Week 15 Thoughts
- Thread starter SportsNut
- Start date
Marlo
Check out my DAD BOD
Well Scroll up about 4-5 posts. I agree with nut on this one, its either Dallas or nothing.
Dallas puts it all on the line tonight.
Hopefully some redemption for that absolute shit fest at 4:15 . Big problem with playing alot is how to weigh things correctly . I could never flat wager just dont work for me . I tend to look for the best games to step up and hopefully nail those. Time tends to often be an issue as well. Much easier to get through the card if I was up at 8AM ...Anyway ...
Night Game ...
Dallas -2.5 -115 {level3}
Dallas -2.5 -120 {level3}
Dallas 1st H -1.5 +100
Dallas 1st -1.5 -110 {level2}
Over 46-120 {Level3}
Dallas and Over action reverse {level1}
Over 24-125 Dallas TT {Level2}
Really like the over as well but waiting for halftime hoping I get some value . Playing some recieving Props as well...
Both teams are riddled with injuries . Jacobs out and Barber appears limited but clearly depth for both at those spots even though stud Felix Jones has been absent for awhile.
NYG minus Plax lose the go to WR they used to carry them in the postseason and will miss his size as well . Toomer is about 6 ft and he stands as the tallest one I believe..
defenses - Dallas is secondary is MANGLED with injuries and if Plax were healthy probably would have to lean towards NYG . Losing Roy Williams early then having Pat Watkins replace him who has gone down reecntly . Hamlin is hurt but appears likely to play while Davis is now out . At CB Pac Man returns but now looks done for awhile but rookie Mike jenkins returns . Just one banged up secondary rally piecing itself together . Then for NY seems Tuck is banged up but playing through it while Fred Robbins will miss after I believe just 1 game back . That could severly limit the NYG pass rush and if you dont pressure Romo he will tear it up with those weapons.
I think DAL fighting is a non issue . Look at all the problems the Giants have had with Plax it always works itself out. I am sure TO and Witten are both looking to one up eachother today ...
Despite the offensive injuries (remember even WR Roy Williams is banged up some) you have to think points will be scored if guys catch the ball and protect it .
GL .:cheers:
Night Game ...
Dallas -2.5 -115 {level3}
Dallas -2.5 -120 {level3}
Dallas 1st H -1.5 +100
Dallas 1st -1.5 -110 {level2}
Over 46-120 {Level3}
Dallas and Over action reverse {level1}
Over 24-125 Dallas TT {Level2}
Really like the over as well but waiting for halftime hoping I get some value . Playing some recieving Props as well...
Both teams are riddled with injuries . Jacobs out and Barber appears limited but clearly depth for both at those spots even though stud Felix Jones has been absent for awhile.
NYG minus Plax lose the go to WR they used to carry them in the postseason and will miss his size as well . Toomer is about 6 ft and he stands as the tallest one I believe..
defenses - Dallas is secondary is MANGLED with injuries and if Plax were healthy probably would have to lean towards NYG . Losing Roy Williams early then having Pat Watkins replace him who has gone down reecntly . Hamlin is hurt but appears likely to play while Davis is now out . At CB Pac Man returns but now looks done for awhile but rookie Mike jenkins returns . Just one banged up secondary rally piecing itself together . Then for NY seems Tuck is banged up but playing through it while Fred Robbins will miss after I believe just 1 game back . That could severly limit the NYG pass rush and if you dont pressure Romo he will tear it up with those weapons.
I think DAL fighting is a non issue . Look at all the problems the Giants have had with Plax it always works itself out. I am sure TO and Witten are both looking to one up eachother today ...
Despite the offensive injuries (remember even WR Roy Williams is banged up some) you have to think points will be scored if guys catch the ball and protect it .
GL .:cheers:
Sorry got sidetracked wanted to get some down on OKC 2nd H as a hedge (L1)......
Not the receptions went with the yardage..
Played--
Eli over 210.5 passing yards was my 2nd fav one
Boss over 3 receptions
Over Toomer and Smith 50.5 yds
Over 30.5 D.Ward recieving
Over 250.5 passing yards Romo was my fav one
TO over 69.5 yds
Witten over 60.5yds
Obviously you know alot of vig involved in most of these ...
GL...pulling for 6 + catches for TO....
Going to start watching the game now and unwind...:shake::cheers:
Going to do my best to be well organized for next week . I should have been better prepared the last few days knowing Sat was a complete wash out for me in terms of being able to read up on teams and make some decisions..Woke up at 11 and havent stopped for a second since bewteen this and the NBA..crazy :cheers:
Joe Public
Gabibbo's Finest
Too bad you couldn't find a couple more plays you liked in the game tonight, SN.
=)
=)
Huge problem lately deciding on whats worth playing and for how strong ...
Of course for about the 20th time today I passed on something , 1st H under and it hits , the two times I did play it by half seemed to get fucked . Just cant make good decisions today ...
That is more aggravating then losing .:cheers:
Second Half :
have had the time to watch exactly 1 series which naturally was a 3 and out ...
Of course the 2nd H should be higher scoring then the 1st like I said . Huge problem was the 10pts in the 1st Half! Going to stick with the theory but not exactly crazy about this play ...
Over 21.5 +105{Level1}
Over 21 -110 {Level1}
Cowboys PK -110 {Level2}
Getting some of what I expected with the offenses . Trouble running the ball but a few penalties wiped out big gains , 1st downs and just took scoring opps away ..
Want to takea stab at the Over 21 as a Level 2 play but not sure .
Just sticking to my guns havent seen much to change it..GL:cheers:
have had the time to watch exactly 1 series which naturally was a 3 and out ...
Of course the 2nd H should be higher scoring then the 1st like I said . Huge problem was the 10pts in the 1st Half! Going to stick with the theory but not exactly crazy about this play ...
Over 21.5 +105{Level1}
Over 21 -110 {Level1}
Cowboys PK -110 {Level2}
Getting some of what I expected with the offenses . Trouble running the ball but a few penalties wiped out big gains , 1st downs and just took scoring opps away ..
Want to takea stab at the Over 21 as a Level 2 play but not sure .
Just sticking to my guns havent seen much to change it..GL:cheers:
Honestly , dont have 1 . Romo always seems to take a beating was hoping with Robbins out not tonight but guess somethings never change ...
Just think DAL has more weapons on offense to use..simplistic but true :cheers:GL 2 us
Joe Public
Gabibbo's Finest
I haven't gone through it all, SN, but it feels like you had a day somewhat like me. Had some good calls, but gave a good bit back when you started betting Fondy-style.
What's f**ked up, too, is that I liked the Cowboys and they were like the one thing I 'didn't' bet in that f**ker.
What's f**ked up, too, is that I liked the Cowboys and they were like the one thing I 'didn't' bet in that f**ker.
Thats exactly how I feel. To lazy to figure it out at the moment but basically flat day when I dont think I had many bad plays ...just as you said way to many marginal ones...Especially ATS I really didnt have many bad reads but hey its about making money and I didnt ...so today is a failure but it does feel good to fail and not lose money ...
