel did the deed, just need to not fuck it up on the return...and Nice/Ajax is fascinating to me, either could go through. Woulda lost a bit on RB Salzburg, 1-1 at home seriously?

 

[KJ]

-12.13 ytd

8/2 Champions League

20404 APOEL ML -147
20410 CSKA Moscow -1 -108 2*
20414 Club Brugge ML +275
20416 Copenhagen -1 -118 2*
20428 Ajax/Nice o2.5 -112 2*
20431 Legia/Astana o2.75 -101 2*
20441 Celtic pk -124 2*
20441 Celtic ML +145
20443 Hafnarjordur/Maribor u2.25 -131

 

[gunner4ever]

Seems like a good day so far!! Celtic even scored since I started writing this so I'm definitely not jinxing it.

YB Bern just qualified I didn't think they would after the 1st leg. It might be finally the year that YB win the swiss league they seem very good and Basel have kept regressing the last 1-2 years.

 

[KJ]

+6.43 Wed, -5.70 ytd

Good day last Wed, seriously going to have to do some work in Belgium. Brugge club have cost me quite a bit, just a terrible read on them so far and need more work there. Tell ya what, bet against Celtic at your own risk...Rodgers on a mission to set some records I think. They just don't lose period and who's gonna challenge them this year? Rangers are wayyyyy in the rear view mirror. Bunch of Celtic fans I know are virtually smoking cigars one game into the season. And rightly so.

This one I think United can make competitive but it's a trophy so guessing we'll see a bit of greatness from Madrid. I do think United can compete for most of the match but think the crème will rise and if they don't take this match seriously, United would likely win it. Going to have some fun with it, not much else to look at for me anyway. Anyone traveling to Macedonia for this one?

8/8

UEFA Super Cup

17807 Real Madrid to lift the trophy -205 2*
17801 Real Madrid tt o1.5 -105 2*
17801 Real Madrid -.5 +106 1.5*
17804 Real Madrid -.75 +150

 

[B.A.R.]

Time to step up your game, bud.:cheers3:

 

[KJ]

LOL they haven't even had the drawring for groups yet, this is like Spring Training

United can win this match, I just don't think they will...United are very good but if the field is level they aren't competing with Real....I assume RM go all in today. Not sure. Putting some coin on it. This is very square, the way I'm betting this is begging for a kick to the nuts.

 

[KJ]

8/24 gonna be like Selection Sunday for us idiots

 

[KJ]

Going to join dy here, expecting it to start early

17801 1h Real Madrid/Man United o1 -120 2*

 

[gunner4ever]

Good luck! I like all of them, on a few of these Real Madrid and overs as well :cheers3:

 

[KJ]

+6.34 Super Cup, +0.64 ytd

8/16 Champions League

20416 Celtic/Astana u2.5 -119 2*
20419 Hapoel -1 +102 2*
20419 Hapoel/Maribor o2 -126
20423 Sevilla -.25 -105 3*
20423 Sevilla ML +120
20425 Napoli -1.5 -124 2.5*

If I get a Napoli team total I'll probably hit that too, figure getting to 2 should be no problem and it won't be any higher than that at moderate juice I don't think.

 

[KJ]

+5.32 Wed, +5.96 ytd

8/17 Europa

20504 BATE Borisov -.25 -126 2*
20504 BATE Borisov ML +108 .5*
20507 Krasnodar/Red Star o2.25 -110
20513 Dinamo Zagreb/Skenderbeu o2.5 -109 3*
20513 Dinamo Zagreb -1.75 -108 1.5*
20522 Vardar +1 -111 2*
20525 Plzen/AEK Larnaca u2.25 -110
20528 Ludogorets/Suduva o2.75 -130 2*
20531 Panathinaikos/Athletic Bilbao draw +225
20534 Altach/Maccabi Tel Aviv o2 -111 2*
20537 Ajax/Rosenborg o3 -115 3*
20544 Marseille -1 -118 2*
20549 AC Milan -2 -140
20553 AEK Athens +.5 +113
20558 Partizan ML -111

 

[KJ]

20561 Everton -1.5 +104 1.5*
20564 Maritimo/Dynamo Kiev u2 -111 2*

 

[KJ]

-5.84 ytd

8/22 Champions League

20401 Astana/Celtic o2.5 -117 3* (at 5-0 already this should be an exhibition match)
20405 Napoli ML -118 3* (Nice just too green to compete with this team)
20407 Maribor/Hapoel o2.25 -118 1.5*
20410 Rijeka/Olympiakos u2.25 -126 1.5*
20413 Sevilla ML -222 2*

8/23 Champions League

20416 CSKA -.75 +102
20419 Copenhagen ML -138 2.5*
20419 Copenhagen -.75 -105
20422 Liverpool/Hoffenheim o3 -123 4*
20426 APOEL +.75 +107
20429 Sporting CP -.5 -106 2*

Sporting v Steaua Bucharest is very interesting, first leg went 0-0 so Sporting was able to keep them away from the away goal...guessing that Sporting get one on the road here and then Steaua have to open it up knowing they must win the match to move on. I'm not really a fan of playing against the Romanians at home but they can't be comfortable knowing that giving up a goal means they gotta go forward and that could lead to another goal or two for Sporting who are plenty capable of finding goal. Need them to score early and they should move on.

 

[KJ]

Team totals:

20405 Napoli tt o2 +125 3*
20408 Hapoel tt o1 -165
20413 Sevilla tt o2 -135 2*
20416 CSKA tt o1.5 -135
20419 Copenhagen tt o1.5 +105 2*

 

[KJ]

20404 1h Nice/Napoli o1.25 -101 2*

 

[KJ]

20422 1h Liverpool/Hoffenheim o1.25 -107 3*

This is helped by the clean sheet that Pool got on Saturday, no chance in hell I see them doing that twice in a week. If this over doesn't hit I'll be all over it again come the weekend.

 

[KJ]

20422 Liverpool tt o2 -110 2*
20423 Hoffenheim tt o1 -115 3*
20429 Sporting CP tt o1.5 +115 2* (concern here is Sporting get the away goal early then park the bus but Steaua should likely press then needing 2 goals and hopefully give up a cheapy)

 

[KJ]

20416 2h CSKA/YB o1.5 +100 4*

 

[KJ]

Yeah good couple days...+18.61, +12.77 ytd

Europa forthcoming but really looking forward to the CL draw

 

[KJ]

8/24 Europa

20502 Plzen +.25 -118 2*
20501 Larnaca/Plzen draw +235 .5*
20504 Dynamo Kiev -1.5 -126 2*
20507 Maccabi Tel Aviv ML -154 3*
20511 BATE +.25 -123
20511 BATE ML +189 .5*
20513 Ostersunds/PAOK u2.5 -112 2*
20519 Sheriff Teraspol/Legia o2.25 -115 3*
20523 Utrecht +1.5 -123 4*
20523 Utrecht ML +620
20525 Fenerbahce -2.25 -127 2*
20531 AEK Athens/Club Brugge u2.25 -121
20534 Midtjylland -.75 -111 4*
20534 Midtjylland ML -135 2*
20537 Skenderbeu/ Dinamo Zagreb o2.5 -111
20543 Athletic/Panathanaikos o2.75 -133
20549 Olympique Marseille -1.75 -123 2*
20552 Rosenborg +.5 -110
20552 Rosenborg ML +240 .5*
20559 Everton -.25 -112
20561 Red Star/Krasnodar o2.75 +103
20564 Austria Wien ML +101 2*

 

[KJ]

Exhausted, that took a lot of work and can't wait for this to be over

 

[B.A.R.]

:tiphat:

 

[KJ]

-6.08 Thursday, +7.06 ytd

Europa is just a ton of work for the return and it's hard to figure who really gives a flyin fuck about it

 

[No1Ranked]

I was on several games yesterday as well and did not have a good day.

Also, I hate to say this as I only noticed it because I was on it as well, but the Tiraspol/Legia over lost. I was pretty surprised when it ended 0-0.

 

[KJ]

Thanks for pointing it out, I knew it lost lol but grading all these plays gets to be quite cumbersome at times...felt like my total was off and it was, couldn't figure out where.

 

[No1Ranked]

Thanks for pointing it out, I knew it lost lol but grading all these plays gets to be quite cumbersome at times...felt like my total was off and it was, couldn't figure out where.

No problem. I can understand the complication. Good luck the rest of the way. To Man City as well, I expect to be on them quite a bit this year. Even after the let down this past Monday due to the red card.

On a side note, I am not sure why I even put money on the Europa league when there are still this many teams included. The outcomes are always pretty unexpected.

 

[B.A.R.]

It is morning sir. Rise and shine.

 

[KJ]

TGI m'f'n F

 

[KJ]

+7.06 ytd

9/12 Champions League

20402 Juventus +1 -120 5*
20402 Juventus ML +400
20405 Anderlecht tt o.5 +110
20407 Benfica ML -147 2.5*
20407 Benfica -.75 -114
20410 Celtic +2 -111 2*
20410 Celtic/PSG draw +560 .5*
20417 Basel tt o.5 +130
20420 Sporting Lisbon pk -107 3*
20420 Sporting Lisbon ML +175
20422 Roma/Atletico Madrid o2.25 +100 2*

Juve went into Barcelona last season and dominated in the knockouts, can't see any reason it can't happen again. Revenge is one thing but Barca looked outclassed and they they're less one Neymar to boot. Kinda like under in Greece but like Sporting better, don't really feel like getting involved in both side and total.

 

[guaranteeed]

Gl kj

 

[chopz33]

on Juventus as well....leggo

 

[KJ]

Thanks teed, chopz...that Juve line seems to have gone a bit against me, hard to look too much into that. Looks like I'm only getting props on the tv games.

33004 Barcelona/Juventus BTTS -140 2.5*
32004 Roma/Atletico BTTS -105 2*

 

[KJ]

20411 2h PSG -1 -120 2*

Obviously risk losing this game several directions but I know what I just saw, domination

 

[KJ]

-10.33 ytd

That was disaster. Favorites just crushing it and keeping clean sheets too. There weren't any really good games other than CSKA comeback at my expense...at least Sporting waited til the end to give up 2 goals, 5 more minutes that one woulda gotten me too. Not ready to just simply jump on the faves after one day but that was mismatch all over, and I've never seen Juve look so out of sorts.

9/13

20428 Leipzig/Monaco o3 -103 5*
20428 Leipzig tt o1.5 -115 3*
20429 Monaco tt o1 -135 2*
37004 Liverpool/Sevilla BTTS -180 2.5*
20434 Maribor +.5 -107
20437 Porto -1 -103 2*
20437 Porto/Besiktas o2.5 -109
20440 Real Madrid -3.25 -103 2*
20443 Shakhtar/Napoli draw +230 .5*
20446 Spurs/Dortmund u2.75 +100 1.5*
20446 Spurs/Dortmund draw +225 .5*

Obviously there's one I like a lot so definitely ending 1-0, probably feel like an idiot for not playing Leipzig ML but enough is enough on that one.

 

[KJ]

20432 Sevilla +1 -120 3*
20432 Sevilla ML +370 .5*
20431 Liverpool/Sevilla draw +300 .5*

 

[KJ]

20425 Feyenoord/Manchester City o3.25 +101 2*
36001 Manchester City to win both halves +220 .5*

 

[gunner4ever]

Good luck today I like all the larger units picks :cheers3:

Could have won the Basel tt 0.5 they had a few solid chances but couldn't convert. They are not that bad but compared to last years they really miss at least one very good striker, or at least a target man who could put pressure on the central defense. But basically the whole attacking players are either average or not experienced enough. I think they will struggle to even get in 3rd place in this difficult group, 3 points maximum and 4th place finish in my opinion.

 

[KJ]

Thanks, got the wagers distributed how I'd like today with the two games I wanted most carrying the weight and feel a lot better about the line moves today although that usually doesn't seem to mean much in this sport at the end of the day from my experience.

Just curious, because I don't have player props, if anyone has anytime goal odds for Werner and Falcao...guessing both score but hard not to see at least one of them although Timo could well be minus odds. Gonna guess Werner -110, Falcao +120. Probably good I don't have them or I'd have more going on in that one.

 

[gunner4ever]

Can't find them on pinnacle they only have players from other teams available. But I've read Bovada has more anytime goal odds and Werner/Falcao AGS available there if you want to check these 2.

Leipzig/Monaco o2.75, Liverpool/Sevilla o3, Real Madrid -3.5 as my favorites for today. I like Man City -1.5 as well.

 

[gunner4ever]

Just seeing now someone on twitter picked Werner AGS +135 and Falcao AGS +115. I believe from bovada

 

[KJ]

Thx I only use a local and he uses BO interface...just was curious

 

[KJ]

-12.39 ytd

Bummer to get two first half goals in Germany then nothing..very costly. Won't deter me from overs with those two going forward, just couldn't get anything going in the 2h.

9/14 Europa

20501 Apollon/Lyon o2.75 -117 4*
20502 Lyon tt o1.5 -140 1.5*
20504 Atalanta -.25 -105 2*
20504 Atalanta ML +134
20508 AC Milan -1.25 -111 2*
20510 Dynamo Kiev -2 -105 2*
20516 Hoffenheim/Braga o3 -113 3*
20520 Ludogorets +1 -125 2*
20519 Basaksehir/Ludogorets o2.5 -103
20523 AEK Athens +.25 -120
20528 Villarreal/Astana o2.75 -117 3*
20528 Yellow Sub -1.5 -120 1.5*
20531 YB Bern ML -122
20534 Zlin/Sheriff Tiraspol u2 +101 2*

Highly doubt I'd have expected to be betting on a Czech/Moldova match if you asked me several years ago but those last bunch of matches that Zlin played look like complete shit. Not fun to bet under 2 but jfc those look atrocious. Think Lyon, Hoffenheim and Villarreal score some goals today. Honestly don't like going so heavy on Europa but it's Friday according to a text I got so let's play ball!

Depending on early returns I'll determine how to play the noon matches, got some research time so hope it's not for nothing.