Another rough day. Unfortunately for me the playoff basketball is impossible to cap no matter how many hours I spent looking at the numbers. It doesn't matter if I choose home team, road team, fave or dog - there's always something unexpected happening.
That Lyon team 2 month ago was losing with everybody - including shitty teams like Nancy, Cholet, Chalons or Antibes. Now they crush everybody and shoot the lights out. In September I placed a bet on Lyon-Villeurbanne to win ProA championnat at odds @13 (on bet365) and I canceled that in November (it was new and innovative option offered by bet365 back then). I don't think they will could win with Strasbourg but they have a shot at eliminating Monaco, if they continue to play like that.
Regarding Gran Canaria and Vitoria - I'm shocked how bad they play right now. Both teams are suffering from the 'glass roof' effect characteristic for Spanish league. Solid, medium tier teams like Malaga, Granca, Baskonia, Valencia know very well that they don't have enough $ and the necessary personnel to beat Barcelona and Real Madrid, so they concentrate on international cups (Euroleague, Eurocup), usually having great results there and don't even try to win Liga Endesa. This season was extremely good for Vitoria (Top 4 team in Euroleague) and Canaria (Top 4 team in Eurocup), so the hangover is even bigger. Both teams have had good position in the table for over two months (zero threat of elimination from the playoffs), so they just safely cruised for weeks. Now they are out of sync, they also look unprepared, slow and tired. Their shot is off, pick'n'roll is non existing, defense is soft and sloppy and so on... Valencia, Baskonia and G.Canaria should be treated as fade material when the post season starts, especially when oddsmakers make them big favorites. There's no point in backing them with money. Joventud that was trashed some time ago in Andorra today dropped 96 on Canaria and that is another game of Canaria with this kind of 'effort'...smh.
