I’m considering UVA +22.5 (waiting to potentially get more points).
Rationale is that ND is likely playoff bound and we’re late enough in the season where they’re likely just trying to secure a win. They also have an undefeated Army team on deck. Meanwhile, the Cavs have some mojo, coming off a road win at Pitt and are sitting at 5 wins, on the cusp of bowl eligibility. I’d expect them to play inspired.
Getting this many points either could be a winning ticket from a straight up close-ish game but the backdoor could easily open late in the game as well.