December Plays

S

SportsNut

Breaking it down briefly
Since I tend to repeat themes for my plays decided to try and keep it one thread. If I'm fading a team one day (for whatever reason )then probably same logic if I am doing it again shortly thereafter .

Monday 12.3

Blazers + 1 400
1st H Blazers +1/2 300
Hornets buy +5 250
Warriors -9.5 500
detroit buy -4 300
1st H detroit -2.5 200
u191.5 Detroit 200

o201 Denver 250

-not sold on bucks still, crappy 7-8 game stretch, hornets struggling but solid competition and fairly competitive efforts but 4th q is concerning

-not a fan of Portland as I have mentioned often and sad win @ cle but Batum and lillard seemed to get going and a week ago blazers would be like-2 or -3.......cats only fav twice wash and raps.....

-GSW hot at home and been riding them and few games back realize how strong they were being lined......last game -4 vs pacers......what was indy @ lakers? Exactly..........so my point is the line is not theoretically strong and you get Orlando off a huge key win and upset vs a key team and 2nd game out West could alone be a flat spot for some.....we really saw some magic guys step up huge


 
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​Think Waiters absence is more meaningful then Knight's because KI already out and det can pick up the slack wit their depth
 
1st Q Hornets +1 250
1st H +2.5 -115 140
u188.5 200

o17.5 Ryan Anderson -115 180
o17.5 Robin Lopez P+R -115 120


 
3rd Q Blazers -115 200
2nd H Blazers -115 360

-only down 3 and cats started 10 of 14 and 13 for 1st Q
 
HEDGE----------o95.5 Detroit 100....potential blowout and last few years in the bizarro nba that means overs usually.....probably should just get out of the whole 200


 
another u fucking kidding me moment........@charlotte..........gordon hits 3 but inside a minutes gets a 3 and 1 .....cats down 4 for the q and 2 ft next possession cats win the q by 2........lose my bet and fucks my other blazer pending plays

another 3 early 4th q down 10 f'n done

this is just comical.......said to myself 53-47 almost half so long as bucks dont hit a three then the under is still looking good..........boom ellis 3 ......53-50.....
 
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o102 1st H toronto 150
Clippers -2 400 and ml-130 100
o201 and raps reverse 75

just think utah a tad to banged up and clippers on the up swing
 
SportsNut said:
HEDGE----------o95.5 Detroit 100....potential blowout and last few years in the bizarro nba that means overs usually.....probably should just get out of the whole 200
Click to expand...

then again maybe I shhould have realized earlier pistons struggle to score after every halftime........so blowout probably unlikely.......


 
It was disgusting to see Portland let that game get away but how the hell did charlotte choke that away?

I caught a break after some shit luck.....of all guys how does portland let gordon beat them?did they pay attention to his unconscious 3pt shooting past few...

and the great part was det didnt choke
 

inability to hit ft's caught me in utah................................thats why I play ml's on small lines...fuck me

2nd h gsw -7 350
u98.5 400
rev 75
3rd q gsw -4 100
4th q gsw -4 180
4th q u49 150

line moved on me quick
 
Retburj13 said:
get em late man
Click to expand...

thanks bro

got the 3rd q but pushed the 3rd q from halftime


well destroyed the nba till utah back doors clipps and now gsw and under go down............was gonna be huge

14-2 and a reverse befo4e the backdoor(up 3040).......then shit
 
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Tuesday

Have to check what I have in but

Washington +11-115. 400
1st H +6. 200

Wolves buy +4. 400

Well fading Miami despite how easily they could cover here. Last week wizard missed benefits and Livingston vs ass and were just 7.5 pt pups. It took a great day from the spurs bench IMO to win by the finally margin. Don't think Heat have the same type role players or 2nd unit to cruise by wash....
 
Lean okc but pissed I let -3 get away............

what I was trying to say and predictive text on my phone messed up was...........basically same type powerhouse teams SA and Miami but the line was 3 pts weaker vs SA and Nene and Livingston missed. Plus like SAS depth much more then Miami s and that was before Cole sat out.....Heat havent played many complete games lately vs mostly weak teams.....come from behind vs brooklyn biggest test

1st Q Nets +1 even 150
okc -4 150

Evans out hurts
 
o180 Indiana 300

Lakers +1 300
1st q pk 100
o215 100

SUns +10.5 200
o196 300
o103 memph7s tt 200


Like LA off a loss missing Gasol because we all know he has struggled some+ like Duhon starting and Jamison has been a hot 6th man now starting PF

low total at chicago but like George Hill recent play which ishuge for that offense.......both teams should break 90
 
1stH o98.5 -120 memphis 125

made lakers over 215 250

2nd h hedges
miami -11.5 +105 60
sixers -6.5 -105 80
 
o97-105 memphis 300
3rd Q o48 100

o107-115 houston 100
3rd Q o53 150

Bulls -2-115 100
3fd Q o44.5 150
o89.5 200

 
Wed Plays

Pacers -4 200
U186.5 250
Wolves +6 200
over 191 250
Charlotte +8-115 360
U198 150
Bucks +9 250


 
- expecting nyk to lookahead some and now that the streak ended maybe some more SU wins but ATS losses
 
SportsNut said:
- expecting nyk to lookahead some and now that the streak ended maybe some more SU wins but ATS losses
Click to expand...

-same sort of thing fading spurs but w/o the look ahead spot

-Wolves played a damn good game and boston has been inconsistent and poor as medium and higher chalk

-Hawks off SU home loss and well rested gives them a slight edge imo

-said gsw has been lined strong before monday now expecting that works against them

Pistons -115 300
1st H -115 200

-sluggish 2nd h offensively is concerning


also it was a bad spot to fade portland as teams usually play very well after 2 lucky wins in game 3 but was hoping end of long trip maybe they would flat.........george found his groove and pacers were home before @bulls so road trip angle for them was not in tact...was not a no rest home game after a trip for them imo
 
I was ranting about ben gordon on mon now rooting.........lol........seriously though dude was 7/10 and 3/4 from three before mon and went 8/12 mon..............18/26 in 3balls.............Damn!
 
I think Bulls and Lakers look to obvious for me but bulls more so

4th q hornets +1 150
1stq cavs +.5 -105 100

also I leaned UND @ det but was hoping for value at halftime
 
sadly for me det just couldnt stayed tied despite the awful start.........but like how they played

2nd h det -1 100 but ml-120 200

--------

Indiana----admit I feel kinda smart after that q.........lol, no but honestly do feel its best for the under. I kinda decided to tail that move on the boston game because it made absolutely no sense.....none.....shocked it went higher

GL
 
and letting Port back in was terrible


passed on orlando game but leaned them..........

2ndh cavs -130 200/ -1.5 -105 100
 
billups and kleiza both OUT

not sure about the last 2 games.......def lean clippers and over........Evans important to sac but not sure what to expect for him
 
perfect knick game...........100-98 final......push the total....get both halves....and full game...........well melo injury clouds it.............

shitty part is the pistons look like it will be thrown away
 
LAC buy -8 300
o200.5 200
reverse 25

Odom vs dallas = clear mavs motivation but new faces in dallas water that down and kaman vs clipps even more incentive.......so some negatives
 
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