Early lean

[tuck321]

Atlanta
Why. There a lot of possible answers.
OKC is 3-8 ATS in non conference games
OKC is 1-3 ATS in first game of b-b
They are coming off a 37 point win of a joke team and playing off a 56% shooting effort but most important the next day they play at Utah. They are 2-5 ATS this season vs over 500 teams while Atlanta a very inconsistent team is 7-4 ATS vs winning teams.
OKC on 1 days rest this season is 4-7 ATS
Atlanta on no rest is 3-3 ATS but honestly should be better than that here as they had 4 days off before Dallas so almost no real fatigue and are not going through the problems of OKC with a new coach with no real experience in the NBA. Still thinking
Philadelphia a real possibility as well will think about it later
You simply can not bet against the Bulls today looking at their history at home on Thursday but currently no strong desire toward involvement

DATE

<tbody>
[TD="width: 10%"]HOME[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]AWAY[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]SU RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]H LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]ATS RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]11/05/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]104[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]98[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]211½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]05/14/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]73[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]94[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]192[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/05/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]108[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]105[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]1½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]199[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]02/12/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]113[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]98[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]197½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]01/22/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]104[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]SAN[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]81[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]5½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]196½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/01/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]106[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]DEN[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]101[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-10½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]204½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]12/25/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]113[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]93[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-11½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]206[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]P[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]12/18/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]97[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-12½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]188½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/13/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]111[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]HOU[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]87[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]3½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]193½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]02/13/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]92[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]BKN[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]76[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-3½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]185[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]01/02/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]94[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]BOS[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]82[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-5[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]183[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]12/05/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]107[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]87[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]188[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]10/31/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]82[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]81[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]188½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]05/02/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]92[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]BKN[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]95[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]184[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]04/25/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]79[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]BKN[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]76[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-3½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]182[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]04/11/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]118[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]111[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]193½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/21/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]89[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]POR[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]99[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-6½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]188½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]02/28/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]93[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]PHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]82[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-7½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]178[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]02/21/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]67[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]86[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]3½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]186[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]11/08/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]91[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]OKC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]97[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]2½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]190½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="align: right"]194.5
-7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="align: right"]203.5
-1.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="align: right"]210
-7.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="align: right"]206
-4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="align: right"]-5
198.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="align: right"]-8
192.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="align: right"]195.5
-3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]

</tbody>

​

 

[tuck321]

By the way there are a Lot of strong under trends in this OKC game but not really sure I am ready to bet it.

 

[divol]

Can't agree with you there. The line is too high for me to play the Thunder, but bookies such a high line for a reason. Thunder or nothing for me there.
Hawks in B2B spot, off huge win in Dallas last night.
Also, Thunder been struggling too much at home ATS wise this season imho, including 1 - 6 last 7 games run at home ATS wise.
I think Thunder win by double digits, but bookies put the line high enough to convince me to stay away (as I feel they intended to do in the first place).

Good luck if you play the Hawks!

 

[tuck321]

Avoid this thread.
Killersports is up
It has a 11-0 trend supporting the Hawks but it dates back to 2010 so would think it suspect as well as 10-0 trend pointing to the over

 

[tuck321]

Glancing at the NHL---. you can make many bets which I do not do. Based on trends you can make a legit play on Washington. Doubt I play it as it costs a lot and uses a second tier goalie.
Ottawa is getting way too much and should be considered a routine play.
Not sure where I am in Philadelphia at Blues as I like both sides
That is where I am currently.
Buffalo at Calgary has a quality goalie. They should have a reasonable chance but Calgary despite not being a good team has won 7 in a row at home and is 14-6 at home so I might play the over or not but I simply do not want to fight the home streak There are legit reasons for fading Nashville since the starting goalie is trash but he still wins. 4-2 last 6 at home.6-14 away so just waiting and fading him on the road makes a lot more sense

 

[tuck321]

NHL: Tamp w/3 days rest 9-2. Tamp OVER hm after scr 1 or less 15-6. Mont B2B 5-1. Wash 19-7. Wash UND rd 14-5-2. Chi OVER vs west 8-4-4.
This year Tampa is 2-0 on 3 days rest. This year they are also a very average team and in the past those stats were made on a very better team than this one.

 

[tuck321]

There are 2 major problems with the Atlanta bet. There next game is major revenge vs the Spurs and OKC really needs this game since they are starting a really tough series with Utah

 

[tuck321]

Atlanta is 2-18 vs the Spurs and the last 2 times they have faced them they have lost 20 and 19. OKC is going to play harder and I lean now to the under,

 

[tuck321]

76er over is tempting but the plays here are complicated by a insane Detroit the next day.
Currently interested in Ottawa and the under. Maybe 76ers small

 

[nbafan88]

Really don't believe Atlanta looks past OKC to the Spurs

 

[hugh613]

There are 2 major problems with the Atlanta bet. There next game is major revenge vs the Spurs and OKC really needs this game since they are starting a really tough series with Utah

Atlanta is 2-18 vs the Spurs and the last 2 times they have faced them they have lost 20 and 19. OKC is going to play harder and I lean now to the under,

Where was this "major revenge" the last two times they played them then?

 

[emkee]

OKC played their most complete game of the season vs Memphis the other day.

Would assume they build on that given how un-cohesive they looked before that game.

Would play Thunder or nothing. Line also telling.

 

[tuck321]

Lakers are at Spurs
Spurs went to the East and lost at Chicago
Spurs went East and lost at Toronto due in part to Pops going crazy at Philadelphia
This Should put an urgency into the Atlanta trip that should let the Lakers cover and the game go under.
I think I mentioned that the Spurs have gone under in the first of connecting games this year
There is at least 1 strong over ref in that game. Friday at home has in the past been a strong day for Spurs domination and a weak one for the Lakers. I am going to be looking at the other features to see if it is practical to play the Lakers and the under.
First half over in the game at Philadelphia is also on the table
Great day for the Pelicans
Some interest in Suns
Regarding to some remarks above I did not play OKC directly last night. I did use them in teaser bumping up Philadelphia and I felt at the time I should just play them direct but was a little stubborn.
Not really sure how to respond to the idea that Atlanta would not focus on the Spurs which amazes me.

 

[tuck321]

Cleveland is once again playing on 2 days rest. No covers yet this season.

 

[tuck321]

Detroit is playing today at Philadelphia and should be raging.
Detroit tomorrow is playing at home against Indiana who most recently beat them in Detroit by 12

 

[YoungGun11]

NBa has been making my headspin this year. Started off up about 20 units, now dwindled a slow death to about 2 units. Every night is unpredictable, and can't remember any years seeing so many 40 point wins.

 

[tuck321]

Agree
Bruno the dumb Ass poster at Pounding is predicting a 24 point win.
I laughed at a 21 point prediction by another poster at Spurs and they won by 50

 

[tuck321]

Tomorrow Portland is guarding home court from the Knicks.
They have a 6 game winning streak against them and are 2-8 last 10 at the Suns. Posting stops now as I study.

 

[tuck321]

One of the best ways of avoiding dangerous situations is by dropping dangerous situations. Lakers play is currently gone

 

[tuck321]

Psychic premonition. 1 unit on the Bucks looking around for best number.

 

[tuck321]

Refs in the Milwaukee game
12-4 for home team
12-4 for the home team
9-5 home team
home dogs with these 3 are 9-2
Bingo

Perhaps I should mention Milwaukee this season on no rest is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS

 

[tuck321]

Some interest in the Bulls
Refs seem friendly, NO 1-9 away and every game they have lost on the road has been more than this spread.
That said 2 of them are against home favorites
Leroy Johnson is 9-1 ATS with Chicago but a listed 2-3 with home favorites
NO 0-6 b-b but Chicago miserable on 1 days rest.
The next 3 games for Chicago are NO, Philadelphia and then a revenge vs Memphis so the time to take it easy should be there. So far just Milwaukee

 

[tuck321]

home dogs 4-9 in Atlanta
Portland may be a forced play
Brothers in the game
Looks like a 2-1 ref lean to Portland
Killersports has recent trend 0-9-1 all in 2015 saying Washington does not cover and a 13-0-1 trend for Spurs

 

[tuck321]

Refs not pretty but Dallas has owned Washington, are playing off a home loss and Washington is playing away in worst 5-7. Dall does have a look ahead to Suns. Maybe a ML parlay here
No. This season when Dallas wins they have had exactly 1 ATS loss.

 

[tuck321]

Just looking at the information you see a lean against the Clippers
This season after a loss on the road they are 1-2 ATS away
Nets after a win are 2-0 SU and ATS at home and have covered 6 of their last 7 at home.
Not sure I buy this

 

[tuck321]

Refs in the Detroit game are not in love with home teams
7-8
4-13
9-6
In a much less extreme way this is also true in the Hornet game at
8-9
7-6
9-11
Very heavy bias to under in that game with the refs creates interest in the under
b-b Boston is 1-3 under
Hornets are 1-1
Hornets were beaten by Boston at home by 12 and away by 8
before that 2 wins away and at home by Hornets. Teams are 5-5. Edge to Hornets with no games after this for 4 days while Boston has Cleveland in 2 days at home. Need to just take some time and think

 

[tuck321]

Seem to be real arguments for over in Atlanta and Brooklyn and under in
Hornets game

 

[Metallica]

GL tonight Tuck
:cheers3:

 

[tuck321]

Thank you. Small bet on Dallas under. A little odd with Washington and may regret it but Dallas at home as a fav 8 or under is 6-2. The refs seem to go under with these teams. Washington is really tired. Tight bet but think Dallas really wants to rest for Suns.
Washington with no rest is 4-2 over
Dallas pn 2 days rest is 1-3 under and they seem to dominate Washington but I could be very wrong
Lakers game is a mystery to me.
Average bets on Dallas at Blues and depending on goalies will be thinking over
Average bet on Washington at Tampa.
Last 2 games between Dallas and Blues were at Dallas
Dallas lost 3-0 with Allen vs Lehtonen
Dallas lost 7-5 vs Elliot
before that Dallas won twice at Blues with Lehtonen
4-1 vs Elliot and 4-3 vs Allen a little confusing but this season Dallas is the beter team and so is Washington

 

[tuck321]

So far Sunday 1 play Jazz. Why
They really like to revenge home losses
On 1 days rest Utah is 7-2 ATS to OKC 5-7ATS
Both teams lean under 3-6 under Utah and 5-7 OKC
OKC used to be very good at home on Sunday
Have not covered their last 3 home games on Sunday
Utah has covered their 4 of their last 5 away on Sunday but only one was this season
Refs seem to like Utah and OKC not so much
OKC is 2-6 ATS last 8 at home and generally covers against clown teams, Last 10 at home the under is 7-3. Their next opponent is Portland who lost to them the last time they played but had beaten them 3 in a row before that.
Utah plays at Spurs tomorrow
Conclusion 1 unit on Utah. Maybe a half unit on under if you feel like it
Other 2 games involve unreliable crazy teams.
Small leans to Suns who badly need a new coach and a little stronger on Miami but only Miami may be added even though the Suns have better refs and a much better Day of week.

 

[tuck321]

Lot of look aheads. Toronto plays at Indiana tomorrow who they have owned tomorrow.
Memphis plays Washington who has beaten them twice this year at home but in Memphis we have true nuts and sadly recently Miami is also floating in space.
Suns play at Dallas which is very interesting but since Hornachek is in charge every game is an adventure.
Will the game at Indiana help Philadelphia. It could but usually Toronto covers after an ATS loss. Just a little tired of the head case games

 

[tuck321]

Thinking about a half unit 6 point teaser add. Minn and Utah and Philadelphia. All 3 backed by Toronto to Indiana, Suns to Dallas and Utah because it just makes sense.
This bothers me a little

Minnesota: 17-42 ATS off a close road loss of 3 points or less
Phoenix: 47-31 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread
No.
Now looking at the NHL

 

[tuck321]

Odd situation in Devils at Islanders
Last 10 away Devils have not gone under 5
3 overs and the rest are pushes
This season they are 5-2 over against a 5 total
Allen going b-b is rare and bothers me.
Crawford last year won exactly 1 four game streak
He hs already had one this season and has won 3 in a row
He is 4-6 last 10 vs Vancouver. This year they have hit him for 5 and 6 goal
Unlike most teams they are 4-8 after a shut out
Trends are very confusing in these 2 games

 

[tuck321]

In their last 10 home games the Bulls are 8-2 under
They lost the 2 overs
They are now playing Philadelphia as a 13 point favorite
They have 2 revenge games coming up
Fairly good refs for the under
Under is the bet

 

[tuck321]

Just chatter. Pessimistic about the Suns today. There is NO doubt that the team is improved and Monday is not a bad day for the Suns but Wednesday is their best day for the road which brings them to

<tbody>
[TD="width: 10%"]DATE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]HOME[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]AWAY[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]SU RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]H LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]ATS RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]11/27/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]PHO[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]116[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]GS[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]135[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]217½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]04/02/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]GS[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]107[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]PHO[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]106[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-12½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]210[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/09/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]PHO[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]80[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]GS[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]98[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]5½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]213½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/31/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]GS[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]106[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]PHO[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]87[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-10½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]225[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

</tbody>

 

[tuck321]

Still looking but Michael Smith is reffing in Nets game so Orlando looks very good.
No idea about the Spurs game. Spurs super hot right now and no teams has given them any resistance but their record at home after a 20 and up win is at best average and Utah b-b is 9-1 ATS

 

[emkee]

Spurs 14-6 ATS last 20 at home off a 20+ win, definitely above average.

Jazz 0-6 ATS last 6 as a double-digit road dog on 0 rest.

 

[tuck321]

Sounds good. Right now looking at 3 other games. Indiana, Orlando and Detroit or Detroit first half and over.
Huge rest edge to Indiana very high quality home team.
Also Atlanta

 

[tuck321]

Running into some time problems. The Toronto Indiana game is interesting but with a monster rest edge I like them. May parlay Atlanta and Indiana ML due to time problems.
Probably adding Spurs under . Expect Detroit to come out hard today

 

[tuck321]

There is a real problem trying to listen to other opinions. Old expression 75% of everything you read is garbage

 

[tuck321]

Actually I just realized Portland had beaten NO 6 in a row. Staying off that game I think

 

[tuck321]

Just to confirm. Indiana minus 5, and Orlando 2.5. Reasons for Indiana range from massive rest edge to that 20 point win by Toronto. over the last 2 years that sort of trash does not work well for them. Sorry if I am wandering a bit today. Short on time and a lot of games. GL

 

[tuck321]

I see the sickness goes on in the main thread.
Sad to say but I do not see myself resuming main thread posting in any sport.

 

[tuck321]

if you look at the Laker game what do you see?
i see Milwaukee playing the next day at the Clippers
They are 2-8 against the Clippers
This is a team that is 5-1 SU b-b and 6-0 ATS
The Lakers are looking at Houston coming in
Neither team is likely to go to the playoff
The Lakers are 1-6 SU and ATS vs Houston recently and Houston in their normal low class just beat them by 29.
The refs in this game are
6-10 under
8-11 under
6-11 under and my totals recently have been ice but i like this under

Cleveland by the way is looking at a visit from OKC

 

[tuck321]

Would say that the most complicated game is Denver at Minn since I can construct strong arguments for both sides. With such unstable teams maybe a pass is right. Will look more
No decision made yet in Boston game. Cleveland may be waking up.
it is playoff revenge for Boston and skill level of players is ONE SIDED
Cleveland on 3 days rest is a blank this year but 9-6 ATS last 3 years
Boston 3-1 off an upset win and 1-1 with 2 days rest has appeal but home dogs with these refs are 5-9
These positions are interesting but not sure if the profit factor is high.
Some interest in Minn and Kings over but not thrilled with my total results recently.

 

[tuck321]

After more thought I think the under is in the 54 to 56% range. A good general rule is just bet totals when you really understand the game and it is almost impossible to guess how the Lakers respond today. The next total I post and play really should be over 60% as a slump buster so I am passing on this but do think it is positive equity today. Leaning toward hockey today and a couple of small leans on sides today that I am unlikely to play. Sorry

 

[tuck321]

Average bet
Denver plus 6
This morning I went over to Cokin's blog. His free play was Minn minus 5.5.
He has lost his last 4 free picks. I looked at the game and it seemed a little silly
It still does.

 

[Retburj13]

[TABLE="class: statistics_table, width: 100%"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]12/15/15[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder, align: center"]PG[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]Emmanuel Mudiay[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]Ankle[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs. Minnesota[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]12/14/15[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder, align: center"]F[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]Darrell Arthur[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]Knee[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]"?" Tuesday vs. Minnesota


shorthanded B2B?[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

[tuck321]

Golden State Warrior blog prediction. GS by 7. Very strong home refs in this game??
I like to bet 1 or 2 games. Not clear I can do that today.
Not sure about involvement myself in Miami at Brooklyn but DO not play Miami

<tbody>
[TD="class: matchupHeader"][/TD]

[TD="class: matchupCells"]MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.[/TD]

[TD="class: matchupCells"]MIAMI is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.[/TD]

[TD="class: matchupCells"]MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.[/TD]

</tbody>

 

[tuck321]

In the main thread they mention look aheads for Clippers, OKC and Spurs. I see that for Clippers and OKC. In their last 3 games the Spurs have barely had to do anything. Player minutes were very small and Washington has beaten the Spurs 2 in a row. Not looking to throw myself on sharp blades.