E.T.G.
One of trus baby mommas
Favorites: 24-24
Dogs: 17-7
Totals: 3-3
ML Parlay: 1-1
Overall: 45-35 +16.67units
SouthCar: 4-1
Pending: UF+800 (2 to win 16)
Bailed out early on the week because I went out to NYC friday night and didn't get home until about 7am. My whole day was ruined as I sat paralyzed on the couch. Had a good week though and I'm pleased with how my year is finishing, except for my record on Favs.
Balls -7 (waiting for line to drop):
I see no point in betting this game right now as I fully expect to get BSU-5 or -5.5, even -6 by Wednesday. I believe a lot of people are going to jump on CMU because they are 2x defending MAC champ, they are home, they beat Ball St ass last year by 20. I've been waiting for this game since I saw CMU play Toledo. Ball St comes into this game 10-0 with obvious revenge and MAC West title in sights. CMU comes into this game as defending MAC Champ, at home, and its senior day. Both teams should be equally motivated to win the big prize. I see quite a few differences in these teams though. Common opponents:
Toledo: BSU won 31-0, CMU won 24-23
Indiana: BSU won 42-20, CMU won 37-34
NoIlly: BSU won 45-14, CMU won 33-30 in OT.
Ok, I will forgive CMU for the NoIlly comeback, they still held on to win by a pubic hair even though they got up 30-6 with 17 minutes to play. BSU has won every game this season by double digits. CMU has had near death experiences with NoIlly, Indiana, Toledo, Buffalo, and Ohio and there is 1 simple reason for this, their defense, more importantly, their pass defense SUCKS. CMU had a starter go down at the end of the NoIlly game as well, I do not know his name nor his status but he didn't look too healthy leaving the field. Dan LeFevour also left the last play from scrimmage limping off the field. LeFevour has been bothered by an ankle injury for nearly a month now. Everyone should know how easy it is to reinjure an ankle, especially for a mobile QB like LeFevour. I will make this play assuming he is good to go but in the back of my mind I know he can go down at any moment if hit wrong in this game. Sure, CMU has Brunner who has performed well when given the chance, but do you really want to go point for point without LeFevour? I wouldn't. Back to CMU's pass defense.
Harnish = 288yd
Chappel/Lewis = 213yd
Opelt = 216yd
Hiller = 471yd
Willy = 270yd
Painter - 261yd
Jackson = 365yd
I understand CMU won all of those games except the Purdue game, but, that won't cut it against Ball St and Nate Davis (2,647yd-68%-19td-7int). Don't forget though, Ball St also rushes for around 200ypg on the ground and CMU has been gashed by the run a lot lately. This CMU defense is a real liability, very real.
I fully believe Ball St is the better team and this is a very decisive 10-13point win for Ball St and I'm being conservative with respect to CMU..This is not a TD game imo. Sure you can bring up that Ball St really hasn't been challenged this year so how will they do under pressure in a close game but I believe I got the better team with the better offense and the better defense. As I said, I haven't bet it yet because I see no point when floods of money is going to come in on CMU. Be careful for blindly betting this home team with no defense just because you have a 2x MAC defending champ and they are dogs. They are outclassed here and there is a change of power in the conference. <!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
Dogs: 17-7
Totals: 3-3
ML Parlay: 1-1
Overall: 45-35 +16.67units
SouthCar: 4-1
Pending: UF+800 (2 to win 16)
Bailed out early on the week because I went out to NYC friday night and didn't get home until about 7am. My whole day was ruined as I sat paralyzed on the couch. Had a good week though and I'm pleased with how my year is finishing, except for my record on Favs.
Balls -7 (waiting for line to drop):
I see no point in betting this game right now as I fully expect to get BSU-5 or -5.5, even -6 by Wednesday. I believe a lot of people are going to jump on CMU because they are 2x defending MAC champ, they are home, they beat Ball St ass last year by 20. I've been waiting for this game since I saw CMU play Toledo. Ball St comes into this game 10-0 with obvious revenge and MAC West title in sights. CMU comes into this game as defending MAC Champ, at home, and its senior day. Both teams should be equally motivated to win the big prize. I see quite a few differences in these teams though. Common opponents:
Toledo: BSU won 31-0, CMU won 24-23
Indiana: BSU won 42-20, CMU won 37-34
NoIlly: BSU won 45-14, CMU won 33-30 in OT.
Ok, I will forgive CMU for the NoIlly comeback, they still held on to win by a pubic hair even though they got up 30-6 with 17 minutes to play. BSU has won every game this season by double digits. CMU has had near death experiences with NoIlly, Indiana, Toledo, Buffalo, and Ohio and there is 1 simple reason for this, their defense, more importantly, their pass defense SUCKS. CMU had a starter go down at the end of the NoIlly game as well, I do not know his name nor his status but he didn't look too healthy leaving the field. Dan LeFevour also left the last play from scrimmage limping off the field. LeFevour has been bothered by an ankle injury for nearly a month now. Everyone should know how easy it is to reinjure an ankle, especially for a mobile QB like LeFevour. I will make this play assuming he is good to go but in the back of my mind I know he can go down at any moment if hit wrong in this game. Sure, CMU has Brunner who has performed well when given the chance, but do you really want to go point for point without LeFevour? I wouldn't. Back to CMU's pass defense.
Harnish = 288yd
Chappel/Lewis = 213yd
Opelt = 216yd
Hiller = 471yd
Willy = 270yd
Painter - 261yd
Jackson = 365yd
I understand CMU won all of those games except the Purdue game, but, that won't cut it against Ball St and Nate Davis (2,647yd-68%-19td-7int). Don't forget though, Ball St also rushes for around 200ypg on the ground and CMU has been gashed by the run a lot lately. This CMU defense is a real liability, very real.
I fully believe Ball St is the better team and this is a very decisive 10-13point win for Ball St and I'm being conservative with respect to CMU..This is not a TD game imo. Sure you can bring up that Ball St really hasn't been challenged this year so how will they do under pressure in a close game but I believe I got the better team with the better offense and the better defense. As I said, I haven't bet it yet because I see no point when floods of money is going to come in on CMU. Be careful for blindly betting this home team with no defense just because you have a 2x MAC defending champ and they are dogs. They are outclassed here and there is a change of power in the conference. <!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
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