Friday August 23rd MLB Discussion
- Thread starter scarf31
- Start date
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
Tough card. Not sure what Pax's #s look like in this spot but if he's capable of pitching well I think the Dodger's can be got. They haven't hit last couple of nights and seem to be fading vs. Lefties as expected.
On the other side Ryu can be filthy but this lineup is hard to get through with all the R handed power.
On the other side Ryu can be filthy but this lineup is hard to get through with all the R handed power.
Big_Degenerate
sharp as a butter knife
Ryu has allowed 2 ER or fewer in EVERY home start this season
At home this season (11 starts)
W-L ... 9-0
ERA ... 0.81 (7 ER/77.2 IP)
BB/K ... 10.74
BAA ... (.189)
HR ... 3
The Dodgers' record for lowest home ERA in a season is 0.85 (Sandy Koufax 1964)
At home this season (11 starts)
W-L ... 9-0
ERA ... 0.81 (7 ER/77.2 IP)
BB/K ... 10.74
BAA ... (.189)
HR ... 3
The Dodgers' record for lowest home ERA in a season is 0.85 (Sandy Koufax 1964)
Big_Degenerate
sharp as a butter knife
Yankees are 5-10 as an away underdog this season, and are 9-20 in the role since the beginning of last season (ROI: -28.5%)
Dodgers are 51-16 at home this season, the clear No. 1 team in return per $100 bet at +$2,375
Dodgers are 24-5 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
Dodgers are 19-2 in Ryu's home starts since the start of last season
Dodgers are 51-16 at home this season, the clear No. 1 team in return per $100 bet at +$2,375
Dodgers are 24-5 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
Dodgers are 19-2 in Ryu's home starts since the start of last season
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Check out Arizona on the road versus winning teams this season. And Arizona on the road after a day off the last couple seasons..
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Snakes 17-10 on the year vs winning teams on the road but won 10 of first 11 and are 7-9 since then KillerSports.com
Also they have excellent record after off-day but if you compare before/after the break it looks like 2 different teams
Before 20-5 / After 4-8 :shocked:
View attachment 42291
number2
Pretty much a regular
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
I think Dodgers win but these numbers do not reflect being on 5 days rest. Big drop. More than a little worried about the game tonight. August has been a terrible month for Houston for a long time. Houston has had very little rest for a long time and only has 4 left for the year. I trust Greinke on 4 days his best but he has been hit hard by the Angels with 4 players still on the team. Angels just had a day off and this Jose is better than the numbers reflect. 23 innings on 6+ 4.7 ERA and no one on the Astros has hit him. When the Astros get out of this month I will feel much better
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Opposing teams 15-5 coming from 1+ days off and playing the Red Sox this season. Average payout was 137 with a total profit of +$1,470. That's the most profitable team (by a lot) to fade in that spot this season.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
before the game started, this umpire in Milwaukee, before the game he must have attended a wine tasting
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Spek, I don't get it..? How are you interpreting that from the price on LAD
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
the dude's spreadsheet from breakdown sheets lists NYY closer to a pick'em in this game. In his sabermetric breakdown/power rankings/YTD/ROS/L30 days all taken into account.. Says it should be lined Yankees -102
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Looking on Fangraphs. Righties kinda mash versus Paxton. Lefties.. not so much.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Ryu didn't exactly show "killer instinct" with Paxton in the batters box right there. Didi could've made them look real stupid if he'd gotten home on that wild pitch, too. That would've been CRUCIAL to see. Would've quieted that crowd for sure
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
yo, what would the live line have been on the Fish down 0-7 headed into the bottom of the third inning tonight?
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
JUDGE breaking the seal on this game! 1-0
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Yankees BOMB FIRST. TWICE
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
knowing Paxton struck out in every AB he ever had might've come in handy capping Ryu K props lol
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
Didi nasty
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
When I looked at Ryu maybe I missed something. Reduced ability still left him much better than Paxton but his normal methods of fighting might not be available. still seems strange. Its not that strange. Its something he had experienced 58.1 innings this year. Why fall apart at home?
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
Best team in baseball with the cy young on the mound, 70+ % of tickets, vs an awful road pitcher with bad splits. RYU hasn’t let up 2 runs at home in a year and he hovers around -140?
I didn’t play it but this game was a coin flip based on the line.
Plus the real angle is that this Dodgers team over performed vs lefties to date. They aren’t built to beat lefties and have been struggling vs them recently.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
I played it. After you gave the heads up I checked out what the real line should be. And, just like you said, once I saw that they'd sold the majority of tickets at that inflated price on a game that should have been a pick'em, I knew what side the book was on. Nice heads up - thanks for pointing it out.
austinhous
Delicately Satirical
that's 2 nights in a row the book kept the public, majority money on a yankee game..
