CFL Syndicate 2025

spottie2935 said:
Under 55.5 Ott bc
Click to expand...
This is dropping now due to some wind today and a 40% chance of rain. I missed the number unfortunately but I'll be rooting for you.

I think there is some other league that has a game going tonight but you know what I'll be watching.
 
If the total was 58+ I would have went at this game big, but in the past 55 total weren’t special. This boiled diwn to a play but the total not being elevated kept me in check. It look real good after the first quarter then the second quarter was just ok then the 3 quarter it was game over, literally. I still have my eye on BC unders but only at 58+.

The key for me that I saw is Ottawas previous was under. Next weeks rematch now both teams are elevated. That makes a big difference. Can not be as confident in a big total under unless both teams have their last game over.


Next week 👍
 
0.5* Prop Brady Oliveira over 64.5 rush yds -114

Oliveira has been criminally underused and it came to a head last week when he had only 5 touches. He took his complaints directly to the OC. So not only do I think he gets more touches today, I think he runs pissed off.
 
0.5* Live Hamilton ML -120

Taken after MTL FG off the turnover. 3-0
 
Hamilton FG then MTL fumble recovered by the cats. My live bet timing was impeccable for a change
 
Hamilton up 13-9 at the half. Montreal trying to wear Hamilton down with the run but Morgan can't pass at all. 3/9 for 22 yards in the half. This is the cats game to lose.
 
If there was a most improved player award, I would give it to Destin Talbert this season. I didn;t think he'd last the year in his rookie campaign but he looks like a solid and maybe even great DHB with a long career ahead of him
 
This is the ultimate under style game.

Lets see how I get screwed out of it this time.
 
Montreal benches James Morgan in favour of Cam Dukes who has been with the team all of 3 weeks. Man they are desperate
 
NICE! Excatly what I wanted...Hamilton with the sack at the 10. Now they get the ball back a few yards from FG range
 
Well that didn't quite work out.

Montreal going back to Morgan now?? Are they shuttling QBs? Why not put Shea Patterson in while you're at it.
 
0.5* Live Calgary +2.5 -115

Beginning of the 4th, Calgary down 9. Aiming for the middle here.
 
TD Stamps! Man every one of my live bets today has been absolute perfect timing. So rare
 
Parades missing a makable FG and the long return pretty much killed the chance at a middle. Was still a solid opp though. 6-2 on the week. Finally the breakout week I've been looking for.
 
Results through Week 14

Sides 12-12 -1.865*
Totals 8-8 -2.04*
Parlays 6-7 +0.385*
Props 1-1 -0.65*
Live 12-15 +0.86*
Futures 1-0 +0.25*

Overall 40-43 -3.06*

6-2 week and picked up about 2.8*. Still choppin' wood over here, trying to get into the black. Taking week 10 off to recalibrate really helped. Its been 4 profitable weeks since.


Futures
0.5* Hamilton to win season series vs Toronto +200 - Series tied 1-1 after the labour day collapse. Next game Oct 4 in Toronto.
0.25* Ottawa under 10.5 RSW -104 - 4-8 after 12 games - winner winner chicken dinner.
0.5* BC Lions to win Grey Cup +750
0.5* Calgary to win Grey Cup +300
0.2* Hamilton to win Grey Cup +1000
0.25* Justin McInnis under 1200.5 rec yards - 815 yards through 12 games - on pace for 1223 yds - big gm in wk 14 have him back on pace
0.25* Shemar Bridges under 1050.5 rec yards - 234 yards through 12 games - on pace for 351 yds
 
Last edited:
1* Parlay Hamilton ML / BC Lions ML / Saskatchewan ML +120

3 teams that should roll at home playing 3 teams that go on the road with a bad QB situation. I don't see how any of these 3 loses. Gimme that plus money all day long.
 
Bc Lions do not have professional level coaching on their Defense.

Offensively they can score points and have some playmakers.

However with recycled Benevides back the entire league knows his style. He coaches extremely conservative and scared and plays too much soft zone.

No movement on defense, limited man to man looks and his defense only works vs cfl rookie dumb qbs.

All smart offensive coordinators dominate bc lions defense. Benevides is john harbaughs twin: too structured; no instincts and no guts.
Dinwiddie was running plays wide open vs bc all game and even ottawa torched them late when benevides started getting scared.
 
Sammy Meatballs said:
Bc Lions do not have professional level coaching on their Defense.

Offensively they can score points and have some playmakers.

However with recycled Benevides back the entire league knows his style. He coaches extremely conservative and scared and plays too much soft zone.

No movement on defense, limited man to man looks and his defense only works vs cfl rookie dumb qbs.

All smart offensive coordinators dominate bc lions defense. Benevides is john harbaughs twin: too structured; no instincts and no guts.
Dinwiddie was running plays wide open vs bc all game and even ottawa torched them late when benevides started getting scared.
Click to expand...
Can't disagree...this BC defence is bottom 3 and coaching has a lot to do with it.
 
Hulu I am very concerned about the poor play of Vernon Adams.

To me he looks scared and tentative throwing and is a product of Cgy playing elite defense and running the ball.

Fact is that Adams lost at home to Ottawa, lost at Edmonton and looked bad at home the week before to Edmonton.

Cgy has a good roster with a lot of takent especially on the D line but they possibly have the worst quarterback depth in the league.

Keep an eye out for Cgy falling apart down the stretch. Dickenson is not coaching well the past 3-4 seasons so he can definitely lose control of the team.,
 
Hulu, Edmonton looks pretty solid and a team to watch.

I am impressed by their coach Mark Killem who is able to turn around a bad start and rapidly improve the team.


Fajardo is a good qb, kind of like Trevor Harris but way more clutch in key situations.
Fajardo has good decision making, good accuracy and can run.

This main character Guy Rankin is unbelievable, he reminds me of a prime Mike pringle. He is very dangerous and has speed to score long td’s.

IMO, Winnipeg is done, Collaros is old and sloppy now, Ottawa is done also. I am not a believer in Hamilton because they seem to always lose and are not consistent.

I think the main team to watch here down the stretch is Montreal. DAVIS ALEXANDER is the biggest X factor, How good is he? Is he a step above mitchell, harris adams rourke ?

Montreal when healthy is one of the best teams …

The wildcard team to watch is the Argos imo. They have easily the best receivers in the league/// COXIE, POLk, HERSLOW, BRISSETT, DANIELS. Dinwiddie is a premier play caller in the league and isn’t afraid for f anyone::

I suspect Toronto scouting is a bit better than the rest of the cfl as they seem to get borderline NFL guys…
 
Hulu said:
Can't disagree...this BC defence is bottom 3 and coaching has a lot to do with it.
Click to expand...

I also stongly believe that with the high cost of living that no free agents or good college guys want to come to Bc.

I think the guys coming to Bc are average Cfl players and not at the level of the recruiting of the Argos, Als, Riders.

Do you ever even notice any new Bc players on defense?

Back in the day we all knew Eliminiean and Bighill, corey banks, carl williams,

Nobody goes to Bc place and I believe that the Lions are now at an all time low for popularity in Bc. People do not care about liions and with the ongoing extension of highway 1 and other traffic delays ppl do not want to be stuck in traffic drivinh downtown.
 
Sammy Meatballs said:
I think the main team to watch here down the stretch is Montreal. DAVIS ALEXANDER is the biggest X factor, How good is he? Is he a step above mitchell, harris adams rourke ?

Montreal when healthy is one of the best teams …
Click to expand...

THIS right here is the key.

Everybody is sleeping on these guys but when Alexander is back, they are easily the class of the east. 365 has a prop 'to reach grey cup'. Last week Montreal was +240, this week they are +280. The defence is mostly healthy now and I am just waiting for word that Alexander is back and I will hit this HARD. Another few losses and we might get +300 or more.

The important part is they need to finish second. First is not realistic now being 2 games behind Hamilton and losing the tie breaker. Toronto is a game behind them BUT Montreal has the tie breaker there so as long as Alexander comes back within the next 2-3 games, they should be good to finish second. If they drop to third, that would mean winning 2 road games and I'd need a much bigger number.

But if they finish second, they get a home playoff date vs either Toronto or the crossover from the west (BC, EDM, WPG all in the mix). For a healthy Montreal team, that will be a tune up game. Then they just have to travel to Hamilton but the cats are paper tigers this year. They are only in first by virtue of the rest of the east sucking. They're my team but I can see they have no defence and even Bo's magic wrist can't overcome that.

I think a healthy ALs team can make the cup. Winning it might be a different story with the Riders or Stamps as competition.
 
Sammy Meatballs said:
Hulu I am very concerned about the poor play of Vernon Adams.

To me he looks scared and tentative throwing and is a product of Cgy playing elite defense and running the ball.

Fact is that Adams lost at home to Ottawa, lost at Edmonton and looked bad at home the week before to Edmonton.

Cgy has a good roster with a lot of takent especially on the D line but they possibly have the worst quarterback depth in the league.

Keep an eye out for Cgy falling apart down the stretch. Dickenson is not coaching well the past 3-4 seasons so he can definitely lose control of the team.,
Click to expand...

Yeah Adams has not been great but they have had so many receiver injuries and he's not playing behind the greatest OL in the world. So he's been good enough. And with their defence, that's all he needs to be.

I wish their were a coordinator of the year award because you could just give it to Bob Slowik right now. To change 11/12 starters on defence and have a top-2 unit right off the start is way impressive. Watching their DL and LB play has been a thing of beauty. The different looks and stunts they throw at opponents is amazing.

Mark my words...Jaylon Hutchings will be in the NFL next year. He is that good on the DL.

Although I want to say the Riders are a better, more balanced team overall...Calgary has beaten them twice and it wasn't close either time. As long as VAj stays upright, I think they win it all. That's the problem tho...they have nothing at QB behind him. PJ Walker is absolutely awful.
 
And yeah Calgary lost to Ottawa twice but both can be disregarded.

The first was that monsoon game with the rain coming in sideways and some passes looking like a Sandy Koufax curve ball. That game was decided by turnovers and freak plays.

The second was the PJ Walker start and he is not a starting level QB in this league. Not even close.
 
Hulu said:
Week 15…

1.5* Edmonton +3.5 -110
Click to expand...

So I wanted to write this one up because I think its an interesting game to handicap.

At the beginning of the Argos bye, Chad Kelly posted something like "comeback time 9-13-2025" to his instagram. So that's why this number is 3.5. Otherwise it would probably be 2. But thats all we have is an instagram post. No confirmation from Kelly, the Argos, nothing. So is he starting or not? We will know a whole lot more by tomorrow afternoon. I think its probable that he starts but not certain. But either way, I like this bet and I may even like it more with Kelly at the helm.

Its all about perception. Kelly is perceived as a stud elite QB while Arbuckle is viewed as an inconsistent, backup level guy. But I think that take is dead-ass backwards.

Over the past 6 games (and that's an important number), Arbuckle has a 74% completion rate and has thrown for 360 yards/game with 14 TDs to 2 picks. He is playing as well as any QB in the league and thats no exaggeration. And yet the Argos are 3-3 because their defence SUCKS!! People still rag on the guy but right now he could seriously be in the MOP conversation if he played for a better team. By the numbers, this offense, under Arbuckle, is top-3 in the league.

So what, exactly are people expecting Kelly to do that Arbuckle isn't already? Throw for 450 yards? I don't see anything but downside by inserting him into an offence that is humming along. It can't get a whole lot better but it can get worse. Do we really expect that this guy who hasn't played a game in 11 months, off a serious injury, is going to come in and light it up even more than their offence is doing now?

Furthermore, it should be noted that the Argos OL, easily the best in the league a year ago, has dropped off badly. Many of the depth guys that were expected to step up and start just haven't made the leap. Add in some injuries and its been a rollercoaster for this group. The reason Arbuckle does so well is that he is extremely mobile and moves the pocket, escapes pressure and throws on the run. Kelly is not that guy. He needs a line in front to provide a pocket and this line is a pale imitation of the one he played behind last season. He is going to be under a lot of pressure.

And if Kelly starts, this line will likely go up! If it does, I'll put my balls on the chopping block and add.

Ok so what if Kelly doesn't get the start and its Arbuckle again? Well right off the bat I still think the line should be about 2, not 3.5. Also, remember I gave Arbuckle's stats over the past 6 games? Thats when Kelly went on the 6 game list. Until then, it was week by week and every game Arbuckle was preparing with the spectre of maybe starting, maybe not. When Kelly went on the injured list, it was Nick's team and he improved imediately. They went from averaging 26 pts/gm to 35 pts/gm at that point. Now even if Arbuckle gets the start, hes doing it with all the Kelly hype surrounding it once again. All the social media bullshit and kelly posting shit on instagram. I don't think he does well in that situation.

And that was just the Toronto side. If you're still reading, thanks. You're a hell of a human being.

As for Edmonton, I don't think its any secret that they are hot right now. Winners of 4 of the last 5 including impressive wins over Calgary and Montreal, they are really humming. Their defence is a bit banged up which is a concern but it didn't seem to hurt them much last week as they stiffled VAj very well.

The other concern is the spot. Elks off a big win vs Calgary and Toronto off a bye. But I think the other factors far out weigh this.
 
Last edited:
Ok Pinny opened EDM at 4 and its being hit immediately down to 3.

Some 3.5's still available so if you like it, get it now.

Or wait it out and once the public becomes aware of Kelly's status (assuming he is back this week) it should go back up again.
 
1* EDM / TOR under 56.5 -108

If Arbuckle starts, I think this number is correct or even a point low so I might bail out. But if its Kelly, I love it and may even add.
 
Also the Mark Killem effect: He has a coaching staff of recently retired guys
Hulu said:
Ok Pinny opened EDM at 4 and its being hit immediately down to 3.

Some 3.5's still available so if you like it, get it now.

Or wait it out and once the public becomes aware of Kelly's status (assuming he is back this week) it should go back up again.
Click to expand...

Hulu you gotta join my Ufc syndicate! I’m following it religiously and really into it!
 
Cfl and Ufc are my main 2 sports i have been betting on.

Both i believe present huge value and edges:

Fading the Cfl backups this season has been money in the bank.

I have many sophisticated systems where I believe confidently I can predict the outcome of main event Championship fights.


IMG_3525.png
 
Sammy Meatballs said:
Cfl and Ufc are my main 2 sports i have been betting on.

Both i believe present huge value and edges:

Fading the Cfl backups this season has been money in the bank.

I have many sophisticated systems where I believe confidently I can predict the outcome of main event Championship fights.


View attachment 101643
Click to expand...
I know this can't be your screenshot because the phone is >10% charge
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top