Wednesday July 24th MLB Discussion

Phi scored 6 runs in L35 innings. Today’s TT is Phi o5.5

Phi team ba rank 21/30

Phi dead last in Day Games ...BA ranks 30/30
 
mrmarbury said:
Would you guys just play these teams blind for a few more days or do you think it has to be situational to play on them?thanks
Click to expand...

Maybe not blind per-say, just another tidbit of information to look at. The giants seem to having tons of luck lately but those are all random events in the grand scheme of things.
 
Im on ST Louie tonight because I’m fading Lyles , if the cards were playing mediocre ball right now I would still play them
 
Reds are 13-29 in day games ... Milwaukee is 23-14 including 15-5 at home

Cincy is last in this situation at -16.4 units ... Milwaukee is #2 at +7.4 units
 
Played over in the first Colorado game. Both starters terrible history vs the other team
 
GRAY is 0-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 8.19 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)
ERICK FEDDE vs. COLORADO since 1997
FEDDE is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 10.13 and a WHIP of 2.250.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
 
i am locking in Minor Leake rather weak in the day.
Need to look But Bieber on 4 will probably work both well on the right side of the days
 
tuck321 said:
GRAY is 0-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 8.19 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)
ERICK FEDDE vs. COLORADO since 1997
FEDDE is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 10.13 and a WHIP of 2.250.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
Click to expand...

Line stunk. Should have been 11.
 
Adding over light I guess Atlanta is a big over team
this ump has minor swings on totals
3 ERA with Tanaka
9-5 day of week vs 6=11
Kellers splits on 5 not to good almost a 5
 
over 10 minutes elapsed in tampa on a lineup substitution. angel and crew still can't figure it out. everyone is still huddled staring at the lineup card, no solution in sight.
 
now going to video replay to figure out a decision on the lineup card. not even sure if this is allowed.
 
and the bottom of the 8th starts with another huddle about the lineup. already been over 5 minutes. cora explaining to angel, and angel is looking at him like he's speaking swahili.
 
Really want to play Cleveland but walking into another major homer ump is really tough
 
One thing i know laying 45 cents against a home pitcher that is 6-2 at home is stupid
 
tuck321 said:
May be betting Yanks. Happ is on 4 and with Rackley 2.70 ERA
Click to expand...
This guy's Draft Kings fantasy writeup kinda scared me away from Happ:
The Twins have been baseball’s second best offense vs. left-handed pitching by wOBA and the top power offense vs. LHPs by isolated power .... Happ’s proneness to allowing extra-base hits against the top offense at generating extra-base hits vs. LHPs makes for a solid spot for Minnesota.
Click to expand...
I'll admit that my own research sounds kinda esoteric, but during the L4 seasons Happ's team has gone 31-11 SU on the road with Happ starting on less than 6 days rest. The average risk in those games was -118, which translated to +$2,047 for $100 bettors; the most-profitable MLB starter in that (admittedly contrived) spot the L4 seasons..
 
ATL unreal as favorite but once I pound em, they readu to fuck me


The Braves last 24 as favorite

SU:21-3 (3.00, 87.5%) avg line: -157.8 / 146.2 on / against: +$1,560 / -$1,608 ROI: +41.5% / -66.8%
RL:10-13 (1.54, 43.5%) avg line: 115.0 / -135.0 on / against: -$115 / -$110 ROI: -4.9% / -3.5%
OU:8-13-2 (0.41, 38.1%) avg total: 9.6 over / under: -$592 / +$433 ROI: -23.7% / +16.9%
RunsWalksSOHitsXBHHRSIIMRIILLOBTLOBODPSRAPU
Team6.543.928.9610.252.252.083.211.925.5414.717.540.882.294.50
Opp3.543.338.758.671.540.832.380.831.4216.177.501.253.424.46
DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
 
KC 8-3 since break, I know they been hot but braves should be more hungry. Still 5 up but nats been closing gap
 
Kris Bryant since the end of April: .329/.428/.614 with an OPS of 1.043

Charlie Morton's line vs. Red Sox: 7.0 IP, 5 H, 2 R/ER, 0 BB, 11 SO

Verlander today: 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 R, 2 H, 11 K, 2 BB
 
mrpickem said:
ATL unreal as favorite but once I pound em, they readu to fuck me


The Braves last 24 as favorite

SU:21-3 (3.00, 87.5%) avg line: -157.8 / 146.2 on / against: +$1,560 / -$1,608 ROI: +41.5% / -66.8%
RL:10-13 (1.54, 43.5%) avg line: 115.0 / -135.0 on / against: -$115 / -$110 ROI: -4.9% / -3.5%
OU:8-13-2 (0.41, 38.1%) avg total: 9.6 over / under: -$592 / +$433 ROI: -23.7% / +16.9%
RunsWalksSOHitsXBHHRSIIMRIILLOBTLOBODPSRAPU
Team6.543.928.9610.252.252.083.211.925.5414.717.540.882.294.50
Opp3.543.338.758.671.540.832.380.831.4216.177.501.253.424.46
DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Click to expand...

2 big series coming up for the bravos. I know look ahead a don’t really happen in mlb like they do in other sports. But maybe they took the royoa for granted a lil
 
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