50*

[hugh613]

Need to keep the subscribers happy...

Saturday:

9/3/2016 2:00 PM Spain Soccer 607 SD Amorebieta (ESP-2B2)/Real Madrid II (ESP-2B2)* Over 2½ -130

*Not a long term recipe for success taking overs in these lower scoring leagues, but RM Castilla's kind of the exception to the rule. Highest scoring team in the league last season with 72 goals in 38 games (25-17 O/U), and 46 goals in 19 home games (14-7 O/U). Not eye popping as far as the O/U numbers but, like I said, in a league where only 10 teams out of 80 (split into 4 divisions) manage to post an O/U record above .500, it tends to stand out. Also, RM Castilla currently on a 10-0 O/U run at home with 28 GF and 16 GA, and BTTS hitting in eight out of 10. Not sure if Martin Odegaard suits up today, but the attack should be fine nonetheless (reserve teams tend to adopt the same approach to play as the senior clubs, so you know what that means...) As for Amorebieta, nothing much to get excited about (5-14 O/U on the road last season) but, at the same time, they're one of those goal a game type sides and, let's face it, the home team tends to dictate the pace, so provided they can knock one in, we should be good to go in this one (RM beat them 4-1 on the road earlier this year).

 

[hugh613]

I could find a trend that's 99-1 and still have managed to bet it the only time it lost... Not much going on to this point other than the one goal but, on the bright side, RM's last nine at home all had two goals or more in the 2H and bet365's got RM -300 to score at least once more, so let's fucking go...

 

[Toronto_Mike]

need 1 more

 

[Toronto_Mike]

3-0

 

[hugh613]

RM with the wundergoal from midfield, LOL.

Thanks Mike.

 

[hugh613]

Two in the same day? I know... : )

Adding:

9/3/2016 6:00 PM Paraguay Soccer 1851 Rubio Nu (PAR)/Sol de America (PAR)* Over 2½ -123

*I know it's an idiotic way of looking at things, but whenever I see a team has gone scoreless in consecutive games (especially a team with a better than average offense like Rubio Nu), it's usually all signals go for the over. In Rubio Nu's case, it's been three games without a goal (two of the three games being at home), so getting out on the road where they were the top team in the league during the Apertura and where they've scored in fourteen of their last sixteen should do them so good. Also helps that Sol de America is in the midst of your typical South American stretch (third game in the last ten days), so Rubio Nu should be primed to take it to them right from the start. As far as other relevant notes on this one:

• Five of the last six between the two at Sol de America between the two have gone over (BTTS 5-1)
• Sol de America's a combined 22-8 O/U this season (12-3 at home), while Rubio Nu checks in at 16-14 Overall (7-8 on the road)
• Sol de America's been one of the most consistent Over teams in Paraguay the last two seasons with a combined 29-8 O/U record at home (BTTS in 27 of the last 33)

Will probably be posting Dallas/Portland before I head out (still undecided on whether or not to bite - plus, seeing fuckhead on a bunch of my other leans as well kind of scared me off, but I guess that sort of things bound to happen when he posts 500 fake bets a night...

 

[dylanphan]

Oh, FFS, I go out to run errands and miss a 50* play???? No way I'm passing on this second one. Lets do this Hugh613 :cheers3:

 

[hugh613]

Oh, FFS, I go out to run errands and miss a 50* play???? No way I'm passing on this second one. Lets do this Hugh613 :cheers3:

You need to start getting your priorities straight here dylan: being active and spending time with friends and/or family or sitting around all day on the computer waiting for some anonymous stranger to post a bet on the internet. I think you know the answer... : )

:cheers3:

 

[hugh613]

RM with the wundergoal from midfield, LOL.

<iframe width="480" height="320" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Mn8LGxGU9cw" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

 

[hugh613]

Well, there goes that...

:hang:

 

[hugh613]

There was a friendly earlier today between Bournemouth and Milan where 3 goals were scored in 3 minutes. Don't think that'll be happening in any of my games anytime soon (can't even get a 1H Over, FFS...)

Adding:

9/3/2016 9:00 PM USA MLS Soccer 110 Portland Timbers (USA-MLS)/Dallas (USA-MLS)* Over 2½ -140

• 10 of the last 11 meetings overall between the two have gone over (BTTS 10-1)
• 5 of the last 6 meetings overall between the two have featured 4 goals or more
• 5 of the last 6 meetings at Toyota Stadium have gone over (BTTS 5-1)
• FC Dallas have scored at least 2 goals in 18 of their last 20 matches at home