gyno mlb selections and writeups........

  • Thread starter Thread starter Gyno
  • Start date Start date
I don't like the card too much, there is no selection that I love.


0.35* Tex/LAA over 8.5
These bad pitchers went against each other a few days ago and had a lot of success. I don't think lighting will strike twice, one or both of these guys will shit the bed.
Also the Angels BP is always capable of 1-3 runs.

0.3* Wash -110
Everyone likes the Braves, I'll take Stras @ home with hardly any juice.

0.3* KC -1 -107
These team is hot.

0.3* Tor/Sea under 4 FF -120
I can see a pitchers duel early, like that 4 is available. Would probably not play it at 3.5.. I don't see 5 runs scored after 5.
 
Sinkhole, I'm going to be fading 4 different teams starting 8.9

I think a lot of money will be made buddy...
 
One is going to start on 8.12..

The rest this Friday..

All of them will last about 10-15 games...

;)
 
0.6* SEA FF -0.5 -125 **BIG PLAY**
Josh Johnson may be out of the league soon.

4 straight games where he got lit up, 9 ERA on road, righties batting .357 against him. Been giving up homeruns
at an alarming rate. I think King can out pitch someone like that.


0.4* CWS -118
0.15* NYY TT under 3
Sale unlucky this season but he should completely shutdown a Yanks lineup that is putrid and cold. White
sox scored a lot of runs last night, I think they build off that and the WS get another win @ home. Sale
at home giving little juice vs a horrible lineup.. I have to take that..


0.4* Boston -1 -138
Lyles has been really horrible lately, lit up almost every recent start. I think Boston's lineup has success vs him.
Wright should have success vs an agressive lineup that strikeout a lot.


0.4* Texas -1 -129
Darvish owns the Angels, the current roster hit .189 vs him. Darvish has been the best pitcher in the AL this season.
Richards is alright but still a converter relief guy only getting a shot because they are trying new things. Angels
only 5 hits last night , team has packed it in. Darvish should completely shut them down.


0.35* MIL/SF under 7 -120
Everything points to an under. Two cold uninspired teams playing in the night in the #1 pitchers park in baseball.
Peralta has been really good, Cain definitely capable of shutting down Brewers.. Looks too ez, I want to hammer this
but I haven't done well with totals.


0.3* Cubs +107
Phillies have lost 14 out of 15, e jack has been pitching great.


I did colors today, lol..
 
Monday: 1-1 -0.09 units
Tuesday: 4-2 +0.65 units

reg plays: 254-258 +6.09 units
Fades: +8.03 units


Overall: +14.12 units ( avg risk 0.49 units)
 
0.3* Reds -118

A's bats are ice cold, batting .200 scoring 2.0 runs per game last 6. OPS of .552 and moneyball hasn't been working, .257 OBP. Bailey is legit and Colon
might get hit a bit at this park.
 
0.4* White Sox -106
0.2* Yanks TT under 3.5 +110
Yanks are ice cold. batting .198 last 7 games, .522 OPS.. I said before the
series started that the WS will sweep the Yanks. I stand by it. Sabathia has been a structure fire lately. 2 WHIP last few starts. Santiago
has been great. In July, he's got a 2.75 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, .201 opponents'
BA and 9.4 K/9 over six starts..




0.4* Parlay (+145)
Phils
SF






0.2* SF -0.5 FF -130


0.1* Phillies RL +140

0.1* Parlay (+168)
Phils/Mets




Cubs are trash right now, Wood has not been good lately, he might be
on a downslide. Teams usually win again after winning a game like the
Phils did last night. Hamels should have success vs a terrible Cubs
lineup.. Cubs BP is god awful.


Estrada will be on a pitch count, bum has been ace material under the radar.
Thats it.


0.25* Texas TT over 3.5 -120
0.2* Texas -110
0.1* Tex/LAA over 7.5


Angels are a good fade now, they aren't even getting hits. Ogando has good
#'s vs the Angels and I fade Hanson every start. Angels BP is always
capable of giving up runs.


0.15* Hou +0.5 FF +110
0.1* Bos/Hou under 9 -120
0.1* Bos/Hou TT under 5
0.1* Hou +161


Cozart is my guy. Its as simple as that. I believe this kid has ace material
stuff and I will continue to back him the first time around the leagues.
I bet it a different way because Astros are so terrible. I think I did ok.


0.3* Reds -118

A's bats are ice cold, batting .200 scoring 2.0 runs per game last 6. OPS of .552 and moneyball hasn't been working, .257 OBP. Bailey is legit and Colon
might get hit a bit at this park.

0.3* ATL +117
Don't understand this line, Zimmerman has been awful lately.. Braves
are streaky big time and the Nats are going to the dumpster.
Why are Braves dogged? Trap? I bet this one on the smaller side.
 
Haven't been understanding the Braves lines at all through this whole series, and they are cashing in as underdogs. Would've took them myself but my stupid locals wouldn't offer a price for them. Guess they knew they'd be taking to the woodshed on that one.

Zimmerman still has good #s at home this season: 9-2, 2.83 ERA in 13 starts and he shut out the Braves earlier this year.
Medlen has allowed 4 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts, and his road ERA (4.43) higher than at home (3.23)

Still say that Braves are the right side (although I probably won't bet them). Anytime you can get a hot team against a fading team at plus money, I say it's worth it.
 
0.45* Dodgers -103

Cards struggle vs lhp, Ryun gives up some hits but he's a cool customer. Cards used up a lot of bp
and I like the lineup the dodgers are using. Cards pitcher walks a lot of batters..

Dodgers find ways to win...just have to hope they aren't looking ahead to tb tomorrow...
 
Wed: 6-5 +0.13 units
Thursday: 1-0 +0.45 units


reg plays: 260-263 +6.67 units
Fades: +8.03 units


Overall: +14.70 units ( avg risk 0.49 units)


0.3* Tex RL -115

0.15* TB -139
0.15* TB RL +125

0.3* Pitt -138
 
0.3* No score first inn Mets/Dodgers -125

I love this play, should wager more.
 
That "NO" was too ez..
smileyface.gif
Took 13 minutes to cash it...

Fucking knew I should of hammered it.

reg plays: 263-266 +6.40 units
Fades: +7.71 units


Overall: +14.11 units ( avg risk 0.48 units)


Sat: 1-2 -0.45 units
Sun: 0-1 -0.32 units
Sun: 1-0 +0.20 units
Mon: 1-0 +0.30 units
 
reg plays: 263-266 +6.40 units
Fades: +7.87 units


Overall: +14.27 units ( avg risk 0.48 units)


0.4* STL -1

0.2* Bal/Az over 8 -120
0.2* Bal/Az over 8.5 +105



0.25* Mil/Tex over 8.5
 
I'm betting the Dodgers small in my fade of Mets.. Mets keep finding ways to lose and the Dodgers are high off winning and it seems to be contagious.. But the price is high.

I don't love it but for the sake of the fade I put them in a few parlays. I'm still fading the Mets, Phillies, Giants, Brewers and Cubs.. They are all going well except for the Brewers one, I will axe that one if Garza loses today.
 
0.5* Red Sox -1 -108
Blue Jays BP has been a disaster lately and so have the Blue Jays to be exact.

0.2* Astros +2 -131
0.15* Astros FF +0.5 +130
Cozart is my boy.. I think he will keep it close.
 
0.6* yanks - 103

Angels just want out of new York.. BP is used up, team is battered and injured..

Soriano is lighting it up...Angels are just sad..

Yankees will find a way to get a win here..
 
Astros
Jerome Williams is a gas can, had an ERA of 9 in July and his ERA is over 7 in two starts already this season.. In his last 35 innings he has given up 50 hits. His ERA @ home is a salty 5.37. Peacock has two quality starts in a row and the Angels lineup isn't worth a shit anymore. Also this will be the Angels first game back from a long road trip.. Astros has had success vs Angels this season..


Astros are a live dog.


Brewers
Reds are batting .188 last 7 games.. Brewers have been quietly playing some great ball. BP has been solid and SP has been very good. Gorzelanny has been pitching really solid. Reds are 37-20 @ home and barely .500 on the road. I think the Brewers hold some advantages in here and you're getting a really good price.


White Sox
Jose Quintana is quietly having a great season and Correia is Correia, look at his stats and logs. He gets lit up almost every other start. White Sox bats have been hot lately especially for their standards. This is a dog with a great chance.



0.35* Brewers +124

0.15* Astros TT over 3.5 -120
0.1* Astros +0.5 FF +100
0.1* Astros +148

0.3* White Sox +110
 
gynecologist said:
Astros
Jerome Williams is a gas can, had an ERA of 9 in July and his ERA is over 7 in two starts already this season.. In his last 35 innings he has given up 50 hits. His ERA @ home is a salty 5.37. Peacock has two quality starts in a row and the Angels lineup isn't worth a shit anymore. Also this will be the Angels first game back from a long road trip.. Astros has had success vs Angels this season..


Astros are a live dog.


Brewers
Reds are batting .188 last 7 games.. Brewers have been quietly playing some great ball. BP has been solid and SP has been very good. Gorzelanny has been pitching really solid. Reds are 37-20 @ home and barely .500 on the road. I think the Brewers hold some advantages in here and you're getting a really good price.


White Sox
Jose Quintana is quietly having a great season and Correia is Correia, look at his stats and logs. He gets lit up almost every other start. White Sox bats have been hot lately especially for their standards. This is a dog with a great chance.



0.35* Brewers +124

0.15* Astros TT over 3.5 -120
0.1* Astros +0.5 FF +100
0.1* Astros +148

0.3* White Sox +110
Click to expand...


:clapping:
 
tue: 0-2 -0.48 units
wed: 1-1 -0.14 units
thu: 0-1 -0.62 units
fri: 3-0 +1.17 units


reg plays: 267-270 +6.33 units
Fades: +8.80 units


Overall: +15.13 units ( avg risk 0.48 units)

R.O.I is off the fucking chain this season.
 
0.35* mets ML +105


0.2* Parlay (-104)
Mets +1.5
White Sox +1.5


0.2* White Sox FF -125
0.1* White Sox -0.5 FF +115


0.2* balt -1 -140
0.15* balt -0.5 ff


0.25* Yanks +121
 
0.3* Mets +129
0.1* Mets FF +115

Gibson is dogshit. 6+ ERA, WHIP 1.6+ always good for 3+ runs a start. Never goes long.
I have made some decent $ off Gee this season.
 
0.4* Wash -120
0.1* Wash RL +130
0.1* Wash FF -0.5 +115

Nationals -120 is a very solid investment for Monday..


The Cubs are a very cold baseball team right now.. In their last 7 games they are batting .196 with a SLG% of .263, it doesn't get much worse than that. Cubs avg less than 3 runs per game during this span. Cubs have scored 1 run in the last 21 innings.

Washington has hit .280 in their last 7 games.

Cubs pitcher Samardzija hasn't been that great lately
5.28 ERA in July
9+ in August

Batters hitting .302 vs him since July 1st.

He also prefers to pitch on the road, @ Home he has a 4.95 ERA and .272 OPP BA. He hasn't performed well @ wrigley.

He gave up 4 runs and 4 walks in his last start, prior to that he got rocked for 9 runs and 11 hits and couldn't even get to the 4th inning. Game before that we walked 5, this guy is not going good right now.

National hitters in 94 AB's have a .750 OPS vs Sammy.

Last time vs Wash
5 IP 7 R 5 ER


Zimmerman is pitching for the Nationals, not George Zimmerman but Jordan.
He has great history vs the Cubs, in 75 AB's the current Cubs roster has hit .182 vs him. .575 OPS.

Zimmerman is a great pitcher, 1.09 WHIP on the season.. ERA barely above 3.
He's in great form too, 3 straight QS and an ERA sitting at 1.59 in the month of August.


Nationals should get this done.

Some may want to put a little on Wash first five innings in case the Nats BP fucks shit up. But the Nats should win this game.


This is a good one
smile.png



0.45* TB -128
0.15* TB FF -130

O's struggle vs LHP


0.3* Mets +129
0.1* Mets FF +115

Gibson is dogshit. 6+ ERA, WHIP 1.6+ always good for 3+ runs a start. Never goes long.
I have made some decent $ off Gee this season.

0.25* Astros +2 -105

0.2* Indians +118

0.2* LAD/MIA under 6.5

 
Lol... The "long since" in that sentence wasn't necessary but thanks. I figured someone would call me a tool in one way or another when I saw that after posting. Lol
 
that was certainly not meant to call anyone out in any way, just to show that it is likely factored into his bet since your post was >3 hours after his
 
0.15* DET -2 +118

0.1* DET RL +100


0.15* parlay (+123)
CLE RL +1.5/DET ML

0.15* parlay (+120)
TB RL +1.5/DET ML

0.15* parlay (+163)
STL ML/DET ML

0.1* parlay (+142)
KC ML/DET ML

Pelfrey is god awful and he has horrible history vs DET. Porcello has been underrated, he's not great but hes very efficent. This is a big favorite that IMO should be -240 so I see value at -200


0.35* KC -1 -123
White Sox are terrible on the road and KC is hot still. Santana is solid and Danks always good to give up at least 3-4..


0.3* bos -1 -128
Fading vogelsong and the cold uninspired Giants

0.2* CLE +107
Angels are a dumpster fire

0.2* TB -102
TB owns Balty and Gonzalez hasn't been doing too good lately.

0.15* STL RL +120
STL bats .440 vs Lohse.. Want to see some #'s? Look at what Beltran does to Lohse.. It will blow your mind.
 
forgot to post a play..

0.2* TOR FF +110
0.1* TOR +0.5 FF -120

Hughes is a horrible pitcher.
 
Son_of_A_Legend said:
I wonder what would happen if the peanut gallery got wind of this.
Click to expand...

Well, seeing as how the game hasn't started yet and doesn't until 7, I don't think anyone will be saying much of anything. Even if gyno did post a play late, he probably wouldn't hear much of anything since he's posted on here for years, and he's not playing 30 units on the play.

:shake:
 
guess I should label (game 2) but I mentioned Hughes so I thought it was obvious.
 
Lareux said:
Well, seeing as how the game hasn't started yet and doesn't until 7, I don't think anyone will be saying much of anything. Even if gyno did post a play late, he probably wouldn't hear much of anything since he's posted on here for years, and he's not playing 30 units on the play.

:shake:
Click to expand...
:shake:
 
gynecologist said:
forgot to post a play..

0.2* TOR FF +110
0.1* TOR +0.5 FF -120

Hughes is a horrible pitcher.
Click to expand...

I took your post to mean GAME 1 (forgot to post a play..) and you were making a general comment about Hughes. Congrats on the pair of winners.
 
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