Week 13 ML Dogs
- Thread starter ProV1Colt
- Start date
RetroVK
This claim is disputed
Illini 28 I wanna say
Leggo TCU
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
I am going to take these, will post final number in a hour or so.
Wake Forest +289
This has been steadily coming down. We know WF D is vulnerable and Duke possesses a pretty good O. I wonder how much Duke has in the tank for little ole Wake here. Devils have been in a grinder...final second loss to Pitt, big win at Miami, UNC back-and-forth and got beat up at Clemson....Duke has allowed 327 rushing ypg in those last 4! WF has had trouble putting complete games together...they led 10-0 vs both FSU and Syracuse and led Pitt 10-6 into the 3rd qrt last week. Interesting thing here, the last two years BC and Duke both got their 6th win in a ssn finale facing Wake. Now it's Wake's turn to do it. Newman will need to play more like he did on the road vs NCSt 22-33-297-3-0, 44y rushing than like he did vs Pitt last week 15-30-206-1-2, -8y rushing. Looks like both of Dukes good starting LBs are out - Humphreys got injured last week and Giles-Harris has been out for a couple.
Minnesota +330
At one point this week I actually thought about betting Wisconsin, that is a surefire sign I need to bet Minnesota who I always bet in this series...and always lose. Good comeback for Bucky vs PU last week, but this is the most vulnerable Wisconsin has been in years. Never know what Minnesota team is going to show up, so that means they can lose 38-10 (expected) or win 21-20 (what I'm betting on). Makes no sense I know! Betting Minnesota in this series is the definition of insanity. Bucky won the last 14. We try and forget the 31-0 loss last year. Minny has had some closer ones, they led by 17-7 at HT 2016 before being shut out in the 2nd H and lost 31-17. 2015 it was tied 14-14 before UW won 31-21 . 2014 Min led 17-3 and trailed by just 3 late in the 4th before UW scored late to win by 10. Not sure where this Min team ranks among those, but I know where this Wisconsin team ranks.
Maryland +358
I played a Maryland Ov 5 RSW that I actually loved before all the Durkin stuff hit, then backed off a bit. This was a game I thought Mary could possibly win. Many games this year Maryland has exceeded my expectations while Penn State appears to be slumping (avg just 291 ypg last 4 weeks). I am worried on two fronts that 1) PSU will play better than last week...I hate betting against a decent team who played a stinker the prior week. And 2) It is going to be hard for Maryland can duplicate what they did last week, although they had 542y vs Indiana outgaining them by 150y+ so they have shown they can put together strong back-to-back offensive games. So that sets up badly. McSorely is having a pretty bad year compared to what he has done and hasn't been the same running threat since the Iowa game. Terps are very one dimensional outside of the occasional deep ball....PSU D has allowed 4.98 ypc or worse rushing 4x this year. The last two years have not been close. At all. Maryland has played 3 bad games this year, the Temple game where they appeared to not care, the Iowa game was at the peak of Herky's 2017 greatness and Mich St who just smothered them. Hopefully they care this week, PSU is nowhere near their peak and while I don't expect it I suppose PSU could smother them..outside of one run, they shut down Wisconsin pretty good.
BYU +330
Running out of time, but BYU has lost 7 straight Holy Wars. But they are close. Last year was a 6 pt game (although BYU grossly outgained), 2016 was a 1 pt game (Utah lost 6 TOs), 2015 7 pt game, 2014 DNP, 2013 7 pt game, 2012 3 pt game, 2011 was 54-10, 2010 was 17-16m 2009 went to OT and the last BYU won in a walkoff. The BYU 2006 and 2007 games were some of the best finishes you will ever see. This game has a way of being close even when it shouldn't.
Wake Forest +289
This has been steadily coming down. We know WF D is vulnerable and Duke possesses a pretty good O. I wonder how much Duke has in the tank for little ole Wake here. Devils have been in a grinder...final second loss to Pitt, big win at Miami, UNC back-and-forth and got beat up at Clemson....Duke has allowed 327 rushing ypg in those last 4! WF has had trouble putting complete games together...they led 10-0 vs both FSU and Syracuse and led Pitt 10-6 into the 3rd qrt last week. Interesting thing here, the last two years BC and Duke both got their 6th win in a ssn finale facing Wake. Now it's Wake's turn to do it. Newman will need to play more like he did on the road vs NCSt 22-33-297-3-0, 44y rushing than like he did vs Pitt last week 15-30-206-1-2, -8y rushing. Looks like both of Dukes good starting LBs are out - Humphreys got injured last week and Giles-Harris has been out for a couple.
Minnesota +330
At one point this week I actually thought about betting Wisconsin, that is a surefire sign I need to bet Minnesota who I always bet in this series...and always lose. Good comeback for Bucky vs PU last week, but this is the most vulnerable Wisconsin has been in years. Never know what Minnesota team is going to show up, so that means they can lose 38-10 (expected) or win 21-20 (what I'm betting on). Makes no sense I know! Betting Minnesota in this series is the definition of insanity. Bucky won the last 14. We try and forget the 31-0 loss last year. Minny has had some closer ones, they led by 17-7 at HT 2016 before being shut out in the 2nd H and lost 31-17. 2015 it was tied 14-14 before UW won 31-21 . 2014 Min led 17-3 and trailed by just 3 late in the 4th before UW scored late to win by 10. Not sure where this Min team ranks among those, but I know where this Wisconsin team ranks.
Maryland +358
I played a Maryland Ov 5 RSW that I actually loved before all the Durkin stuff hit, then backed off a bit. This was a game I thought Mary could possibly win. Many games this year Maryland has exceeded my expectations while Penn State appears to be slumping (avg just 291 ypg last 4 weeks). I am worried on two fronts that 1) PSU will play better than last week...I hate betting against a decent team who played a stinker the prior week. And 2) It is going to be hard for Maryland can duplicate what they did last week, although they had 542y vs Indiana outgaining them by 150y+ so they have shown they can put together strong back-to-back offensive games. So that sets up badly. McSorely is having a pretty bad year compared to what he has done and hasn't been the same running threat since the Iowa game. Terps are very one dimensional outside of the occasional deep ball....PSU D has allowed 4.98 ypc or worse rushing 4x this year. The last two years have not been close. At all. Maryland has played 3 bad games this year, the Temple game where they appeared to not care, the Iowa game was at the peak of Herky's 2017 greatness and Mich St who just smothered them. Hopefully they care this week, PSU is nowhere near their peak and while I don't expect it I suppose PSU could smother them..outside of one run, they shut down Wisconsin pretty good.
BYU +330
Running out of time, but BYU has lost 7 straight Holy Wars. But they are close. Last year was a 6 pt game (although BYU grossly outgained), 2016 was a 1 pt game (Utah lost 6 TOs), 2015 7 pt game, 2014 DNP, 2013 7 pt game, 2012 3 pt game, 2011 was 54-10, 2010 was 17-16m 2009 went to OT and the last BYU won in a walkoff. The BYU 2006 and 2007 games were some of the best finishes you will ever see. This game has a way of being close even when it shouldn't.
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
Last real Saturday of the year. Give us upsets of all shapes and sizes. I want black to be white. Up to be down. Give us one of those crazy crazy days when the day is over all we can say is 'wow'. UPSETS! Auburn, Carolina, USC bring it.
WF 50 to win 144
Minny 50 to win 165
Mary 50 to win 159
BYU 50 to win 115
Utah State 200 to win 234
WF 50 to win 144
Minny 50 to win 165
Mary 50 to win 159
BYU 50 to win 115
Utah State 200 to win 234
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Going to watch UGA v GT game. Hoping for one of these.
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
+$9. Well that's gamblin'
RetroVK
This claim is disputed
BYU not winning was just sad. The Pick six was just crushing.
Last edited:
