• PICK CLUB Starts WEEK 2. Please pick ALL games for this year's contest!

WEEK 4

bookieassassin

bookieassassin

Pretty much a regular
ONE UNIT

USC -13'/14'
TCU -3'
Iowa -1

smaller
Louisville -15 1H
S Ala -14
Wisky -6'
JMU -10'/9'
-------------------
WMU +14
UNC +7
Kenn St +7
ECU +7'


LEANS

SOUTH CAROLINA
UTAH
KANSAS
TENN

ULL
Temple
UNLV
LOUISVILLE
BUFFALO
Auburn?
UConn?
Memphis?
Nebraska
NIU
WKU?
LA TECH
UTEP
SDSU ??
 
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NOT A LINE GUESS...
>> what the line should be, irrespective of wagering, injuries, and the SPOT

eg. this week I (would have) given you:
* OU -30 @ Tulane- now 22'/23 ..... horrible spot for OU > incredible overreaction?
* Georgia -2 ....opened at 6' - it's only gonna drop...SP+ has Vols favored
* Michigan -32 ...now 27'...Huskers on deck, HC out

NOTE: I'll update a bit each day - will try to adjust lines AFTER this week's games
>> these are raw, unadjusted numbers (since early) .....eg. Mizzou should probably be more than 3 / USC more than 18'

*updated lines will be in bold



THURS 9/18

RICE -6'
7:30 p.m.
CHARLOTTE


FRI 9/19

TULSA
7:00 p.m.
OKLAHOMA ST -12
T- Navy/Tulane ...OSU LOSS > BYE/Baylor
>> OSU 23-0 at home / TU covered last 2

IOWA -3
8:00 p.m.
RUTGERS
I - UMass/ Indy ...R- FCS/@ Minny
>> Iowa 22/30 RF ...12/15 as B10 <3 fav


SAT 9/20

NORTH TEXAS
12:00 p.m.
ARMY -2'
NT- Wazzu/SAla ...A- KSU W! > bye/@ECU (5)

SMU
12:00 p.m.
TCU -6
* Ponies won LY 66-42/Sonny EJECTED!
$ RT was covered 7/10

LOUISIANA -10
12:00 p.m.
EASTERN MICHIGAN
* ULL QB OFY

TEMPLE
12:00 p.m.
GEORGIA TECH -23'

NORTH CAROLINA
12:00 p.m.
UCF -5
* UNC- fcs/BYE ...UCF- bye/@KSU

UNLV -7
12:00 p.m.
MIAMI, OH
* UNLV - DOUBLE BYE ...M- bye/FCS

BYU -8
12:00 p.m.
EAST CAROLINA
* BYU- bye/@ Col ... ECU- @ CC/Army (5)

FLORIDA
12:00 p.m.
MIAMI, FL -7
*F- @ LSU/BYE ... M- USF/BYE

BOWLING GREEN
12:00 p.m.
LOUISVILLE -25
* L- bye/PITT

SYRACUSE
12:00 p.m.
CLEMSON -16
*C- @ GT/BYE

ILLINOIS
12:00 p.m.
INDIANA -4
*ILL- WMU/USC ...IN- FCS/IOWA

NC STATE
12:00 p.m.
DUKE -2
* NCST- TH-WF/VT ...D- @ Tul/@ Cuse

KENT ST
12:00 p.m.
FLORIDA ST -42
* F- bye/@ Va

TOLEDO -13
12:00 p.m.
WESTERN MICHIGAN

TROY
12:00 p.m.
BUFFALO -3
*T- Mem/BYE ...B- @ Kent St/UConn

MARYLAND
12:00 p.m.
WISCONSIN -8
*M- FCS/BYE ...W- @ ALABAMA/bye
$ LF 5-6 ats off SU loss

COASTAL CAROLINA
12:00 p.m.
SOUTH ALABAMA -15
*SA- @ Aub/@ NTX

UAB
12:45 p.m.
TENNESSEE -35
* T- GA/ @ Miss St

UTSA -4
2:00 p.m.
COLORADO ST
* UTSA 13/35 NC games

WYOMING
2:00 p.m.
COLORADO -16
*C- @ Hou -Fri/BYU

TEXAS TECH
2:00 p.m.
UTAH -4
* TT- Oreg St/BYE ...U- @ Wyo/@ WV

OREGON ST
3:00 p.m.
OREGON -35
*OSU- @TT/Hou ...O- @NW/@ PENN ST

AUBURN
3:30 p.m.
OKLAHOMA -5
*A- SALA/ @ A&M damn ...OU- @ Temple/BYE > Texas
$ OU won 27-21 LY

TULANE
3:30 p.m.
OLE MISS -14
*T- Duke/@ Tulsa ...M- Ark/LSU!

WEST VIRGINIA
3:30 p.m.
KANSAS -10
*WV- Pitt/UTAH... K- @Mizz L > BYE /Cinn

ARIZONA ST
3:30 p.m.
BAYLOR -3
*ASU- TXST/TCU ...FCS/@ OSU

MICHIGAN ST
3:30 p.m.
USC -18
*M- FCS/BYE ...U- @Purdue/@ Illinois (fade)

BALL ST
3:30 p.m.
UCONN -24
*B- fcs/BYE ...UC- @ Del/@ Buff

ARKANSAS -4
3:30 p.m.
MEMPHIS
*A- @ OLE MISS/ NOTRE DAME ...@ Troy/FAU

MICHIGAN -2
3:30 p.m.
NEBRASKA
*M- CMU/BYE ...N- FCS/BYE

PURDUE
3:30 p.m.
NOTRE DAME -25
*USC/BYE ... ND- A&M/@ Ark

STANFORD
3:30 p.m.
VIRGINIA -17
*S- BColl/SJSU ...V- FCS/ Fla St

SOUTH CAROLINA
3:30 p.m.
MISSOURI -5
*SC- Vandy/Kent ...M- ULL/UMASS!

NIU
4:15 p.m.
MISSISSIPPI ST -20'
*N- bye/SDSU ...M- FCS/TENN

FRESNO ST -3
6:00 p.m.
HAWAII

JAMES MADISON -13
6:00 p.m.
LIBERTY
* JMU- BYE/GASO ...L- @BG/@ODU
$ flames are gonna get killed

ARKANSAS ST -5
6:00 p.m.
KENNESAW ST
* ASU- Iowa St/ULM ...KSU- FCS/MTS

DELAWARE
6:00 p.m.
FIU -5

NEVADA
7:00 p.m.
WKU -12?

BOISE ST -10
7:00 p.m.
AIR FORCE
* B- bye/App St ...AF- @ Utah St/Hawaii

MARSHALL -1?
7:00 p.m.
MIDDLE TENNESSEE

SOUTHERN MISS
7:30 p.m.
LOUISIANA TECH -2'

WASHINGTON -20'
7:30 p.m.
WASHINGTON ST
*W- bye/OHIO STATE ... Wazzu- @ NTX/@ Col St

GEORGIA ST
7:30 p.m.
VANDERBILT -27'
GSU - FCS/bye ...V- @ SCaro/Utah St
$$ GSU WON LY

SAM HOUSTON ST
8:00 p.m.
TEXAS -40
* T- UTEP/BYE

ULM
9:00 p.m.
UTEP -5
* ULM- bye/Ark St ...UTEP- @TX/LT

CALIFORNIA -13
10:30 p.m.
SAN DIEGO ST
*C- Minny/@BC ...SDSU- L>bye/ @ NIU
 
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Always great to see you staying one step ahead as it's what has worked so well for me over the years. Makes it easy to strike quickly as all the work is done in advance, not on the fly. Best of luck the rest of the way!
 
carolinablue said:
Always great to see you staying one step ahead as it's what has worked so well for me over the years. Makes it easy to strike quickly as all the work is done in advance, not on the fly. Best of luck the rest of the way!
Click to expand...

Yep it's incredible how fast these lines move now ....used to take a few days (seemingly) to cross key numbers
>> it's killing me to miss out on Circa/FD/DK openers (Texas)

The game has changed quite a bit, from the horrible numbers BOL, or 5Dimes released back in the day ......
 
bookieassassin said:
Yep it's incredible how fast these lines move now ....used to take a few days (seemingly) to cross key numbers
>> it's killing me to miss out on Circa/FD/DK openers (Texas)

The game has changed quite a bit, from the horrible numbers BOL, or 5Dimes released back in the day ......
Click to expand...
Man, those days of true first to market early lines at BOL along with the beauty of Pinnacle and 5D…If I knew then what I know now….could use that for quite a few things in my life haha.
 
bookieassassin said:
Never too early....

By far, the best way is to stay 2-3 weeks ahead:
Click to expand...
This is so true........makes me remember the days when I had the time not to be butter knife dull (like I am these days).....I had a standard line I would tell my gambling buddies all the time............if you don't have a very good idea who you are going to bet (college openers) by mid-morning Sunday, you are late
 
added smaller at MB

USC -14'


* might /should add to this later...have no idea how they keep pace here - line should be 17'/18 - close 20/21


EDIT: bumping it up at 13'
 
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SMU is .....not very good
>> data wise - the nation's worst performance week 1 vs mighty East Texas State (sic) - lost to Baylor at home, allowing 600 yards- now just off a life/death struggle with Mizzou State. OL stinks, talent at WR/RB, and on D seems to be down this year. Frogs are the opposite - much improved, rested and ready to kick the Ponies ass off a 66-42 beating LY. I don't see how the line does anything but go up.

TCU -3'
 
small play at MB

Louisville -15 1H

Like Louisville this week - but too many points probably.... off a really slow start / bad game vs JMU - and a pissed Brohm....off a bye- they should come out strong here. BG fat/happy off an upset of Liberty.
 
bookieassassin said:
SMU is .....not very good
>> data wise - the nation's worst performance week 1 vs mighty East Texas State (sic) - lost to Baylor at home, allowing 600 yards- now just off a life/death struggle with Mizzou State. OL stinks, talent at WR/RB, and on D seems to be down this year. Frogs are the opposite - much improved, rested and ready to kick the Ponies ass off a 66-42 beating LY. I don't see how the line does anything but go up.

TCU -3'
Click to expand...
Good stuff.

SMU Monday night showcase vs UNC has shaded the opinion up to this point, perhaps?
 
B.A.R. said:
Good stuff.

SMU Monday night showcase vs UNC has shaded the opinion up to this point, perhaps?
Click to expand...
I think you mean TCU vs UNC 👍🏼 I love this QB for the Frogs. Tough as hell and commitment to winning the BIG12. I think they just might. Great skill players as well… SMU doesn’t seem as sharp as they were last season and for the first time in a while Frogs actually want to pummel SMU and not looking ahead which has caught em in the past. GL. Great job on the line amigo, I’m stuck at TCU -6’ and still feel confident.
 
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