Rice is still looking like a good candidate for me.
UAB's schedule has been pretty poor to date and for a team that won 19 games combined the last 2 years, they are off fairly substantially so far this year.  The OL is probably their biggest weakness and banged up, allowing pressure and not creating holes.  They lost 7 of their top 9 tacklers and while the D has done well so far, they have faced Bama St, Akron, South Bama and WKU - some of the worst teams around.
Rice has played Army, WF, Texas, Baylor and LaTech and they played most pretty tough.  Might they be beat up and running a little empty here?  I am worried about that, but they have bye on deck so I think they go out strong to try and bag a win before the break.  There is growth in the Owls team this year compared to UAB's decline.