Let my updates my plays and leans before I comment / respond
Bobcats +3.5 +100 1st Half or +7 -107 {leans}
Over 192.5 -111 Charlotte (Large)
Warriors +4.5 -110 {lean)
Total had played U 198.5 -110 but took a beating getting OUT of it @ Over -127..looks like a bigger loss then it really is though since I am not playing hundreds or thousands a play...goes back to why its useless to get overly involved the nite before..
Nets -3 -105 {Lean}
Under 204 -110 New Jersey {Large}
Knicks +5.5 -108 (Large / trying for +6 though)ML +200
Under 196.5 -108 {Lean}
Hawks +2.5 -102 {Lean} +127 ML
Over 193.5 -119 Atl {Large}...now 192!
Wolves -5 -108 (XLarge)
Under 199 -103 {Lean}
Boston -2 -110 {lean}
Under 93 -101 1st Half {lean}
Memphis +3 -110 (Large) ML +125 (Small)
Over 179.5 -110 (Large)
Houston +8 -103 {Lean}
Over 181 -105 SA {Lean}
Kings +5 -107 (Medium) ML +175 (Value)
Over 214.5 Denver {lean}
Raptors +4 -110 (medium) ML +144 (Small)
Under 189 -108 Tor
Wizards +11 -103 {lean} ML +570
Over 229 Suns -105
No thoughts yet on Dallas and LAC....all my leans are fairly strong but doesnt mean I will play every single one.....could be a busy FRI nite folks..
BOL
- Charlotte minus the games they were without Knight and looked lost have scored at home 99 to Orl , 97 to Det , 100 Boston and so on...they have allowed 4 of 5 to score 100 and Utah basically scores 100+ away and even allows a 100 per away..with the 1st Half Bobcats seem to be fast starters and then fade...1st Q might be best as Tuck321 pointed out.....
-For me looking at GS cause ORL still hasnt righted the ship and to me -3 seems correct...GS undisciplined approad could be disasterous...so called Orlando inept offense...
-It seems NJ is slowy turning things around at home and LA in the midst of a long trip...where they have battled in the prior games...think that 4th Q in Minny was more a fluke then anything...Seems that LAL has started to play D allowing 94 ppg past 2 and NJ usually doesnt follow up consecutive high scoring affairs...
- With NY who is shorthanded at guard I just dont see why this would be higher then 3.5?? The Bulls have played well versus them but NY was inconsistent in those games...and now is playing much better...Chi is deep but they couldnt beat upa shorthanded NO squad and needed OT in ATL...
-With Indy and ATL I just dont see Indy playing well on the road at the moment...they have had there struggles in ATL and after a struggle to defeat Philly as long as ATL can close they should be okay....one huge concern is a team like ATL letting consecutive wins slip away come out FLAT as could be here....sort of a hangover effect.. have this at closer to a PK...would Indy by 8 or 9 at home or closer to -6....?? Played the total to early but Hawks have been scoring more with JJ back , WIllaims returning to form and so on...Indy plays little defense ....
- Well Minny cause as I explained due to the recent games I felt the line was soft......Wolves were -2 in Milw and lost by 4 shooting 52% ..they Bcks from trey were te equalizer...history sides with the home team especially in Minnesota. You have Minny off a bad 4th Q collapse athome and a MILW teamjust 4-10 away.....more like -6.5 / -5 here if you consider LA was +5/+5.5..Thinking Under despite both spots pointong to an overcause I played the Over on Sat at 191...now in Minny its 8 pts higher... .???
- Thinking about Boston but close call...really what better spot for Philly to get win then here? Hwoever Miller appears unlikely to suit up....so that leaves basically a thin team...competing in Dal and SA is much different then here. With Pierce OUT I would expect a focused effort from the C's. Where as Dallas and SA had no interest in playing such a bad team and even said the hardest part about playing theses games arethe mental aspect......thinking 1st H under even with Small lineups cause I figure they want to feed Jefferson early and you might see both sides struggle to make shots or you could see 100 at half....as they run and gun...
-I do not believe Memphis and NO are equal at this time....NO does a great job of competing but they fail to win games...as a fav you must win thegame and I am not sure with MEM visibly improving they can.....seems more like a PKem...and the Over well I think thats well documented with Satyr putting the ICING on my cake!
- have to think 8 is an overreaction to losing to Portland...this is tehgame HOU was thinking about....sorry but w/o Mac the Spurs are not 5 pts better! Maybe 3.5.....trying to get bettre then 8.5..based on history the UNDER is the way to go based on recent scoring performances its the OVER so let line movement decide I guess...
- I am sure people will be down on Sac but give Wash credit they shot lights out!! Denver should have AI but his 1st game....no familiarity with his teammates and cant see how they go from +3 to -5...if melo is worth 3 pts in the line then maybe AI is as well...that gets us to a PK..maybe shaded it to -1.5 being DEN won lastgame and Sac lost....so 5 way off!! watching the amount of defensive ability w/o Artest is scary! Kevin MArtin is a rising superstar and should have another huge game...
- Well dove in with Tor for a few reasons..revenge as a 7.5 pt fav , both playing well recently and only the 2nd time Port is favored this season...had this at about -2...an under because Blazers outside of 1 game appear to be making a defensive effort ....
- Well me and AUSTIN have gone back and forth on this game. I simply dont see why fatigue will be a major issue and why one extra day off makes that big a deal for Pho...for me its about Lines...11 pts..?? your telling me this improving Wiz team is a couple points better then a shorthanded Tor squad..?? Suns had a huge run in that game and it finished close to the number ...also Suns as big favs have not performed well.....Wash has a legit shot to win SU.....I think winning in SAC was a great precursor.. seems like defebne will be an afterthought but nearly 230 never seems like value....
-Really unsure ifI even look at dallas with a gimpy Diggler and awful LAC , heartless squad...
Bobcats +3.5 +100 1st Half or +7 -107 {leans}
Over 192.5 -111 Charlotte (Large)
Warriors +4.5 -110 {lean)
Total had played U 198.5 -110 but took a beating getting OUT of it @ Over -127..looks like a bigger loss then it really is though since I am not playing hundreds or thousands a play...goes back to why its useless to get overly involved the nite before..
Nets -3 -105 {Lean}
Under 204 -110 New Jersey {Large}
Knicks +5.5 -108 (Large / trying for +6 though)ML +200
Under 196.5 -108 {Lean}
Hawks +2.5 -102 {Lean} +127 ML
Over 193.5 -119 Atl {Large}...now 192!
Wolves -5 -108 (XLarge)
Under 199 -103 {Lean}
Boston -2 -110 {lean}
Under 93 -101 1st Half {lean}
Memphis +3 -110 (Large) ML +125 (Small)
Over 179.5 -110 (Large)
Houston +8 -103 {Lean}
Over 181 -105 SA {Lean}
Kings +5 -107 (Medium) ML +175 (Value)
Over 214.5 Denver {lean}
Raptors +4 -110 (medium) ML +144 (Small)
Under 189 -108 Tor
Wizards +11 -103 {lean} ML +570
Over 229 Suns -105
No thoughts yet on Dallas and LAC....all my leans are fairly strong but doesnt mean I will play every single one.....could be a busy FRI nite folks..
BOL
- Charlotte minus the games they were without Knight and looked lost have scored at home 99 to Orl , 97 to Det , 100 Boston and so on...they have allowed 4 of 5 to score 100 and Utah basically scores 100+ away and even allows a 100 per away..with the 1st Half Bobcats seem to be fast starters and then fade...1st Q might be best as Tuck321 pointed out.....
-For me looking at GS cause ORL still hasnt righted the ship and to me -3 seems correct...GS undisciplined approad could be disasterous...so called Orlando inept offense...
-It seems NJ is slowy turning things around at home and LA in the midst of a long trip...where they have battled in the prior games...think that 4th Q in Minny was more a fluke then anything...Seems that LAL has started to play D allowing 94 ppg past 2 and NJ usually doesnt follow up consecutive high scoring affairs...
- With NY who is shorthanded at guard I just dont see why this would be higher then 3.5?? The Bulls have played well versus them but NY was inconsistent in those games...and now is playing much better...Chi is deep but they couldnt beat upa shorthanded NO squad and needed OT in ATL...
-With Indy and ATL I just dont see Indy playing well on the road at the moment...they have had there struggles in ATL and after a struggle to defeat Philly as long as ATL can close they should be okay....one huge concern is a team like ATL letting consecutive wins slip away come out FLAT as could be here....sort of a hangover effect.. have this at closer to a PK...would Indy by 8 or 9 at home or closer to -6....?? Played the total to early but Hawks have been scoring more with JJ back , WIllaims returning to form and so on...Indy plays little defense ....
- Well Minny cause as I explained due to the recent games I felt the line was soft......Wolves were -2 in Milw and lost by 4 shooting 52% ..they Bcks from trey were te equalizer...history sides with the home team especially in Minnesota. You have Minny off a bad 4th Q collapse athome and a MILW teamjust 4-10 away.....more like -6.5 / -5 here if you consider LA was +5/+5.5..Thinking Under despite both spots pointong to an overcause I played the Over on Sat at 191...now in Minny its 8 pts higher... .???
- Thinking about Boston but close call...really what better spot for Philly to get win then here? Hwoever Miller appears unlikely to suit up....so that leaves basically a thin team...competing in Dal and SA is much different then here. With Pierce OUT I would expect a focused effort from the C's. Where as Dallas and SA had no interest in playing such a bad team and even said the hardest part about playing theses games arethe mental aspect......thinking 1st H under even with Small lineups cause I figure they want to feed Jefferson early and you might see both sides struggle to make shots or you could see 100 at half....as they run and gun...
-I do not believe Memphis and NO are equal at this time....NO does a great job of competing but they fail to win games...as a fav you must win thegame and I am not sure with MEM visibly improving they can.....seems more like a PKem...and the Over well I think thats well documented with Satyr putting the ICING on my cake!
- have to think 8 is an overreaction to losing to Portland...this is tehgame HOU was thinking about....sorry but w/o Mac the Spurs are not 5 pts better! Maybe 3.5.....trying to get bettre then 8.5..based on history the UNDER is the way to go based on recent scoring performances its the OVER so let line movement decide I guess...
- I am sure people will be down on Sac but give Wash credit they shot lights out!! Denver should have AI but his 1st game....no familiarity with his teammates and cant see how they go from +3 to -5...if melo is worth 3 pts in the line then maybe AI is as well...that gets us to a PK..maybe shaded it to -1.5 being DEN won lastgame and Sac lost....so 5 way off!! watching the amount of defensive ability w/o Artest is scary! Kevin MArtin is a rising superstar and should have another huge game...
- Well dove in with Tor for a few reasons..revenge as a 7.5 pt fav , both playing well recently and only the 2nd time Port is favored this season...had this at about -2...an under because Blazers outside of 1 game appear to be making a defensive effort ....
- Well me and AUSTIN have gone back and forth on this game. I simply dont see why fatigue will be a major issue and why one extra day off makes that big a deal for Pho...for me its about Lines...11 pts..?? your telling me this improving Wiz team is a couple points better then a shorthanded Tor squad..?? Suns had a huge run in that game and it finished close to the number ...also Suns as big favs have not performed well.....Wash has a legit shot to win SU.....I think winning in SAC was a great precursor.. seems like defebne will be an afterthought but nearly 230 never seems like value....
-Really unsure ifI even look at dallas with a gimpy Diggler and awful LAC , heartless squad...
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