E.T.G.
One of trus baby mommas
5 Unit Plays: 0-0
4 Unit Plays: 1-0
3 Unit Plays: 3-4
2 Unit Plays: 10-6
1 Unit Plays: 5-6
Plays of the Wk: 0-0
SoCar Games: 2-1
Totals: 2-2
Overall: 19-16 +6.5units
SC Season Wins O7 (3-1) 3.6 to Win 3.
Wk 1: 1-5 -10.05units
Wk 2: 7-2 +13.2units
Wk 3: 4-4 +1.2units
Wk 4: 7-5 +2.15units
Aight basically, I think I won't be betting all my games on Sunday/Monday unless the line is just very off imo, I need to make better decisions and thats the bottom line.
Memphis @ Arky St -6: This is a rematch of a game that was postponed due to weather if I am not mistaken. Memphis is off a beat down from UCF while Arky St is off a loss to Tennessee. This is a revenge game for Memphis and Arky St has already taken down 1 C-USA team (SMU). I think the home team will win this game and they should have a lot of success running the ball, Memphis gave up 300+ on the ground to UCF.
SoMiss @ Boise -6: This is a very interesting matchup. Boise is still one of the top teams in the WAC and SoMiss is one of the top teams from C-USA. This game is on the blue turf where it is rare to see Boise lose. Both of these teams are coming off bye weeks to prepare for this game. Boise imo, has the better defense, home field, and better rushing attack.
WVU - 6 @ USF: A matchup of unbeaten teams. This is a huge revenge game for WVU. The thing about USF is that they have a lot speed and they matchup rather well vs. WVU. At the end of the day, WVU has a lot more options on offense + revenge and that is the only way I lean right now.
Notre Dame @ Purdue -17: Purdue is really going to try and beat the crap out of ND and they should find a lot of success in doing so. Teams continue to pound the rock on ND which they can't stop but in this game their secondary will get tested. The thing that keeps me off this game is that I refuse to be ND's first ATS victim.
Cuse -6 @ Miami Oh: Is Cuse really about to win B2B games? I am certain of one thing, Miami is a terrible team. They get this game at home and that is all they have going for them. At the end of the day, how much do you trust Cuse with road chalk after a huge win?
Cal @ Oregon -4, Under 74: Great matchup of what should be two top 10 teams. Common sense says that this game will be a 41-40 game with both offenses scoring at will. I am looking for an inflated total and hope one or both of these teams plays a little bit of defense. This is a revenge game for Oregon. Oregon like to run the ball a lot and Cal has the better run defense. Cal like to throw the ball a lot and Oregon has the better pass defense.
Maryland @ RU -10: Rutgers hasn't played anyone yet but they do like the run the ball and that will cause Maryland all types of problems. RU is coming off a bye with 2 weeks to prepare for Maryland while Maryland was busy blowing 24-3 leads and losing in OT.
MSU @ Wisky -6: I don't have much interest in this game because I don't think much of the B10 and think either one of these teams can win this game.
Bama -3 @ FSU: This is actually a neutral field in Jacksonville but anyway, I thought FSU would finally get the offense working and they have not. Bama is coming off of an emotional loss in OT vs. UGA but Saban should be able to get the boys up to play. I like Bama SU hee to bounce back from the loss.FSU has had 2 weeks to prepare.
Auburn @ UF -13: Maybe I over shot this spread, maybe I did not. I know UF's recent game vs. Ole Miss helps the spread. Auburn is in bad shape right now and they are heading to the Swamp where I am pretty sure Meyer is undefeated. I think UF rebounds well in this game.
Flor ATL @ UK -15, Over 56: I am liking the over here. I think it should hit fairly easy because I don't expect FAU to slow down Kentucky and I think FAU should be able to add some points of their own. Big game with SC on deck so there is a possible look-ahead.
Ole Piss @ UGA -13: Georgia got some momentum from the OT win and they don't really have any time for losses in the SEC. I think UGA should be able to throw on Ole Piss which will result in some points.
Oky -20 @ Colroado, Over 60: I think if the number is decent, I will settle with the over here. I think Oky is on a mission and that mission = 45+ points/game.
Clemsux -6 @ GT: This is a revenge game for GT but in my mind this team has been exposed. Clemson will not go away from Spiller/Davis until some team out there stops them and that won't be for a little bit. Clemson defense can force Bennett into some mistakes. What was looking like a promising season at 2-0 is now a season on the brink of disaster at 2-2 for GT. I have concerns bout Tammy keeping the team focused but they are certainly the better team.
ULL @ UCF -13: Central Florida gets this game at home and they seem to have an offensive game plan that is working. Kevin Smith is a very good back and ULL defense has been abused week in week out. This is a home team with a better rushing game and better overall defense. UCF has to stop the option and force ULL to throw and that is where they run into significant problems.
BYU -6 @ NM, Over 54: BYU got things rolling in their conference win over AF but NM has quietly moved to 3-1 with wins over NMST and Arizona which is a common opponent of both teams. Both teams want to get the ball in the air which could lead to a lot of points here. BYU put the hurt on NM last yr at home. NM has a little more balance on offense and the Tulsa game really puts a scare in me about the BYU defensive backs. BYU is now 0-2 on the road as well. Just some things to think about there. I lean to the over more strongly than a side.
ECU @ Houston -10: I thought ECU would do a little bit better vs. WVU but whatever. Houston some how pulled out a win and a cover vs. CSU after going down big but they are explosive on offense as shown in that game. A lack of rushing attack is going to hurt ECU here. Houston has balance on offense and a lot of team speed.
UAB @ Tulsa -12: I think what Paul Smith and the Tulsa offense are doing is pretty impressive. Preseason, I had no idea what to expect from them and thought they would be hurting w/out Tennial. This team has no problem airing it out 60+ times a game. The no huddle offense and a lot of passing keeps the game longer and the ability to cover the spread has longer to work out. UAB is miserable on both sides of the ball. I just hope Tulsa is not too physically beaten up after Oky came through.
EMU @ Vandy -15: Hmmm, Vandy laying a big spread? EMU is a little MAC team going to collect a big pay-day here, thats all. They should be content with their season already, they doubled last years win total. Vandy had a bye but I doubt they spent it preparing for EMU.
UNLV @ Nevada -3: You Vegas guys should know a lot more bout this game than I do. I know Nevada under Ault is a very tough at home. Nevada beat the piss out of UNLV last yr and UNLV just shutout Utah 27-0. I am a little confused how UCLA gets romped by Utah and than they get shutout to UNLV. You can run on Nevada but UNLV doesn't like to run the ball enough to seriously take advantage of that.
Pitt @ UVA -6: Picking on the weak here. Pitt off a disturbing loss to UConn and UVA off a big home win over GT. I will stay with the team who has momentum and plays well at home.
4 Unit Plays: 1-0
3 Unit Plays: 3-4
2 Unit Plays: 10-6
1 Unit Plays: 5-6
Plays of the Wk: 0-0
SoCar Games: 2-1
Totals: 2-2
Overall: 19-16 +6.5units
SC Season Wins O7 (3-1) 3.6 to Win 3.
Wk 1: 1-5 -10.05units
Wk 2: 7-2 +13.2units
Wk 3: 4-4 +1.2units
Wk 4: 7-5 +2.15units
Aight basically, I think I won't be betting all my games on Sunday/Monday unless the line is just very off imo, I need to make better decisions and thats the bottom line.
Memphis @ Arky St -6: This is a rematch of a game that was postponed due to weather if I am not mistaken. Memphis is off a beat down from UCF while Arky St is off a loss to Tennessee. This is a revenge game for Memphis and Arky St has already taken down 1 C-USA team (SMU). I think the home team will win this game and they should have a lot of success running the ball, Memphis gave up 300+ on the ground to UCF.
SoMiss @ Boise -6: This is a very interesting matchup. Boise is still one of the top teams in the WAC and SoMiss is one of the top teams from C-USA. This game is on the blue turf where it is rare to see Boise lose. Both of these teams are coming off bye weeks to prepare for this game. Boise imo, has the better defense, home field, and better rushing attack.
WVU - 6 @ USF: A matchup of unbeaten teams. This is a huge revenge game for WVU. The thing about USF is that they have a lot speed and they matchup rather well vs. WVU. At the end of the day, WVU has a lot more options on offense + revenge and that is the only way I lean right now.
Notre Dame @ Purdue -17: Purdue is really going to try and beat the crap out of ND and they should find a lot of success in doing so. Teams continue to pound the rock on ND which they can't stop but in this game their secondary will get tested. The thing that keeps me off this game is that I refuse to be ND's first ATS victim.
Cuse -6 @ Miami Oh: Is Cuse really about to win B2B games? I am certain of one thing, Miami is a terrible team. They get this game at home and that is all they have going for them. At the end of the day, how much do you trust Cuse with road chalk after a huge win?
Cal @ Oregon -4, Under 74: Great matchup of what should be two top 10 teams. Common sense says that this game will be a 41-40 game with both offenses scoring at will. I am looking for an inflated total and hope one or both of these teams plays a little bit of defense. This is a revenge game for Oregon. Oregon like to run the ball a lot and Cal has the better run defense. Cal like to throw the ball a lot and Oregon has the better pass defense.
Maryland @ RU -10: Rutgers hasn't played anyone yet but they do like the run the ball and that will cause Maryland all types of problems. RU is coming off a bye with 2 weeks to prepare for Maryland while Maryland was busy blowing 24-3 leads and losing in OT.
MSU @ Wisky -6: I don't have much interest in this game because I don't think much of the B10 and think either one of these teams can win this game.
Bama -3 @ FSU: This is actually a neutral field in Jacksonville but anyway, I thought FSU would finally get the offense working and they have not. Bama is coming off of an emotional loss in OT vs. UGA but Saban should be able to get the boys up to play. I like Bama SU hee to bounce back from the loss.FSU has had 2 weeks to prepare.
Auburn @ UF -13: Maybe I over shot this spread, maybe I did not. I know UF's recent game vs. Ole Miss helps the spread. Auburn is in bad shape right now and they are heading to the Swamp where I am pretty sure Meyer is undefeated. I think UF rebounds well in this game.
Flor ATL @ UK -15, Over 56: I am liking the over here. I think it should hit fairly easy because I don't expect FAU to slow down Kentucky and I think FAU should be able to add some points of their own. Big game with SC on deck so there is a possible look-ahead.
Ole Piss @ UGA -13: Georgia got some momentum from the OT win and they don't really have any time for losses in the SEC. I think UGA should be able to throw on Ole Piss which will result in some points.
Oky -20 @ Colroado, Over 60: I think if the number is decent, I will settle with the over here. I think Oky is on a mission and that mission = 45+ points/game.
Clemsux -6 @ GT: This is a revenge game for GT but in my mind this team has been exposed. Clemson will not go away from Spiller/Davis until some team out there stops them and that won't be for a little bit. Clemson defense can force Bennett into some mistakes. What was looking like a promising season at 2-0 is now a season on the brink of disaster at 2-2 for GT. I have concerns bout Tammy keeping the team focused but they are certainly the better team.
ULL @ UCF -13: Central Florida gets this game at home and they seem to have an offensive game plan that is working. Kevin Smith is a very good back and ULL defense has been abused week in week out. This is a home team with a better rushing game and better overall defense. UCF has to stop the option and force ULL to throw and that is where they run into significant problems.
BYU -6 @ NM, Over 54: BYU got things rolling in their conference win over AF but NM has quietly moved to 3-1 with wins over NMST and Arizona which is a common opponent of both teams. Both teams want to get the ball in the air which could lead to a lot of points here. BYU put the hurt on NM last yr at home. NM has a little more balance on offense and the Tulsa game really puts a scare in me about the BYU defensive backs. BYU is now 0-2 on the road as well. Just some things to think about there. I lean to the over more strongly than a side.
ECU @ Houston -10: I thought ECU would do a little bit better vs. WVU but whatever. Houston some how pulled out a win and a cover vs. CSU after going down big but they are explosive on offense as shown in that game. A lack of rushing attack is going to hurt ECU here. Houston has balance on offense and a lot of team speed.
UAB @ Tulsa -12: I think what Paul Smith and the Tulsa offense are doing is pretty impressive. Preseason, I had no idea what to expect from them and thought they would be hurting w/out Tennial. This team has no problem airing it out 60+ times a game. The no huddle offense and a lot of passing keeps the game longer and the ability to cover the spread has longer to work out. UAB is miserable on both sides of the ball. I just hope Tulsa is not too physically beaten up after Oky came through.
EMU @ Vandy -15: Hmmm, Vandy laying a big spread? EMU is a little MAC team going to collect a big pay-day here, thats all. They should be content with their season already, they doubled last years win total. Vandy had a bye but I doubt they spent it preparing for EMU.
UNLV @ Nevada -3: You Vegas guys should know a lot more bout this game than I do. I know Nevada under Ault is a very tough at home. Nevada beat the piss out of UNLV last yr and UNLV just shutout Utah 27-0. I am a little confused how UCLA gets romped by Utah and than they get shutout to UNLV. You can run on Nevada but UNLV doesn't like to run the ball enough to seriously take advantage of that.
Pitt @ UVA -6: Picking on the weak here. Pitt off a disturbing loss to UConn and UVA off a big home win over GT. I will stay with the team who has momentum and plays well at home.
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