Week 9 ML Dogs
- Thread starter ProV1Colt
- Start date
booksbestfriend
On Johnny's Shitlist
BC
Wake
Purdue
Kansas???
Florida
Iowa
Kentucky
Wash St
Tulane
A&M
Wake
Purdue
Kansas???
Florida
Iowa
Kentucky
Wash St
Tulane
A&M
Conflicted about Purdue. Both them and Sparty seem to be somewhat in a letdown spot ofc Sparty is also decimated with injury and just lost its super bowl
Ground game still alive and a trick play or two but yea thats obviously a problem. Purdue clearly has more weapons on offense, whats its run D like?
Marsski
MAC Marvel
Not bad. Top 40ish....way to attack Purdue is through the air
VolsWhiskeyMaker
Pretty much a regular
TN looks like a good dog pick. No bias here or anything lol.
Can Guarantano throw as well as he did Auburn?? Watching that blew my mind comparing that performance with when I saw him last at Bama not daring anything else but five yard dump offs lol
smattharris
Pretty much a regular
Hey. What do you think about Ball this week?
Well Sparty has no air attack left because that requires at least a healthy qb and receiver lol!
What do you think about ok state?
VolsWhiskeyMaker
Pretty much a regular
Luckily South Carolina is not on the same stratosphere as Bama defensively. I think the Vols are improving and starting to have success stretching the field. Will be difficult to win in Columbia for sure.
smattharris
Pretty much a regular
I hope they pull it off. It's hard to trust them right now but I don't trust Texas either. Baylor should have beaten last game in Austin. OSU has dominated the series lately. But I really don't have a good feeling about OSU at this point. QB issues are a problem. I think Texas will find a way to win. Just a feeling.
VolsWhiskeyMaker
Pretty much a regular
I got Texas at -3 yesterday. Hoping I am on the right side of things with the Longhorns. Don't think Okie St has given a reason to take them at all even in Stillwater.
smattharris
Pretty much a regular
OSU actually has better numbers but against weaker opponents. Toss up. But I think Texas will overcome the recent OSU dominance over them. This isn't the same OSU this year. I hate to say it.
smattharris
Pretty much a regular
I wouldn't touch it with at ten foot pole.
smattharris
Pretty much a regular
Agreed
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
All I do is underrate Iowa. They are a machine.
Ok state is god awful this year. Cornelius is good for a few chunk plays but otherwise his accuracy sucks. The defense gives up big plays a lot and its linebackers can‘t tackle
smattharris
Pretty much a regular
Hey Marsski. What do you think about a Ball St. upset this week? Probably some value there after last week.
Just shocked that texas opened up at such a small number. Fwiw i think baylor would beat pokes by double digits
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
I am not conflicted by Purdue. They aren't losing this week, no way I fade this team.
smattharris
Pretty much a regular
I'm afraid after last week Purdue will be overvalued. They are pretty good and they hold statistical advantage. MSU may have let down also. But after blowout of Ohio St. I'm afraid to take them.
Historically Sparty has had problems in game after Mich especially 1h. Last year was reverse
smattharris
Pretty much a regular
Right now I would take Purdue for the reason you say and also they appear to be on a roll. A freight train right now.
Marsski
MAC Marvel
Can't see it in Athens. Ball State has similar defense, worse offense
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Think GT is a terrific bet at at +4. ML will take a special game. I guess Blacksburg is still intimidating, idk
VT has a very young D. Option on level that PJ runs it will be new for lots of them.
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Last couple of years been scheming their flow and have busted designed against grain. It's a huge game for both teams. VT should win unless their qb fails
That first sentence sounds like shumakov using google to translate from russian into english
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Haha
TahoeLegend
Pretty much a regular
Iowa, aTm, BC (If Dillon goes, and I believe he will). I think all three will win ML, but I'll be taking them with the points. Already too BC +4.
Frank Costanza
Co-Inventor of the Man's Bra
Don't count on Kansas this weekend. TCU looked to be going in to a tailspin before the Turpin thing hit the fan. Lots of apathy in Ft Worth right now.
At a very minimum that 14.5 looks mighty enticing.
At a very minimum that 14.5 looks mighty enticing.
booksbestfriend
On Johnny's Shitlist
Thanks Frank. Have not been high on TCU, and have seen Kansas play hard'er this year.
Purdue's last 4 opponents along with their rushing stats. I think the last 4 are more significant than the first 3 because that's when Brohm got into holt and they turned up the aggression on both offense and defense and more of what we'll see the rest of the season...
Boston College - 34 attempts 85 yards (2.5 per attempt)
Nebraska - 39 attempts 259 yards (6.6 per rush) - Pretty sure this shows a true dual threat QB might be purdue D's big weak spot at the moment and Nebraska is way better than most think
Illinois - 31 Attempts 69 yards (2.2 per attempt)
Ohio St - 25 attempts 76 yards (3.0 per attempt)
Boston College - 34 attempts 85 yards (2.5 per attempt)
Nebraska - 39 attempts 259 yards (6.6 per rush) - Pretty sure this shows a true dual threat QB might be purdue D's big weak spot at the moment and Nebraska is way better than most think
Illinois - 31 Attempts 69 yards (2.2 per attempt)
Ohio St - 25 attempts 76 yards (3.0 per attempt)
MSU will be in serious trouble considering its injuries at qb and wr. Dont get that immediate line movement towards Sparty but oh well don‘t need to
mcculra
Active Member
Somebody mentioned Toledo earlier...I wonder how teams generally fare ATS when they open a fave and get bet to dogs (currently +7, which is crazy). Is this something for the sqdl database guys?
I mean we’re talking about an almost 10 pt move...book’s PR cant be that far off on toledo. Inside info, wisdom of the crowd, or what?
I mean we’re talking about an almost 10 pt move...book’s PR cant be that far off on toledo. Inside info, wisdom of the crowd, or what?
Injury?
mcculra
Active Member
Only important one is starting qb for toledo is upgraded to probable...which should move the line in toledo’s favor. Im comfused...
M.W.
Parties like it's 1979
Remember, Toledo over the last 15 years has been the shadiest team in regard to shaving points/throwing games. But I don't even know whom they're playing this week., so don't listen to me.
As a WVU homer, I would have been much more worried about this if we didn't have a bye after that "shit the bed" game at Iowa State. If Grier limits turnovers, I don't think this one will be a problem though.
