Odds
Week 12 Discussion Thread
- Thread starter VirginiaCavs
- Start date
2daBank
Voice of Reason
36 feels awful low for thu night. I think it sucks steelers getting sent on the road for thu game after playing ravens. That only reason I’m scared to hit that -3.5. Winston gonna throw picks in this game i think a given. Pretty sure im playing over that number unless it a weather thing.
I don't get why the Giants are now switching to their third-string quarterback instead of to Lock. Why wasn't DeVito the backup if he was the second-best option.
Brewers888
Potential 2028 V.P. Selection
The fans are excited to watch Devito since he's a hero to the fans and Lock offers nothing anyway.
Incentives
Brewers888
Potential 2028 V.P. Selection
What upside would there be to playing Lock anyway. The Giants are a trash team with nothing to play for anyway and the fans love Devito even if he's a CFL level talent.
Isn‘t this is a really good argument for not incorporating incentives into your contract? Now Lock doesn’t get to play
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I dunno, for not doing jack shit I’m sure he still doing pretty well for himself: maybe putting those in and keeping yourself off the field extends your career of getting paid to hold a clipboard.
Frank Costanza
Co-Inventor of the Man's Bra
Beyond square but lay the 10 with Washington. Dallas is a bad team and getting worse as it throws in the towel more by the day. On top of this, teams love to beat it as badly as possible when given the opportunity. Texans were downright gleeful last night. More of that is on the horizon.
Brewers888
Potential 2028 V.P. Selection
I definitely need to stop betting on Dallas.
Really want to take some dogs this week but man it's tough to back half the league
Raiders were getting ready to go up 17-3 on Denver and threw a pick 6. Line seems high. - until you realize the raiders may be quitting
Patriots 7 vs Miami - Miami was even with raiders in box score , Miami scored every possession and cover was still up in air till end. At same time, pats defense likely not to get a stop either and give up more explosives and drake maye only looked that good once.
Thinking McDonald finally turned the tide which makes Seattle and San fran attractive this week to me.
Raiders were getting ready to go up 17-3 on Denver and threw a pick 6. Line seems high. - until you realize the raiders may be quitting
Patriots 7 vs Miami - Miami was even with raiders in box score , Miami scored every possession and cover was still up in air till end. At same time, pats defense likely not to get a stop either and give up more explosives and drake maye only looked that good once.
Thinking McDonald finally turned the tide which makes Seattle and San fran attractive this week to me.
Predicting rain and wind
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I kinda figured with the weather coming thru stl today and 2marro it had potential to be super nasty on the lake in cle thu night. I think it will be an interesting case study if Wilson can connect with that moon bomb in shit weather, obviously the wind in cle could be Mira brutal than a super cold January game somewhere. I dunno how that deep ball Russ throws plays in wind? Whether it a crossing wind or post to post makes a big difference imo. Def more a case study going forward for me than a game im gonna look to play much on. I havnt looked at props but i assume they set really low, i can already guess id be looking at a warren rec prop but if the threat of the deep ball isn’t there the passes to running backs won’t be effective as they were to move the chains vs ravens, obviously more guys playing in box as well so got the feeling of a old school nasty afc north rock fight, if Steelers didn’t just have to play ravens Sunday I’d feel ok taking them if I could get decent price on -3 but not loving it given the situation. Feel like I might be at casino trying to grind out some profit at the roulette table next few days with fucking maction and this game prob not offering much opportunity to make any real money and I kinda need to make some! Lol:
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I wouldn’t worry bout effort with raiders, not saying they cover but that team ain’t gonna quit on Pierce, it just won’t happen. Have to look at how donks defend te’s but gotta think the fact raider best weapon is Bowers an advantage rather than it being a wr Sertain can take away. I’m actually warming up to raiders play, I’d love to get +6 but might not matter.
Agree w you bout some dogs but def not looking at pats, I think there lot of potential fish are just starting to crank things up, I’m not looking to take a bad team vs them at home, lay it or pass and wait till ppl buy them and they gotta go north! Lol
This won’t be popular and it scares shit out of me but colts getting more than 7 is kinda tempting vs lions, AR was way more accurate than he was anytime before the benching last week, and he finally ran it 10x which I been screaming at them all year he has to run it that many times a game for him to be able to keep the offense on schedule picking up some key 1st downs. I’d like to head what @B.A.R. Has to say bout lions d, I think colts might be able to run with AR/taylor combo and keep possessions low here. The biggest key will be colts d belong able to force a few fgs instead of tds early so they not forced into a game of AR has to pass and lions can give him all kinds of bull shit looks, if that happens I look stupid and lions backers keep winning. Even then AR could go a little super man and get a cover if we getting 7.5 or more. If ya want dogs sometimes the best ones scary as shit!! Lol
I think Bucs getting Mike Williams back or dare I’d say maybe giants? I’m fucking awful predicting that team tho and it been that way for years, basically only time I’m right is taking Dak to beat them. I could see them as a viable option but I hope to god I can find others I like more! lol
As much I’ve killed that scrub Levis I actually think this a spot getting 8.5 titans are worth a serious look. Houston hasn’t really got their offense figured out and even at beginning the year when they looked better they settled for lot of fgs, titans d outta be able to hold them to a low enough number long as Levis doesn’t make more than one his worst plays of the week plays this one feels like a no brainer cause you know titans d won’t just let mixon run all over them, nico back but Texans still working on pecking order after him. If you looking for dogs I feel like you gotta play this one, right?
For me today which is still early so no promises but I’d say 3 the stronger dogs this week be titans, raiders, and god help me colts (maybe,
).,
Aaron Glenn‘s Lions defense used to be a big fade for me against mobile quarterbacks, but they seemed to have kept Kyler in check. But maybe that was just an off day for Kyler? He did have his crutch McBride in that game
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Lions still had that beast coming off the edge also. Are lions more man or zone?
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Normally I’d say no chance kc covers dd, the books henchman can win games and not cover far smaller spreads than this but coming off 1st loss and panthers being a team that could easily get shut down by kc d and think it possible kc offense comes with one their better efforts and god forbid might actually cover! I damn sure ain’t trying to lay it but if you made me pick one or other I guess I would.
Brewers888
Potential 2028 V.P. Selection
Best week of the season with the Jets on their bye.
C-MAN
Grass Observer
TNF feels like a 13-10 type game with that shitty weather. Shit, Cleveland has only topped 20 pts once this entire season and most of those games have been in domes or good weather vs lesser defenses. Curious to see Cleveland’s team total…prob around 17 and have to lean under there.
