Br@ssknux
Pretty much a regular
t was a 5-10-1 week last week, and there's no doubt that I'm struggling with feel. Every time I think a team is going to have an inspired effort, the opposite happens, and teams that seemed to be due for a mad performance, due to spot or something else, all seem to just rise up and deliver perfection. Hopefully it's a phase, but the end result is another climb to coin flip status is needed now that I've fallen back 5 games under .500. It was a negative trends week too, which I mentioned at the end of last week's thread. Thanks to everyone's kind participation in these threads. Season total is 57-62-2
Boston College +7.5 WIN
Georgia Tech +10.5 LOSS
Indiana -6 WIN
Bowling Green +3 WIN
Akron +2.5 WIN
BYU +3 WIN
Texas Tech +6.5 WIN
UTSA -8 LOSS
Vanderbilt +18 WIN
UL-Monroe +7.5 LOSS
LSU +1 LOSS
Duke +11.5 WIN
Kansas +10 WIN
9-4
Friday:
1. @Boston College +7.5 v Louisville (BOL) : Back on the train with the Eagles here after they did very little right last week at Virginia Tech. I anticipate a bounce-back for BC here for a couple reasons. First, their defensive performance last week, especially against the run, seemed like a bit of an outlier. They gave up 532 yards and 9.2(!!) yards per carry last week in Blacksburg. Prior to that, BC was 38th in yards per play and 26th in yards per rush over a much bigger sample size. They are also now returning home, where they haven't lost yet this year, and Thomas Castellanos is averaging 9.2 yards per attempt in Bill O'Brien's system. That should work well against the 106th ranked pass defense that Louisville's sporting. Louiville's offense has been good, but they have found ways to be inefficient(4th down SODs). The Cards are coming off a very tough loss, and this game with Miami last week was a very rough game to bounce back from. Louisville has given up 400+ to every offense with a pulse on the schedule. If Castellanos has his average game, I think he's going to run roughshod on this Louisville defense. The Cards are also in the midst of a 1-5 run as a road favorite, a role Brohm has never been comfortable in. Also, Louisville is one of the worst placekicking teams in the country while BC hasn't missed a kick. I think this stacks up for BC, so I'll take the TD+ here.
BC was up big but lost it late. I was surprised that Louisville toughed it out to get the win. Brohm remains an awful road favorite at Louisville.
Boston College +7.5 WIN
Georgia Tech +10.5 LOSS
Indiana -6 WIN
Bowling Green +3 WIN
Akron +2.5 WIN
BYU +3 WIN
Texas Tech +6.5 WIN
UTSA -8 LOSS
Vanderbilt +18 WIN
UL-Monroe +7.5 LOSS
LSU +1 LOSS
Duke +11.5 WIN
Kansas +10 WIN
9-4
Friday:
1. @Boston College +7.5 v Louisville (BOL) : Back on the train with the Eagles here after they did very little right last week at Virginia Tech. I anticipate a bounce-back for BC here for a couple reasons. First, their defensive performance last week, especially against the run, seemed like a bit of an outlier. They gave up 532 yards and 9.2(!!) yards per carry last week in Blacksburg. Prior to that, BC was 38th in yards per play and 26th in yards per rush over a much bigger sample size. They are also now returning home, where they haven't lost yet this year, and Thomas Castellanos is averaging 9.2 yards per attempt in Bill O'Brien's system. That should work well against the 106th ranked pass defense that Louisville's sporting. Louiville's offense has been good, but they have found ways to be inefficient(4th down SODs). The Cards are coming off a very tough loss, and this game with Miami last week was a very rough game to bounce back from. Louisville has given up 400+ to every offense with a pulse on the schedule. If Castellanos has his average game, I think he's going to run roughshod on this Louisville defense. The Cards are also in the midst of a 1-5 run as a road favorite, a role Brohm has never been comfortable in. Also, Louisville is one of the worst placekicking teams in the country while BC hasn't missed a kick. I think this stacks up for BC, so I'll take the TD+ here.
BC was up big but lost it late. I was surprised that Louisville toughed it out to get the win. Brohm remains an awful road favorite at Louisville.
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