We have a Thursday Nite and Saturday game plus the regular slate.....
Thursday Nite....
SF @ Seattle -
Darrell Jackson is OUT but the passing game has so many weapons ...Branch , Burleson , Engram (possibly?) , Hackett , Stevans ... Seattle is looking for revenge after losing in SF earlier with Seneca Wallace
The Seahawks are home and looking to clinch the division . SF on the road has allowed a TON of points...41 (twice) , 34 (twice) , 20 and 13...(Rams & Lions...talented but mistake prone O's)...
The Hawks have had defensive issues of their own as 5 straight and 10 of 11 opponents have scored at least 20...the only one not to was a SHUTOUT of the Andrew Walter led Raiders on MNF.... SF best weapon is Frank Gore and teams have gashed SEA for 4.6 yds per carry at home...Gore 212 1st meeting on 24carries..
So basically we should see some offense as the over 42.5 looks very enticing ...what I am interested is in the Team Total for Seattle....1st H one is 14 which I like but am not crazy about...
Think Sea looks good in a teaser with say the Ravens and there are many 3rd options...Chi -3 or even Over 32.5 Sea....Not sure I wantto lay -10 though but lean heavily that well.....remember SF has struggled to score on the road ...last 2 years in SEA 75-3 Hawks!
Possibility of high winds has left me with no choice but till wait till Thursday before I decide to pass or play...
Sunday
Titans +3.5 -109 (XLarge) +170 (Small)
Vince Young continues to pull off miracles. He is 8-1 ATS , 6-3 SU with 2 1 pt losses since his starting debut vs Dallas. As many have said the man is just a winner. The one team to beat up on Tenny?? You guessed it....the Jaguars.....
The Jags have performed poorly as road chalk this year and generally been a much better team at home. On the heels of there Super Bowl win versus Indy I do expect some sort of letdown. Jas are 2-3 L5 in Tenny with both wins by 3....basically Jax was 3 pts or better favs in Wash , Buff and Houtson and are 0-3 SU.
To further its running game Chris Brown became part of the rotation in Houston with 4c for 44 yds...
Huge for Tenny trying to get to .500 @ 7-7 while Jax have NE on deck but really could anyone overlook Tenny at the moment?? Jax only 2-4 away defeating Philly and Miami with key players injured..Ronnie Brown and McNabb getting hurt early in the game....
Buffalo ML -111 (Large)...just be patient with Buff injuries
Obviously you have to like the idea of fading a warm weather team playing in Buffalo in Dec..( looks messy but warm low 50's not what I expected) It helps that Bills are 4-1 SU past 5 and 5-0 ATS versus Miami...
You have Ronnie Brown who has been out 2 weeks and Chris Chambers(8 catches past 3 years n Buffalo) who tweaked his knee last week. Obviously Miami is off a huge win and now traveling. The DEFENSE has been there key all season simply shutting down opponents....take out 1 carry and Morris was 24c for 79yds..
Buffalo seems to be getting healthy on defense as well...interestingly its been awhile since Miami has allowed 20 pts on the road.....which mean I have to lean towards the under here...past3 years in buff we have seen less then 34 pts
Odd to say but buffalo is the better offense and I think they are growing confident...Losman said tehy want to prove they have the personnel on offense to get it done...
Redskins +10 -114 (XLarge) ML +412 (Value)
The Saints showed they are for real spanking the Boys on TV!! However the Skins are flying under the radar IMO despite playing for next year. Campbell has been solid but like any young QB has made a few costly mistakes. They outgained the Eagles in yards by over 150++ , Betts is becoming a beast with 177 on the ground, the Skins had a 90 YD TD drive and settled for 4 FGS. There was also the Pick 6 thrown by Campbell that took at least 3 pts off the board for the Skins(10 pt tunaround)...the previous week a missed FG and 2 INT's inside the opponents 20...
The biggest spreads for NO have been -7 against SF and TB two teams who I would consider below Wash...The Saints offense has been on fire scoring 31 + in 5 of 6 games but despite struggling vs the run with Springs healthy the Skins pass defense has been solid of late...
The Skins ability to run the ball also aid the defense keeping it fresh and basically just keping the ball away from NO offense. The Saints have allowed 150 ++ yds rushing( 6.0 YPC) against a team with 177 per past 3...
At the end of the day I just feel Wash wil keep this competitive and hang around.....one week +7 the next week -10...?? no less to a team WASH also beat no matter how lucky....a TD was fair IMO...so I will take the gravy...
Cheifs +9 -110 (medium / Large) ML +360 (Value)
I faded KC last week cause I didnt think they should ba favored . Here I dont think SD should be such big chalk and they havent played well outside of the DEN gane as big chalk...we all know whats going down with Denver so it wasnt a suprise really...Teams like Oak and Cle have hung around with SD at home. True , they Chargers have had injury woes on defense...
What I like is Green has been able to muster a few nice games in the past vs SD defense...Larry Johnson and LT are the best backs in the league...
basically I dont see why this is bigger then a TD...despite there back to back losses they are a quality team....again look for a competitive game.....the Denver game was the first to be decided by 10 pts in the previous 5...
Looking at the rest stilll
Thursday Nite....
SF @ Seattle -
Darrell Jackson is OUT but the passing game has so many weapons ...Branch , Burleson , Engram (possibly?) , Hackett , Stevans ... Seattle is looking for revenge after losing in SF earlier with Seneca Wallace
The Seahawks are home and looking to clinch the division . SF on the road has allowed a TON of points...41 (twice) , 34 (twice) , 20 and 13...(Rams & Lions...talented but mistake prone O's)...
The Hawks have had defensive issues of their own as 5 straight and 10 of 11 opponents have scored at least 20...the only one not to was a SHUTOUT of the Andrew Walter led Raiders on MNF.... SF best weapon is Frank Gore and teams have gashed SEA for 4.6 yds per carry at home...Gore 212 1st meeting on 24carries..
So basically we should see some offense as the over 42.5 looks very enticing ...what I am interested is in the Team Total for Seattle....1st H one is 14 which I like but am not crazy about...
Think Sea looks good in a teaser with say the Ravens and there are many 3rd options...Chi -3 or even Over 32.5 Sea....Not sure I wantto lay -10 though but lean heavily that well.....remember SF has struggled to score on the road ...last 2 years in SEA 75-3 Hawks!
Possibility of high winds has left me with no choice but till wait till Thursday before I decide to pass or play...
Sunday
Titans +3.5 -109 (XLarge) +170 (Small)
Vince Young continues to pull off miracles. He is 8-1 ATS , 6-3 SU with 2 1 pt losses since his starting debut vs Dallas. As many have said the man is just a winner. The one team to beat up on Tenny?? You guessed it....the Jaguars.....
The Jags have performed poorly as road chalk this year and generally been a much better team at home. On the heels of there Super Bowl win versus Indy I do expect some sort of letdown. Jas are 2-3 L5 in Tenny with both wins by 3....basically Jax was 3 pts or better favs in Wash , Buff and Houtson and are 0-3 SU.
To further its running game Chris Brown became part of the rotation in Houston with 4c for 44 yds...
Huge for Tenny trying to get to .500 @ 7-7 while Jax have NE on deck but really could anyone overlook Tenny at the moment?? Jax only 2-4 away defeating Philly and Miami with key players injured..Ronnie Brown and McNabb getting hurt early in the game....
Buffalo ML -111 (Large)...just be patient with Buff injuries
Obviously you have to like the idea of fading a warm weather team playing in Buffalo in Dec..( looks messy but warm low 50's not what I expected) It helps that Bills are 4-1 SU past 5 and 5-0 ATS versus Miami...
You have Ronnie Brown who has been out 2 weeks and Chris Chambers(8 catches past 3 years n Buffalo) who tweaked his knee last week. Obviously Miami is off a huge win and now traveling. The DEFENSE has been there key all season simply shutting down opponents....take out 1 carry and Morris was 24c for 79yds..
Buffalo seems to be getting healthy on defense as well...interestingly its been awhile since Miami has allowed 20 pts on the road.....which mean I have to lean towards the under here...past3 years in buff we have seen less then 34 pts
Odd to say but buffalo is the better offense and I think they are growing confident...Losman said tehy want to prove they have the personnel on offense to get it done...
Redskins +10 -114 (XLarge) ML +412 (Value)
The Saints showed they are for real spanking the Boys on TV!! However the Skins are flying under the radar IMO despite playing for next year. Campbell has been solid but like any young QB has made a few costly mistakes. They outgained the Eagles in yards by over 150++ , Betts is becoming a beast with 177 on the ground, the Skins had a 90 YD TD drive and settled for 4 FGS. There was also the Pick 6 thrown by Campbell that took at least 3 pts off the board for the Skins(10 pt tunaround)...the previous week a missed FG and 2 INT's inside the opponents 20...
The biggest spreads for NO have been -7 against SF and TB two teams who I would consider below Wash...The Saints offense has been on fire scoring 31 + in 5 of 6 games but despite struggling vs the run with Springs healthy the Skins pass defense has been solid of late...
The Skins ability to run the ball also aid the defense keeping it fresh and basically just keping the ball away from NO offense. The Saints have allowed 150 ++ yds rushing( 6.0 YPC) against a team with 177 per past 3...
At the end of the day I just feel Wash wil keep this competitive and hang around.....one week +7 the next week -10...?? no less to a team WASH also beat no matter how lucky....a TD was fair IMO...so I will take the gravy...
Cheifs +9 -110 (medium / Large) ML +360 (Value)
I faded KC last week cause I didnt think they should ba favored . Here I dont think SD should be such big chalk and they havent played well outside of the DEN gane as big chalk...we all know whats going down with Denver so it wasnt a suprise really...Teams like Oak and Cle have hung around with SD at home. True , they Chargers have had injury woes on defense...
What I like is Green has been able to muster a few nice games in the past vs SD defense...Larry Johnson and LT are the best backs in the league...
basically I dont see why this is bigger then a TD...despite there back to back losses they are a quality team....again look for a competitive game.....the Denver game was the first to be decided by 10 pts in the previous 5...
Looking at the rest stilll
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