Odds
Week 15 Discussion Thread
- Thread starter VirginiaCavs
- Start date
2daBank
Voice of Reason
My 1st thought was I was gonna be pounding Steelers +4.5 vs Philly but the news on Pickens isn’t good, I know the genius oddsmakers try to tell us nobody outside qb worth more than a point but I’ve always thought that was beyond stupid. Pickens is worth way more than a point to Steelers, he is prob the difference between winning and losing this game and doesn’t sound good early in the week, maybe things will Change but hammy’s tend to linger a lot more often than heal quickly.
skanless13
Fly, Eagles, Fly!
Who do you all think going to win the NFC WEST? Looking at schedules I really can’t figure it out.
I did a quick cap of this the other night.
Likely comes down to Week #18 and the Seattle and Rams game at Sofi.
Niners starting to look like the odd team out.
Now, the Cardinals should win their next two games. Pull the upset after Xmas at Sofi and they likely get a 49ers team with nothing to play for in Week 18 and they could be in it. Win all 4 and that also created a tie breaker Win vs LAR.
Seahawks with one of the most unique schedules to end a year I've ever seen. They play the NFC North the next 3 weeks !!
Rams must win in Jersey next week. If so, that's 9 wins and they control their own destiny.
I think the Rams get it done. Seattle somehow wins against both Minny and GB then we'll see.
Hopefully for TV, this comes down to Week 18.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Can’t believe I’m saying this again but gotta think that bun Levis (who has had some decent moments outside the few times a game he makes the most unimaginable play you could think of) I think he actually is improving, last week aside when I have no clue why he couldn’t get Ridley the ball further than 6/7 yards downfield., his props should be low and quite honestly I don’t think bungals d could stop 11 of us!! Not saying I want to play titans but game script should be really good for him to be throwing a lot and without looking bet his yardage total isn’t much higher than 205-210 with plus money on ov 1.5 tds, those will both be plays im interested in. Certainly doesn’t mean cincy doesn’t mop the floor w them but i have little doubt the titans passing game can have success!! My guess the cincy props will be jacked up to high heaven so not as playable as just playing their side if you like them.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Even before last night I think I’ve become fairly convinced it the rams. Although I havnt seen schedules and that Seattle d really has something going, I was fooled by all the early injuries but now that ths HC is getting his system implemented his defensive chops are second to none, Carroll and the gm had a few really good defensive drafts on way out, that team can make life miserable for any offense and imo Mcvey lost his offensive genius card last night, he still might be very good but that ass zone read w Stafford from the 2 yard line wjen they been slamming Williams in all year against a team allowing 1.10 rushing tds a game was fucking stupid. Damn near got Stafford hurt, got a holding penalty to back them up to the 11 and killed and chance to put game away. You pound that hit 2-3x If needed, Williams scores, Game over and I cash my Williams to score rams ml parlay!! Believe it or not wasn’t even bout my bet even tho it pisses me off something serious when I got my 200 bet plus the 440isg in winnings yanked out my hands it was just so dumb, like 4 things coulda went really wrong while pounding Williams was a sure fire td. He keeps coaching like that I hope Seattle beats them out!
Good bet
2daBank
Voice of Reason
As redic as it is feel like you pretty much have to bet the browns. Under 44 goes right along w it, I’m not sure kc covers -3.5 vs my nephews high school fb team! This has 22-19 written all over it at the bookies henchman continue to do just what is asked of them, win games and never cover!!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Now I really feeling ill cause not only do I love the Ridley and Levis props but I feel like titans getting +5 or more is an absolute must play!! How do you lay 5 points w this defense? Monday night I kinda expected a big time chase and burrow game but a sleepy Sunday game nobody is gonna care about facing a titans team that usually shows up to play a game (redskins game non withstanding), I just don’t see a Max effort from Cincy until they realize they down 10 points at half and then the offense prob goes to work!! At that point tho can the d actually get the stops? I mean they did good Dallas fi 20 but one the worst run games in football had a guy go for 131 on 18 carries! Rush was awful or that game coulda went to overtime! CD put up 93 yards and like it or not the titans offense is tougher to stop than Dallas!! If you think bungals come out slow as they been known to do over the years then there certainly rooom for pollard props. Think I rather attach the pass game, pollard ov 15 rec yards seems decent enough. Only one these teams has the personnel to play legit d! Yes they facing a great offense but how motivated are they? Let me get +6 or better and I’m on titans and you can pretty much bank on the overrated bungals taking money here!!
Let's roll!!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Think I’m gonna be way more invested in Ridley and Levis props, maybe little bit of pollard. Not sure i want Levis in a shootout w burrow
Can definitely see this happening. Just feels too dirty to be a part of it. The way Chiefs D has been playing and given Browns defensive decline, which includes giving up a lot of big plays, I do think it could go over
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Sounds like potential lake effect weather there today, don’t think it cold enough for snow but certainly wind and rain
C-MAN
Grass Observer
I would not bet on Cincy not being focused. They are technically still in the playoff hunt but with no margin for error. Must win and get some help from here on out. They are also 6-1 ATS on the road this season losing close games at Chargers, ravens and Chiefs and beating all the losing teams they faced (a category that the Titans fall into).
C-MAN
Grass Observer
Yeah, should be light rain and wind all game. Pacheco props? He only carried 7 times in first game back, but increased to 14 last game. Thinking he should get a few more carries today, especially with the shitty weather.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Makes sense, outta be fairly low too
C-MAN
Grass Observer
Took over 56.5
He is not a starting pitcher.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I did as well, being a greedy asshole that I am I played yards + a td.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
He doesn’t have the arm!!!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I took Levis ov 1.5 +152, obviously burrow safer but Levis throwing against the worst secondary in the league!!
