Week of Saturday, November 1st Plays and Analysis Thread...

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
46-25-5 +24.39 units


Well, last week was that BIG week I was looking for cashing 9.70 units. I pretty much called that Sparty-Michigan game to a tee. Lucky somewhat on the team total but with that wind Saturday I knew it was gonna be tougher or I would have added to it to be honest. The rest of the card worked out well too...


Recap:

The Marshall train had a few bumps this week. No worries, get one out of the way. They have been gravy all season.

Hunt alerted me to that Barn 1q and you just had to with a machine like that. Granted, it took till just about the very end but that is an auto-play at under a TD I would think against a defense like Scary.

Aubbie game TT is an unfortunate push perhaps? They just didn't score late and Scary couldn't get the game tied up. The bet had everything working for it though with a tight game.

LSU TT under was nice. Hunt been riding that Ole Miss defense and they are damn good inside the twenties. The only fear late was overtime. Ain't nobody got time for that.

Oregon on Friday night was just dirty. Half, game everything.

I hit Sparty at halftime again, albeit small but like I said this game played out pretty much like I thought it would. There was less Sparty air attack than I thought but again with the wind I get that. I am glad I got the 16.5 early too as that woulda been an awful loss/push for those with 17 and 17.5.

So, a great week.

This week...


I got a handful of games I am looking at and narrowing down. Obviously as we get deeper into fall it is time to really keep and eye on the weather.

GL to all this week, any thoughts or comments are appreciated as always.
 
TCU/West Virginia O74 -110 2 units



Grabbing now, I see this closing much higher. I had it coming out a lot higher than 71.5.


[TABLE="class: rt_railbox_border2, width: 100%"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]4:06pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]71.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]71.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]4:13pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]73.0 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]73.0 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]4:20pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]4:31pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]5:02pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -109[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -111[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]5:05pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -110[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
TCU/West Virginia O74 -110 2 units



Grabbing now, I see this closing much higher. I had it coming out a lot higher than 71.5.


[TABLE="class: rt_railbox_border2, width: 100%"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]4:06pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]71.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]71.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]4:13pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]73.0 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]73.0 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]4:20pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]4:31pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]5:02pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -109[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -111[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED, align: right"]5:05pm[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"][/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]TCU-5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]WVA+5.5 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -110[/TD]
[TD="class: bg2, bgcolor: #FCF7ED"]74.0 -110[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

B.A.R- weather a concern for you on this one?
 
shit man, I see 70 now. weather?


I would assume so, as it went to 73.5 Wednesday, and then I saw 72 yesterday afternoon which was 70 by late afternoon.

I am looking at weather for all my leans now and basically looks like the rain chance will have lessened by kick but maybe some wind. Defintely a factor, Gonna just have to keep tracking tomorrow into Saturday...might just be stuck with it but it can still get there...unless it gets really burly...
 
12 games looking at for TT's

A few are guaranteed and will weed out rest tomorrow into Saturday as we get releases and weather updates...
 
wvu sneaky good at home defensively. prolly my worst early action all year...ah well...lets hit the others...
 
Got lucky late with Old Domination but I'll take it..

Won 0.05 units this week...

Thoughts in next weeks thread..

48-27-5 +24.44 units
 
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