some other thoughts and leans:
KSU- Auburn is 1-6 ATS L7 as a DD fav. Will look at KSU a little more getting 2 TDs and y help here would be great guys. I am not that high on Auburn to begin with an wouldn't consider laying nearly two TD's with them so can't play the shot on the dog here.
Ball St-13-6 ATS as a MAC fav and 8-3 ATS as a home fav might deserve a look being at home laying under a TD, might just be about 3 pointds too high in terms of value. Ummm this is a MAC game so that means I would automatically take the dog.
BG-4-1 ATS as a DD dog L5 years. As bad as this team has been those years they seem to be able to keep it close for the most part and not get blown out. With suspensions on MInny who knows could turn into a play for me. BG offense should be much improve and at least provide a shot at a backdoor if anything. This line is a little high on the Minnesota side of things. Minnesota with a new qb and lost top 2 receivers is going to rely on the legs of Amir Pinnix, just don't think they can score enough here.
Buffalo laying 30+ is a bit tasty as they are 7-3 ATS when dogs of 20+. Will rutgers really wanna run it up that much? I think RU is going to make this game a Ray Rice highlight tape and so how much they score depends on how much he scores. Buffalo was dogs of 30+ last yr twice and they went 1-1 ATS. They do have 18guys back but unsure how much they score in this game. I guess if they got a TD, they have a legit chance to cover.
Cal- this line is about 2 points away from em pulling the trigger. Longshore andJackson are just too tempting to take especially at home. If this drops to 3 i will likely be on it. I like this spread at Cal -3 but not sure how much higher I would go. There is the revenge factor. There is the unknowns in the passing game for Tenn at WR, Cal improved at DB position, Cal home, DB's on Tenn not good enough to stop Hawkins, Jordan, and Jackson.
CSU- 3-0ATS as a dog in the rivalry came as a dog. CSU has a big and tall defensive front that return 9 starters on both sides of the ball. You wanna taek the bufs but they start a qb who stands 5'10" and is a rfrosh. Love Hawkins but if this gets to +4 i might have to take the rams. no take here
GT-11-3 ATS in first rad gm of the year. Love GT to win SU here so the points are just a bonus. Major advantage in the trenches for GT and ND offense will look like shit vs. a veteran defense that is good. Front 7 for GT is too strong and GT running game should be able to pound away all day.
MIzzo- kinda warming up to this game at a small number. Ill is 1-5 ATS v. the tigers. I kind of like Mizzo as a team and think Illy has a little hype in their favor. If not anything else, this game is going over the total. Mizzo prob hits around 30-35 themselves.
ISU- kent is 3-8 ATS L11 openers. I kinda liek this line but would like o see 3. Ahh ISU fuked me in the opener last yr vs. the MAC, I will stay far away.
Mem-14-7 SU as a home dog since 98 as well as revenge game fro last year. I need +4 to pull the trigger or a soilid ML to hit up..Like the home dog here at +4 def.
MTSU-8-0 ATS in road openers and 6-1 ATS on road v SBC thi sis def an under the radar game lets take a look at this more carefully please. skipped
OU- NTEX is 2-11 ATS as DD dog since '03. OU has beaten SBC opp avg score of 48-6. OU is going to pound them hard, might be a 1st half play I consider.
UGA- at a TD fav @ hoem looks great. OSU is 8-22 ATS as an away dog L8 years. UGA defense is going to be tested by the Ok St offense that averaged over 200yards passing/rushing. There is no one in the UGA defensive backfield that can put a clamp on Bowman now that Oliver is gone. I think UGA is going to show a few weaknesses in this game but don't think Ok St has the defense to win this game on the road.
Toledo- as TD dogs this looks good @ home. 1-5 ATS is the stat that sticks out as Purdue has gone v. MAC teams since '02. Toledo has a vicious record at home (30-4) and they are 2-1 against Purdue. The odd thing about that record, the last time these two teams played was Tiller's first yr coaching at Purdue where they lost. Purdue is a .500 team on the road under Tiller as well and they played 2 MAC teams last yr (38-31 over Miami in OT and 38-28 over Ball St), both of which were at home. I liked Purdue to win this game but not at -7, not a chance.
Syracuse-28-8 ATS v non-conf opp since 99. I am not very high on Cuse this yr and think they are in for a long season. It is a cross country travel for Washington and they are playing in the Dome but Cuse has really nothing to be scared of on offense or defense. I think Washington can win this game by more than 3 points.
Troy-5-1 ATS in home openers and Ark very one dimensional against a defens that allowed 16 ppg last year returns 8 on D. They should be able to stay within 3 TDs I would think. I think it is very possible that Troy can stay within 3 TD's in this game. They might have enough speed on defense to at least put up a little fight vs. an offense where they know what is coming. I think Arkansas is overrated this yr and won't have the same success as last yr.
ULM- getting 6 against a first year coach and a team that resturns 11 on offense!!!!.Tulsa uis also 1-10ATS in road openers as well. Like Monroe here +points and think this game goes over. Monroe can score some points and Tulsa won't be nearly the same team they were last yr. They have a strong QB/RB combo but that new offense makes it seem like they are getting away from those strengths. They don't have much at receiver but the coach is a good one, anyone who can take Rice from 1-10 and take them to a bowl in his first yr deserves some credit.
WazzuSt-wisky is 3-8 ATS in openers and with a cougars team that should be decent 2 TDs is too much for a wisky team that bring in a new QB. no upset here but ithink we see a 31-20 final here. I think Wash St can hang within the number here as well.
please help me cap theses games with any insight or knowledge of these games. woudl liek to play 2 more games
