Week 12 in the FCS

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Thursday, November 14

MatchupTime (ET)TV/Mobile
Grambling State at Alabama A&M8:00pmESPNU

Friday, November 15

MatchupTime (ET)TV/Mobile
Howard at NC Central8:00pmESPNU

Saturday, November 16

MatchupTime (ET)TV/Mobile
Sacred Heart at Merrimack12:00pmESPN+
Robert Morris at CCSU12:00pmNEC Front Row
Princeton at Yale12:00pmESPN+
Northern Iowa at Youngstown State12:00pmMVFC TV/ESPN+
Colgate at Lehigh12:00pmESPN+
Furman at ETSU12:00pmESPN+
North Carolina A&T at Towson12:00pmFloFootball
Villanova at Monmouth12:00pmFloFootball
Saint Francis U. at LIU12:00pmNEC Front Row
Columbia at Brown12:00pmESPN+
Wagner at Duquesne12:00pmNEC Front Row
Delaware State at Norfolk State12:00pmESPN+
Presbyterian at Marist12:00pmESPN+
Valparaiso at Dayton12:00pmFacebook Live
Bucknell at Holy Cross12:00pmESPN+
Stonehill at Lafayette12:30pmLSN
Georgetown at Fordham1:00pmSNY/ESPN+
Dartmouth at Cornell1:00pmESPN+
Campbell at Delaware1:00pmFloFootball
Illinois State at Indiana State1:00pmESPN+
Morehead State at Drake1:00pmESPN+
VMI at Western Carolina1:00pmESPN+
MVSU at Florida A&M1:00pmtheGrio
UAlbany at Rhode Island1:00pmFloFootball
Stony Brook at New Hampshire1:00pmFloFootball
Richmond at Hampton1:00pmFloFootball
South Dakota at North Dakota1:00pmMidco/ESPN+
Bryant at William & Mary1:00pmFloFootball
Charleston So. at Eastern Illinois1:00pmESPN+
St. Thomas at Butler1:00pmFloFootball
Harvard at Penn1:00pmESPN+
Samford at Chattanooga1:30pmESPN+
The Citadel at Wofford1:30pmESPN+
Murray State at Kentucky1:30pmSECN+/ESPN+
McNeese at Northwestern State2:00pmESPN+
Eastern Kentucky at Austin Peay2:00pmESPN+
HCU at East Texas A&M2:00pmESPN+
Maine at Elon2:00pmFloFootball
Western Illinois at Southeast Missouri2:00pmESPN+
Mercer at 11 Alabama2:00pmSECN+/ESPN+
Northern Arizona at Northern Colorado3:00pmESPN+
Portland State at Montana3:00pmMTN/ESPN+
Southern Illinois at South Dakota State3:00pmMidco/ESPN+
Bethune-Cookman at Texas Southern3:00pmSWAC DN
Tennessee Tech at UT Martin3:00pmESPN+
UAPB at Southern3:00pmJSN
Alcorn State at Prairie View A&M3:00pmESPN+
Jackson State at Alabama State3:00pmESPN+
UIW at Stephen F. Austin3:00pmESPN+
Missouri State at North Dakota State3:30pmABC ND/ESPN+
Idaho State at Eastern Washington4:00pmSWX/ESPN+
Tennessee State at Gardner-Webb4:00pmESPN+
SC State at Morgan State4:00pmESPN+
Stetson at San Diego4:00pmESPN+
Nicholls at Lamar4:00pmESPN+
West Georgia at Utah Tech4:00pmESPN+
Sacramento State at Cal Poly5:00pmESPN+
Southern Utah at Central Arkansas5:00pmESPN+
Abilene Christian at Tarleton State7:00pmESPN+
Montana State at UC Davis8:00pmMy58 / Scripps / ESPN+
Weber State at Idaho8:00pmESPN+/SWX
 
Big Sky


AwayHomeResultLocationLinks
Saturday 11/9/2024
Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 43
Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado 15


Final
Greeley, Colo. (Conf.) Box Score
Saturday 11/9/2024
Sacramento State
Sacramento State 7
Montana State
Montana State 49


Final
Bozeman, MT (Conf.) Box Score
Saturday 11/9/2024
Idaho State
Idaho State 43
Weber State
Weber State 35


Final
Ogden, Utah (Conf.) Box Score
Saturday 11/9/2024
Idaho
Idaho 39
Portland State
Portland State 30


Final
Hillsboro, OR (Conf.) Box Score
Saturday 11/9/2024
Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona 31
Cal Poly
Cal Poly 14


Final
San Luis Obispo, Calif. (Conf.) Box Score
Saturday 11/9/2024
UC Davis
UC Davis 30
Montana
Montana 14


Final
Missoula, Mont. (Conf.) Box Score

Big South / OVC


Lindenwood won its first-ever game over Southeast Missouri, knocking off the nationally-ranked Redhawks on a rainy day in St. Charles. After its blowout win at Charleston Southern, UT Martin moved into a tie for first place with SEMO at 5-1 with two games to play. Gardner-Webb tallied 11 sacks in its victory over Eastern Illinois, Tennessee State rebounded with a win at Western Illinois to improve to 7-3 on the season, and Tennessee Tech won a non-conference game at Samford in scoring 27 second half points.

LINDENWOOD 24, #6/6 SOUTHEAST MISSOURI 12 | BOX SCORE
The Lindenwood football team picked up a 24-12 win over No. 6 Southeast Missouri State to claim the "Game Ball Brawl" trophy on Saturday afternoon at Hunter Stadium. It marked the Lions first-ever win over SEMO as well as first victory over a nationally-ranekd FCS opponent in its third year of Division I football. Lindenwood scored 14 second quarter points to grab a lead and salted the game away with 10 second half points. Lindenwood was able to chew up the clock in the fourth quarter, having the ball for 11 minutes. On a rainy day, Lindenwood was able to hold SEMO to 234 yards of total offense. Lindenwood QB Nate Glantz was 13-of-20 for 183 yards and two passing touchdowns while adding a rushing score.

UT MARTIN 40, CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 14 | BOX SCORE
UT Martin went on the road and picked up its sixth consecutive victory by knocking off Big South-OVC Football Association foe Charleston Southern by a 40-14 decision. In conjunction with a road loss by No. 6 Southeast Missouri to Lindenwood, the Skyhawks now sit in a two-way tie atop the Big South-OVC Association standings. The Skyhawks dominated on both sides of the ball with 491 yards of total offense while holding the Buccaneers to 209 yards in their final home game of the season. UT Martin tallied 237 rushing yards while passing for 254 yards and recording four offensive touchdowns. On the defensive side, the squad notched three interceptions and forced a pair of fumbles in the victory. Quarterback Kinkead Dent was responsible for three total touchdowns as he completed 13-of-26 pass attempts for two touchdowns while also tallying a rushing touchdown in the victory.

GARDNER-WEBB 31, EASTERN ILLINOIS 28 | BOX SCORE
The Gardner-Webb (4-6, 3-3) football team put on a defensive display, recording 11 sacks while holding off a late rally by Eastern Illinois (2-8, 1-5) in a 31-28 win on Saturday afternoon. Redshirt-junior linebacker Trevor Moffitt led the 'Dawgs with seven tackles to go along with 2.0 sacks and 2.5 tackles for loss. Senior defensive back Jeff Bowens added a team-high eight total tackles while senior defensive lineman Antonio O'Berry set a career high with four sacks. Redshirt-senior quarterback Tyler Riddell led the offensive charge with 337 yards passing on 26-of-34, throwing one touchdown. EIU wide receiver Cooper Willman caught 11 passes for 291 yards and three touchdowns; entering the day the highest single-game receiving yards mark nationally in 2024 was 244 yards.

TENNESSEE STATE 45, WESTERN ILLINOIS 20 | BOX SCORE
Early Offense and constant play along with a pair of QB scramble touchdowns by Tevin Carter led the Tennessee State football team over Western Illinois, 45-20, on Saturday afternoon. The Tigers improved to 7-3 on the year, 4-2 in league games. Draylen Ellis led Tennessee State's passing attack with 182 yards through the air, tossing two touchdowns and one interception. Tyler Jones showed out for the Tennessee State defense, totaling one interception. Chris Walker added five tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks and Ahmad Nelson had 11 tackles and one recovered fumble in the win. The Tigers won the turnover battle in Saturday's game, forcing two turnovers while coughing the ball up one time. Tennessee State converted on 64.3 percent of third-down attempts on the day. The Tigers also went 1-for-1 on fourth down.

TENNESSEE TECH 27, SAMFORD 7 | BOX SCORE
After a scoreless game at halftime, Tennessee Tech exploded for 20 points in a span of 3:25 in the third quarter, including blocking a punt and returning it 31 yards for a touchdown in a 27-7 road victory. Tremel Jones added a 57-yard rushing score in the fourth quarter to cap the scoring as TTU won its third game in a row. The Golden Eagles defense limited Samford to just 184 yards on the day, including 19 on the ground.

CAA

Delaware 24, Rhode Island 21
Box Score


Marcus Yarns rushed for a career-high 174 yards and a touchdown as Delaware (8-1, 5-1 CAA) edged Rhode Island (8-2, 5-1 CAA), 24-21, ending the Rams’ seven-game winning streak. UD linebacker Gavin Moul sealed the victory by intercepting a pass with 34 seconds to play.

A 1-yard TD run by quarterback Nick Minicucci gave the Blue Hens an early 7-0 lead. However, Rhode Island was able to answer quickly as Marquis Buchanan caught a 22-yard scoring pass from Hunter Helms, and Devin Hightower returned a fumble 21-yards for a TD 13 seconds later to put URI ahead, 14-7, late in the first quarter. Yarns evened the game with a 27-yard TD run early in the second quarter and 25-yard Nate Reed field goal put the Hens ahead 17-14 at the half. UD pushed its advantage to 24-14 on a 7-yard TD catch by Jake Thaw late in the third quarter, but URI battled back within three on a 20-yard scoring grab by Greg Gaines with 6:23 to go. The Rams got the ball back with less than a minute left, but Moul’s interception ended the threat. Minicucci finished with 187 yards passing for UD and Helms threw for 181 yards for URI. Hightower recorded a team-best 10 tackles for the Rams and Dillon Trainer had eight stops and 2.0 TFL’s for the Hens.

Richmond 27, Campbell 24
Box Score


Brandon Peskin kicked a game-winning 36-yard field goal with one second to play as Richmond (8-2, 6-0 CAA) took over sole possession of first place in the CAA with a 27-24 victory at Campbell (3-7, 1-5 CAA).

Campbell built a 17-7 halftime lead behind a 90-yard kickoff return for a TD by Randall King and a 40-yard Connor Lytton field goal. The Spiders pulled even in the third quarter on a 1-yard scoring run from Zach Palmer-Smith and a 36-yard Peskin field goal. The Camels went back on top as Sincere Brown caught a 14-yard TD pass from Mike Chandler II with 9:59 remaining, but Richmond responded with a 76-yard drive and tied the game on a 9-yard TD pass from Cam Coleman to Ja’Vion Griffin. The Spiders’ defense was able to make a 4th-down stop with 1:56 to go, and then drove into position for Peskin’s game-winning kick. Coleman passed for 252 yards and 2 TD’s and added 55 yards on the ground, while Matthew Traynor led the Spiders’ defense with 12 tackles, 2.0 TFL’s and an interception. For Campbell, Chandler passed for 128 yards and a TD and ran for 121 yards and a TD.

Elon 40, William & Mary 34
Box Score


Onuma Dieke caught a 15-yard TD pass from Matthew Downing with five seconds to play to lift Elon (4-6, 3-3 CAA) over William & Mary (6-4, 3-3 CAA), 40-36. Downing finished with 315 yards and four touchdowns through the air and added another on the ground.

In a game that featured four lead changes in the final nine minutes, William & Mary took a 28-27 lead on a 16-yard run by Darius Wilson with 8:58 to play. Elon responded with a 69-yard scoring drive capped by a 1-yard Downing run to go back on top, 33-28 with 5:12 to go. The Tribe answered by driving 78 yards and regained the advantage, 36-33, on Bronson Yoder’s 3-yard run with 1:31 left. However, the Phoenix was able to move down the field, including converting a 4th-and-17 situation, and tallied the winning score on Dieke’ s leaping grab in the corner of the end zone. Along with Downing’s big day, Rushawn Baker ran for 167 yards for Elon. Wilson passed for 181 yards and ran for 87 for W&M, while Sean McElwain made a pair of TD catches.

Stony Brook 24, UAlbany 6
Box Score


Roland Dempster ran for 98 yards and two touchdowns and Stony Brook’s defense forced four turnovers as the Seawolves (8-2, 5-1 CAA) claimed the Golden Apple by defeating UAlbany (3-7, 1-5 CAA), 24-6.

SBU went ahead 7-0 on its opening drive on Dempster’s 2-yard run. However, UAlbany closed within 7-6 at the half following a 23-yard TD pass from Van Weber to Caden Burti. The Seawolves took advantage of a UA fumble to add a 41-yard Enda Kirby field goal in the third quarter. After making a fourth-down stop, SBU was able to put together a 10-play, 90-yard drive capped by a 20-yard TD toss from Tyler Knoop to Jayce Freeman to go up 17-6 with 11:51 remaining. An interception by SBU’s Tyson McCloud set up Dempster’s 4-yard TD run with 2:41 to play. Knoop finished with 229 yards passing, while Weber threw for 201 yards. Defensively, Ron Holmes made 14 tackles for the Great Danes and Shamoun Duncan-Niusulu had 11 stops for the Seawolves

Towson 27, Hampton 10
Box Score


Towson (5-5, 3-3 CAA) sprinted out to a 27-0 halftime lead and went on to a 27-10 triumph over Hampton (5-5, 2-4 CAA). Tigers’ quarterback Sean Brown threw for 141 yards and a touchdown and added a TD on the ground, while Daniel Raymond contributed a 62-yard pick six.

Towson went on top 14-0 in the first quarter after Brown scored on a 12-yard run and then connected on an 8-yard TD pass to Carter Runyon less than three minutes later that was set up by an interception by the Tigers’ Myles Brodie. Towson added to its advantage in the second quarter following field goals of 24 and 32 yards by Keegan Vaughan and Raymond’s pick six. Hampton cut into the deficit with a third-quarter field goal by Brian Csehoski and a 3-yard TD run by Chris Zellous with 2:14 remaining. Zellous passed for 132 yards and ran for 33, while Ja’Quan Snipes added 80 yards on the ground. Will Middleton made 10 tackles for the TU defense and Nchabanu Fortaboh had 1.5 sacks.

Maine 38, Bryant 26
Box Score


Carter Peevy passed for 269 yards and four first-half touchdowns as Maine (5-5, 3-3 CAA) built a 35-0 halftime advantage and held off Bryant (2-8, 0-6 CAA), 38-26.

Peevy hit Joe Gillette (48 yards) and Nick Laughlin (36 yards) with first-quarter TD throws to put the Black Bears up 14-0, and a Xavier Holmes interception set up a 15-yard scoring run by Brian Santana-Fis. Scoring passes of 79 and 3 yards to Montigo Moss made it 35-0 at the half. The Bulldogs rallied in the second half as freshman Brennan Myer threw four touchdown passes, including two to Landon Ruggieri (15 and 5 yards) and one apiece to Drew Montez (23 yards) and Tristen Riley (5 yards). Moss finished with seven catches for 122 yards, while Santana-Fis ran for 104 yards. Myer threw for 251 yards, while CeeDee Doby had 11 tackles for the Bryant defense.

UNH 33, Monmouth 20
Box Score


Seth Morgan threw for 205 yards and two touchdowns and Nick Mazzie booted four field goals to push UNH (6-4, 4-2 CAA) past Monmouth (4-6, 2-4 CAA), 33-20. The Wildcats’ defense held the Hawks to 313 yards and forced three fumbles.

The teams traded touchdowns over the opening 20 minutes. Morgan threw 5-yard TD passes to Colby Ramshaw and Logan Tomlinson, while Monmouth got a 36-yard scoring reception by TJ Speight and an 18-yard TD run by Sone Ntoh. Field goals of 42, 35 and 35 yards from Mazzie followed by an 11-yard Denzell Gibson TD run increased the UNH lead to 30-14 through three quarters. An 8-yard TD pass from Derek Robertson to Tra Neal cut the Hawks’ deficit to 10, but the Wildcats were able to put together a seven-minute drive and add a 31-yard Mazzie field goal. Tomlinson made 10 catches for 115 yards and Gibson rushed for 88 yards on 16 carries. For Monmouth, Robertson passed for 198 yards and 2 TD’s, while Ryan Moran had 12 tackles and 2.5 TFL’s.

Villanova 31, North Carolina A&T 3
Box Score


Quarterback Connor Watkins accounted for 198 yards of offense and three touchdowns as Villanova (8-2, 5-1 CAA) pulled away for a 31-3 victory over North Carolina A&T (1-9, 0-6 CAA). Shane Hartzell contributed eight tackles and 2.0 sacks for a Wildcats’ defense that limited the Aggies to 169 total yards.

Villanova took a 10-0 lead following an 18-yard TD catch by Jaylan Sanchez and a 33-yard Ethan Gettman field goal. A&T answered with a 34-yard field goal by Andrew Brown to close within 10-3 at halftime. Villanova put the game away by scoring touchdowns on its first three drives of the second half. Watkins contributed scoring runs of 13 and 12 yards and David Avit added a 1-yard TD run with 11:22 to play. Watkins threw for 167 yards, with Devin Smith making seven catches for 68 yards. A&T was paced offensively by quarterback Braxton Thomas with 49 yards rushing and 30 yards passing. Steven Davis II recorded a team-high 10 tackles for the Aggies.

MVFC

DateAwayHomeResultLocationLinks
Saturday 11/9/2024
Youngstown State
Youngstown State 33

Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois 37

Final
Carbondale, IL (Conf.) Box Score Recap
Saturday 11/9/2024
Indiana State
Indiana State 0

South Dakota
South Dakota 49

Final
Vermillion, S.D. (Conf.) Box Score Recap
Saturday 11/9/2024
Illinois State
Illinois State 31

Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa 9

Final
Cedar Falls, Iowa (Conf.) Box Score Recap
Saturday 11/9/2024
South Dakota State
South Dakota State 38

North Dakota
North Dakota 7

Final
Grand Forks, N.D. (Conf.) Box Score Recap
Saturday 11/9/2024
Missouri State
Missouri State 59

Murray State
Murray State 31

Final
Murray, Ky. (Conf.) Box Score Recap

Saturday, November 9, 2024 Football
 
Ivy

PRINCETON, N.J. –
Dartmouth and Harvard are in the driver’s seat in the race for the Ivy League title, while Penn and Yale were led by historic quarterback performances in their Week 8 wins.

Entering Saturday, an Ivy League quarterback had thrown for six touchdowns in a single game just four times. That number is now six. Both Yale’s Grant Jordan and Penn’s Liam O’Brien threw six touchdowns, and each added a rushing score for good measure, to lead their teams to wins.

The Big Green and Crimson each sit atop the standings at 4-1 with two weeks remaining. Despite its setback, Columbia is still within reach of the title at 3-2 in league play.

FRIDAY, NOV. 8
DARTMOUTH 26, PRINCETON 17

6 p.m. // Princeton, N.J. // Powers Field at Princeton Stadium
  • Dartmouth (7-1, 4-1) bounced back with a 26-17 road win over Princeton (2-6, 1-4).
  • Big Green quarterback Jackson Proctor was 21-for-30 through the air for 185 yards and a touchdown. Grayson Saunier added two rushing scores. The Big Green defense limited Princeton to 180 yards of total offense.
  • Princeton receiver Luke Colella hauled in four catches for 41 yards and a touchdown, his fifth of the year.

SATURDAY, NOV. 9
#24 HARVARD 26, COLUMBIA 6

12 p.m. // Cambridge, Mass. // Harvard Stadium
  • Harvard (7-1, 4-1) prevailed over Columbia (5-3, 3-2) 26-6 in a battle of two teams atop the Ivy League standings.
  • Crimson quarterback Jaden Craig threw for 244 yards and a pair of touchdowns – finding Cooper Barkate and Charles DePrima in the end zone. Austin-Jake Guillory had a pair of interceptions in the win.
  • Columbia’s Charlie Newton posted a game-high 14 tackles. Receiver Marcus Libman had five catches for 104 yards.

YALE 56, BROWN 34
12 p.m. // New Haven, Conn. // Yale Bowl
  • Grant Jordan’s career day led Yale (5-3, 2-3) past Brown (3-5, 2-3) 56-34.
  • Jordan threw for 372 yards and six touchdowns on 29-for-40 passing. He added 21 yards and touchdown on the ground. His top target was David Pantelis, who hauled in 12 catches for 195 yards and three touchdowns.
  • Brown receiver Mark Mahoney had 10 catches for 115 yards and a touchdown.

PENN 67, CORNELL 49
1 p.m. // Ithaca, N.Y. // Schoellkopf Field
  • Liam O’Brien’s seven-touchdown performance propelled Penn (4-4, 2-3) to a 67-49 road victory over Cornell (3-5, 2-3) in a game that featured 1,196 combined yards of total offense.
  • O’Brien was 22-for-30 through the air with 341 yards and six touchdowns. He added 77 yards and a score by way of the ground. His top target was Jared Richardson, who caught nine passes for 141 yards and three touchdowns. Running back Malachi Hosley rushed for 192 yards and two scores in the win. Penn had 627 yards of total offense.
  • On the other end, Jameson Wang threw for 401 yards and five touchdowns, while rushing for 48 yards and a score. He connected with Samuel Musungu 14 times for 148 yards and three touchdowns. Cornell had 569 yards of total offense.

MEAC

Morgan State def. Delaware State - 36-28

South Carolina State def. Howard - 38-14



Morgan State def. Delaware State - 36-28

DOVER, Del. (November 9, 2024) —
Redshirt junior quarterback Duce Taylor threw a touchdown pass, and redshirt freshman Jason Collins Jr. added a season-high 138 yards and a score to lead Morgan State to a 36-28 Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference win over Delaware State on Saturday at Alumni Stadium.

Taylor and Collins led a Bears offense that amassed 457 total yards, while the Hornets finished with 456 total yards, but it was the Bears special teams came up to help lead Morgan (5-5, 2-1) to their second conference victory.

Taylor, who made his fourth start of the season, completed 17-of-28 passes for 218 yard.

BOX SCORE | RECAP


South Carolina State def. Howard - 38-14

Washington, DC –
The S.C. State Bulldogs defeated the Howard Bison 38-14 in conference action on Saturday afternoon.

SCSU improved to 7-2 with a 3-0 MEAC record.

BOX SCORE | RECAP

NEC

Click HERE for Results & Statistics

CENTRAL CONNECTICUT 21, STONEHILL 17
Junior Brady Olson delivered the final blow in a back-and-forth battle at Stonehill with a 30-yard touchdown pass to sophomore running back Donny Marcus with 8:54 left in the fourth quarter to lead Central Connecticut to a 21-17 win on Saturday. Improving to 3-1 in NEC play for the first time since 2019, the last time they won the league, the Blue Devils held a 175-75 advantage in rushing yards on the afternoon.

No. 24/25 DUQUESNE 31, ROBERT MORRIS 6
Duquesne took control of first place in the NEC standings and improved to 4-0 in conference play for the second straight season with a commanding 31-6 win over then-undefeated and crosstown rival Robert Morris on Saturday. Graduate student John Erby, who caught six balls for 126 yards, was on the receiving end of three of senior Darius Perrantes’ four touchdown throws on the afternoon.

LIU 28, Sacred Heart 7
Opening the scoring with a one-yard touchdown run with 6:56 left in the opening quarter, redshirt sophomore Ethan Greenwood put the finishing touches on LIU’s convincing 28-7 win over former conference mate Sacred Heart with a 55-yard scamper in the final seconds of the third quarter. The Sharks, who made it back-to-back wins for the first time this season, delivered a dominant performance on both ends of the gridiron with a 505-177 advantage in total offense.

MERCYHURST 66, Lincoln 0
Senior quarterback Adam Urena threw for a season-high six scores as Mercyhurst blanked visiting Lincoln by a 66-0 final. Hitting four different receivers for touchdown passes — including multiple touchdown throws to graduate student Cameron Barmore and senior Mike Pappas — Urena completed 88.9 percent of his attempts (16-of-18) for 215 yards.

Patriot

Lehigh downs Holy Cross; Bucknell and Lafayette earn one-point wins

LEHIGH MOUNTAIN HAWKS (6-3, 3-1 PL) 10, AT HOLY CROSS CRUSADERS (4-6, 3-1 PL) 7
Fitton Field, Worcester, Mass. Noon (ESPN+)
BOX SCORE
WORCESTER, Mass. – A 25-yard field goal from Lehigh junior placekicker Nick Garrido in the third quarter proved to be the difference in the Mountain Hawks’ 10-7 victory over Holy Cross at Fitton Field.
*Lehigh’s defense held the Crusaders to 258 total yards and seven points to hand Holy Cross its first League loss of the season.
*Mountain Hawks’ graduate student quarterback Dante Perri threw a 12-yard touchdown pass to sophomore wide receiver Mason Humphrey nine seconds into the second quarter to give Lehigh a 7-0 lead.
*Perri completed 4-of-5 passes for 29 yards and a touchdown.
*Sophomore running back Luke Yoder rushed for a team-high 66 yards on 18 carries, while first-year running back Jaden Green finished with 53 rushing yards on nine carries.
*Graduate student linebacker Mike DeNucci posted 11 tackles, 1.5 TFLs, one sack and one pass breakup to lead the Mountain Hawks’ defense.
*Junior linebacker Jackson Dowd finished with 11 tackles.
*Holy Cross senior quarterback Joe Pesansky threw a 10-yard touchdown pass to senior tight end Jacob Petersen at the 9:29 mark in the second quarter to tie the score at seven apiece.
*Pesansky completed 17-of-26 passes for 148 yards and a touchdown, while Petersen caught four passes for 30 yards. Junior wide receiver Max Mosey led the Crusaders with five catches for 46 yards.
*Sophomore running back Jayden Clerveaux rushed for a game-high 84 yards on 20 carries.
*Crusaders’ senior linebacker Frankie Monte registered a career-high 21 tackles and recovered a fumble.
RECAPS: LEHIGH | HOLY CROSS

AT BUCKNELL BISON (5-5, 3-1 PL) 28, FORDHAM RAMS (1-9, 1-4 PL) 27
Christy Mathewson - Memorial Stadium/Lewisburg, Pa. 1 p.m. (ESPN+)
BOX SCORE
LEWISBURG, Pa. – Bucknell senior quarterback Ralph Rucker IV threw a 15-yard touchdown pass to junior receiver Nate Anderson to take the lead with 2:35 remaining in the fourth quarter in the Bison’s 28-27 victory over Fordham to move into a tie atop the Patriot League standings.
*Rucker IV completed 27-of-45 passes for 322 yards and three touchdown passes, while Anderson finished with 76 receiving yards and two touchdowns on five catches to lead the Bison offense.
*Junior wide receiver Josh Gary added seven catches for 97 yards, and senior running back Paul Neel caught three passes for 47 yards and a score.
*Sophomore linebacker Gavin Willis recorded game-highs of 13 tackles and 4.0 TFLs while recovering two fumbles, including a 79-yard fumble recovery for a touchdown with 57 seconds remaining in the first quarter.
*Bison sophomore linebacker Nick Hoying finished with nine tackles and 1.5 sacks, while senior safety Alex Smith Jr. added five tackles and an interception.
*Fordham senior running back Julius Loughridge posted his second straight 100-yard rushing game with 155 yards and a touchdown on 26 carries.
*Loughridge’s one-yard touchdown run at the 4:18 mark in the fourth quarter gave Fordham a 27-21 lead, its first lead of the game.
*Junior quarterback Jack Capaldi completed 18-of-27 passes for 310 yards, two touchdowns and one interception.
*Graduate student wide receiver Cole Thornton caught six passes for 130 yards, including a 59-yard touchdown reception from Capaldi in the second quarter.
*Sophomore wide receiver Ricky Gonzalez II caught a 30-yard touchdown pass in the third quarter. He finished with 81 yards on four receptions.
*Rams’ graduate student linebacker Mike Courtney posted 12 tackles and 1.5 TFLs. Junior defensive lineman Sam Buerkle added three tackles, 2.0 TFLs and one sack.
RECAPS: FORDHAM | BUCKNELL

LAFAYETTE LEOPARDS (5-5, 2-3 PL) 21, AT COLGATE RAIDERS (2-8, 1-3 PL) 20
Crown Field at Andy Kerr Stadium/Hamilton, N.Y. 1 p.m. (ESPN+)
BOX SCORE
HAMILTON, N.Y. – Junior running back Jamar Curtis rushed for two of his three touchdowns in the fourth quarter to lead Lafayette to a 21-20 comeback win against Colgate at Andy Kerr Stadium.
*Trailing 20-7, Curtis capped an 80-yard drive with a four-yard touchdown run at the 7:13 mark in the final frame, then added a two-yard score with 2:34 left to give Lafayette its first lead of the game.
*The Patriot League Preseason Offensive Player of the Year recorded his fourth straight 100-yard performance with 122 rushing yards and all three Lafayette touchdowns on 28 carries.
*Leopards’ senior defensive back Gabe DuBois forced two fourth-quarter fumbles, with the second leading to Lafayette’s go-ahead touchdown. He recovered the first fumble and added seven tackles.
*Junior quarterback Dean DeNobile completed 9-of-16 passes for 89 yards, and sophomore receiver Carson Persing had three receptions for 55 yards.
*Senior safety Saiku White posted a team-leading eight tackles.
*Colgate sophomore quarterback Jake Stearney completed 14-of-21 passes for 129 yards and a touchdown to sophomore wide receiver Reed Swanson.
*First-year quarterback Aleks Sitkowski rushed for a team-high 72 yards on 10 carries, and senior running back Brendan Cassamajor rushed for an 11-yard touchdown to give the Raiders a 7-0 lead early in the second quarter.
*Sophomore placekicker Luke Vogeler connected on field goals from 22 and 49 yards.
*Raiders’ junior linebacker Cole Kozlowski posted a game-high 17 tackles, while junior defensive lineman Dane Picariello added nine tackles, 1.5 TFLs and one sack.
RECAPS: LAFAYETTE | COLGATE

Pioneer

San Diego 16, Dayton 10

DAYTON, Ohio – San Diego jumped out to a 13-0 halftime lead and hung on for a 16-10 victory against Dayton on Saturday at Welcome Stadium. Logan Gingg ran for a career-high 175 yards and had the Toreros’ lone touchdown, staking San Diego to a 10-0 lead after one quarter. Aidan Lehman hit three field goals – a 22-yarder in the first quarter, a 34-yarder in the second, and a 45-yarder in the third to help secure the win. Dayton charged back in the second half and closed within six points on Drew VanVleet’s touchdown pass to Donovan Weatherly but turned the ball over on downs on their final possession. Dayton running back Luke Hansen ran for 121 yards on 23 carries to power the Flyers offense.

Marist 40, Stetson 31

DeLAND, Fla. – Mike Willis notched his first win as Marist’s head coach as quarterback Sonny Mannino ran for four touchdowns in a 40-31 victory against Stetson on Saturday at Spec Martin Memorial Stadium. Manino ran for three of his four scores in the second half, with his third touchdown on the day giving Marist the lead for good at 33-28 with 3:28 left in the third quarter. The Red Foxes defense held Stetson to a field goal in the fourth quarter before Mannino sealed the win with a 23-yard run at the 3:51 mark. Mannino had 15 carries for 68 yards and completed 21-of-39 passes for 275 yards to pace the Red Foxes. Stetson quarterback Brady Meitz became his program’s all-time passing leader with 323 yards on 25-of-44 passing with two touchdowns. .

Davidson 31, Morehead State 14

DAVIDSON, N.C. – Mari Adams and Mason Sheron ran for more than 120 yards and had a touchdown each as Davidson downed Morehead State 31-14 on Saturday at Davidson College Stadium. Davidson used Adam Zouagui’s 43-yard field goal as the first half ended to take a 17-14 lead into the break. After the second half kickoff saw Morehead State pinned in at its four-yard line, Davidson’s Cam’ron Willis got a strip-sack and Dixon Hudson recovered the loose ball in the end zone for a touchdown and a 24-14 lead. The Wildcats defense did not allow a Morehead State score over the final 35 minutes and Mason Sheron sealed the win with a 15-yard touchdown late in the fourth quarter. Adams ran for 129 yards on 23 carries, and Sheron added 123 yards on 27 carries to pace Davidson’s 314-yard rushing performance. Carter Cravens passed for 205 yards to lead Morehead State, but the Eagles run game was held to minus-13 yards.

Butler 24, Valparaiso 17

VALPARAISO, Ind. – Butler scored the game’s first 10 points, then made the early lead hold up and claimed the Hoosier Helmet with a 24-17 victory against Valparaiso on Saturday at Brown Field. Nick Howard had the first quarter’s only score with a one-yard touchdown run. Ryan Short then provided a 41-yard field goal early in the second quarter and Butler had a 10-0 lead. The Beacons would break through on Caron Tyler’s 33-yard pass to Gary Givens III, but Butler matched that with Reagan Andrew’s one-yard run on the following possession. Butler gained a two-touchdown lead early in the fourth quarter on Joey Suchy’s 36-yard run. Valparaiso would get back within a touchdown on Michael Mansaray’s five-yard run midway through the fourth, but fumbled the ball on their final possession as Butler’s defense sealed the win. Andrew’s 15-of-22 passing, 232-yard outing led the Butler offense as its ground game provided the three touchdowns. Tyler led Valparaiso with 158 yards on 8-of-17 passing.

Drake 22, St. Thomas 19

SAINT PAUL, Minn. – Drake used a Luke Bailey touchdown, a safety, and a Shane Dunning field goal in the second half to hold off St. Thomas for its 17th consecutive PFL win, 22-19, on Saturday at O’Shaughnessy Stadium. The Bulldogs clinched at least a share of the 2024 PFL Championship with two games remaining in the regular season.
On Saturday, the Bulldogs and Tommies battled to a 10-10 tie at halftime, with Drake building a 10-0 lead only to see St. Thomas erase that lead in the final 5:07 of the half. Drake took the lead for good in the third quarter, with Luke Bailey finding Taj Hughes for a five-yard touchdown six minutes into the half. St. Thomas would get a field goal before the quarter ended, narrowing the deficit to 17-13. But on their next possession, the Tommies saw a wild pass from center sail over the punter's head, who recovered the ball in the end zone but was called for intentional grounding when his pass failed to find a St. Thomas eligible receiver. Drake would build a nine-point lead, 22-13, seven minutes later when Shane Dunning hammered home a 52-yard field goal. St. Thomas would close within that field goal with Tak Tateoka’s 44-yard touchdown pass with 1:54 left, but Drake successfully recovered the ensuing on-side kick, sealing the win. Bailey completed 20-of-26 passes for 167 yards and two touchdowns to pace the Bulldogs offense. Adebayo ran for 99 yards on 23 carries while Tateoka completed 16-of-29 passes for 194 yards and a touchdown.
 
SoCon

Western_Carolina.svg
Western Carolina
ETSU.svg
ETSUWCU 21
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ETSU 24
Johnson City, TNBox Score
Chattanooga.svg
Chattanooga
The_Citadel.svg
The CitadelCHAT 31
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CIT 7
Charleston, SCBox Score
Mercer.svg
Mercer
VMI.svg
VMIMER 34
,
VMI 0
Lexington, VABox Score
Wofford.svg
Wofford
Furman.svg
FurmanWOF 19
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FUR 13
Greenville, SCBox Score
Tennessee_Tech_png.png
Tennessee Tech
Samford.svg
SamfordTTU 27
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SAM 7
Birmingham, ALBox Score


ETSU victorious in matchup against Western Carolina

ETSU snuck past Western Carolina on Saturday afternoon by a final score of 24-21.

Devontae Houston starred in the ground game for ETSU, rushing for one touchdown. Gino English contributed as well, completing 11-of-23 passes for 154 yards and two touchdowns.

Taron Dickens found the endzone multiple times in Western Carolina's loss. He threw for one touchdown and rushed for another two. Branson Adams added 81 yards rushing on 14 carries.


Newbauer, Mercer take the win over VMI

Mercer collected a resounding victory over VMI on Saturday afternoon, taking the win by a final score of 34-0.

Whitt Newbauer led the way for Mercer, throwing for 282 yards and three touchdowns in this one. The team's offense was firing on all cylinders, accumulating 518 total yards.


Durant leads the way as Chattanooga cools off The Citadel

It was all about the ground game for Chattanooga on Saturday afternoon. The Mocs were dominant rushing the football through the The Citadel defense, as they claimed the 31-7 victory.

Tailback Justus Durant led the way for Chattanooga, accumulating 103 yards on 16 rushing attempts. Down the field, Chris Domercant was the Mocs' best option. Domercant finished with two receptions for 69 yards.

Cooper Wallace starred in the ground game for The Citadel, rushing for one touchdown.


Ingram leads Wofford to victory over Furman

Wofford triumphed over Furman 19-13 in this gritty, low-scoring battle.

Tailback Ryan Ingram led the way for Wofford, accumulating 120 yards on 23 rushing attempts. Down the field, Kyle Watkins was the Terriers' best option. Watkins finished with five receptions for 106 yards. The Terriers found offensive success throughout the day, outpacing the Paladins in total offensive yards 385 to 284.

Myion Hicks starred in the ground game for Furman, rushing for one touchdown.


Jones leads Tennessee Tech to victory over Samford

Tennessee Tech got off to a slow start on Saturday afternoon, but ultimately turned it up to overpower Samford by a final score of 27-7.

DJ Rias, Quincy Crittendon, and E. Jai Mason were all contributors for Samford in the loss.



SWAC

Please click the links to access final game statistics.

Alcorn State 42, Texas Southern 21

Prairie View A&M 31, Florida A&M 12

Grambling State 24, Alabama State 23

Bethune-Cookman 23, Southern 25

Alabama A&M 52, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 24

Jackson State 51, Mississippi Valley State 14

Southland

AwayHomeResultLocationLinks
Saturday 11/9/2024
Northwestern State
Northwestern State 0

Southeastern
Southeastern 41

Final
Hammond, LA (Conf.)Box Score
Saturday 11/9/2024
Nicholls
Nicholls 21

HCU
HCU 24

Final
Houston, TX (Conf.)Box Score
Saturday 11/9/2024
Lamar
Lamar 20

UIW
UIW 41

Final
San Antonio, TX (Conf.)Box Score
Saturday 11/9/2024
SFA
SFA 14

East Texas A&M
East Texas A&M 19

Final
CommerceBox Score

UAC

AwayHomeResultLocationLinks
Saturday 11/9/2024
Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas 24

Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky 31

Final
Richmond, Ky. (Conf.)Box Score
Saturday 11/9/2024
Tarleton State
Tarleton State 38

West Georgia
West Georgia 21

Final
Carrollton, Ga. (Conf.)Box Score
Saturday 11/9/2024
North Alabama
North Alabama 26

Southern Utah
Southern Utah 38

Final
Cedar City, Utah (Conf.)Box Score
Saturday 11/9/2024
Abilene Christian
Abilene Christian 35

Austin Peay
Austin Peay 34

Final
Clarksville, Tenn. (Conf.)Box Score
 
Sometimes we talk some Dll games in here. This is the last regular season week for Dll. I will have a Dll playoff thread next week
 
Just looked at the Mercyhurst box score, Lincoln threw 7 INTs - they completed 11 passes to their own team. They ended the game with 4 straight INTs. Mercyhurst had 28 pts off 8 total TOs and a blk'd punt ret TD. That's pretty much half their pts. Mercyhurst did put up 501 yards.
 

Attachments

Sometimes we talk some Dll games in here. This is the last regular season week for Dll. I will have a Dll playoff thread next week
Clark Atlanta travels to Miles for SIAC Championship. Played earlier this year at Clark, with Miles winning 49-28. It will be on ESPNU at 12:00 est.
 
I'm about to start going through the games. If anyone knows of any players or stories to be aware of or update on please post. Here are some questions I would be aware of:

Grambling - status of QB Crawley out the last two games

Delaware State - status of QB Adams (they played pretty well for the first time this year without him last week behind Henry)

FAMU - Daniel Richardson suffered concussion in loss to Prairie View A&M

SFA - QB Vidlak missed last week

Central Akransas - QB McElvain I believe injured throwing shoulder/arm, his backup Myers was also injured forcing UCA to finish the game on their 3rd string QB. RB Powell who had just returned from a hamstring injury left last week's game after perhaps aggravating it

Idaho - played with one QB dressed last week, Jack Wagner. The #1 Jack Layne was out with an injured wrist or something. Layne is their best QB - the others are serviceable.

Any updates or other issues of note would be appreciated
 
Grambling at Alabama A&M – Grambling just covered their first game since week 4 against Alabama State, a game where they were outgained by 130y and trailed by 13 entering the 4Q. Grambling only had one drive over 48y all game, but got the lead on a short field following a fumble recovery. ASU missed the game winning FG from the G11 at the end. The week before Grambling converted just 2 of 13 3rd downs and lost at Bethune and the week before that Grambling lost to Texas Southern (outgained by 110y). Crawley got injured early here (ankle sprain) so it has been Bailey at QB the last 2.5 games. Their O ranks 3rd in the SWAC scoring 26.5 ppg, but that is misleading. In the 5 games before the bye to start the season they averaged 31.4 ppg. However since then, the last 5 games they are averaging just 22.6 and have actually been held under 22.6 three times (15 on Alcorn, 17 on TxSo, and 21 on Bethune). Just 289.4 avg ypg O (4.62). The D has been doing well holding opp to 21.8 ppg the last 5, but 345 ypg (5.66). Grambling has gone 2-3 SU over their last 5. ASU and sometimes Alcorn are tough teams, but the other teams Grambling has played lately aren’t so good (Bethune, Tx So, Ark PB are combined 6-12 in the SWAC and Grambling lost to 2 of them!).

Alabama A&M stands at just 4-5, 2-3 in the SWAC but have been playing better than Grambling. They have outgained 4 of their last 5 opponents and scoring 37 ppg (two games over 50, two games of 20 or less to ASU and SU which they lost both) with 486 ypg (one game of 505 and 701, two games of 361 and 370). The D has been ok, only one team in this span has scored over 27 on them (Jackson 45). D allowing 26.6 and 328 per game. A&M is just 2-3 straight up over their last 5, but they are atleast beating the teams they should (Bethune and Pine Bluff) while the games they lost to Jackson, ASU and Southern they only lost those by 1 score each. A&M lost to ASU 2 weeks ago and Grambling just beat ASU. As that was a misleading game for Grambling, A&M lost 4 TOs in that one resulting in 17 pts off TOs and A&M fell behind big but did only lose by 8 and had a +35 yard edge. 3 games ago Ark Pine Bluff outgained Grambling by 22y and lost by 10. A&M just beat them last week by 28 and outgained them by 188y. Grambling lost to Bethune, yards fairly even 328-315. Alabama A&M beat them by 44 and outgained them by 520! In the first half of the season when Grambling was better, they beat Jackson 41-20, although Jackson outgained them by 167y. It was 5 TOs lost that doomed Jackson in that one (Grambling scored twice on D and had 10 other pts on short fields after TOs). Alabama A&M did not enjoy such TO success vs Jackson in their 7 pt loss. A&M outgained Jackson by 126y however.

This game is on ESPNU tomorrow night. A&M has won the last two in the series and should win again this year. Projected lines look to be just -2 to 3 for the home team. Their records are similar, but the way they are playing is not. If Crawley returns for Grambling that will improve their team, but I would still side with A&M on a small number.
 
Almost impossible to find injury info in the FCS

They're always a "Game Time Decision"

Like that helps anyone

Best way is to listen to the pregame show and at some point the announcers will let you know.
 
You can always go back and rewatch the game where the guy gets hurt

If he is carried off the field on a stretcher or can't walk

He is probably out a while.
 
Howard at NC Central – Straight up bad blood here. Last year’s game was for the MEAC Title. NCCU was 7.5 pt road fav. Howard scored late and went for 2 on their last TD to get 50 in their win last year! There has been a rivalry on and off the field between these two programs and coaches from 2023 media day through the post season last year when Howard HC Scott was coaching NCCU QB Richard in the HBCU Legacy Bowl. After all the bluster last year, it’s been quiet this year, but getting 50 hung on them is not something NCCU is going to forget. NCCU was winning by this prospected spread of 14.5-17.5 mid-season beating a couple bad CAA teams and Norfolk by 33ppg on average. They have not shown the ability to consistently put games together this year and last time we saw them, this year’s likely MEAC champion South Carolina State had their way with them for 3Q. NCCU didn’t find their footing until it was too late last week and their D couldn’t get off the field in that one. They also struggled to score on Morgan the week before despite a 192y edge in that one. The biggest thing this year isn’t Richard gone and Harris in even though Richard is a NCCU and HBCU legend after his 4 year career – the biggest difference this year is the D. They are allowing a little more than a TD per game and the defensive regression was on display vs SC State last week when SC State gained 170y above NCCU’s FCS D was allowing coming in. Howard just played that same SC State team last week and lost 14-38 with a 247-394 yard deficit. Howard was -4 TOs, but SC State had some offensive inefficiencies or else that final score could’ve been worse. That game is consistent with some other Howard games when they face “better” teams. Howard lost by 13 to Tenn State and outgained by 203y. They lost to Princeton by 17, -48y. They couldn’t run on SC State or Princeton and couldn’t pass on TSU. Howard does ok vs the lower rung teams like Delaware State, Norfolk and Sacred Heart. This is going to be an emotionally charged game and NCCU will want legit revenge so I would have to lean towards them. They have shown the ability to put it on opponents and Howard is not remotely the same team they were last year. I think they could be a little pesky, but NCCU has all the motivation to deliver a big win – especially after their bad performance last week on national TV and last year in this game. Sometimes wanting to deliver revenge and show up an opponent is easier said that done, but if they are in position to do it late, I'm sure they will want to score more. Howard is 0-4-1 ATS as an FCS dog (avg spread 5.5 biggest spread +14 at Princeton lost by 17), NCCU 4-2 ATS as fav (avg spread 6.58 biggest spread 10.5 twice won by 27 vs Norfolk and won by 9 vs Morgan)

Sacred Heart at Merrimack – Merrimack has been a good favorite, 2-0 ATS with wins vs Colgate 51-17 (-3.5) and 48-28 vs Stonehill (-16.5) which were both just 2 and 3 games ago. Not sure if their shutout at RM and the bye week broke any momentum they had. Assuming they come out the same team they were in their last two home games they should be ok as DD fav vs Sacred Heart. When dogged, the 4 games SHU lost were by an avg of 22.75 which losing by 49 to Delaware does skew those. SHU pulled two upsets vs Georgetown (+9.5) and Norfolk (+3). Both of those were at home. Overall they are 4-2 ATS as dogs. They do not possess a very strong O, the last 4 since their bye has seen them avg just 281.5 ypg and 17.25 ppg (3x were held under that avg though, 31 on Mercyhurst inflates the avg). I think when Merrimack has their A game they are every bit as good as Long Island who outgained SHU by 328y last week. Merrimack outgained Colgate by 252 and Stonehill by 158. I’d say that SHU is somewhere between SH and Colgate. Will want to see where this line opens, Massey has 14.5 and Sagarin says 12.5. Don’t believe I want to lay over 2 TDs. Merrimack has gone over 3 of the last 4. SHU has gone Under 4 of last 5.

Robert Morris at Central Connecticut State – This should be a good spot for CCSU. RM is just off a very meaningful game vs a local rival in which they did not compete and now must travel to a team who is playing for the chance to win an outright NEC title. If CCSU wins this week and next at Duquesne they will be just that, NEC champs. The underwhelming game last week vs Stonehill could’ve been a bit of a look-ahead to these meaningful games that CCSU had laying ahead on their schedule. So intangibly this is a tough spot for Robert Morris to find themselves, but it has been tough on the field for them as well. RM has the pieces on offense, but those pieces have been MIA. 6 pts and 237y on Duquesne, 6 pts and 367y on Merrimack, 17 pts and 305y on St Francis – those are their last 3 games. RM O didn’t cross midfield until the last drive of the 1H last week. Before this stretch the O was pretty good. The D has been good, real good vs Merrimack, St Francis and Delaware St, but SFU and DSU Os are typically bad units. Duquesne O exposed the RM D last week and previously Long Island had a good game vs the RM D (31 pts and 515y). So except for the outlier of Merrimack, when RM plays a capable O their D isn’t so good. CCSU O is capable, but definitely not overwhelming – only 2 of their 8 FCS games this year has the CCSU O scored more than 30 (Mercyhurst and Fordham). Because of this, in CCSU’s 5 wins, 3 have been by avg 7 ppg (Mercyhurst and Fordham were blowout wins) and in their 4 losses (not counting CMich), those have been by a total of 12 pts. So close games are the rule for CCSU. I will look for a pick’em ML type opportunity on CCSU here expecting RM to remain kind of lost and disappointed off last week with CCSU playing with title (and playoff) potentially in sight.

Princeton at Yale – Yale did what it always does vs Brown last week, win big (+3 TOs put them on short fields). They were only favored by 9.5 which moved up from 7. Yale’s games have been up and down this year. They lost to Columbia 10-13 who was on their backup QB and beat Penn before that 31-10 (which it should be noted Penn QB was injured and the backup was limited off the bench). Before that Yale won 38-23 vs Lehigh thanks a a +3 TO ratio (Yale outgained by 7y despite the 15 pt win). That’s their last 4 games. The O has a high ceiling, but the D I think has relied heavily on TOs and going against backup QBs. Princeton has poor QB play and did have some massive TO problems early in their schedule but have been fairly clean lately. Simply put this is a very bad Princeton O. They only had one drive longer than 41y last week vs Dartmouth. 21 of their 35 pts on Cornell was in garbage time after they fell behind 14-42. They have been held under 300y of O in 6 games this year, Under 200y of O in twice including last week. The spreads of 11.5 from Massey and 15.4 from Sagarin reflect how bad they’ve been. It is hard to compare any recent Princeton games to past performances vs Ivy opponents just because things are so different right now. Yale has won the last 2 vs the Tigers by 8 and 4. The previous 3 in the series before that were decided by 2 TDs+. This year Yale is 0-2 ATS as a DD fav this year, but Princeton has lost this year by 9, 14, 32, 27, 17 and 15 so it would seem it possible Yale wins by DD. Harvard I believe is a stronger team than Yale, at any rate, Harvard was -9.5 at home vs Princeton 3 games back and they won 45-13 with a 492-223 yard edge (7.7-3.7 ypp!). So on value laying more pts with Yale compared to Harvard doesn't feel great, but Yale is the only thing that really makes sense here.

Northern Iowa at YSU – Hard to know if there will be any kind of bump from Coach Farley’s retirement announcement. The final home game could be a big one. This week at YSU? Don’t know. UNI has not been good all season. Their schedule has been one of the toughest in the Valley – SDSU lost 3-41 (-144y), USD lost 17-42 (-202y), UND lost 7-31 (-172y), vs MoSt lost 42-49 (-90y), NDSU lost 19-42 (-78y), Ill St lost 9-31 (-188y). UND is on a big slide right now, but when they played Hawks were ranked high and 4-2. So they have literally played the top 6 teams in the league to get to 0-6 depending how you value UND as technically Ind St is ahead of them now with the head-to-head. But at any rate, UNI is 0-6 and has played the toughest Valley schedule anyone could have. A couple weeks ago they had a tight game with Missouri State. That game was tied 4x until MoSt finally got up by 14, but UNI had a miracle 4th-28 TD late to lose that one by just 7. Otherwise they have been a total noncompete team in the Valley this year. It is a bad offense. When they do move the ball they struggle to score in the RZ, as last week they had 0 TDs on 5 RZ trips. Were just 1 of 3 the week prior. Some games they barely even get into the RZ. And on D, in 4 of their 6 Valley games the UNI D has allowed TDs 100% of the time, in 1 game they allowed TDs on 4 of 5 (last week). They don’t get pressure or create negative plays and I think they only have 3 TOs on D all season. The pass D is awful and they can easily be run on. They are 2-5 ATS vs the Valley with both covers coming just 2 and 3 games ago (the MoSt game +11 at home lost by 7 and at NDSU +29.5 in a game that was 35-3 and went final at 42-19). YSU on the other hand has shown some life the past several games. Blowing a 28-0 lead at SIU is going to sting how it went down. Before that YSU got down but came back on Illinois State to only lose by 7 and had a chance in the 4Q, were only outgained by 47y on the road. Two games before that were impressive YSU games. They beat UND, which doesn’t look as good now after Indiana State also beat them and YSU held their own vs South Dakota with the Yotes probably looking ahead to the SDSU game the following week. Looking at this YSU team the last 4 games, they are just 1-3 SU, but I think their play on the field reflects what their ATS record is which is 3-1 in that span. For average or bad defensive teams, YSU’s O can be hard to stop because they love to own TOP and have their QB run around, Brungard is a great athlete, he’s really more like a RB playing QB. If there is a 3rd down, him running is likely to get it and they keep drives alive that way. So offensively I would expect this UNI D to struggle. YSU’s D, well, they just allowed a rather pedestrian SIU O to hang 488y and 8.6 ypp on them! YSU’s D has really had a hard time with mobile QBs and UNI has been playing Schecklman who has some dual threat type ability. He has a 7-2 ratio on the year and hasn’t thrown an INT the past 3 games. So the YSU D is a concern as it usually is even though UNI’s O has been out to lunch in all but the MoSt game. This is the first “bad” MVFC team that UNI has played however so their O might operate at a higher level than normal. Makes the Over appealing if it is a mid-50s number (Sagarin shows 54). 4 of last 5 UNI games have gone Over, but YSU’s game totals have been more inconsistent as they have alternated Over-Under-Over-Under the last 6 games. YSU did not have a bye this season, therefore this is their finale. I’d expect given how poor UNI has been defensively this year that YSU will have success on O and I would take them to win the game although laying pts with them is dangerous and UNI has not played a D this bad so can't assume they will be as bad as they have vs everyone else. Massey shows 4.5, Sagarin 6. UNI has been YSU’s biggest thorn in their side through the years. Some YSU fans probably cursing the Farley retirement announcement as if it could work up some more voodoo that other UNI teams have had on YSU. UNI has won 4 straight including the last time in Youngstown (UNI owns a 26-9 overall record vs YSU). This year, feels like YSU gets this win, just a matter of how it plays out I think.

Colgate at Lehigh – HUGE sandwich game for Lehigh off the enormous Holy Cross win. Not only was it Lehigh’s first win vs HC since 2017, it also positioned them for a share of the Patriot League title. Now they play Colgate, but have another HUGE game on deck when they face rival Lafayette for the 160th meeting between those two making this game a little bit of a wildcard. As a stand alone, one would figure that Lehigh should be fine taking care of business. They are a solid team all around. Covering a number could be difficult given the situation with Colgate is a highly unpredictable team. This line could be a little over a TD to low DD. If Lehigh thinks they are a championship caliber team they must act like it this game. I tend to think they will. So I may back them as I have often this season, it is just a tricky spot and I wouldn’t want to lay more than a TD if I did. Colgate is 1-1-1 as dogs of more than 3.5 this year and again, you never know what you will get with them.

Furman at ETSU – Big discrepancy on the PR lines here. Massey 6.5 and Sagarin 15. Using Reddit as a tie breaker they have 18.5. Furman found 412 yards vs VMI but their other SoCon games have them averaging just 271 ypg and 15 ppg. Hell for all those yards they only scored 17 on VMI! The D is giving up 471.5 ypg in non-VMI games, that average is skewed by the 801 they yielded vs WCU. In the other games vs playoff caliber-ish SoCon teams Furman lost 20-52 vs WCU and 10-41 vs UTC. ETSU is a playoff caliber-ish team. Their September games showed a lot of promise but they haven’t been so hot in league play. Been ok though vs the weaker teams like Wofford (without Odum at QB) where they won 24-7 (+229y) and vs The Citadel 34-17 (+191y). ETSU was able to have huge rushing games on those bad teams in ways they haven’t been able to vs the better league teams. Furman run D should allow them to do some of those things which takes pressure off their shaky passing game. Furman run D is ranked 7 out of 9 SoCon teams. Furman OL allows a lot of negative plays and ETSU D has created a lot of TFLs and sacks and really been great on 3rd down. ETSU should be the call especially if the line comes out like Massey thinks.

North Carolina A&T at Towson – A&T is awful, but I don’t know how you can lay 3 TDs with Towson. They had 27 pts but only 198y last week vs Hampton. They only beat Norfolk by 5. I like Towson as a dog, but as a favorite they are 1-3 ATS. A&T on the other hand has been bad all year and they actually might be getting worse scoring single digits in each of the last 3 games after averaging 19.4 ppg in their first 7. I just can’t stomach this Towson team laying that even vs a team like A&T.

Villanova at Monmouth – Price is sure getting low on Nova. They did cover last week vs A&T, barely. Closing line of 25.5 and they only won by 28 vs lowly A&T. I resented Villanova early in the year because of their high ranking and their poor play, but now I actually feel bad for them that they are playing so far below what they are capable of. Through 11 weeks, where is the improvement, where is the growth, where is the living up to the hype or simply playing to potential? The D really held A&T down, but everyone has done that lately so I don’t know if that indicates something good on the Nova side. The Nova D did do a number on Hampton as well (239y allowed 3.7ypp 14 pts) as they did vs UNH (254y allowed 3.9ypp 6 pts). Then there was the Maine game….341y allowed 6.1ypp and 35 pts although a lot of those pts were turnover fueled - might be safe to rule that an outlier. So that good D vs Hampton and UNH….Nova only outgained Hampton by 2y and only outgained UNH by 3y. Speaks to the kind of struggles they continue to have on O. 31 pts on A&T is nice I guess… Hampton scored 59 on A&T, W&M scored 45 on them so this Villanova O just continues to underachieve. 3 of the last 4 games vs Maine, New Hampshire and Hampton this Villanova O failed to top 300 yards! The Monmouth O has gone in the witness protection program. Avg just 336 ypg their last 3 games after averaging 525 their first 7 games. TOs have been a problem. Monmouth only lost 5 TOs in the first 7 games, they have lost 7 the last 3 weeks. And those TOs are mattering. UNH scored 14 pts off those TOs (5y TD after a muffed punt and 27y after an INT). The first fumble vs URI with :33 left all but killed their comeback chances (after URI had just taken the lead) and the second fumble gave URI 6 more pts. And fumble at the Towson 7 yardline with 6min left allowed that game to go final at 26-14 as Towson killed the clock from there. Just 20.6 ppg the last 3 games. I’m not sure if Monmouth can rekindle what they once had on O, Villanova D would seem to make it difficult. This is a tough game for me to pick. Kind of tough to pass up such a small number (3.5-3.2) on Nova, but nothing they have done this year makes me believe in them. Monmouth D is still pretty bad I would have to assume. Rhode Island exceeded their season avg offensive numbers vs Monmouth including their rushing output and Nova should be good running the ball if their passing game remains off. Towson had a pretty good passing game vs Monmouth so maybe Nova can do some things. I would have to think Villanova can do ok here, but can I trust them after being down on them all season?

Saint Francis at Long Island – I kind of like this Long Island team. QB Greenwood is running like crazy, he’s led the team in rushing the last 4 games (538y in those) and is #2 in the NEC in rush yards. Now, they have feasted on bad teams like SHU last week (won by 21 505-177 yard edge) and Stonehill several games back (won by 24 428-135 yard edge). They only beat CCSU by 3 (outgained 237-335) and lost to RM by 14 (yardage edge 515-479), lost to Duquesne by 26 (outgained 312-467). Saint Francis is having a rough year to put it nicely, but they do have a pretty much the best D in the NEC, #1 rush D at 83 ypg allowed. Pretty good. Makes this an interesting matchup given what LIU has been doing on O. Now, as good as the SFU D is, their O is polar opposites, pretty much the worst O in the league. A short fav spot here for LIU at home vs a bad offensive team, ok (Massey -3.5). But potentially a 6.4-7.5 pt fav (Sagarin/Reddit) vs this kind of D is less certain. This total is set to be too low to consider an Under I assume. Long Island beat SFU last year as a 9 pt road dog.

Columbia at Brown – The more I typed out on this game the further away I got from any kind of feel on what would happen here. The last two years went to OT

Wagner at Duquesne – Sandwich game for Dukes off the crosstown rival win vs Robert Morris and other NEC challenger CCSU on deck. With the exception of just a couple games this year, Wagner has been very limited offensively, not too bad defensively. The last time Duquesne was lined like this they were playing Mercyhurst, a team that does have a good passing O, in fact Mercyhurst QB is the best statistical QB in the NEC. So in theory the Mercyhurst game was a tougher one for Duquesne than what Wagner looks to be. I think the Mercyhurst game was a tough spot for Duquesne and this week again they find themselves in a tough spot off a meaningful game and a bigger game on deck. Duquesne got off to a bad start offensively vs Mercyhurst (missed FG from M14, Fum from M04 and threw INT 1H), but Dukes did get up 31-17 4Q in that one and Mercyhurst scored late. Had Duquesne not gotten off to the bad start that game probably looks different. Duquesne really was impressive last week, RM had been struggling on O in some games and whether it was bad RM O or good Duquesne D, RM only had one drive of 50+ yards all game and they passed for 46% completions and converted just 1 of 11 3rd downs and were sacked 7x. The RM game makes 4 of 5 NEC games that Duquesne has won by 2 TDs or more, they were up 48-20 on Stonehill before SH scored 2 TDs late, but they have now beaten RM by 25, SH by 14, SFU by 31, and LIU by 26. And then the other is Mercyhurst by 7. Wagner is off a bye. It is hard to make a case for them. In their last game they had an 81y TD by their RB then only gained 47y on their next 7 possessions. They only managed 14 pts on St Francis, only scored 6 pts on Columbia. Their D did limit CCSU to 24 pts and 316y. They shutout a bad SFU O. Columbia scored 24 1H pts on them and then didn’t score at all the rest of the game. They held a usually bad SH O to just 7 pts. RM only scored 21 on them with 358y back when RM was actually scoring pts on people. This line looks like 16.5 from Massey and 18 from Sagarin. I really can not see Wagner duplicating anything that Mercyhurst gave Duquesne problems with. And Dukes D has been good vs the rest of the NEC so I am going to assume they can win by a few scores here. The big game on deck is a real concern and the fact that they kept the backdoor open once before vs SH. This game was close last year, Duquesne led just 28-26 late 4Q when they added a 24y fum ret TD with :00 on the clock to allow them to win by 8.

Presbyterian at Marist – Marist just won their first game of the year, good for them. It came vs Stetson who is winless vs the FCS. Presbyterian has not been so bad. They are off a bye, before that led a slumping Dayton 25-0 and won 28-7, beat Stetson 42-14 and outgained them by 304y. They had a game winning FG blk’d vs Drake and then lost that game in OT. Then they lost close games vs Morehead and San Diego where TOs played a role. That is one thing in their last 3 games, Presbyterian didn’t lose any TOs and in fact are +10 TO margin the last 3 games! They have shown an ability to run (329y on Stetson) or pass 74% and 79% on Drake and Dayton, passing for 247 ypg the last 3. Marist has occasionally had some offensive outbursts with 3 games of 400+ yards (Bucknell, Davidson and now Stetson). But vs the rest of the Pioneer League Marist has avg just 274.5 vs Valpo, SD, St Thomas and Dayton. It is the Marist D that is the real problem as they are allowing 403.6 ypg and 35 ppg. Presbyterian has won already this year as a road fav, -5.5 at Stetson and they played well enough to win games at Morehead and San Diego without the impact of the TOs in those games. Massey and Sagarin agree this is about a 6.5, less than 7 type line. Marist won 19-10 last year despite not scoring an offensive TD (fum ret and INT ret TDs plus a safety) - Presbyterian had a 293-185 yard edge. Both teams should bring their A game, Presbyterian off a bye and knowing they lost to these guys last year have had two weeks to work on it and Marist is trying to win their first home game of the season.

Valpo at Dayton – Dayton has lost 3 straight and looked awful doing so vs San Diego, Presbyterian and Morehead scoring just 10, 7 and 6 pts in those games respectively! Valpo has covered their last 2 thanks to a 17-14 win at Marist as a 1 pt fav and last week only lost 17-24 catching 16.5 home vs Butler. Who would want to bet this game?

Bucknell at Holy Cross – Massey says 21.5, Sagarin says 14. Bucknell big dog as the only team in the Patriot that controls their own destiny to win the league title which would be their first since 1996. HC can still win the league as well but they are behind the 8 ball after losing to the other 1-loss league foe Lehigh last week. HC has only been this kind of favorite twice this year, -10.5 at Bryant where they won by 21 (+52y) and -16.5 vs Fordham in a 19-16 win (+82y). It was not lined to be a blowout, but HC did win at Colgate 38-7 as just a 3 pt road fav. Bryant and Colgate are the only two teams that HC has beat by more than 6 pts this year. The 7 pts scored and 258y (4.1) of O vs Lehigh last week were obviously season lows. They had just scored 34 and gained 392y (6.6) at Lafayette before the bye and again scored 34 while gaining 523y (6.5) at Harvard the game before that. Offensively, these teams are very similar. Bucknell avg 26 ppg, HC avg 25.7. Buck avg 366.4 ypg of O, HC avg 366.2. Buck #1 passing O, HC #2 passing O. HC #1 pass eff O, Buck #2 pass eff O. The big difference is the D which goes to HC and rushing O, although lately Bucknell has been rushing it well when Thomas plays – he missed last week vs Fordham and the running game was nonexistant without him. Their OL is said to be dealing with some injuries resulting in a lot of QB pressure allowed (just 3 sacks allowed last week, but 11 QB hurries which is a lot of hurries – 45 pass attempts though). Now, the pass D and pass eff D they are similar - it's not a great pass D for HC even though we consider them to be the better D. Super LB Dobbs for HC may have been injured last week. Historic perception says this game should not be close, HC has won the last 5 in the series and they have won those by an avg of 30.8 ppg with some big blowouts in there to boost the average. This is not a typical year for HC or Bucknell though. HC just lost to Lehigh for the first time in 7 years. HC just lost to Yale for the first time in 4 years. Bucknell beat Fordham for the first time in 12 years. Bucknell beat Lafayette for the first time in 4 years. HC is the better team though still. Bucknell only beat Fordham by 1, lost to Georgetown by 1, lost to Cornell by 10 (without their #1 QB so maybe throw that result out), lost to Penn by 10 as 17 pt dog. Bucknell was +17 at Penn 5 games ago and Bucknell outgained them 429-394 (5.4-7.0). HC has had some trouble playing good 4Q game. Were shutout 2H last week, they only scored 3 2H vs Lafayette and nearly lost that game. They only scored 7 at Harvard 1H, but then were on fire in the 2H. HC punted their first 5 poss vs Fordham and only scored 3 pts 1H in that one. So a bit of an inconsistent team lately. Seems like it could be an Over game, but surprisingly Bucknell is 5-1-1 to the Under their last 7. HC is 4-2 to the Under their last 6. I would think that Bucknell can hang in a 2 TD type spread but I'd be surprised if they flirted with an upset chance late in the game.
 
FanDuel released a collection of Montana and Dakota related odds last night. Nothing for tonight’s game yet.
 
FanDuel released a collection of Montana and Dakota related odds last night. Nothing for tonight’s game yet.
Montana St already moved form -8.5 to 7.5 and NDSU from -13.5 to 12.5
 
Stonehill at Lafayette – Stonehill with a late out of conference game. SH has covered a couple big spreads, 2 of the last 3 vs NEC teams CCSU +17 lost by 4 (not much O by CCSU 2H) and +19.5 Duquesne lost by 14 (were down big and backdoored). Between those they were shutout and lost by 34 at SFU where SH’s O only gained 56 yard total!!! (outgained 56-477). Since their early season bye, SH has been outgained by an average of 226 ypg. Last week was their best, just outgained by 29y in the close loss vs CCSU. It is a poor O and a weak D, when they do have any success it is through the air. O’Connell has been an improvement the last several games, but it is modest. Not an ideal spot for Lafayette to play a random out of league team, they trailed Colgate 7-20 early 4Q but scored 2 TDs to win that one 21-20 and they travel to play Lehigh next week in The Rivalry. Lafayette is just 1-6 ATS this year as a favorite and have been upset outright in 3 of those spots and they are 0-3 ATS as a DD fav this year. The O has had several games they struggled to do much, even vs SHU they only won 31-17 as a 16 pt fav with just a 381-309 (5.4-5.1) TY edge. Can’t lay pts with Lafayette like this Masseys is saying 23.5 and Sagarin is 17.5.

Georgetown at Fordham – Gtown has an outside chance of getting a share of the conference title while Fordham is just 1-9. Gtown has only won once at Fordham in the last 12 trips and that was 2018. It is a series that Fordham owns a commanding 21-4 W/L edge in. This year is of course different with Fordham being considerably down. Rams have been playing tough in a few games, had a lead late at Bucknell but couldn’t hold it and lost by 1 (+186 yards). Really could say they just played their best all around game at Bucknell last week despite the loss. 549 ttl yards, the run and pass were clicking, got some big plays. Should’ve had some more pts but they had trouble sustaining drives (2-of-14 3rd/4th down) and scoring in the RZ (1 TD 5 trips). Now they close out a disappointing season with two home games, this is their league finale as they host Merrimack next week. They really have only played one bad league game all year (Lehigh) as they were in all the other games. It is still Capaldi at QB, sometimes Holley, but really when they have done well it is when they have had success running. The last two weeks RBs had 204y (5.8) on Bucknell and two games ago RBs had 179 (5.6) on Colgate. Capaldi runs, but he skews the avg down. They do get sacked a lot. Georgetown is another one of those highly unpredictable Patriot League teams - lose by 37 to Lehigh only scoring 6 pts, but good enough to shutout Lafayette on the road. Lose to Colgate by 10, but can hand Bucknell their only league loss to date. It is up and down and every which way for Gtown. Run D has been a problem and that suits what Fordham has been good at lately. Georgetown is just so inconsistent, you never know with them. Their O had some big scoring efforts to start the year, but since week 3 Hoyas have only scored an average of 17 ppg (high water mark was 28 on Colgate in a loss). Looks like Massey thinks Fordham -6.5 while Sagarin is saying 3.8. I would lean Fordham to win, but definitely could be a close game as 4 of their 5 Patriot games have been decided by an average of 3 ppg. Not sure.

It is very out of character to see myself siding with so many favorites. Not sure if that is a good thing or not, might have to be careful. Only thing I have taken so far are two dogs on FD this morning in Missouri State kind of small and UC Davis kind of average play which I have not had a chance to actually get into, it was just a reaction to seeing the numbers.

Will have to see what else I can get through tonight.
 
Is anyone else giving Mercer a look?

I don’t really follow FCS but see them at 9-1. And getting 42 points at Alabama. After Bama destroyed LSU in primetime Saturday, do they really need any ‘style points’ from beating up an FCS team with two more SEC games ahead for them?
 
Is anyone else giving Mercer a look?

I don’t really follow FCS but see them at 9-1. And getting 42 points at Alabama. After Bama destroyed LSU in primetime Saturday, do they really need any ‘style points’ from beating up an FCS team with two more SEC games ahead for them?

Mercer's calling card has been defense and special teams. They typically have not been very good on offense. I can't really envision how FBS-FCS games go at this point in the season. I might think it could be similar to the UTC - Alabama game last year. I don't have any Alabama knowledge to know if they can put it on somebody like that, but as far as the FCS side goes, Mercer is probably similar to UTC for comparison purposes. UTC scored 10 and had 233 yards. Probably could expect about the same. UTC offense last year is better than what Mercer has though.
 
Crawley is suiting up for Grambling tonight. I took the A&M ML this afternoon when it opened. Going to take some +6 with Grambling now and shoot for some middle action.
 
Not seeing a ton this week outside of maybe CCSU, Duquesne, NCCU, FAMU, Tarleton and Yale. I have noticed I tend to ride some teams more than others so take with a grain of salt.
 
I have a theory on some of these line moves. I should maybe track opens/close. But the short period of time from when the FCS lines typcially open to when the game kicks off often time we see a lot of movement on side and totals and often times they just keep going one way. They may eventually stop, but they do not come back the other way as maybe they would if there was more time, or more people, following the movements. Crawley's return last night had minimal impact on the field. Other than perhaps him being back had a psychological effect on the rest of the team 'already we got our guy back'. But the line movement was opposite of what it should be. So maybe nobody knew he was coming back. I listened to the Grambling pregame show that said he'd be back and then I posted that here. The preseason SWAC offensive player of the year returns to the lineup and the other teams gets bet from -2.5 to -6? Provides some opportunities. I like FCS.
 
Mercer's calling card has been defense and special teams. They typically have not been very good on offense. I can't really envision how FBS-FCS games go at this point in the season. I might think it could be similar to the UTC - Alabama game last year. I don't have any Alabama knowledge to know if they can put it on somebody like that, but as far as the FCS side goes, Mercer is probably similar to UTC for comparison purposes. UTC scored 10 and had 233 yards. Probably could expect about the same. UTC offense last year is better than what Mercer has though.

I really appreciate the insight. If I play Mercer, it’ll be small. My thesis for 2024 is that with the new CFP model, I don’t think these will be as lopsided (compared to the 2023 matchup). In 2023, Bama was still outside the top four and probably went for style. In 2024, it’s more roster management/ full subs later in game. Regardless, it’s hard to justify a big bet on matchups like this, in my opinion.
 
I really appreciate the insight. If I play Mercer, it’ll be small. My thesis for 2024 is that with the new CFP model, I don’t think these will be as lopsided (compared to the 2023 matchup). In 2023, Bama was still outside the top four and probably went for style. In 2024, it’s more roster management/ full subs later in game. Regardless, it’s hard to justify a big bet on matchups like this, in my opinion.

That's good. It's really hard to consider how either team is going to approach it. Mercer just wants to get out of it healthy as well I would think because they have a conference championship to win and a playoff run to begin. FCS playoff committees do not hold FBS losses against teams even if it is bad. It counts, but it isn't any kind of bad thing - some people say think of it as a half loss. So Mercer will not be penalized in the committee's eyes if they lose big....because they are supposed to. Best they can hope for is a 30-40 pt loss and leave with no major injuries. Mercer's #1 QB Smith has been banged up, in and out of the lineup and they have been playing a Fr QB. This also mirrors UTC last year vs Bama who was on their backup QB in that game. If Mercer does play most of their top guys on D and if Alabama subs some of their first line guys on O that would be ideal to keep the game lower scoring. I know you might see some Mercer games where their O has done well, but in most games this year, their D has actually done as much scoring as the O and at the very least set up their O with good scoring position. So I would just say in your evaluations vs what you think Bama will field, I would not count Mercer's O to be the reason they could potentially stay in the game, but if it falls right, their D might allow them to not get completely blown out.
 
Dartmouth at Cornell – Dartmouth plays close games, they just do. Won by 9 last week thanks to a sack in the EZ with 2min left which stretched that to a two score game, but Dartmouth O only produced 303y. They blk’d a punt and recovered a muffed punt for 10 easy points (O only needed to move it 38y after those for scores). They have shown they can get up on teams, up 21-7 HT last week, but here that game was just a 1 score game in the final minutes. Got up 24-7 on Columbia, but Columbia scored a flurry of points at the end to make that a 3 point win. They were up by 10 on Harvard, let them come back and actually lost straight up. Dartmouth beat CCSU by 4 in a game they had to score in the final minute to do it. Dartmouth’s wins have averaged just 3.6 ppg since the Fordham game. The D did a good job vs a limited Princeton O, they did good vs Columbia’s limited O as well (Columbia lost their #1 QB end 2Q of that game)…CCSU isn’t a great O and Penn was struggling at the time. Dartmouth D matched up very well vs all those offenses for various reasons. Harvard is of course very good, Crimson gained 434 (6.3), Yale put 532 (6.1). Cornell’s O is right up there and they should stress Dartmouth D more than several of their other opponents. Cornell just lost 49-67 home vs Penn last week - crazy score! Penn’s O is finally clicking and Dartmouth O does not have those kinds of weapons. Cornell led that game 21-7, 28-17, 35-32, Penn’s first lead of the game came in the 3Q and then the Quakers scored 28 straight on them. Penn converted all 3 TOs into pts (2 FGs and TD). But Cornell was right there, scoring TDs on 5 of their first 7, the two non-scores were INTs in Penn territory. Then Cornell won big vs Princeton the week before. Last time here Cornell beat Dartmouth 17-13. Last year Dartmouth won 30-14. Cornell fumbled at the D05 1H and were SOD at the C36 and D31 late, the first of which allowed Dartmouth to tack TD on in the final minute to extend their margin. So Dartmouth did lead throughout, but it was played a little closer than a 16 pt win implies last year. And that was a Cornell team playing out the string for their soon to be fired HC while Dartmouth was on their way to sharing an Ivy Title. Dartmouth may be in line for a piece of the Ivy Title again this season, but I think the vibe around Cornell is very different. Really they have been in several of the games they lost or had leads into the 2H, except for Harvard that is the only game they were not in at all – they have allowed a lot of scoring in the final quarter+ so that is a concern as they seem to run out of gas. Wang is one of the tougher QBs in the league to corral. Massey has Big Green -7.5, Sagarin has 6. Not sure where it opens, but I can’t see a line for Dartmouth at Cornell that mirrors the Dartmouth line at Princeton. Cornell also won at Princeton, much more impressively than Dartmouth did. Big Red led 42-14. I’m interested in Cornell at a TD or better and could we see any kind of line movement like Dartmouth saw last week (went from -2.5 to -9.5)?

Campbell at Delaware – Passing for now

Illinois State at Indiana State – Passing for now

Morehead State at Drake – Drake can clinch the league outright and a playoff birth with a win here. This line is projecting to be about 13/14 and they have only beat one team by more than 10 points all year, Valpo, who everyone beats. Morehead beat Valpo by 12 (Morehead D got 9 sacks). Drake is 2-3 ATS as a favorite and has been outgained in 3 of their 5 Pioneer games. Drake O avg just 332 ypg vs league opponents scoring 25ppg. Their D is allowing 287ypg including the 80 Valpo gained (Drake allows 339 in their other 4 non-Valpo Pioneer games). 16.6 is the ppg allowed. Drake’s best game could be the 10 pt win over Butler, but Butler had a 333-314 (4.7-5.3) yard edge. Drake did hold a 27-9 lead. Drake’s best offensive game was the Presbyterian game, but 435y (7.0) failed to result in many pts (13 pts in regulation -3 TOs lost in Presbyterian territory). Drake’s game last week at St Thomas was 22-13 in the final minutes before St Thomas scored a late TD. Still just 205y of O by Drake in that one (3.8). Drake's the top team in the Pioneer and you are just kind of like, meh...with them. Morehead is an underwhelming offense. Last week 5 of their 11 FDs at Davidson came by penalty. Morehead avg 252ypg and just 14.3 ppg. The Morehead D is allowing 299.5 with 16ppg in league play. Morehead is 3-2 ATS as a dog with outright wins at Dayton, vs Presbyterian and St Thomas! Morehead’s best game was probably the 21-7 win over St Thomas as they had good scoring drives, but St Thomas hurt themselves with TOs, failed 4th downs and missed FG. Morehead’s two spread losses are last week +6.5 lost by 17 at Davidson and several games back +14.5 lost by 34 at Butler. Drake is closer to Butler rather than the struggling teams like Dayton or Presbyterian that Morehead has beaten. Hard to like laying 2 TDs with a team that just doesn’t win by that margin much. Like the situation with them being able to clinch title at home with a win. Morehead has been tricky at times, but vs the better teams haven’t fared as well. I will have to pass because of the spread. All the low scoring games these two have played in will result in a really low total. Morehead has gone Under 6 straight and Drake has gone Under 5 of last 6.

VMI at Western Carolina – So Mercer was held below 300y of O 3x this year vs the SoCon and they go for 518 (7.3) on VMI! Now when it’s right, the best offense in the league, WCU faces them. Vs the teams that I would call comparable to WCU (WM, UTC, Mercer), VMI has been outscored 17-106 (avg 5.6 – 35.3) and outgained 241-446, 220-399, 111-518 on avg 190- 454. And then there are other games, like vs Furman who outgained VMI 412-177, but LOST because that is the kind of year Furman is having. VMI has been held below 200y of O 4x this year and hasn’t topped 245 in 4 others. Cuationary note, WCU was just eliminated from playoff consideration last week. It was on thin ice anyway, so it may not come as a sudden shock to the team who now finds themselves at 5-5 (4-2 SoCon). WCU just played the 3 top teams in a row (went 1-2). So all this may set up for a B game which isn’t ideal to cover what looks to be a spread just over 3 TDs. But we also most remember, the last time they played a ‘bad’ team was 4 games ago and they hung a league record 652y passing on Furman (won 52-20, outgained them 801-294). Gonzales has missed the last 2, but even if he is not back, #2 Dickens is good when he isn’t going against the best defenses in the league (71% and 431y passing on UTC 2 games ago, but last week ETSU got after him with a lot of pressure and he wilted 46% 154y). There is another tidbit here. Last year a zombie-ish WCU lost at VMI in the season finale and with that they closed the year being upset in 3 of their final 5 and only 1-4 ATS as a fav. WCU was a lost buch. A little danger here just because season goals have gone out the window and if the team doesn't have their head right it gets hard to cover a big number. One would hope they remember that feeling from last year and how it ended and want to finish better, VMI is as bad as it comes in the SoCon this year. WCU should put it on them. EDIT - I shouldn't say WCU has been eliminated, nobody eliminates anyone technically, they could still share a conference title, but a lot of things would have to go right for them. I should say it isn't realistic they make the playoffs, which the players probably know, that's my point.

MVSU at FAMU – I have not been betting any of the big spread SWAC games. Richardson and I think maybe a top RB were injured last week in their surprising loss to PV. Richardson could be back. The #2 QB who they thought would take over before Richardson transferred in has been surprisingly not good. Again, I am skipping this game.

Albany at Rhode Island – URI is 4-2 ATS as fav, mostly small spreads, both spread losses were when favored by 7 or more. You can kind of throw a blanket over the top 5 teams in the CAA, all are good, but just how good? URI was in the game vs Delware, part of that is because Hens fumbled back-to-back possessions which URI ret for TD and capitalized on short field for another TD. Delaware ran for 203 (5.3) on them, but a healthy Yarns can do that to opposing Ds. URI O only had one drive over 54y in that game. URI isn’t overly impressive in their wins. URI never led vs Monmouth until 1:17 left (here TOs hurt URI as opposed to helping them in the Delaware game as URI had their second most yards of the year 476 on the weak Monmouth D). The Maine game was a 10 pt win and cover for URI -5 at home, but that game was pretty close most of the time, Maine had a slight yardage edge. URI’s best wins might be 26-9 vs a then slumping UNH team (UNH led 3-2 HT) – in that one URI scored on D and had another short field TD. They only had one drive over 45y in this game. Beat Brown by 10 in a game that was never more than a 7 pt lead for 57 minutes. Could’ve lost to Hampton. You get the point. They win, but it isn’t like they are really head and shoulders better than who they beat. Albany is just not good and unfortunately for them, they have not gotten better....offensively, but the D is. They did play better than the final suggests last week at Stony Brook. Albany did have a 365-321 (5.1-5.1) yard edge, but Albany did bad things they typically do. They were playing Lindsey at QB and he got hurt 1Q last week and Burkett was injured vs UNH so they went to #3 Vann (Fr) who was actually pretty good and he may get his first start this week if the other two aren’t back. Now the Albany D, is playing pretty good. They did a good job on Stony Brook last week who was avg 39.3 their last 3 since the bye and Albany held them to just 24. 321y allowed (5.1), when SB had avg’d 468 their previous 3 and the only FCS team that did a better job on Stony Brook than Albany was Villanova's D (also held to 24pts and 310y 4.2ypp allowed). The Albany O has been bad vs UNH, but the D was ok here too, 7 of UNH’s 31 pts in that game were a pick-six and they were held to 297y (5.8). Delaware came out hot vs Albany scoring on 3 of first 4, but then Hens only scored 1 TD over their final 5 possessions. Elon ran TWO KO ret TDs back against them to contribute to their 30 pts. The D has kept games somewhat managable, the O just can't do enough or they screw up. The kind of year Albany has had, surprising to see Albany has only been dogged 4x vs FCS. They are 2-2 ATS as dogs - covered a +2 in an outright win vs Cornell and a +14.5 vs Delaware by .5 (Danes 1-4 ATS as fav). I suspect the line opens closer to where Massey has it 6.5 than where Sagarin has it 13.7. If it were to get up towards where Sagarin has it I am tempted to take Albany. URI’s general unimpressiveness in their wins and Albany’s D has me interested at that kind of line. There is disagreement on the total too. Massey says 49.5 and Sagarin 41.5. Because of the D and also because of offensive struggles from Albany, they have gone Under to the tune of 5-0-1 over their last 6 games (avg total 50.08). The last game to go Over for them was Maine who sent that game Over because of a pick-six with 2min left. URI has gone Under 4 of the last 5 (avg total 54.1). The one game that went Over in that span was the Monmouth game where URI got a scoop-score TD with :00 after Monmouth was pitching it around. So Under 49.5 would definitely have my interest as well.
 
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Not seeing a ton this week outside of maybe CCSU, Duquesne, NCCU, FAMU, Tarleton and Yale. I have noticed I tend to ride some teams more than others so take with a grain of salt.

It is a good strategy, riding or fading certain teams consistently because you get into a groove and develop a feel on or against teams
 
I will be away for several hours now. Have a formal luncheon to attend with my family which is when the lines will probably come out.
 
That's good. It's really hard to consider how either team is going to approach it. Mercer just wants to get out of it healthy as well I would think because they have a conference championship to win and a playoff run to begin. FCS playoff committees do not hold FBS losses against teams even if it is bad. It counts, but it isn't any kind of bad thing - some people say think of it as a half loss. So Mercer will not be penalized in the committee's eyes if they lose big....because they are supposed to. Best they can hope for is a 30-40 pt loss and leave with no major injuries. Mercer's #1 QB Smith has been banged up, in and out of the lineup and they have been playing a Fr QB. This also mirrors UTC last year vs Bama who was on their backup QB in that game. If Mercer does play most of their top guys on D and if Alabama subs some of their first line guys on O that would be ideal to keep the game lower scoring. I know you might see some Mercer games where their O has done well, but in most games this year, their D has actually done as much scoring as the O and at the very least set up their O with good scoring position. So I would just say in your evaluations vs what you think Bama will field, I would not count Mercer's O to be the reason they could potentially stay in the game, but if it falls right, their D might allow them to not get completely blown out.

I really appreciate it! I think you’ve made a more convincing case of the under than I’ve made of taking the points. The two are fairly well coordinated but leaning towards under now.
 
No lines yet.

Tonight's game is out everywhere except Fan Duel. Maybe that is just Ohio?

Came across this, kind of cool:

[William & Mary Hollis]....Mathis needs 62 yards receiving to become the first player in Football Championship Subdivision history to net 1,000 yards passing, rushing and receiving for a career. Paul Dombrowski of FBS New Mexico State (2002-05) is the only player in NCAA history to accomplish the feat.
 
Richmond at Hampton – Big day Saturday at Hampton after they host Richmond in football the men and women hoops teams will be playing local rival Norfolk. Since the opener, Hampton has been good at home. Hampton led Rhode Island twice by 14 in the 2H, but URI cameback, Hampton blk’d a would-be game tying xpt, but they were offsides. URI made the xpt and won it in OT. Hampton beat Elon at home 41-21 with a 381-168 yard edge. Elon was in a rough stretch then. Hampton played an even game with 8-2 Villanova in yards (239-241), but came up 6 points short on the scoreboard. Villanova, like Richmond, also doesn't feel as good as their record. Last week Hampton had a 286-198 (3.6-4.5) yard edge at Towson with a 42:18 TOP edge, but they couldn’t score TDs in the RZ (which previously had not been a problem in other games) and Towson used a 62y pick-six and good field position throughout to score on short fields in the 27-10 game. So last week is definitely a set back for Hampton, but that was on the road. Now they return home where they’ve been stronger vs the CAA teams (3-0 ATS as home dog). Since their bye week, nobody the last 4 games has run for 100y on Hampton D! They got run on pretty bad earlier in the season. Now, some of the teams among the last 4 aren’t very good. But Villanova is a pretty capable rushing team and Hampton held them to 92y on 42 att, Villanova has averaged 195ypg rush in their other FCS games. Nova only average 3.8 ypp at Hampton, their ssn avg in the other 8 FCS games is 5.59. Nova was just 3 of 16 on 3rd down (18.8%), they are 38.8% in their other games. So there might be something to this Hampton D improvement. Because of the 42:18 minute TOP vs Towson, it might not be totally shocking that Towson only had 198y on 44 plays. That is just 4.5 ypp however when Towson typically is a 6.2ypp team, nobody this year held them below 5ypp, not NDSU or Cincinnati or anyone. And Towson was 0-for-6 on 3rd down the week after Hampton just limited Villanova on 3rd down. I think there is something going with the Hampton D and I like it. Now Hampton O needs to pick it up. They play two QBs with Mays and Zellous and both are good, Mays is better passer I’d say. I think they decide who starts or plays the most based on practice going into the game. Mays has seen limited snaps the last 2 though. The URI game was probably their best offensive performance vs a quality opponent - so they are capable. Richmond D is better that URI. The Hampton O production is going to be their issue if they have one.

Richmond isn’t quite as good as the 8-2 record looks I feel. Beat Delaware, only team to do it, nice feather in their cap (came after a bye and Delaware was banged up but still). And they blew Bryant out, which isn’t uncommon. Struggled with Campbell last week, needed a walk off FG to win that one for their first lead of the game! I lamented here two weeks ago how that Towson-Richmond game when I was on Towson. 3 FGs and a pick-six, 16 of their 35 pts Towson literally just handed to Richmond (yards 383-347 6.1-5.0 edge Towson). 5 games ago, Richmond only beat A&T 20-17 – A&T is the worst team in the league! There were some other games earlier in the season that make you question Richmond. Campbell just ran for 273 on them (6.8). That was about double their average coming in! 121 of those yards was from their QB – both of Hampton’s QBs can run. Richmond is the #2 rush O in the CAA. Hampton is #3.

This is a Hampton team that has responded to the interim tag being removed from their head coach (3-1 ATS since announcement post bye week), they have played tough vs some teams that frankly should be better than Hampton. Couple that with some questions on the Richmond side and I am liking some pts here at home with Hampton. Now, one last thing, Hampton beat them last year. And this can go different ways. Sure it has a tendency to create more focus out of Richmond, get them back and all that – counter that with Richmond’s biggest game of the season, the annual rivalry game with William & Mary is on deck. And the fact that Hampton beat them last year, that can give the Pirates some confidence knowing they did it with a lesser team last year with a lesser coaching staff from what they have now, on the road. Massey has 9.5 which would be great. Sagarin showing 5.6. Would love over a TD, but will probably take any points really. Villanova was -10.5 at HU just two games ago so it isn’t unreasonable to think it could be in that neighborhood.
 
Stony Brook at New Hampshire – SB’s last two games were a little off. Were up 24-10 on Bryant, but that game went to OT and they were outgained by 11y. Last week they only lead Albany 7-6 HT and some Albany mistakes allowed SB to walk away with that one 24-6, but SB was again outgained this time by 44y. Question is, has this SB team become too dependent on TOs and good field position from them? +3 last week saved them, +/- 0 vs Bryant and that game goes to OT. Among the 8 TOs in the W&M game, SB emerged +2 which were key. +3 vs Towson which were again big. There were only 3 FCS games this year that SB was either negative or even in TO margin. Won by 6 at Fordam, lost by 18 vs Villanova and went to OT with Bryant. Looking at their season exclusively through that lense doesn’t reflect too well. That is a little too simplistic, I do think they have a good team, but an eyebrow is rightfully raised after the last 2 weeks. So now they are expected to win at New Hampshire, Massey says 9.5, Sagarin is at 5.6. As good as SB has been this year, they have only been a road favorite once, Bryant, -10. UNH didn’t have too much trouble with Bryant, a little trouble in the 2H, but I can’t believe that SB would be -9.5 as Massey suggests, the same line they were at Bryant when UNH is very obviously better than Bryant. So not sure where this opens, but if it opens at 9.5 it definitely will be bet down. New Hampshire has kind of righted their ship. There are currently 4 teams that matter ahead of them in the CAA standings (Delaware doesn’t count) and at 4-2, UNH actually still has an outside shot at claiming a share of this wild conference. I haven’t tried to figure out what has happened to our dear Monmouth offense, but UNH never trailed vs them last week and led by as many as 16 in their 33-20 win. Yards were kind of even 335-313 because of some garbage yards from Monmouth. In a game that looked like it was two lost teams at Albany, UNH was quite a bit better and those yards too were even (297-251) once again due to garbage yards by Albany. Any game prior to this we see a UNH O in the abyss. But here we are now, and they are better. Morgan is back at QB and the O looked somewhat normal again vs Monmouth (first time O has topped 300y in a month). Monmouth never being known for their D and all – so not like UNH O has turned a corner, but it is off the mat. I would still expect Stony Brook to win, but if that line is close to where Massey has it, I will take UNH. Now, SB closed -4 at home vs another team similar to UNH in Albany. So it is pretty hard for me to believe that this line here would be what Massey says, I'm just preparing myself to act accordingly if they do.
 
It is a good strategy, riding or fading certain teams consistently because you get into a groove and develop a feel on or against teams
I actually think the injuries and the FAMU performance last week may provide solid value against an MVSU team that is playing out the string at this point. Will be interesting to see where the line opens...
 
Maybe we're just getting lines tomorrow instead? Will be offline again for a few hours
 
Sooo....I had the favorite wrong on the Stony Brook - New Hampshire game. Massey does not have SB the 9.5 pt favorite. Their PR has UNH a 9.5 fav, Sagaring UNH-5.62 and Reddit UNH-4. It can see a small line for the home team, but that is something to have UNH more than a TD fav. I thought that SB would win the game and stand by that. SB is 4-1 ATS this year as a dog with all 4 covers being outright upset wins. The non-cover was vs Villanova, a game that SB was outgained by 122 yards in, but they also led 24-14 mid 3Q (lost 24-42). UNH is 2-2 ATS as a favorite, their wins vs Stonehill and Bryant.
 
I see NCCU -14.5 115

Was hoping for 9.5 or less so no play for me

Opened at 17. I have some at 15.5 and took the $25 max on their TT O34. Heritage wouldn't let me take more on the 33.5 number. TT available at FD as well which has almost a 6x higher max than Heritage, but waiting to see if any more spread movement. Like I said before, wanting to do something and actually doing it is easier said that done, but after last year, if NCCU is in position to score more points, I would think they will most certainly try to do it. They did score 31+ on 4 of their first 5 FCS opponents this year. Lately they have not, their last two games vs Morgan and SC State they only scored 37 total in both.
 
I'm sure Tarleton will be a short favorite

I hate them but they always seem to be on my cards
 
I'm sure Tarleton will be a short favorite

I hate them but they always seem to be on my cards

These next two home games feel like the biggest games in program history. Talking about winning the UAC and being in the playoff in their first year eligible to do so. And we know this program has big dreams.

Tarleton will need to play better than they have the last 3 weeks. The situation might elevate them, but it isn't like they are just awesome or anything. Close win vs SLU, close win vs SUU. Abilene is a pretty good team, think their D is a liability though.
 
Last night didn't go like it was supposed to...I added up the HT yards and what they said NCCU had in the 3Q, through 3Q last night NCCU had like 430 yards and 13 pts. They fumbled into the EZ, had two FGs blk'd, had two xpt's blk'd and they were trying to score at the end like we thought they would, but just....when they got down into the RZ they whilted. Harris was not good. 26-3 covers, but fails to hit TT. Then there was a pretty good fight at the end of the game. Police officer was using pepper spray to try and break players up.

Here is what I am looking for today, actual spreads are unknown:

Merrimack less than -13 (Massey -14.5, Sagarin -12.5)
CCSU -small spread to ML (Massey -3.5, Sagarin RM-.4)
Yale -10 (Massey -11.5, Sagarin -15.5)
YSU -small spread to ML (Massey -4.5, Sagarin -6)
ETSU -10 (Massey -6.5, Sagarin -15)
Villanova -small spread ML (Massey -3.5, Sagarin -3.2)
LIU -small spread to ML (Massey -3.5, Sagarin -6.4)
Delaware State +14 (Massey +13.5, Sagarin +11.6)
Presbyterian -4 (Massey -6.5, Sagarin -6.8)
Bucknell +14 (Massey +21.5, Sagarin +14)
Cornell +7 (Massey +7.5, Sagarin +6)
WCU -21 (Massey -23.5, Sagarin 21.6)
Albany +11 or more and Under 49.5 (Massey +6.5/49.5, Sagarin +13.7/41.5)
Stony Brook +3 (Massey +9.5, Sagarin +5.6)
Hampton +7 and ML (Massey +9.5, Sagarin +5.7)
Chattanooga -10 (Massey -10.5, Sagarin -17.4)
Austin Peay -small spread to ML (Massey -3.5, Sagarin -.14)
Maine +7 (Massey +6.5, Sagarin +6.1)
Northern Colorado +24 (Massey +20.5, Sagarin+17.2)
Portland State +17 (Massey +16.5, Sagarin +16.3)
Alcorn +any pts (Massey +.5, Sagarin +1.1)
Incarnate Word -small spread to ML (Massey -3.5, Sagarin-3.5)
Idaho State +7 (Massey +6.5, Sagarin +6)
SC State -4 (Massey -6.5, Sagarin-5.9)
Lamar -small spread to ML (Massey -3.5, Sagarin-1.5)
Southern Utah +3.5 (Massey +3.5, Sagarin +1.9)
Tarleton State -small spread to ML (Massey -2.5, Sagarin -7.7)
 
Some Dll games up at MyBookie. Kind of tough being their final week not knowing the landscape
 
Maybe Central Oklahoma, but that series looks tight and Emporia isn't bad. Henderson State if there was a spread as a dog might be one.
 
Looks like FD too busy limiting players to 200 on the kiosks and suspending accounts to bother with FCS games this week.
 
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