CFL Syndicate 2025

Depth charts out for tomorrow night.

Calgary still without C Bryce Bell. They have moved 2 DLs, Wilcots and COatney to the 1gm injured list hurting their depth there. Micah Teitz will get the start at MLB, backed up by the recently signed Kyle Wilson (ex Hamilton)\

Winnipeg will have Brady Oliveira back which alters the ratio which means G Gabe Wallace will sit in favour of preferred starter Micah Vanterpool. So basically they are pretty close to full health.

Even though money is coming on Calgary, I still love Winnipeg in this spot. They are just the superior team at every level. A bye week for Calgary isn't going to overcome that IMO.
 
Hulu said:
Alright, injury reports are out and Toronto looks to be as banged up as last week with the exception of Parrish coming back at DE. I think this is Hamilton's game.

.5*/.5* Hamilton +2 / ML -111 / +113
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Toronto will be without both starting RBs McMahon and Williams this week and Kevin Brown (ex EDM), who played late last week, will be pressed into the starting role. The team signed former Ottawa & Sask RB Khalan Laborn to back up.

Last year Arbuckle was ok in a relief role because Toronto had a league-best OL and running game. This year the OL is inexplicably not as good and without Carey, McMahon and Williams, the running game cannot be leaned on the way it used to. Add in a defence in transition and this team is just a shadow of what they were LY.

Liking Hamilton more and more this week so I'm adding another half unit to the ML at -105. Full bet now as follows...

.5*/.5*/.5* Hamilton +2/ML/ML -111/+113/-105
 
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Rationale on the over. Well, like we have said all year the overs are too low. Tonight we have Collaros the best QB and no more Maier so that’s an improvement for CGY. Last week CGY total was 47 and it went way under. That is holding this total down enough to get involved.

I ran the data and 2 consecutive unders (CGY) also supports this over. I hate overs and favorites but I respect WPG a lot. If WPG loses here that will be something. Maybe a signal? They need to show signs of weakness and they have yet to do so.

Bad teams are bad teams and consistently show regression like the Argos. That’s not taking place.

WPG and the over.

I don’t bet overs pre-game because time comes off the clock before a score Is made. An early punt can occur even a fg can drop the line. Unders are made for pregame bets because adjustments can usually be made. Overs are not so flexible.
 
spottie2935 said:
Rationale on the over. Well, like we have said all year the overs are too low. Tonight we have Collaros the best QB and no more Maier so that’s an improvement for CGY. Last week CGY total was 47 and it went way under. That is holding this total down enough to get involved.

I ran the data and 2 consecutive unders (CGY) also supports this over. I hate overs and favorites but I respect WPG a lot. If WPG loses here that will be something. Maybe a signal? They need to show signs of weakness and they have yet to do so.

Bad teams are bad teams and consistently show regression like the Argos. That’s not taking place.

WPG and the over.

I don’t bet overs pre-game because time comes off the clock before a score Is made. An early punt can occur even a fg can drop the line. Unders are made for pregame bets because adjustments can usually be made. Overs are not so flexible.
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Not betting overs pregame is solid because you can usually get a better number by waiting a bit. Only problem comes when someone scores on the opening drive and you lose the number.

I thought about the over in Calgary but ultimately decided to leave it alone. Calgary has shown a propensity to run the ball more this year and with 2 starting receivers out, that might increase. Also, when playing a superior team, one commonly used strategy is to control the clock to limit possessions. This is more of an NFL thing because of the differences in clock rules but it happens in the CFL too. I lean over but I'm not confident enough to bet it. I'll root for you!
 
Toronto's injury report...
1751494092649.png

Contrary to what I said earlier, it looks like Parrish will not be back this week. McManis still out and he is the centrepiece of their defence. 2 OL still out, 2 RBs out. And this is in addition to the people they already have on the 6gm. Not a pretty picture. Go cats go!

I am going to try and find a ticket for this game in Toronto because its always fun to be there wearing the black and gold when the Argos LOSE
 
If I miss a line by an early score that’s life wait or pass on the game. Rarely these games exceed 60 points so at some point the scoring slows and an opposer uses. We’ll see the low total of 47 indicates everything you mentioned in but because last week was so low scoring and expect a low number
 
With and if Calgary tries to shorten the game even if an early s ore occurs the line will come back to me. If it doesn’t that’s fine I missed an opportunity


With last weeks under 47 I’m expecting a lower number tgann47 and with collar is snd Winnipeg scoring I should get it and I expect Calgary to competes with an in game line.

Add all this up over is a better option than I. Game Calgary in think
 
spottie2935 said:
What about Toronto this week? Do they score their share ?
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No idea. Hamilton's defence looked pretty bad up until last week. It seems the bye week helped them out plus addition of Kendricks to the DL has a major effect on their ability to get pressure and relieve the secondary of having to cover for so long. The addition of Stubblefield to the SAM spot should help also although he is currently listed as questionable so no idea if he plays.

Does that defensive performance carry into this week? I have no idea.
 
Winnipeg up to -5 now. Knew it would happen eventually.

Hamilton at -3.5 which is a bit of a shock to me but a good one. I thought they should be the fav but 3.5 is asking a bit much. Probably solid value on the argos at that number.

In Montreal its confirmed that it will be Rourke vs MBT. The value is gone from BC now but I still love the over and its dropped half a point to 49. Great value IMO
 
Well it looks like another book might be booting me. Bet365 has always taken my action and paid me with a smile but suddenly they are giving me hassles. Holding my money and refusing to release it for a withdrawal and giving me a bunch of doublespeak instead of an explanation. Its not a bonus situation or any sort of rollover requirement, they are just refusing to process a withdrawal and also refusing to cancel it and put the $ back in my account and can't explain why. I wonder if this is their method of showing me the door?

If that's the case, I am all but done. I'm down to them and pinny and its pretty hard to survive trying to win money vs pinny. I am up on them lifetime but I can't do it with them alone.
 
Hulu said:
Well it looks like another book might be booting me. Bet365 has always taken my action and paid me with a smile but suddenly they are giving me hassles. Holding my money and refusing to release it for a withdrawal and giving me a bunch of doublespeak instead of an explanation. Its not a bonus situation or any sort of rollover requirement, they are just refusing to process a withdrawal and also refusing to cancel it and put the $ back in my account and can't explain why. I wonder if this is their method of showing me the door?

If that's the case, I am all but done. I'm down to them and pinny and its pretty hard to survive trying to win money vs pinny. I am up on them lifetime but I can't do it with them alone.
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Have you talked to CS?

Might be worth checking with the sports book review forum and see who's having similar experiences?
 
B.A.R. said:
Have you talked to CS?

Might be worth checking with the sports book review forum and see who's having similar experiences?
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Yeah I've been going back and forth with them thru email all week. The responses are so repetitive and nonsensical that I started wondering if I was corresponding with a bot or AI but that would actually be better.

The short story is I requested a withdrawal and they say they can't process it right now and I will have to use another method with a fee. I told them I don't want to do that and just to cancel the withdrawal and I'll do it when my preferred method is available again. Now they say they can't cancel the request so I said to go ahead. Now someone else says they can't process the request either. So I said ok, cancel and put the money back in my account. Then they tell me they can't do that. So is the money just gone? In limbo? Its like being in a fellini film.

I honestly don't know if this is malice or just sheer incompetence.

I will check out SBR and see if anyone else is having these troubles.
 
Hulu said:
Yeah I've been going back and forth with them thru email all week. The responses are so repetitive and nonsensical that I started wondering if I was corresponding with a bot or AI but that would actually be better.

The short story is I requested a withdrawal and they say they can't process it right now and I will have to use another method with a fee. I told them I don't want to do that and just to cancel the withdrawal and I'll do it when my preferred method is available again. Now they say they can't cancel the request so I said to go ahead. Now someone else says they can't process the request either. So I said ok, cancel and put the money back in my account. Then they tell me they can't do that. So is the money just gone? In limbo? Its like being in a fellini film.

I honestly don't know if this is malice or just sheer incompetence.

I will check out SBR and see if anyone else is having these troubles.
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I'm guessing you need to deal with someone higher up the chain.

These aren't necessarily bots, but probably trained as so.
 
A lot of the who’s who in politics and economics are pointing to an economic pull back or turnaround what ever word is most applicable. Im not directly commenting on that.

If an economic pull back happens the gambling and sports betting world will change.

What’s already taking pkace is all these table games are slowly integrating electric games. Paper payout slips have already been established. Even in some of the buffets off unlimited beverages fill your own drinks. All this saves money and less jobs are needed.

Sports books: if these books don’t get deposits they won’t pay out as much money. The owners and all the big wigs get paid first then they have overhead after that. Lastly the winners get paid. Seems logical and you’re obviously smart enough that I’m being too simplistic here.

The sports industry hasn’t modified much before the last few years after USA states legalization. I would guess profit dilution will be a real thing if the economy slips.

For a while it might take longer to get possession of the profits we make. When all this takes place and frustration starts setting in that is what I think will begin something we as bettors need most.

It’s obviously and we all have either done it before or know about it. Peer to peep bookmaking sites.


I don’t know how they will change the current system in to this way or making profits but all this retirement lottery high risk parlays will be eliminated. Now of course unless they make up same game parlays that people can bid on or something like that. Traditional big long ticket parlays might be a thing of the past.

Me no matter just give me a bet and hopefully in-game wagering. Give me my payouts in a timely manner and guarantee I get my
Money as well.

I am not as smart or as in tune with business operations as some and some will add and share ideas and modifications to my simplistic rant here.

Hulu really made me think about this last night. It’s not just going to be one isolated book. With this country wide dilution with more betting outs we are inhibiting our payouts.

I just really hope one (or many ) of these smart rich guys seizes an opportunity in a growing demand market that needs change. The market may soon slow but that doesn’t mean the desire or thoughts to make habitual wagers won’t seize.

If we are betting with books and we or most of us are. Be proactive and make adjustments to the amounts or whatever one needs to be safe.

I think most of the shady books have been eliminated but if the economy really stops the 💩 is going to hit this fan hard.

History has shown these books can’t sustain accounts if the money stops flowing in. The current system has flaws and issues. The books hold all the money and their business operations are not clear.

Bitcoin will also impact some of these books. All the cash that has been or was flowing in. A few books made killings on being a bit coin exclusive book. I would be surprised if this was industry wide behind the scenes.

All the deposits why not invest the money from the higher percent of losing individual betting public. We all can figure the depositors contribute to our profits.

If Bitcoin crashes you can safely assume the sportsbook and online casino companies are going to be majorly impacted. A lot of the depositors are making some of their spending monies from big bitcoin profits.

We have to think ahead and be safe because we have seen people get burned before.

I am not trying to predict anything but I just want to see changes. I want to see more sites integrate peer to peer and eliminate all the behind the scenes dysfunction and instability because the big wigs earning big money from the losers before the earners and profitable bettors get paid out.

I won’t get upset if these peer to peer companies, or sports books charge extra fees to the winners as long as they encourage the losers to keep up their end of the bargain😂.



Just wanted to share this.
 
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spottie2935 said:
A lot of the who’s who in politics and economics are pointing to an economic pull back or turnaround what ever word is most applicable. Im not directly commenting on that.

If an economic pull back happens the gambling and sports betting world will change.

What’s already taking pkace is all these table games are slowly integrating electric games. Paper payout slips have already been established. Even in some of the buffets off unlimited beverages fill your own drinks. All this saves money and less jobs are needed.

Sports books: if these books don’t get deposits they won’t pay out as much money. The owners and all the big wigs get paid first then they have overhead after that. Lastly the winners get paid. Seems logical and you’re obviously smart enough that I’m being too simplistic here.

The sports industry hasn’t modified much before the last few years after USA states legalization. I would guess profit dilution will be a real thing if the economy slips.

For a while it might take longer to get possession of the profits we make. When all this takes place and frustration starts setting in that is what I think will begin something we as bettors need most.

It’s obviously and we all have either done it before or know about it. Peer to peep bookmaking sites.


I don’t know how they will change the current system in to this way or making profits but all this retirement lottery high risk parlays will be eliminated. Now of course unless they make up same game parlays that people can bid on or something like that. Traditional big long ticket parlays might be a thing of the past.

Me no matter just give me a bet and hopefully in-game wagering. Give me my payouts in a timely manner and guarantee I get my
Money as well.

I am not as smart or as in tune with business operations as some and some will add and share ideas and modifications to my simplistic rant here.

Hulu really made me think about this last night. It’s not just going to be one isolated book. With this country wide dilution with more betting outs we are inhibiting our payouts.

I just really hope one (or many ) of these smart rich guys seizes an opportunity in a growing demand market that needs change. The market may soon slow but that doesn’t mean the desire or thoughts to make habitual wagers won’t seize.

If we are betting with books and we or most of us are. Be proactive and make adjustments to the amounts or whatever one needs to be safe.

I think most of the shady books have been eliminated but if the economy really stops the 💩 is going to hit this fan hard.

History has shown these books can’t sustain accounts if the money stops flowing in. The current system has flaws and issues. The books hold all the money and their business operations are not clear.

Bitcoin will also impact some of these books. All the cash that has been or was flowing in. A few books made killings on being a bit coin exclusive book. I would be surprised if this was industry wide behind the scenes.

All the deposits why not invest the money from the higher percent of losing individual betting public. We all can figure the depositors contribute to our profits.

If Bitcoin crashes you can safely assume the sportsbook and online casino companies are going to be majorly impacted. A lot of the depositors are making some of their spending monies from big bitcoin profits.

We have to think ahead and be safe because we have seen people get burned before.

I am not trying to predict anything but I just want to see changes. I want to see more sites integrate peer to peer and eliminate all the behind the scenes dysfunction and instability because the big wigs earning big money from the losers before the earners and profitable bettors get paid out.

I won’t get upset if these peer to peer companies, or sports books charge extra fees to the winners as long as they encourage the losers to keep up their end of the bargain😂.



Just wanted to share this.
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A lot to unpack here but I mostly agree.

One of the things I see is that the offshores used to be located in jurisdictions with at least semi-competent regulators. Now that model is being replaced by state and provincial regulators who are toothless at best and absolutely complicit in fraud at worst. Now that the books don’t have to worry about any sort of legitimate oversight, they have free reign to defraud and rob their customers with impunity. That’s why you see so many following the dk model where you only take action from losing bettors and boot the rest. It’s shameful but it’s only going to get worse. To me the writing is on the wall for advantage sports betting. If it’s not finished now, it will be soon.
 
spottie2935 said:
Hi KJ you feeling okay today?
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It's the fourth. Did a grocery run and felt like a crash test dummy today but survived.

You good?

Actually very bad situation happened at 3:15 when I went to the apartment main pool and instantly heard country music...so studder steps instantly. Then Moby Dick in a bikini and I did an about face. So let's go to the back pool, it's the 4th ffs....gotta be something going on there. Heard kids screaming from about 50 yards out. Very poor movement on my part. you go at 1:15 and that shit doesn't happen when you establish the block. At 3:15 you deal with the failure of today.

Weird week for a lot of reasons. Fwiw last 4th I lost my keys and was locked out of my place til roughly 10am on the 5th and slept outside in Phoenix heat all night, even seeking the complex gym for AC and crashing on the butterfly press a couple times. That was not a great performance.

I guess all in all today was a pretty incredible day! Can't wait for fireworks and the dbags shooting guns/dogs acting like armageddon combo coming tonight, but all in all....this is a 7.8 on the success scale.

Thx for asking!
 
I said during my season previews that they won't be able to set HAM/TOR totals high enough. And yet I held off last night because I didnt know if Arbuckle would be able to produce. But in reality, both these defences are so bad, almost any QB could score on them.

Also, if Bo didn't really overthrow anyone last night the way he has been. If he's cleaned that up, this offence should score 30+ every game. The receiving group is like an all-star team. Lawler, White, Bridges, Smith...if you shift coverage to one, the others will beat you.

The cats made Kenny Lawler the highest paid receiver in the league this season and he is WORTH...EVERY...PENNY

Overs still dominating. 11-7 now on the year and the avg game score is 54.2 while the average total is 49.8. The market is adjusting so I think we get another week or two before it catches up. I'll be looking at every game next week for the best over spots.
 
File this one away for the start of 2027. I think this is a winning strategy.

Keen observers may have noticed that one of the key differences in the CFL is that QB's get hurt at an alarming rate. You really need tw0 competent QBs to get through a season. I think there's a few reasons for that. First, its a passing dominated league and more passing plays means more sacks and more scrambles and therefore more injuries. Second, decent offensive linemen are hard to find and some of the lines these guys play behind are fairly poor. I think the NFL expanded practice roster and the existence of the UXFL or whatever it is has a bit to do with that. And finally, I feel like players are less apt to play hurt in the CFL than their NFL counterparts. Its one thing to play hurt when you're making millions a year and have the best medical care available now and into the future. Its another thing when you're making $400k CAD and once you're done, your medical is on you (unless you stay in Canada that is). Anyway I digress...

I mentioned earlier that I love taking season long player props under. Especially receiving yards. Because the numbers the books put up are predicated on the guy playing all 18 games. If he gets hurt for a couple games, you basically have an auto-win. But the unique thing about receivers is that they also need a competent QB to throw it so even a QB injury can limit a receiver's yards for a spell.

So combining those 2 things...here is what I will be looking for...

1. Look at each team's QB room. Eliminate the teams that have a decent backup and focus on the ones who have a big dropoff from QB1 to QB2. (ex. this year: BC, CGY, WPG, TOR, OTT)
2. Identify which receivers on those teams played all 18 games the prior season so their number will be based on that
3. Eliminate the receivers whose yards prop is significantly less than LY and keep the guys who have around the same or higher yardage than LY

Bet those guys under for the max. That looks like a 60-70% winner to me.

Thoughts?
 
Wow, someone finally won the million! This contest has been running for years but 2 kickoff return TDs in a game is so rare the prize has never been won.

There was a contest previous to this with the same idea but less money and someone won that one back in the 90s. I remember the game. It was EDM@MTL and it was played in a torrential downpour with heavy wind and the 2 kickoffs that were returned were both into the wind and fairly short as I recall. But that's how long its been since there were 2 kickoff return TDs.

 
Ottawa scoring has been sluggish and Edmontons schedule has been difficult. Any thoughts on fading Ottawa on the road?
 

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I bet under in game last night and that was a disaster m. Usually that means tonight is under but with these totals less than average i hesitate to think of any reversal La at this point. I’ll sit out of the total and wait for more overs because until they lines uptick more the overs are still ripe. I want 4 overs this week and then see the lines.
 
Scratch Edmonton tomorrow home dogs don’t do well when their next game is a home dog. Line wise, It’s confirmation of a bad team.
 
Now tonight BC is an away dog with next a road game vs Edmonton. So that’s good from the data perspective

Any team that is an away favorite the next week especially dogs (because they are getting points and don’t have to leap over a line). Away favorites are not the bottom teams.
 
spottie2935 said:
Ottawa scoring has been sluggish and Edmontons schedule has been difficult. Any thoughts on fading Ottawa on the road?
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I don't know what to think about that game. Ottawa gets Dru Brown back so they should look better offensively. I just don't know what Edmonton will look like. They showed signs of life both offensively and defensively last week but will that continue or was it a mirage?

I have to pass on that game.
 
Dru Brown is back? Okay, Edmonton is a home dog again I’ll might try an Ottawa first half small just to keep interested. If the 2nd half scoring continues that’s when both teams scores. All the signals are against Edmonton, but that doesn’t mean it’s a sure winner only about 58% and then add the starting QB back.
 
0.5* Live BC/MTL over 53.5 -115

Not sure anyone is going to be able to stop anyone in this game.
 
0.5* Live BC/MTL over 50.5 -112

Taken at end of 1Q with Montreal leading 7-0 and BC with a 1st down deep in MTL territory

eta it was 50.5 not 51.5
 
0.5* Live BC/MTL over 48.5 -115

Taken at 3min warning with MTL up 7-6 and BC on the doorstep
 
Another shit week...I'm growing tired of this. But we soldier on.

1* OTT / HAM over 53.5 -113

Not making the same mistake as last week. Again we have a Hamilton team coming up against a relatively poor secondary and Ottawa with Dru Brown back at the controls playing the weak Hamilton defence. Both these teams are averaging well over this number in their games. With outliers removed, the league average score per game right now is 54.2. Clearly the books have not caught up yet if they think this game should be a below average total. I made this number 56.
 
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Lean Ottawa +4.5 this week too. But its a tough spot with B2B road games and on a short week for the RBs. Also, the higher scoring the game, the less the spread points matter and I expect this one to be in the high 50s or low 60s.
 
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