Week 11 Discussion Thread

I feel like a trader being the commanders leading bandwagon rider but I think they starting to slide and Philly is starting to put it together. Washington could really use a healthy McAlister tonight, brown roasted them last season and not sure there any kind of scheme magic Quinn can do here. Sure he could decide to take brown away but then the run game and smith kill them. Feel like Quinn has to make it a point to take Barkley away, they can’t just have him controlling the game with 20+ rushes and 120+ yards. That gonna leave a lot of holes to exploit. Hurts gonna have room to run and his WRs are gonna have 1 on 1 all night and wash corners can’t hold up to that! These feels like a real problem for Washington, they gonna need Daniels to put on a Superman cape to keep this close and I just don’t see it.

I guess Quinn just decided to let Barkley control the game, lol. It annoyed me cause if screwed up some my props but Philly just refused to get away from giving Barkley the rock and eventually he wore them down. The thing bout Philly not being talked about enough the d, we know that offense is damn near impossible to stop with all those weapons. But those young corners are taking WRs out of games, how many catches did washigton wrs even have? 1 or 2? McLaren was totally taken away. Then that kid Carter they drafted a few year back out of Uga is becoming one those interior defenders who flat out wrecks games! How many times did washigton have 2nd and short and couldn’t pick up a 1st down cause that dude just blew up inside runs? Had to been at least 3-4 2nd and shorts where commanders lost yards the next 2 plays. Philly is the real deal, only team I see standing in lions way to go to the SB.
 
Isn’t it fair to assume kc wins majority their games regardless the ref? I dunno exact number but I assume they win well over 70% their games. Far as having doubts bout the nfl, you just starting to have those? 😂 these mfers are 2 steps from being the wwe, I been bitching for 15 years every time they install a new judgement call rule that gives ref way to much control over outcomes!
I like to give the benefit of the doubt 😆
 
When this game is a FG or more it's an auto play on the dog in this series.

For sure, always been that way for me, slightly different in the sense they were always 20-17 rock fights. Not sure ravens d can play one those games anymore and the offense far more explosive. Luckily I think the wrong team dogs here cause I do wonder if auto taking the points is as successful w ravens playing much higher scoring games. For the last 5-10 years these games have had totals under 40 which automaticly lends itself to taking the points for me. So I’m not sure that trend holds with ravens becoming an offensive team, not playing many 17-14 games these days! That said I think Steelers are an awful matchup for them so Im thrilled they dogs!
 
I dunno how ravens favs? Steelers actually have a defense. Pickens and Williams are gonna get over the top the ravens d all night! Only way ravens can prevent that would be handing the middle the field to Warren, Harris, and Friermuth. Line makes no sense! I’m not sure ppl understanding what Steelers have going on. Tomlin has never had an offense capable of hitting big plays like this, you know they gonna bring the defense. Just like last night I hated the fact I knew Philly was just better cause Im a huge Daniels fan but roster wise that was a total mismatch. This ain’t much different other than the fact ravens offense def brings a lot to the table, problem is Steelers d will make plays, ravens d hasn’t made a play all year!
 
I dunno how ravens favs? Steelers actually have a defense. Pickens and Williams are gonna get over the top the ravens d all night! Only way ravens can prevent that would be handing the middle the field to Warren, Harris, and Friermuth. Line makes no sense! I’m not sure ppl understanding what Steelers have going on. Tomlin has never had an offense capable of hitting big plays like this, you know they gonna bring the defense. Just like last night I hated the fact I knew Philly was just better cause Im a huge Daniels fan but roster wise that was a total mismatch. This ain’t much different other than the fact ravens offense def brings a lot to the table, problem is Steelers d will make plays, ravens d hasn’t made a play all year!
Spot on!
 
Kinda surprised chargers not laying more. Cincy d Is so bad, this has to be the biggest coaching mismatch in the nfl. Chargers are gonna control this game cause how is Cincy gonna get them off the field? Burrow be lucky to get 6 possessions.
 
Feel like Rams should wax pats but Mcvey kinda turned into a pussy on Monday night settling for 5 fgs!
 
Is cousins gonna play this week? I like Penix but making your 1st start in Denver against that d could be a problem
 
Lots of injuries for Bills. Butker out for the Chiefs.

I can’t picture a world where i won’t be on kc as dogs. I can’t stand playing them as favs as they clearly have some kinda deal w nfl where they get any call they need to win a game late long as the don’t cover! But you telling me I just gotta win? They don’t lose! Like ever! What is mahomes like 12-3 as a dog? Yes I’ll take that please.
 
KC a great teaser partner too. Looks like a good week for teasers overall with KC, Pit, Cincy, Wash (thank god for that last TD) all dogs in what should be coin flip games. And teams like GB, Miami, Rams and Hou can be teased to just have to win vs inferior opponents. Sucker bets they may be, but some weeks they are gold.
 
KC a great teaser partner too. Looks like a good week for teasers overall with KC, Pit, Cincy, Wash (thank god for that last TD) all dogs in what should be coin flip games. And teams like GB, Miami, Rams and Hou can be teased to just have to win vs inferior opponents. Sucker bets they may be, but some weeks they are gold.

That stupid td. I played Philly -7.5 and -10.5 on alt lines, lol. Still worked out pretty well. Forget teasing Steelers, for 1 I hate teasing what I expect to be higher scoring games, as we been talking bout this ain’t exactly the ravens/Steelers games we grown accustomed to, hell the total is damn near what it woulda been combined in both games in years past! 😂 (little hyperbole but I damn sure couldn’t tell you last time I saw a Steelers/ravens total at 49!!).. 2nd Steelers winning this bitch outright. I’m not only not taking the points considering playing a Steelers -3.5 alt line (depending where I can get it). Im so baffled by this line, I guess I’m a way bigger buyer on the new look Steelers than others, but just the defenses alone it insane to me ravens laying a fg on the road!

Dont like cincy but I mean yea, if you can get them over a td I doubt that more than a 1 score game. Atl might be ok in that group, donks another team that ain’t playing high scoring games.
 
KC a great teaser partner too. Looks like a good week for teasers overall with KC, Pit, Cincy, Wash (thank god for that last TD) all dogs in what should be coin flip games. And teams like GB, Miami, Rams and Hou can be teased to just have to win vs inferior opponents. Sucker bets they may be, but some weeks they are gold.

Houston feels like a lead pipe lock to win. I don’t say this much in the nfl but there is no chance in hell Dallas winning that game! I don’t exactly trust fish but I’d feel pretty safe with a packers/texans tease ticket. Or be greedy and throw kc in! But why add those points? If the game is that close isn’t it like a 90% chance kc finds a way to win it? lol
 
I love the browns this week, even tho little weary of going against a team who had a coaching change but imo browns are so much better without Watson. Feels poetic for Winston to come back to big easy and beat the saints.
 
I like this card. Feel like this could be 1st time all year I actually get over the 3 win hump in pick club! I even had to leave a game off! Of course this means I’ll prob miss my next 4 after hitting Philly.
 
I love the browns this week, even tho little weary of going against a team who had a coaching change but imo browns are so much better without Watson. Feels poetic for Winston to come back to big easy and beat the saints.
I know this doesn’t surprise you, but Browns leapt out to me as well. Clearly better team on both sides of the ball and I don’t see what matchup details could favor Saints
 
LaPorta OUT Sunday for Detroit.
Oh no, Detroit might be in danger of losing.

On a more serious note, I saw that Amon-Ra has improved tremendously over the years against press-man. This might be a big day for him, except I don’t know how much Leos will have to pass. Granted Jax run D has been pretty good actually, although Lions are another level running the ball.

Remains to be seen if Jax really improved defensively last week or if Darnold was just continuing to struggle
 
Chiefs haven’t had Land Clark since week 12 of last year against the Raiders. A game in which they were called for 4 penalties for 40 yards

The Raiders were called for (checks notes) no penalties.

Some need a new hobby.
 
This pretty much sums it up

If you aren't feeling one side or another, look at the Circa Million selections: 1,440 took the Chiefs +2, while 1,412 took the Bills.

Butker injury could make the difference, the KC kicker knows he's basically trying out for another team if there's a pressure kick. Personally I wouldn't feel comfy giving points against that team with my money.
 
I’d stay away from playing over in the Balt-Pgh game tomorrow - Heinz field will be torn up after the Clemson/Pitt game today and that could slow down the offenses a bit.

Even tho this an entirely different ravens team and I think Steelers have actually found an offense there still no chance I’m playing over 48.5 w those 2. Think it be more like 24-20 compared the the 17-16 games they been playing the last 5 years, but 49? I can’t get there.
 
I like the Rams to bounce back. Parlaying Rams ml with Packers ml +106. I don’t see my Packers losing today.

I’d be pretty shocked if packers lost. Bears need a complete coaching staff overhaul, not firing one scapegoat in middle the year, they shoulda did it this past offseason but typical bears fashion they don’t do much right.
 
@B.A.R. let's talk and work together. What are you thinking today?

My initial thoughts is that Mac Jones was abysmal last week and I don't know why this week should be any different. Jags won't rely on running the ball against Detroit's defense. So I don't know where the offense is going to come from. I'm less certain about how much Detroit will score. Detroit ?, Jaguars 10
 
New grass field in Denver - another place where field conditions could affect the game.

God I hate these added things to worry bout. Got the ku win last night (somehow) but that field was slick as snot and think it really hampered ku offense.
 
Yeah, I’m not a grass expert, but after only a couple weeks, I can’t imagine the field not getting torn up pretty quickly.
 
Public service announcement!!!

Ya’ll know cincy the bet tonight right? I’m 3-1 in pick club and I never go anything but 3-2 maybe 2-3 few bad weeks but actually hitting 4 or 5 never ever ever happens. Check the books if ya don’t believe me. Once I have 3 wins fade the shit out of any picks I have left! I don’t get it, with my bets im like the streakiest mfer alive, don’t know many that can hang when im hot and a retarded 3 legged dog could do better when I’m cold. So you would think I have some 5-0 and 0-5 weeks but for the last 2 years pretty sure there maybe been 2 weeks i wasn’t 3-2 or 2-3. After chargers lose that will make like 8 3-2 weeks, maybe 9 but think 8. Pretty sure it was the same last year also, im a 3-2 machine, it’s so unexciting. I think im
Gonna try to lose 5 next week and see what happens, I’ll prob still go 2-3! Lol
 
Public service announcement!!!

Ya’ll know cincy the bet tonight right? I’m 3-1 in pick club and I never go anything but 3-2 maybe 2-3 few bad weeks but actually hitting 4 or 5 never ever ever happens. Check the books if ya don’t believe me. Once I have 3 wins fade the shit out of any picks I have left! I don’t get it, with my bets im like the streakiest mfer alive, don’t know many that can hang when im hot and a retarded 3 legged dog could do better when I’m cold. So you would think I have some 5-0 and 0-5 weeks but for the last 2 years pretty sure there maybe been 2 weeks i wasn’t 3-2 or 2-3. After chargers lose that will make like 8 3-2 weeks, maybe 9 but think 8. Pretty sure it was the same last year also, im a 3-2 machine, it’s so unexciting. I think im
Gonna try to lose 5 next week and see what happens, I’ll prob still go 2-3! Lol
You and me both. I’m 2-2 with Cincy pending in mine so I’m guaranteed to be 3-2 or 2-3 again…
 
You and me both. I’m 2-2 with Cincy pending in mine so I’m guaranteed to be 3-2 or 2-3 again…

I guess the bright side Is I’ve managed to go 3-2 80% the weeks but man im annoyed I can’t put together a few 4-5 win weeks! Actually looking like I am gonna hit 4 for the 1st time this season. Now I gotta assume I’ll go 1-4 next week. 😂 although I do feel like I’m seeing some things fairly well, problem is the stronger my sides have got lately my props have fallen way off, both nfl and ncaa, I just can’t get a hot steak to jump off, bunch of back and forth bull shit.,
 
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Hou has the week after Det curse…I couldn’t give you any other reason to take Dallas. Although, they actually competed in the first half vs Philly.
 
Houston offense has been pretty horrible for a bit now. 7.5 seems like a lot but Dallas is tanking.
 
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