Week 4 in the FCS, Ivy League joins party

[s--k]

I have the under 15-9 in the week 3 games which are the season openers for the IVY

Right on, we are just .5 pt off then most likely!

How vulnerable might Florida International be this week?

Monmouth had some changeover on offense, but they have been on fire weeks 2 and 3 vs Lafayette and Maine. How might that translate vs FIU?

Other side of the ball, you can't expect Monmouth to offer much resistance there. If that is the way it goes, then Over 58.5 right?

On the surface FIU doesn't look like a good team. See a crazy result week 2 for them.

 

[s--k]

No other lines released this week.

Massey PRs

Date	Team	Standing	Scr	Pred	Pwin	Margin	Total
Sat 09.21 12:00.PM.ET	Villanova @ Maryland	# 6 (3-0) (2-1)	0 0	7 35	2 % 98 %	-27.5	48.5
Sat 09.21 12:00.PM.ET	Stetson @ Harvard	# 127 (2-1) # 25 (0-0)	0 0	7 45	0 % 100 %	-38.5	50.5
Sat 09.21 12:00.PM.ET	Lafayette @ Columbia	# 33 (2-1) # 65 (0-0)	0 0	28 24	61 % 39 %	-3.5	48.5
Sat 09.21 2:00.PM.ET	St Francis PA @ E Michigan	# 92 (1-2) (2-1)	0 0	10 35	4 % 96 %	-24.5	48.5
Sat 09.21 2:00.PM.ET	Yale @ Holy Cross	# 24 (0-0) # 34 (1-2)	0 0	24 27	41 % 59 %	-3.5	53.5
Sat 09.21 3:30.PM.ET	Houston Chr @ UT San Antonio	# 101 (1-2) (1-2)	0 0	10 45	2 % 98 %	-34.5	56.5
Sat 09.21 3:30.PM.ET	Youngstown St @ Pittsburgh	# 42 (1-2) (3-0)	0 0	14 41	7 % 93 %	-27.5	58.5
Sat 09.21 3:30.PM.ET	Central Conn @ Massachusetts	# 71 (2-1) (0-3)	0 0	16 35	12 % 88 %	-19.5	54.5
Sat 09.21 6:00.PM.ET	Monmouth NJ @ Florida Intl	# 47 (1-2) (1-2)	0 0	28 32	40 % 60 %	-3.5	61.5
Sat 09.21 7:00.PM.ET	Florida A&M @ Troy	# 57 (2-1) (0-3)	0 0	7 41	1 % 99 %	-34.5	50.5
Sat 09.21 9:45.PM.ET	Portland St @ Boise St	# 58 (0-2) (1-1)	0 0	14 45	5 % 95 %	-31.5	63.5
Sat 09.21	CS Sacramento @ TX A&M Commerce	# 10 (1-2) # 108 (0-3)	0 0	42 17	92 % 8 %	-24.5	59.5
Sat 09.21	VA-Lynchburg @ Morgan St	(0-3) # 68 (1-2)	0 0	0 45	0 % 100 %	-45.5	49.5
Sat 09.21	Stony Brook @ Campbell	# 61 (2-1) # 45 (1-2)	0 0	21 31	22 % 78 %	-10.5	51.5
Sat 09.21	Cent Arkansas @ Ark Pine Bluff	# 14 (2-1) # 124 (1-2)	0 0	45 10	98 % 2 %	-35.5	56.5
Sat 09.21	Citadel @ Mercer	# 81 (2-1) # 13 (3-0)	0 0	10 31	5 % 95 %	-21.5	46.5
Sat 09.21	Clark Atlanta @ Bethune-Cookman	(2-0-1) # 115 (0-3)	0 0	7 41	2 % 98 %	-34.5	53.5
Sat 09.21	Alcorn St @ McNeese St	# 103 (1-2) # 62 (2-2)	0 0	21 31	21 % 79 %	-10.5	49.5
Sat 09.21	Fordham @ Dartmouth	# 99 (0-3) # 40 (0-0)	0 0	20 31	22 % 78 %	-11.5	51.5
Sat 09.21	Richmond @ Delaware St	# 37 (1-2) # 119 (1-2)	0 0	37 7	98 % 2 %	-29.5	49.5
Sat 09.21	Utah Tech @ UC Davis	# 93 (0-3) # 12 (2-1)	0 0	14 38	7 % 93 %	-24.5	54.5
Sat 09.21	Drake @ South Dakota	# 77 (1-0) # 9 (1-1)	0 0	6 40	0 % 100 %	-34.5	46.5
Sat 09.21	WV Wesleyan @ Duquesne	(0-2) # 59 (1-2)	0 0	3 54	0 % 100 %	-51.5	57.5
Sat 09.21	ETSU @ Elon	# 54 (1-2) # 31 (1-2)	0 0	21 31	23 % 77 %	-10.5	50.5
Sat 09.21	E Illinois @ Illinois St	# 55 (1-2) # 22 (2-1)	0 0	17 31	18 % 82 %	-13.5	49.5
Sat 09.21	Morehead St @ E Kentucky	# 123 (2-1) # 43 (1-2)	0 0	7 41	1 % 99 %	-34.5	51.5
Sat 09.21	E Washington @ Nevada	# 52 (1-2) (1-3)	0 0	20 31	24 % 76 %	-10.5	55.5
Sat 09.21	Furman @ William & Mary	# 46 (1-2) # 15 (2-1)	0 0	21 27	36 % 64 %	-5.5	52.5
Sat 09.21	Hampton @ Howard Washington, DC	# 82 (2-1) # 96 (2-1)	0 0	31 28	57 % 43 %	-3.5	56.5
Sat 09.21	Idaho @ Abilene Chr	# 2 (2-1) # 29 (2-1)	0 0	34 21	79 % 21 %	-13.5	55.5
Sat 09.21	Southern Utah @ Idaho St	# 26 (1-2) # 53 (1-2)	0 0	30 28	53 % 47 %	-2.5	60.5
Sat 09.21	Jackson St @ Grambling	# 63 (2-1) # 91 (2-1)	0 0	28 21	70 % 30 %	-7.5	54.5
Sat 09.21	Maine @ Merrimack	# 64 (1-2) # 75 (1-2)	0 0	27 24	60 % 40 %	-3.5	55.5
Sat 09.21	Marist @ Bucknell	# 128 (0-2) # 95 (1-2)	0 0	16 37	11 % 89 %	-20.5	54.5
Sat 09.21	Alabama A&M @ Austin Peay	# 110 (2-1) # 49 (0-3)	0 0	17 42	7 % 93 %	-24.5	56.5
Sat 09.21	MS Valley St @ Nicholls St	# 126 (0-3) # 50 (0-3)	0 0	7 41	1 % 99 %	-34.5	48.5
Sat 09.21	Missouri St @ TN Martin	# 28 (1-2) # 32 (1-2)	0 0	30 31	49 % 51 %	-1.5	62.5
Sat 09.21	Norfolk St @ VMI	# 111 (1-3) # 105 (0-3)	0 0	21 28	28 % 72 %	-7.5	52.5
Sat 09.21	NC A&T @ NC Central	# 87 (1-2) # 69 (1-2)	0 0	26 31	38 % 62 %	-5.5	59.5
Sat 09.21	Towson @ N Dakota St	# 41 (1-2) # 3 (2-1)	0 0	13 38	5 % 95 %	-25.5	52.5
Sat 09.21	Northern Arizona @ Incarnate Word	# 16 (2-1) # 23 (1-2)	0 0	30 29	51 % 49 %	-1.5	60.5
Sat 09.21	N Colorado @ SF Austin	# 83 (0-3) # 67 (1-2)	0 0	21 28	31 % 69 %	-6.5	52.5
Sat 09.21	Weber St @ Northwestern LA	# 20 (1-2) # 122 (0-3)	0 0	42 13	95 % 5 %	-29.5	57.5
Sat 09.21	Southern Univ @ Prairie View	# 109 (1-2) # 112 (1-2)	0 0	23 24	48 % 52 %	-1.5	48.5
Sat 09.21	Rhode Island @ LIU Post	# 18 (2-1) # 106 (0-3)	0 0	28 14	86 % 14 %	-14.5	47.5
Sat 09.21	Robert Morris @ Wagner	# 118 (1-2) # 116 (2-1)	0 0	27 24	58 % 42 %	-3.5	53.5
Sat 09.21	Sacred Heart @ Stonehill	# 104 (2-1) # 121 (0-2)	0 0	27 20	68 % 32 %	-6.5	46.5
Sat 09.21	St Thomas MN @ Lindenwood	# 113 (1-2) # 100 (0-3)	0 0	20 27	32 % 68 %	-6.5	47.5
Sat 09.21	Ave Maria @ Dayton	(1-1) # 102 (1-1)	0 0	6 44	0 % 100 %	-37.5	49.5
Sat 09.21	S Dakota St @ SE Louisiana	# 1 (2-1) # 39 (1-2)	0 0	38 10	97 % 3 %	-27.5	51.5
Sat 09.21	Tennessee St @ Tennessee Tech	# 89 (2-1) # 70 (0-2)	0 0	21 31	26 % 74 %	-9.5	52.5
Sat 09.21	TX Southern @ Lamar	# 107 (1-1) # 51 (2-1)	0 0	20 35	17 % 83 %	-14.5	52.5
Sat 09.21	W Carolina @ Montana	# 35 (1-2) # 8 (2-1)	0 0	17 35	13 % 87 %	-18.5	55.5
Sat 09.21	Bryant @ New Hampshire	# 85 (1-2) # 17 (2-1)	0 0	21 37	18 % 82 %	-16.5	59.5
Sat 09.21	Penn @ Delaware	# 48 (0-0) # 11 (2-0)	0 0	17 31	20 % 80 %	-13.5	51.5
Sat 09.21	San Diego @ North Dakota	# 72 (2-0) # 5 (2-1)	0 0	6 38	1 % 99 %	-31.5	50.5
Sat 09.21	SE Missouri St @ S Illinois	# 21 (2-1) # 7 (2-1)	0 0	21 31	25 % 75 %	-9.5	54.5
Sat 09.21	Brown @ Georgetown	# 73 (0-0) # 94 (2-1)	0 0	28 24	61 % 39 %	-4.5	56.5
Sat 09.21	Princeton @ Lehigh	# 36 (0-0) # 66 (2-1)	0 0	28 17	81 % 19 %	-10.5	45.5
Sat 09.21	Cornell @ Colgate	# 79 (0-0) # 90 (0-3)	0 0	21 24	43 % 57 %	-2.5	46.5
Sat 09.21	Gardner Webb @ Presbyterian	# 60 (0-3) # 125 (2-1)	0 0	40 10	97 % 3 %	-29.5	52.5
Sat 09.21	Roosevelt @ Valparaiso	(0-1) # 120 (1-2)	0 0	14 35	9 % 91 %	-20.5	50.5
Sat 09.21	Mercyhurst @ Montana St	# 129 (1-2) # 4 (3-0)	0 0	3 52	0 % 100 %	-48.5	58.5
Sat 09.21	Tarleton St @ North Alabama	# 38 (2-1) # 88 (0-4)	0 0	30 24	64 % 36 %	-5.5	54.5
Sun 09.22 11:59.PM.ET	Northern Iowa @ Hawaii	# 19 (2-1) (1-2)	0 0	21 26	35 % 65 %	-5.5	49.5

Sagarin doesn't copy and paste so well

Predictions_with_Totals_and_Moneylines​

These are the "regular method". _
HOME or CLOSEBY (c) is denoted _
by an "@" next to the HOME or CLOSER team _
An "n" for NEUTRAL location will appear if a neutral game Rating Favorite _
Strong MONEYLINE=odds to 100 _
FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _

==================================================================================================
@ Eastern_Michigan..... 19.66 19.98 18.76 21.49 26.54 Saint_Francis-Pa. 725 88% 34.83 38.75 average= 36.79
@ Fla._International..... 11.28 12.81 11.64 9.25 8.55 Monmouth-NJ 331 77% 57.38 75.89 average= 66.635
@ Hawai'i 7.48 6.86 7.66 7.61 5.04 Northern_Iowa 226 69% 34.83 34.83 average= 34.83
@ Maryland 22.00 22.93 21.05 23.56 26.81 Villanova 891 90% 44.25 34.83 average= 39.54
@ Massachusetts 12.70 12.02 12.78 13.72 7.24 Central_Connecticut 380 79% 65.57 45.61 average= 55.59
@ Nevada 8.19 9.94 6.15 8.24 14.29 Eastern_Washington 243 71% 51.06 54.17 average= 52.61
@ Pittsburgh 22.21 22.67 21.73 23.77 27.62 Youngstown_State 907 90% 55.86 73.25 average= 64.555
@ UTSA 29.79 27.05 31.47 33.66 29.51 Houston_Christian 1656 94% 62.89 45.50 average= 54.195
@ Troy 23.46 23.75 22.76 25.64 26.17 Florida_A&M 1009 91% 67.00 51.04 average= 59.02
@ Delaware 9.18 10.52 7.90 8.93 18.84 Pennsylvania 269 73% 52.25 52.25 average= 52.25
Idaho 11.26 11.79 9.90 15.10 20.76 @ Abilene_Christian 330 77% 52.04 49.20 average= 50.62
Central_Arkansas 27.20 27.65 26.48 32.39 43.96 @ Ark.-Pine_Bluff 1365 93% 65.81 78.38 average= 72.095
@ Austin_Peay 12.51 12.19 13.36 12.15 19.42 Alabama_A&M 373 79% 74.41 41.27 average= 57.84
@ Bucknell 7.10 6.97 5.96 8.17 20.83 Marist 217 68% 51.16 57.29 average= 54.225
@ Campbell 10.90 11.12 10.61 11.06 9.50 Stony_Brook 319 76% 47.02 41.45 average= 44.235
@ Colgate 2.76 3.24 2.57 1.48 -1.02 Cornell 136 58% 52.25 52.25 average= 52.25
Lafayette 9.98 11.56 9.81 11.10 14.60 @ Columbia 291 74% 52.25 52.25 average= 52.25
@ Dartmouth 10.17 10.71 9.30 10.55 17.66 Fordham 297 75% 52.25 52.25 average= 52.25
Richmond 18.35 18.85 18.55 21.30 21.41 @ Delaware_State 644 87% 45.63 34.83 average= 40.23
@ Eastern_Kentucky 18.93 17.75 20.43 19.62 27.54 Morehead_State 679 87% 48.19 34.83 average= 41.51
@ Elon 6.59 5.66 7.90 5.78 2.45 East_Tennessee_State 206 67% 34.83 48.85 average= 41.84
@ Georgetown 0.20 0.10 -0.20 -0.60 1.30 Brown 102 51% 52.25 52.25 average= 52.25
@ Grambling_State 0.14 -0.60 -0.02 -0.15 -0.89 Jackson_State 102 50% 60.35 50.44 average= 55.395
@ Harvard 27.93 27.18 29.84 29.25 41.69 Stetson 1444 94% 52.25 52.25 average= 52.25
Yale 2.07 2.07 2.33 3.40 1.65 @ Holy_Cross 126 56% 52.25 52.25 average= 52.25
C Hampton 2.39 3.95 1.20 2.90 11.41 @ Howard 131 57% 49.49 61.03 average= 59.015
Southern_Utah 1.89 1.76 2.59 2.84 1.77 @ Idaho_State 124 55% 77.49 55.13 average= 66.31
@ Illinois_State 12.54 11.66 13.90 12.27 8.83 Eastern_Illinois 374 79% 48.79 42.74 average= 45.765
@ Incarnate_Word 4.75 3.64 5.85 4.06 -3.81 Northern_Arizona 169 63% 43.58 52.75 average= 48.165
@ Lamar 16.66 17.90 15.16 17.76 23.25 Texas_Southern 552 85% 53.19 50.44 average= 51.815
Princeton 4.64 3.13 5.10 7.85 4.21 @ Lehigh 167 63% 52.25 52.25 average= 52.25
@ Lindenwood 3.46 2.40 6.00 1.49 -1.79 St._Thomas-Mn. 147 60% 54.13 34.83 average= 44.48
Rhode_Island 7.64 6.88 9.04 9.31 8.41 @ LIU_Post 230 70% 34.83 34.83 average= 34.83
@ McNeese_State 9.43 10.39 7.36 10.63 24.63 Alcorn_State 275 73% 55.04 40.93 average= 47.985
@ Mercer 20.92 22.24 19.75 22.09 30.79 The_Citadel 811 89% 34.83 34.83 average= 34.83
@ Merrimack 0.64 0.83 0.17 -0.31 3.51 Maine 108 52% 70.08 51.07 average= 60.575
@ Montana 18.91 19.46 19.44 18.81 18.67 Western_Carolina 678 87% 53.14 50.32 average= 51.73
@ Montana_State 36.54 34.60 38.44 40.03 39.25 Mercyhurst 2547 96% 54.12 78.38 average= 66.25
@ New_Hampshire 14.60 14.36 13.78 16.37 27.49 Bryant 455 82% 67.15 58.96 average= 63.055
@ Nicholls_State 23.49 23.47 22.78 26.02 30.73 Miss._Valley_State 1011 91% 46.40 44.16 average= 45.28
Tarleton_State 8.47 7.76 10.04 9.92 8.58 @ North_Alabama 250 71% 40.37 48.71 average= 44.54
@ NC_Central 6.66 6.20 6.40 6.98 11.45 NC_A&T 208 67% 73.19 52.16 average= 62.675
@ North_Dakota 24.75 28.51 19.85 29.00 26.46 San_Diego 1123 92% 53.00 47.41 average= 50.205
@ North_Dakota_State 23.25 22.42 23.95 25.06 22.14 Towson 991 91% 58.19 42.63 average= 50.41
Weber_State 21.23 21.86 20.49 25.55 32.57 @ Northwestern_State 833 89% 52.86 66.63 average= 59.745
@ Prairie_View_A&M 3.78 2.31 4.15 4.10 4.24 Southern_U. 153 60% 34.83 34.83 average= 34.83
Gardner-Webb 13.06 14.37 12.74 15.01 34.15 @ Presbyterian_College 393 80% 72.00 51.74 average= 61.87
@ South_Dakota 19.31 23.48 11.71 25.27 15.32 Drake 703 88% 58.06 52.59 average= 55.325
South_Dakota_State 25.45 26.27 25.59 29.07 28.38 @ SE_Louisiana 1188 92% 46.10 61.60 average= 53.85
@ Southern_Illinois 13.07 12.21 14.47 12.80 7.84 SE_Missouri_State 394 80% 61.68 64.53 average= 63.105
@ Stephen_F._Austin 10.74 9.90 10.98 11.47 9.49 Northern_Colorado 314 76% 34.83 44.25 average= 39.54
Sacred_Heart 5.12 5.79 3.84 7.89 22.64 @ Stonehill_College 176 64% 44.64 48.36 average= 46.5
@ Tennessee_Tech 3.51 5.40 0.75 3.51 8.66 Tennessee_State 148 60% 52.49 66.13 average= 59.31
@ Tennessee-Martin 2.21 2.25 2.28 1.03 0.57 Missouri_State 128 56% 72.64 78.38 average= 75.51
Sacramento_State 16.66 17.86 16.60 18.88 22.70 @ Texas_A&M-Commerce 552 85% 77.53 71.77 average= 74.65
@ UC_Davis 22.88 22.60 22.36 25.45 33.18 Utah_Tech 960 91% 49.66 57.27 average= 53.465
@ VMI 6.75 6.04 7.62 6.00 0.43 Norfolk_State 210 68% 53.24 34.83 average= 44.035
Robert_Morris 4.64 4.91 3.40 7.61 12.74 @ Wagner 167 63% 39.43 63.91 average= 51.67
@ William_&_Mary 6.66 8.56 5.66 5.24 11.73 Furman 208 67% 58.98 56.25 average= 57.615

I've never engaged on the reddit forum, but they have some PR lines for not only FCS, but lower divisions as well.

/r/FCS Sportsbook - 2024

docs.google.com

 

[KJ]

Hawaii will be a banger for me. UNI off a physical game against Corn and now to the islands, this is where Hawaii gets right me thinks

 

[carolinablue]

Couple more out at FD. Took McNeese as I was expecting 8.5.

8pm McNeese -5.5 115 (FD)

 

[carolinablue]

3 more just posted at FD…

Home team first..

Lehigh +12.5 vs Princeton
Colgate -2.5 195 vs Cornell
LIU +15.5 vs URI

McNeese now -6.5 115 vs Alcorn
UCD -17.5 vs Utah Tech

 

[carolinablue]

Took Harvard -33.5 vs Stetson

 

[carolinablue]

More hitting the board…

NCCU -3.5 vs A&T

 

[twinkie13]

Holy shit was I off!!

 

[carolinablue]

Few more just posted..,
Word -8.5 vs UNA
Columbia +4.5 vs Lafayette

 

[carolinablue]

Holy shit was I off!!

Which one?

 

[carolinablue]

Thought about Lafayette but now at 6.5 so a pass for me

 

[carolinablue]

Looks like MB may post 3 more D2 spreads to beef up the Thursday night card....Just ML and Total up now, but gonna check out these teams and any D2 info I can find before lines post...

Harding at Ark Monticello - Harding ML is -10000 haha
Fairmont State vs Glenville State - Fairmont ML is 330
Benedict vs Edward Waters - Benedict ML is 1000

 

[carolinablue]

Took Weber State -22.5 110

 

[carolinablue]

7pm Lamar -6.5 110 (FD)

 

[carolinablue]

Waiting on Montana State, Bucknell, Nicholls and a couple others

 

[carolinablue]

Looks like MB may post 3 more D2 spreads to beef up the Thursday night card....Just ML and Total up now, but gonna check out these teams and any D2 info I can find before lines post...

Harding at Ark Monticello - Harding ML is -10000 haha
Fairmont State vs Glenville State - Fairmont ML is 330
Benedict vs Edward Waters - Benedict ML is 1000

Edward Waters actually might be worth a shot if they are getting 17+. That game will actually be on ESPN2 at 8pm.

Harding looks pretty unstoppable as it was impressive reading up on their dominance, but guessing the line will be pretty high (ie close to 40) so not sure if there will be value in it when it posts. Thought about the total as they may be good for 50 by themselves but their D is so dominant, not sure if AM can contribute. Unfortunately no team totals available as the best bet would probably be the Harding TT over.

 

[steponaduck]

FULL FCS MENU RELEASED

 

[s--k]

Just seeing this. Going to take me a while to evaluate. I wish these damn things came out on a predictable or similar day/time

 

[s--k]

Tennessee State +9.5 and ML

Last year TSU was -9.5 at home in finale and was shut out 0-35 and dominated! They probably never stopped thinking about that game all off season. For this year's teams, really not sure Tenn Tech is any better than them? Surprised that line is so high

 

[s--k]

SEMO+7.5 and ML

Another big revenge rivalry game. SEMO led 25-13 in the 4Q and fumbled away the win letting Nick Baker go down for a game winning TD pretty much as time expired. I may not have played this game, well not at this line, if Williams wasn't out for SIU. Sleepy posted the injuries. He has an injury to his throwing hand and will be out several weeks. What I saw from him in the 1H last week was pretty amazing - he was nothing short of fantastic. Supposedly it was a battle for the starting spot at QB in camp. I don't know, what I saw from him last week makes that hard to believe. Now, he didn't play at that level weeks 1 or 2 it took him 3 weeks to get to that point. How good is the backup going to be in his first start? I do like this SEMO team and what they've done this year. Just the opposite of last year when they blew leads late in games, this year SEMO has come back to win. Feel better they are going against SIU without their top QB.

 

[s--k]

UC Davis -17.5

I've bet on or against Davis every game this year. They have not played a good 4Q game. Played good in parts and not in others. They are 1-0 ATS as a dog and 0-2 ATS as a favorite. Depending on your opinion of Texas A&M Commerce, this is the weakest team they have played to date. Utah Tech is pretty much the weakest team anyone can play. Normally there might be some concern of a let down game, off a tough road trip with Big Sky opener vs Idaho on deck. I don't think that Davis has played good enough to date and I think they know they haven't and if they play like they did weeks 2 or 3 or the 2H vs Cal, they are going to have a bad season in the Big Sky. This is a game they need to work on their execution and this opponent gives the chance to sharpen it because UTah Tech has done nothing but get pushed around against everyone they played.

 

[s--k]

That was my first run through. Will look again after dinner

 

[steponaduck]

I took harvard -33.5
NAU +8.5
USD/Drake over 47.5

all on openers.

 

[sleepy]

7pm Lamar -6.5 110 (FD)

The Lamar QB Robert Coleman left the game in the 2Q last week and didn't return. Not sure on what his status is for this game.

 

[s--k]

Surprised at the NAU line.

Norfolk - VMI Under 52.5
Norfolk has gone Under in 3 lined games this year and the unlined game vs Virginia State only combined for 51. VMI should be a defensive oriented team although that hasn't shown to be the case this year. Vs a team they can matchup better against, like a one-dimensional Norfolk team their D should keep a lid on it.

 

[twinkie13]

Which one?

Nicholls St

Did I read that right?

 

[carolinablue]

The Lamar QB Robert Coleman left the game in the 2Q last week and didn't return. Not sure on what his status is for this game.

He went out in 2Q and Lamar actually did fine after he went out as the backup was solid throughout so not worried about the injury given the competition, as I think it actually gives the line a couple points of value vs what I expected.

 

[carolinablue]

Nicholls St

Did I read that right?

Nicholls opened at 27.5 which was higher than I had hoped so I passed

 

[s--k]

Little risky on this one...Long Island +15.5

Does Rhode Island deserve to be over 2 TD road favorite? Long Island played another CAA team this year at Albany and was probably the better team that didn't win (+103 total yards, only lost by 6 and Albany scored on a fumble return TD). LIU actually ran for 5.8ypc on them. I know Albany is different this year, just comparing another CAA type team to an NEC team here in Long Island. That line was 22.5 on the road. They are +15.5 here at home. Last week URI finished with just 259 total yards (4.9) vs Campbell. URI did better week 1 vs Holy Cross, Rams put up 396 (5.8). They are not scoring a lot of points, just avg 20.5 ppg vs FCS so far this year. HC also allowed UNH 6.6 ypp and Bryant 5.8 ypp...so maybe what URI got on them was just the average that HC allows everyone to get. Long Island held Albany to 255 (4.7) and last week kept Lehigh to 275 (4.4). So maybe LIU D stands a chance to compete here.

Long Island O does feel like it has some life with Stanzani at QB. He's got a 5-1 ratio and is 63% in two games vs FCS.

Different team, and season. Will say that URI was not a good favorite last year. They are 2-0 as a fav this year (week 1 cover by .5 pt). Campbell was 0-for-3 on 4th down that included SOD at the RI01 and RI14 after long drives. So URI won by 12 as a 4.5 pt favorite...but not really a stretch to say that Campbell played it closer than that. So last year, URI was 2-5 ATS as a favorite and were upset straight-up twice. Perception right now is probably still that last year's URI team was better than this one, I think?

I did have Lehigh vs LIU last week and that game was pretty much a toss up. One key turnover was a swing play that tilted it for Lehigh. Wasn't like LIU was bad in that game or anything. Said I thought that Long Island might be a somewhat underrated so going to put my money where my mouth is on this one as it looks like the right opportunity and spread to do so.

 

[EL CAPO]

How bad is Tennessee tech ? Comparable to say a eastern Illinois ?.....duke only laying 14 to a team that should of lost to Tennessee tech

 

[s--k]

How bad is Tennessee tech ? Comparable to say a eastern Illinois ?.....duke only laying 14 to a team that should of lost to Tennessee tech

Eastern Illinois is better than Tennessee Tech offensively, defense vs teams their own size I would say they are even.

TTU had really poor QB play last year. And I think Holley at EIU is an average to above average FCS QB. Last year TTU was typically very poor, maybe average QB play on their best day.

They brought in a transfer from JUCO. He started vs MTSU, was pretty bad and got hurt early in that one. So Potts, that is last year's guy, they put him in and he had what I must assume was the best game of his career. He is the one that led them back from a 21 pt hole and had them take the lead. TTU was a 4th-long down stop away from winning that game. After MTSU jumped out 21-0 and TTU made that QB switch, MTSU O did nothing until they were down and had to go win the game.

TTU D was fairly good in their league last year and I remember that their best players from that D came back. They lost guys, but the 3 or 4 that were recognized with all conference selections came back. So on that end, it was not surprising that the TTU D handled MTSU O over the course of the game. I was actually surprised that MTSU O was so good off the bat. How they played vs them in the middle and right up until the end of the game is what I thought their potential was on D.

Now Potts, I don't know if that game was an example of some kind of improvement over the offseason, or some coaching and training. But his play vs MTSU was NOT close to what he played like last year. Having said that, maybe MTSU was weak in order to allow him to do what he did. TTU does have a new coaching staff - as does MTSU so that can change how a lot of things go.

I saw Duke play Elon. I was really impressed with the Duke DL. They were just mostly speed rushing around the ends, but that was a veteran OL, just not very good experienced OL vs FBS speed and talent it turns out. Offensively I thought Duke was pretty bad. There were some open guys that were missed. I was not impressed with the Duke QB at all. MTSU? I didn't come away from that TTU thinking very highly of them either. So they got off to a hot start playing a mid-level Big South / OVC school with a JUCO QB making his first start at Dl and their staff was all new...ok. But MTSU sustained nothing in that game and TTU got better vs them as the game went on.

I have not seen either of those teams since week 1 and do not know if they have won or lost their other games. If Duke's offense has improved from the Elon game and if their D is playing the same way they did vs Elon's O - then I would think Duke should have their way with MTSU. If and only if MTSU could bottle up whatever they had for the 1Q in week 1 vs TTU, maybe I would think they are pretty good Group of 5 team. But I doubt that is the case and seeing them over the final 3 quarters makes me think they wno't play well vs Duke all things being equal like injuries and scheduling angles.

 

[EL CAPO]

Eastern Illinois is better than Tennessee Tech offensively, defense vs teams their own size I would say they are even.

TTU had really poor QB play last year. And I think Holley at EIU is an average to above average FCS QB. Last year TTU was typically very poor, maybe average QB play on their best day.

They brought in a transfer from JUCO. He started vs MTSU, was pretty bad and got hurt early in that one. So Potts, that is last year's guy, they put him in and he had what I must assume was the best game of his career. He is the one that led them back from a 21 pt hole and had them take the lead. TTU was a 4th-long down stop away from winning that game. After MTSU jumped out 21-0 and TTU made that QB switch, MTSU O did nothing until they were down and had to go win the game.

TTU D was fairly good in their league last year and I remember that their best players from that D came back. They lost guys, but the 3 or 4 that were recognized with all conference selections came back. So on that end, it was not surprising that the TTU D handled MTSU O over the course of the game. I was actually surprised that MTSU O was so good off the bat. How they played vs them in the middle and right up until the end of the game is what I thought their potential was on D.

Now Potts, I don't know if that game was an example of some kind of improvement over the offseason, or some coaching and training. But his play vs MTSU was NOT close to what he played like last year. Having said that, maybe MTSU was weak in order to allow him to do what he did. TTU does have a new coaching staff - as does MTSU so that can change how a lot of things go.

I saw Duke play Elon. I was really impressed with the Duke DL. They were just mostly speed rushing around the ends, but that was a veteran OL, just not very good experienced OL vs FBS speed and talent it turns out. Offensively I thought Duke was pretty bad. There were some open guys that were missed. I was not impressed with the Duke QB at all. MTSU? I didn't come away from that TTU thinking very highly of them either. So they got off to a hot start playing a mid-level Big South / OVC school with a JUCO QB making his first start at Dl and their staff was all new...ok. But MTSU sustained nothing in that game and TTU got better vs them as the game went on.

I have not seen either of those teams since week 1 and do not know if they have won or lost their other games. If Duke's offense has improved from the Elon game and if their D is playing the same way they did vs Elon's O - then I would think Duke should have their way with MTSU. If and only if MTSU could bottle up whatever they had for the 1Q in week 1 vs TTU, maybe I would think they are pretty good Group of 5 team. But I doubt that is the case and seeing them over the final 3 quarters makes me think they wno't play well vs Duke all things being equal like injuries and scheduling angles.

mtsu lost 52-3 to ole miss and 49-21 to western kentucky lined as 7 point dog. duke beat nw in overtime and beat uconn 26-21..........i'd say duke is equal to nw - who beat up on eastern illinois 31-0 in a sandwhich spot. .......now, looking at ttu schedule it appears they are in eastern illinois conference and seem similar levels - which would make this line at least 10 points short. When i saw ten tech lose to lindenwood last year by that amount i said this is a bad team.

there were some bad performances by d1s vs fcs , also new mexico state vs semo. but semo appears levels better then tech making that mtsu performance the worse of all of d1.

I mean the mtsu defense is lost. guys just wide open like missed assignments everywhere. Can't stop the run either. only redeeming quality is offense looks like it has some potential, they put up quite a bit of pass yards on western kentucky.

also new mexico state got blasted by 50 points by fresno state last week - seems to be these fcs games can be good tales of teams the market can't catch up to

 

[s--k]

EIU did score a TD in the 1H at Northwestern rather than being shut out

Yes, long story short, the Tennessee Tech game reflects poorly on MTSU based on who TTU was last year. Although, for me, I don't think that result is all that unexpected as in the days leading up to it I posted on playing TTU in that game and I ML'd them - so for me, them almost winning that isn't some huge surprise and it doesn't impact my opinion of MTSU because, well, if MTSU had lost, well I would've been pretty happy with that result as I didn't want them to win. I am now playing Tennessee State against TTU this week. Don't completely know what the 2024 version of TTU is with their limited body of work on the bye last week. Will find out tomorrow how those two stack up.

As for your Duke v MTSU situation, best of luck

 

[s--k]

I messaged Heritage today and asked them if they could post FCS lines sooner. I am quite happy to have my Fan Duel account, but multiple outlets is good and I frankly do now know what is going on at Heritage. They put up FCS lines, then take them down. They did it last week when Fan Duel rolled lines out Wednesday night, Heritage put some lines up then took them down until Saturday. Same thing yesterday. Fan Duel releases everything and Heritage put it two, think it was WCU-Montana and Mercyhurst-Montana State. Then today, those were gone. I don't know what they are doing. One book has the courage to post lines, not take them down and everyone else doesn't post them for days and days later. I opened a Heritage account so because I have deposited money there I would like to be able to place some bets there. FCS college football is essentially all I bet online other than a few random NFL bets here or there.

 

[s--k]

Some notable moves since last night that I saw. I know some of you got better numbers right away. I never caught whatever they opened mid-afternoon yesterday, but from late afternoon/early evening to now:

Rhode Island from 15.5 to 11.5
Dartmouth from 8.5 to 7.5 - not a big move, but I would like to play Dartmouth so hopefully it drops more
Maine 3.5 to 1.5
VMI from 8.5 to 9.5 - surprised no movement on the total as it seems high to me
Holy Cross I thought I saw 3.5 this morning, but now it is 4.5 down from 5.5
Tennessee Tech from 9.5 to 7.5
Robert Morris from 3.5 to 1.5
Hampton from 1.5 to 4.5
Campbell from 6.5 to 7.5
EKU from 30.5 to 27.5
Southern Utah from 4.5 to 2.5
Elon currently at 4.5 - this game has seen a lot of movement and a lot of movement just today
Jackson State from 7.5 to 3.5
Incarnate Word from 7.5 to 5.5
Southern Illinois from 7.5 to 8.5
UT Martin from 4.5 to 1.5
Austin Peay from 17.5 to 16.5
NCCU from 3.5 to 5.5
Weber from 24.5 to 26.5
Lamar from 7.5 to 10.5
Garnder Webb from 27.5 to 24.5

 

[carolinablue]

Some notable moves since last night that I saw. I know some of you got better numbers right away. I never caught whatever they opened mid-afternoon yesterday, but from late afternoon/early evening to now:

Rhode Island from 15.5 to 11.5
Dartmouth from 8.5 to 7.5 - not a big move, but I would like to play Dartmouth so hopefully it drops more
Maine 3.5 to 1.5
VMI from 8.5 to 9.5 - surprised no movement on the total as it seems high to me
Holy Cross I thought I saw 3.5 this morning, but now it is 4.5 down from 5.5
Tennessee Tech from 9.5 to 7.5
Robert Morris from 3.5 to 1.5
Hampton from 1.5 to 4.5
Campbell from 6.5 to 7.5
EKU from 30.5 to 27.5
Southern Utah from 4.5 to 2.5
Elon currently at 4.5 - this game has seen a lot of movement and a lot of movement just today
Jackson State from 7.5 to 3.5
Incarnate Word from 7.5 to 5.5
Southern Illinois from 7.5 to 8.5
UT Martin from 4.5 to 1.5
Austin Peay from 17.5 to 16.5
NCCU from 3.5 to 5.5
Weber from 24.5 to 26.5
Lamar from 7.5 to 10.5
Garnder Webb from 27.5 to 24.5

I can confirm that Weber opened at 22.5 and Lamar at 6.5 115 as I got both. Posted most of the opens in the thread but may have missed a few along the way as I was also trying to grab numbers I figured would move, like the two above.

 

[HUNT]

Very informative. Get that shit

 

[s--k]

I just saw a commercial for the HBCU GO app on the weather channel. I'm like, a SWAC football commercial on TV!?!

 

[s--k]

A lot of movement

Harvard down to 31.5 BOL (31 BM)
Princeton up to 13 FD
Bucknell down to 17 FD
Maryland up to 22 at MB (back down to 20 at MB)

 

[sleepy]

Had my brother open up a fresh Draftkings account for me this summer

Last until week #4 before getting the $20 max bets

I think I made around 20 total bets overall

Jeez

 

[sleepy]

Not like I killed them either

 

[carolinablue]

Had my brother open up a fresh Draftkings account for me this summer

Last until week #4 before getting the $20 max bets

I think I made around 20 total bets overall

Jeez

Yeah I noted my “adventures” with them early on in my opening week thread so I ditched them after that and deleted the app off my phone as it wasn’t worth my time anymore

 

[carolinablue]

Took URI at 9.5 127 as I couldn’t pass up single digits in that one even with a significant injury driving the line move

 

[sleepy]

Yeah I noted my “adventures” with them early on in my opening week thread so I ditched them after that and deleted the app off my phone as it wasn’t worth my time anymore

At least FD goes down progressively

Draftkings goes from 2000 to 20

 

[carolinablue]

At least FD goes down progressively

Draftkings goes from 2000 to 20

Thankfully I haven’t had any issues with FD yet even though I did equally well with both during MM when we got access here in NC. DK started my limits right after.

 

[sleepy]

BetNow doesn't even have the early games up yet.

 

[sleepy]

Thankfully I haven’t had any issues with FD yet even though I did equally well with both during MM when we got access here in NC. DK started my limits right after.

The funny thing about them is that if you go to the casino and bet at the window you can pretty much bet what ever you want. Did that for the first month of CBB last year.

 

[carolinablue]

The funny thing about them is that if you go to the casino and bet at the window you can pretty much bet what ever you want. Did that for the first month of CBB last year.

Unfortunately we don’t have any walk ups nearby brick and mortar won’t come for a while

 

[sleepy]

Unfortunately we don’t have any walk ups nearby brick and mortar won’t come for a while

I had to drive 175 miles to bet there.
Got old after a few weeks.

 

[s--k]

Took URI at 9.5 127 as I couldn’t pass up single digits in that one even with a significant injury driving the line move

What was the injury? Their #1 QB started and was benched for Clemson transfer Helms. Was it something else?