Just running down the list of home dogs to try and find some attractive ones. Oregon State is another potentially. They play better at home and have a decent HD record.
This year they did get their doors blown off +6 losing 14-35 vs Arizona.
Beavers haven't been good for a while, so comparing the 2018 team to some recent years seems applicable since they had some coaching turnover for those games as well.
Oregon State was 2-2 ATS as a HD last year and came up 4 pts short of pulling 2 upsets. They lost 42-7 +27 vs Washington, although that game was just 7-0 HT (UW was starting road games slow last year, but still strange to see a strong team like UW only lead 7-0 vs a weaker team like OSU). After Anderson resigned they were +10 vs Colorado and lost 33-36 and played some inspired football and could've won that game. The next week they played Stanford without Love and nearly pulled that upset as well +21 losing 14-15. Then they lost to Arizona State 24-40 +7, nothing positive there ASU beat them pretty good with OSU getting 14 pts in garbage time.
In 2016 OSU was 4-1 ATS as a HD. They beat a Davis Webb Cal team in OT 47-44 +13.5. Only lost 14-19 +7 vs a ranked Utah team. That game was just 12-7 Utes with 5min left, Utah recovered a fumble at the O11 to get up 19-7 before OSU scored late. Utah only outgained them by 20 yards. Washington STate came in 6-2 and 5-0 in PAC12. That game was just 35-31 with OSU +14. Beavs actually led 21-0, 24-21 and 31-28 before falling. And in the Civil War, OSU was +3 and beat a reeling Ducks team 34-24.
That makes 6-4 ATS the last 2+ years with two outright upsets (Cal, Oregon) and a few points short of potentially four other upsets (Colorado, Stanford, Utah, Wash St).
Oregon State has got off to some unfortunate slow starts this year and then was able to rack up points and yards after being behind. That needs to change and it continues to be a point of discussion. There would be ways to address this, the staff and team has been unable to do so.
Beavs should be able to run the ball. Their Fr RB Jefferson is 2nd in the nation with 727 yards.
Oregon State isn't good by any stretch, but they also are not quite as bad as perception might be. They started slow vs ASU and got in a hole, but were able to keep their head in the game and cut it to 7 in the 2nd qrt. They were SOD at the A06 in the 3rd. A TD there and it is a 7 pt game again. There isn't much positive to take from the Arizona game, I think alot of people were surprised OSU didn't compete better in that one. They lost to Nevada, but they had 540 yards, nearly 200 more yards than Nevada and lost on a missed 34y FG as time expired.
Injury update - looks like Jake Luton is still limited in practice. He did not travel to ASU last week. OSU is a better team with him at QB. Blount is servicable just less upside. Blount has played in every game this year and a few last year. Blount currently is a 65% passer with a 7-1 TD-INT ratio.
Oregon State has one of the worst run defenses around. Washington State doesn't try to run it much, a point that came up in a Mike Leach press conference this week which Leach answered in typical fashion. It may be somewhat reassuring that WSU isn't as interested or equipped to exploiting one of the worst aspects of OSU's team. WSU is very good throwing it around as always so chances are they will be fine moving the ball in their preferred method of choice. Getting WSU off the field is going to be tough. Will need some Reser Stadium magic. It's happened before.
