Week 7 NFL Discussion
- Thread starter nbafan88
- Start date
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
P-unit.... thoughts on Diggs in dfs??? Is he healthy enough to start?
P-Unit
Beacon of Calmness
He will play. They've been fairly tight-lipped about him thought. No idea how effective he will be but he and Bradford have a nice thing going.
fwiw, VERY windy in Philly today - 25-30 MPH winds so not a great mix for throwing the ball around and probably more focused on short passes which is typically where Diggs does well.
Lexington 125
I cap it all, and I cap it well.
Ty sir
nbafan88
Pretty much a regular
no way pats would be more than -3, if that
L
Lareux
Guest
You mean NE right? Tough to see Pit having been favored, no QB is worth 9.5-10 pts in the line, and Ben is probably worth more than most.
Zeke
Big Dick and Average Size Boat
No I meant Pitt. They wouldn't have Ben dogged at home
Zeke
Big Dick and Average Size Boat
Or not. I've been off on everything else I've predicted today so why change that now
twinkie13
In transit, arriving late.
Hahahahaha
BetCrimes1984
CTG Big Brother
Might be considered a somewhat 'out there', but it is what it is. Before I introduce this stat situation, I'll provide a snap-shot of the fault-line in the history of scoring in the NFL...
Between 1970-79 on MNF
- 52 losing teams (38.2% of all losing teams) totaled 9 pts or less
- 59 games (43.4% of all games) totaled 39 pts or more
Between 1980-89 on MNF
- 32 losing teams (20.9% of all losing teams) totaled 9 pts or less
- 90 games (58.8% of all games) totaled 39 pts or more
Once the 1980's rolled around (1980 being just the 3rd year in which the 16-game regular season had been in existence), the league saw a significant increase in scoring (which the snapshot of MNF stats above accurately evinces), thus it's fair to say that decade marks the beginning of the modern era of the NFL. So, with that established -
In the history of the modern era of the NFL (36 completed seasons), there has never been a season before now in which the MNF time-slot saw 7 games come & go without featuring a game in which a losing team put up a team total between 17-31 pts. The 7 MNF losers so far this season have put up scores of 16, 0, 14, 32, 10, 14 & 3 pts.
To put this 17-31 pt loser scoring range in some sort of context: 42.8% of all losers from the other primetime games (TNF & SNF) this season have put up scores within this range & 49.0% of all losers from all non-MNF games played so far this season have put up scores within this range.
The picture painted from all of the above is rather clear: this is a highly unusual 'drought' to be taking place. The most obvious option this relates to for the coming game is the Texans TT: lined @14.5, this drought ending precludes the under option cashing. With the full game total lined 40.5 there's slightly more scope for the under to come in, but only at the very lowest end of the loser's score range (17-19 pts). The Texans have conceded plenty in their 2 losses (27 & 31 pts) while the Broncos have conceded at least 17 pts in 3 of their 4 wins (the only exception vs. a non-conference opponent).
Just food for thought, take it fwiw.
Between 1970-79 on MNF
- 52 losing teams (38.2% of all losing teams) totaled 9 pts or less
- 59 games (43.4% of all games) totaled 39 pts or more
Between 1980-89 on MNF
- 32 losing teams (20.9% of all losing teams) totaled 9 pts or less
- 90 games (58.8% of all games) totaled 39 pts or more
Once the 1980's rolled around (1980 being just the 3rd year in which the 16-game regular season had been in existence), the league saw a significant increase in scoring (which the snapshot of MNF stats above accurately evinces), thus it's fair to say that decade marks the beginning of the modern era of the NFL. So, with that established -
In the history of the modern era of the NFL (36 completed seasons), there has never been a season before now in which the MNF time-slot saw 7 games come & go without featuring a game in which a losing team put up a team total between 17-31 pts. The 7 MNF losers so far this season have put up scores of 16, 0, 14, 32, 10, 14 & 3 pts.
To put this 17-31 pt loser scoring range in some sort of context: 42.8% of all losers from the other primetime games (TNF & SNF) this season have put up scores within this range & 49.0% of all losers from all non-MNF games played so far this season have put up scores within this range.
The picture painted from all of the above is rather clear: this is a highly unusual 'drought' to be taking place. The most obvious option this relates to for the coming game is the Texans TT: lined @14.5, this drought ending precludes the under option cashing. With the full game total lined 40.5 there's slightly more scope for the under to come in, but only at the very lowest end of the loser's score range (17-19 pts). The Texans have conceded plenty in their 2 losses (27 & 31 pts) while the Broncos have conceded at least 17 pts in 3 of their 4 wins (the only exception vs. a non-conference opponent).
Just food for thought, take it fwiw.
C-MAN
Pretty much a regular
Hou has been blown out on the road against 2 good teams. Den is also a good team. Os does not pass the eye test right now. He has really struggled against some mediocre defenses (see last week vs. Indy). Even with the extra motivation, I would be shocked if Den does not win in convincing fashion tonight.
