Short on time before tip..
Over 195.5 Pistons {4units}
I'll be the first to admit this play is more about logic then anything. I see this as a close game with late FTs playing a role in the total. The number might look high but has steadily climbed up and was 195 in the meeting last year. As BAR has pointed out the Piston offense is getting better everyday with CWebb in the middle . The Lakers have not done well on 2 days rest its a small sample size but the games have been high scoring. Kobe and the crew on TNT are 16-5 Over last 21. The pistons have an under trend on TNT but remember how long they were a defensive minded unit. Hard to believe Det cant crack 100 on a team that allows 104 away. Its been better with Odom back but look at the Wash and Boston games. They got to 99-94 without Kobe in NY.Det has been 95+ range last 4 at home. I tend to lean Det here but not enough to make a play. Think this sneaks over and bywaiting I think some smart money has driven this was up....worse case I have this like 100 - 95..
Bucks +5 {5units} ML +180 {1unit}
Bucks 1st H +2.5 {2units}
Under 193.5 {3units}
Pure situational play on Milw. Risky trusting them but hoping they got there act together vs ORL. They have historically played NO tight. The Hornets are off a hard fought OT win in Denver last nite (altitude combined with 10 pt defecit overcome in final 2 if regulation). They are also playing 5th game in 7 nites. If they are a due for a flat games it here IMO. Milw only 1-10 SU away but 5-6 ATS...think this is a one possession game. Basically I like how these teams match up on paper and will attack a situtaional angle...its all guess work to be honest...the under cause of situation and both off high scoring games...
Kings -2 {5units}
1st H Kings -1 1st h {2units}
Obviously this game is widely debated. Simply put the inconsistency of Gordon , the unknown factor surrounding Tyrus Thomas and the absence of Noicioni really thin the bench out and ask guys to step up who arent offenisve minded. The Kings have won 9 of 10 in the series , the past 2 in Chi and all of them @ Arco since 97. I still havent see the improvement from Chi on teh road I hd hoped for. I diont think this is an easier matchup then Utah was. Jazz were off 2 big wins and still minus Boozer and lead throughout. Sac has played fairly well at home not years past well butthey have won 4 straight and in the past 8 despite being 500 they lost 3 in OT. The Bulls are something like 0-8 ATS on theroad catching four or less....a shorthanded Bulls team just doesnt seem to be in a good spot. the Scare factor for me is I know Skiles and Co is making this game a huge game since the last 2 decide how successful the trip is. Simply put though Chi has not shown me enough to think a suddenly improving Sac team will go down. Miller finally starting to contribute.....not sure on the total thought Under but not sure
BOL
Over 195.5 Pistons {4units}
I'll be the first to admit this play is more about logic then anything. I see this as a close game with late FTs playing a role in the total. The number might look high but has steadily climbed up and was 195 in the meeting last year. As BAR has pointed out the Piston offense is getting better everyday with CWebb in the middle . The Lakers have not done well on 2 days rest its a small sample size but the games have been high scoring. Kobe and the crew on TNT are 16-5 Over last 21. The pistons have an under trend on TNT but remember how long they were a defensive minded unit. Hard to believe Det cant crack 100 on a team that allows 104 away. Its been better with Odom back but look at the Wash and Boston games. They got to 99-94 without Kobe in NY.Det has been 95+ range last 4 at home. I tend to lean Det here but not enough to make a play. Think this sneaks over and bywaiting I think some smart money has driven this was up....worse case I have this like 100 - 95..
Bucks +5 {5units} ML +180 {1unit}
Bucks 1st H +2.5 {2units}
Under 193.5 {3units}
Pure situational play on Milw. Risky trusting them but hoping they got there act together vs ORL. They have historically played NO tight. The Hornets are off a hard fought OT win in Denver last nite (altitude combined with 10 pt defecit overcome in final 2 if regulation). They are also playing 5th game in 7 nites. If they are a due for a flat games it here IMO. Milw only 1-10 SU away but 5-6 ATS...think this is a one possession game. Basically I like how these teams match up on paper and will attack a situtaional angle...its all guess work to be honest...the under cause of situation and both off high scoring games...
Kings -2 {5units}
1st H Kings -1 1st h {2units}
Obviously this game is widely debated. Simply put the inconsistency of Gordon , the unknown factor surrounding Tyrus Thomas and the absence of Noicioni really thin the bench out and ask guys to step up who arent offenisve minded. The Kings have won 9 of 10 in the series , the past 2 in Chi and all of them @ Arco since 97. I still havent see the improvement from Chi on teh road I hd hoped for. I diont think this is an easier matchup then Utah was. Jazz were off 2 big wins and still minus Boozer and lead throughout. Sac has played fairly well at home not years past well butthey have won 4 straight and in the past 8 despite being 500 they lost 3 in OT. The Bulls are something like 0-8 ATS on theroad catching four or less....a shorthanded Bulls team just doesnt seem to be in a good spot. the Scare factor for me is I know Skiles and Co is making this game a huge game since the last 2 decide how successful the trip is. Simply put though Chi has not shown me enough to think a suddenly improving Sac team will go down. Miller finally starting to contribute.....not sure on the total thought Under but not sure
BOL
Even though NBA is my main thing and I'm in the element now more than in August 
