Week of 11.19

S

SportsNut

Breaking it down briefly
Monday


Denver +7 250
O180 Wash 350
O197 Bucks 400
O101 Bucks -115 TT 240
Bucks -5 200 + a reverse 50


-The over @ Wash for 2 reasons----the first being its two teams struggling on offense(both need a breakout game), putting up tons of unders , now getting their lowest total of the season. The other the crazy amount of possessions this could see when indy has allowed around 90 shots and wiz in the low 80s at times but I am not implying tempo rather opportunity due the attempts....plus it should be competitive

-The over at charlotte because of tempo and lack of defense and line seems high but just implies no HCA implied in the line imo


 
Magic +10.5 150
!st H +6 100
1st Q +3.5 100 / ml +220 50

--flu bug for orland but hoping they step up due to that
 
Ray said:
BOL SN..with you on Nuggets
Click to expand...

thanks ray, good luck to us


2nd h bucks -3.5 -105 120
" o90 wiz 450
" wiz -1 150 rev 50
" o45.5 tt wiz 140


gsw buy +6 150


lean home teams in the other 2....oh and !st h sneaks over in wash w 91 on a 90.5 total which should sucker more under money on this game....which is why I am bigg on it
 
recap


Denver +7 250
O180 Wash 350
O197 Bucks 400
O101 Bucks -115 TT 240
Bucks -5 200 + a reverse 50
1st H Wiz +1.5 100
Wiz +3 150 + rev 50
O88 Wiz tt 200
reverse over charlotte and over washington 75
Magic +10.5 150 hedged atl -5.5 for net -25
!st H +6 100
1st Q +3.5 100 / ml +220 50
gsw buy +6 150
1st Q Spurs -1.5 -115 200
Jazz buy -6 250

+1504


and Halftimes +1042
2nd h bucks -3.5 -105 120
" o90 wiz 450
" wiz -1 150 rev 50
" o45.5 tt wiz 140
2nd h denver +5.5 250 ml +220 50
o46.5 denver tt 120 (45pts)
 
SportsNut said:
lean hornets and played the laker over because it will go higher but have no idea if I keep it
Click to expand...

bailed on the laker total. was thinking the under might be worth a look w wallace back, dwill hurting and johnson inconsistent. So stuck w o208.5 -110 and u208-120 but just wanted to update that
 
Guess I panicked on the laker total but really unsure about it and paid for making an early play--though just vig really unless it lands on 208


Hornets +6 waiting though (300)---basically NY struggling w the 3 ball lately but tend to take at least 20 per. Only scored 88 vs indy and tough to not cover when opp is 28/71(nyk only 33/90).....possessions difference due to the +6 in off board and +11 turnovers....hornets allowing a bunch of points lately should be interesrting to see how the total goes....ALSO tough travel schedule last few days and ahead for knicks

o182 sixers(300) waiting though-- rematch of 11.10 which raps had a 7 pt 2nd q but now see raps offense as playing better, back then still getting right after Lowry injury IMO

SMALL LEAN Raps......no opinion on anything else

be back
 
Lowry back for raps becomes a question mark for RAPS IMO, in terms of expectations = pass on side (got stuck w some 182.5 on the total but mostly 182)

1st H Hornets +3.5 (200)
NOH +7 buy-120 400)

Reverse o182.5 and NOH +6 (75)

1st H o93 Philly (150)

player props each 100
o17.5-120 bargnani points

o18.5 -120 humphries pts+boards
 
Tuesday

decided to just keep hornets at 400.......feels like every square is running to play the knicks...guessing though

o182 sixers (180) and o182.5 sixers (120)

1st H Hornets +3.5 (200)
NOH +7 buy-120 400)

Reverse o182.5 and NOH +6 (75)

1st H o93 Philly (150)

player props each 100
o17.5-120 bargnani points

o18.5 -120 humphries pts+boards
 
+ still like o90.5 @ philly + both 3rd and 4th q over 45 each.........probably passing though...raps 3rd q and sixers 4thq as well
 
Retburj13 said:
nice call on total man

craptor sux ass...blow cover, unreal
Click to expand...

thanks , it amazes me how teams can be so clockwork and that has to be the 3rd or more time they had a 4th q meltdown costing a cover. sorry that sucks.....I only passed because of lowry's return
 
melo is on another planet with his early play this year

unreal who well they are gelling early...and making shots...gettin ray and adding Kidd has really helped them

they are bombin 3's in bushels...they may live and day by them but it is working so far

damn
 
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Retburj13 said:
melo is on another planet with his early play this year

unreal who well they are gelling early...and making shots...gettin ray and adding Kidd has really helped them

damn
Click to expand...
yeah best offensive game in past few for them and w/o a doubt melo's best road game to date....usually such a big difference w him msg to road

I hope the 4th q is a repeat of the 2nd q
 
guess I will gamble on the laker over its 208 but due to my in n out of it , for me its o208.5 -120 (250)....little bit of a chase I admit its the 2nd h that worries me...o106.5 1st h (150)...
 
this line is really strong maybe because of coach d.......think both teams have lost the odd lines when I look at it....nj starters were terrible at sac

lakers buy -6 250
1st h -3.5 -120 80
1st h o55 lakers tt 100
 
3 fouls a tad scary for kobe but it should stay competitive.........biggest concern for the over is that so many jumpers fell dwill, kobe , brook and mwp....
 
I managed to royally fuck up yesterday

WED
o181 pacers 200
o190 raptors 350 o88.5 raps tt 100
pistons +1.5 300
raps buy +3 150
o183 hawks 300
okc buy -3 250
wolves buy +4 200
lean boston bucks and mavs
reverse o190 raps and pistons +1.5 100

--buy low on hawks after ugly game and josh smith's awful game vs weak wash defense--will add hawks tt over

--follwing my over raps yesterday with the same today as that offense is coming around

--hornets playing no defense last 5 will add tt pacers (1st h tt too)

--pistons get payback as they are also gelling

--like okc mainly because felt like SAS was a team they wanted to make a point versus and tough to win the same type game consecutively away

--like how wolves have used injuries to get some returns from young players and denver has inconsistency on offense ,especially with lawson and igggy ice cold.....denver owns minny in the past so a nice spot for wolves to flip that imo

--raps because they choked and think weaker opp could yield different results


 
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made raps 200 , reverse for 75

bought cavs to +5 300.........ml parlay cavs n raps 50,cavs raps and det +1 40

o94 pacers tt 160

o98 hawks tt 160
 
decent middle opp took den ml -135 for 100 vs the wolves +4 -120 200....

hate to do it but nyk still tough spot situationally....dallas n them have played some great kinda classic games lately

mavs buy +4 200........
 
2nd H hornets +6-105 100
" o47 pacers tt-115 100....hard to win both but possible

3rdq raps +1/2 even 125

sixers -5.5 -105 80 pure hedge


also u193.5 dallas 150
 
ahhhhhhhhhh detroit !!!!!! going to be painful

Love was en fuego but pray there is value denver still at half
 
o204.5 kings 150
Kings buy +6 250

been backing kings way to much but evans n cousins played well on sun, kobe's ankle?,cousins missed last meeting......they gave away money last time they went h2h imo......no cousins and 10.5 in LA?


GERALD WALLACE OUT FOR NJ and he was active last nite on defense

o194 gsw 250


 
WED

o181 pacers 200
o190 raptors 350 o88.5 raps tt 100
pistons +1.5 300
raps buy +3 200
o183 hawks 300
okc buy -3 250

reverse o190 raps and pistons +1.5 100
reverse raps/over for 75

bought cavs to +5 300
ml parlay cavs n raps 50.......lost by 1 !! ,cavs raps and det +1 40
o94 pacers tt 160
o98 hawks tt 160
boston +1 100
bucks buy +10 200
und 192.5 houston 100
mavs buy +4 200.......
den ml -135 for 100 vs the wolves +4 -120 200....
u193.5 dallas 150

suns -2 -105 160 4th Q pk 100
o204.5 kings 150
Kings buy +6 250
o194 gsw 250

halftime plays -459 but +790 on the last 2 games


 
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