Here is what I see that could be plays for me. Things evolve during the week...as of Tuesday
Florida Atlantic +447
I know UCF is a beast, and FAU down a notch on O from last year, but these odds just seem way too high. OU ripped FAU D a new one, but seems like they should matchup a little better here? Maybe? Bet both schools have had this one circled for a while. Both teams will be up for this instate showdown for national notoriety. FAU QB play is potential concern.
Ohio +252
Should be a better matchup for OU here in terms of styles and speed and size. I figured OU could be good enough to beat either UVA or Cincy and while they lost, thinking about how this game might unfold, I didn't see anything last week that made me think they can't win this one.
Missouri+477
A little scary admittedly. Thought Mizzou hung pretty well in the first half last year in Athens. Tiger D the concern, as it usually is. Huge game for Mizzou, their next home game won't be until Oct 20th. Kind of a statement game for Mizzou as everyone has been saying they never beat anyone with a winning record last year and Lock stunk it up vs the quality teams.
Kansas State+562
Kansas State has history of playing well vs Big Xll teams they should get blown out by. This series has been close. Only lost by 3 to WVU last year and 1 in 2016, beat WVU by 1 in 2015. Might be an interesting first half ML play.
Marshall+176
I was eyeing this last week vs SCar, but likely would've got gun shy on it. I like them at home better vs NCSt anyway. Marshall led NCSt in Raleigh by 10 twice last year. MU mostly same team, just with a rFr QB now.
Rice+447
I tell you what, after the week 0 Prairie View near loss, I have been pleasantly surprised with Rice. They gave Houston a tough 2+ qrts. Thought they played hard and at times well at Hawaii 2 weeks ago. I'm not much of a SMiss backer, although I considered ML them at AppSt before that was canceled last week. SMiss reloading on D, already upset at home to ULM.
LaTech+1041
Not a huge fan of the outright, will likely just take the pts, but may throw $10 on ML. Doesn't quite remind me of the Troy ML I had vs LSU last year because LSU is better this year, last year they weren't playing well and it showed. Although situationally this spot is better with them off the Auburn win. Doubt LSU O will dominate anyone, so if LaTech doesn't make mistakes and can move the ball occasionally and score some, could envision this being a close game in the second half perhaps.
ULM+184
ULM O didn't do much in the 2nd H last week, not sure if that was aTm adjustments or ULM saving themselves a little some for this game, Sun Belt opener and ULM has some goals this year, it starts with this game. ULM should have some O here. Stopping Troy may be a challenge. Troy off Nebraska win, last year they lost to SBama off the LSU win last year, they will be mindful of that this week so going to be a tough one. But a favorable situation to face Troy in.
Oregon +105
Not sold on Stanford D exactly. USC had some opportunities, but Frosh QB couldn't capitalize on them. SDSt ran on them, but not balanced enough to compete. Think Oregon run and pass can move it here. Oregon D? We'll see. Important to note that Stanford's blowout win last year was without Herbert and Ore sucked on O without Herbert. So a better Duck O this week will work to help out Duck D as well. Not sure why Stanford deserves to be a road favorite here.
Air Force+306
Utah State absolutely humming, but vs weak competition. Will be big test for Air Force. Falcons beat them in a tough grinder finale last year in Colo Springs. FAU game wasn't necessarily as close as the final score indicated, but did show that AF may be more competitive this year than they were last year. Seems like an inflated number.
