Week 6 in the FCS

Try to bet 1k on a FCS game
They only let me bet 500

Going to try to parlay it with some huge ML

WIll see if they let me do that

Got a window hog holding me up
 
Tennessee Tech at this point in the season is still mysterious to me because last week's result was so totally unexpected. 52 pts at GW with 414y of O a week after only scoring 24 (one TD scored by D) and just 314y vs Tenn State. It was run game. 340y on 42 att as they clearly do not want Potts to have to win them games (only 5 of 10 last week and he was under 50% 2 weeks ago). TTU D is pretty good at getting negative plays. Think there may be some value on SC State though. Books obviously didn't see the TTU result coming either as they were dogged 4.5 at GW, now home to host SC State and 8.5 pt fav. TTU did win 28-7 last year (7-7 HT) as a 4pt road dog. SC State is better than they were last year, new coach, new QB, new competitiveness - pulled away from A&T 2H last week and finished +215 total yards, weren't awful vs Ga So despite score being what it was and beat Citadel and led FAMU 18-7. I think I like what SC State has going and it appears their run D is pretty good (Ga So only 140y on 33att as their worst statistical game on the ground for the D).

Think I also like Wofford at something 10 and above. A softer D in Western Carolina compared to a stifling D in Mercer is going to help. Not that the WCU D is bad, it is better than last year I think, but Mercer is just a different level of D, one of the best in the country. So Wofford should have some breathing room to operate on O as they have every other game this year. Good enough passing game to stay in games and their D, nothing wrong with it last week. Mercer only gained 287y (4.3). Western Carolina O is always a concern to go against. They have played their best vs the best (NC State and Montana) - vs Elon and Campbell however that O looked very ordinary. WCU only beat them by 3 last year and WCU O was better and Wofford was worse last year.
 
s--k said:
At @carolinablue I thought you were back playing at MB?
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I was until they screwed me out of my referral bonus by claiming I was not recreational and was winning too much to receive a bonus. Posted about it in my thread and on the sportsbook thread. Entertaining read if I do say so myself haha.

Once my pending 2 unit SMU game total wraps over there I’m gonna withdraw all my cash and call it a day with them.
 
No go on the parlay.

Going to go to the kiosk in a few minutes

Will see if I can get myself kicked out before the games even start today
 
Lets give them props for having every thing Fanduel has on FCS at 8am

and having ticket writers available before 8am when I got here
 
Going to be running out of time here once lines start coming out.

Sounds crazy I know given what we saw last week with these two teams, South Dakota and Murray State, Murray according to box score wasn't that bad last week. I mean the D was just nonexistent for Murray but they scored TDs on 3 of their first 4 with all being 70+y drives. It was only 24-21 2Q before Murray had a blk'd punt, then a muffed punt for 14 pts on just 29y of O for UND and add a pick-six for them and the final went 72-35 for UND. And a similar thing could happen this week because South Dakota proved to be a beast last week. I'll see how high this line can get and decide if Murray is worth a stab.

Want to play Central Arkansas hopefully at some good number. ACU is ok and all, but their D really is not. Utah Tech's O of all teams had a field day vs them (30 pts and 508y). UCA is a strong team. Being they are on the road here I am hoping for a reasonable number like 3? (Massey) but will probably be higher as Sagarin shows 10

I already played some ETSU before they were favored
 
Presbyterian can score. Trailed Davidson 0-14 last week, then threw a 78y pick-six the other way. But they got back in that game to 10/11 pts in the 2H. 37 pts and 494 (7.3) there. 322 but 6.3 ypp on GW. San Diego is a quality Pioneer team, but if this line is as big as Massey has it (19.5) that is range I would consider Presbyterian. And his Over looks low at 55.5. Every Presbyterian game but one goes over that number. San Diego is off two straight overs of their own. They play more D than Presbyterian, but their O should operate a little better this week as well. So could be an Over game. Last year stayed Under and San Diego won by 10 with the total combined yardage being 465. Presbyterian O was not as high scoring last season.

I played Idaho State on the ML. The surprising thing, they are actually playing some D at Idaho State this year! Not so much at UND a couple weeks back, but scores are being kept down more than last year. Montana St only had 17 heading into the 4Q and they scored their final TD with :00 so a little misleading on the 37 allowed. SUU scored a TD in the final seconds as well 2 weeks ago, so a little misleading on the 28 allowed there. Cal Poly had fun last week, but think it's harder for them this week and they actually face an offense with a pulse here, so Idaho State should get this win.
 
I like these MB limits

All books should be like this
 

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carolinablue said:
Feels like there were more opportunities to pounce on fcs lines last season
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Do you know, these books, they use a line service? Is Fan Duel actually creating their own? Sometimes it seems that Massey is just copied at open, or seemed that way at times before. Fan Duel has been so early on some of their numbers, putting out games sometimes on Wednesday that leads me to think they are creating their own whereas the offshores have a service providing them with lines? Not sure how it works. I thought it could be a third party because when Heritage or MB or Bovada has live FCS games they are typically all the same ones, never all of them, just select ones so somebody I think is providing them the service on that data and that data only or else they would be offering different live games. All that to say, if Fan Duel is releasing their own numbers, yes, they are definitely sharper than the FCS lines I saw come out first at BM last year on Saturday mornings.
 
Also another nice benefit of BetFred is they don't have tip boxes for the ticket writers.

They must pay their employees enough that they don't need to beg bettors for more money
 
The staff here at the condo complex is home for the weekend so I don't feel guilty doing the football thing today. I'm glad as they deserved some time off. I may have to leave at some point today. Rigged two TVs up here to stream games though
 
BetRivers actually has 57.5 on the Delaware-Monmouth total, huh
 
sleepy said:
They don’t allow anyone to bet there. Cut me limits to $3 max. Line will probably stay that all day.
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I remember that last year. They only limit me on MLs. I bet $50 on dog MLs typically and they limited that to some ridiculous amount like you say.
 
But I'm not in a legal state so can't really use them today anyway unless I have a surrogate do it for me
 
It's so anticlimactic when Heritage puts out their first 2 FCS lines - come on get on with it
 
My wife will be back from her class at the y around 1030am and then we are headed to the mall around 11, so fully expect lines to be released at 11:01.
 
MB must not get a lot of action? Yale/CCSU was 22 this morning. Line comes out at BM and then immediately gets bet down when it was over 3 TDs for hours at MB
 
Columbia as 3.5 for a quick minute, down to 1.5 now. They shouldn't be dogged at home really this year where these two teams are at
 
s--k said:
MB must not get a lot of action? Yale/CCSU was 22 this morning. Line comes out at BM and then immediately gets bet down when it was over 3 TDs for hours at MB
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The way they limit players, I'm sure they don't.
 
I'd be interesting playing some of the Dll games in the future but MB always just has the ML and total. One week night they had spreads I think, but Saturday it's just MLs
 
carolinablue said:
Closest we have is Harrah’s Cherokee which is 3 1/2 hour drive from me and I have yet to make the trip as I can’t justify a 7 hour round trip.
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I go to River Valley which is about 1:45. So 3:30 round trip. It gets old pretty fast.
 
All 3 of Delaware's QBs started last year due to injuries. They are all capable. One guy, is more of a runner than a thrower
 
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