Wednesday hahahha Wade LeBlanc Discussion

[GWarner27]

that was fun, could have written the same for Peavy too but I got scared off of Matsek...

leans from the BOL open:
NYM +123/u7
ARI o7
BOS +123: Guccione
CHW u8
HOU +140: Emmel
LAA u8: Wolcott

on the radar:

 

[D-Woww]

Washington RL for whatever your max bet is

 

[D-Woww]

Damn how many Kluber/Kershaw parlays are the books gonna see tomorrow

 

[C-MAN]

Lots of under trends in Sea today:

Texas:
Under is 22-7-4 in TEX last 33 overall.
Under is 22-7-4 in TEX last 33 on grass.
TEX are 8-24 in their last 32 road games.
Seattle:
Under is 11-3-1 in SEA last 15 Wed. games.
Under is 35-14-3 in SEA last 52 home games.
SEA are 3-7 in their last 10 Wed. games.
Head to Head:
Under is 12-3-2 in Lewis' last 17 starts vs. SEA.
Under is 6-2 in Lewis' last 8 road starts vs. SEA.
0-7 O/U L7 meetings

 

[C-MAN]

Tor has gone to extra innings in 4 consecutive games.

Stroman looked bad last 2 outings but he is 2-0 vs Bos this year giving up 1 earned run in 14 innings.

Kelly has been very good on the road and at night. Best splits. He also has an interesting pattern going this season: WLLWWLLWWLLWWLL

The last two series between these teams have been sweeps. Boston going for sweep today.

 

[C-MAN]

Interesting pattern in NY/Det H2H series as well: DetNYNYDetNYNYDetNYNYDet Following the pattern NY should win next 2 (hopefully not though as I have Det for the series).

 

[C-MAN]

Hughes good pitching splits. He is 2-1 vs KC this year. KC has scored 4 runs in last 3 games.

 

[tuck321]

Old song. I'm a Yankee Doodle Dandy.

 

[tuck321]

Lots of under trends in Sea today:

Texas:
Under is 22-7-4 in TEX last 33 overall.
Under is 22-7-4 in TEX last 33 on grass.
TEX are 8-24 in their last 32 road games.
Seattle:
Under is 11-3-1 in SEA last 15 Wed. games.
Under is 35-14-3 in SEA last 52 home games.
SEA are 3-7 in their last 10 Wed. games.
Head to Head:
Under is 12-3-2 in Lewis' last 17 starts vs. SEA.
Under is 6-2 in Lewis' last 8 road starts vs. SEA.
0-7 O/U L7 meetings

Neither pitcher seems in good form.
Lewis on 4 6.79 ERA on 51.2 innings
Last 3 vs Seattle in 2014 12 runs in 16.1 innings and he won at the site which Seattle has not forgotten. Erasmo fairly average at first glance and has not gotten enough starts to trust
Lewis does have an excellent record with the ump but career day ERA of 5.20 and this year 3.52

 

[tuck321]

Cederstrom the ump in Philadelphia. Fister a 10 ERA with him based on 9 innings
Kendrick?? He lasted 1.2 innings with him for a ERA of 37.80
Fister on decent but not top rest while Kendrick on 4 is 4-6 with a 5.62 ERA
Monster day of week for Washington but a simple over bet might be safer

 

[tuck321]

In todays Yank game both starters like their rest. Greene on a short sample of 15.1 innings has a 0 ERA. Days of week matching 12-8's. Both pens hardly used. Price will be facing the Yanks for the 5th time this season and the 9th time in the last 2 years. He is playing after a very tough game against Tampa and has gone 8 innings in his last 2 starts.

 

[tuck321]

Not playing the 2 morning games.

 

[cogenman]

As great as he is Kershaw is 1-5 in his last 6 starts in Phoenix.

 

[tuck321]

Re the Padre game need ti think more about this but Padre pitcher has pitched very well at home with a 2.45 ERA but is also 0-4 so far this season on 4 days rest with an ERA of 6.65 and also has a night ERA of 2.12 so we really have some conflicting splits here.

 

[GWarner27]

Tor has gone to extra innings in 4 consecutive games.

Stroman looked bad last 2 outings but he is 2-0 vs Bos this year giving up 1 earned run in 14 innings.

Kelly has been very good on the road and at night. Best splits. He also has an interesting pattern going this season: WLLWWLLWWLLWWLL

The last two series between these teams have been sweeps. Boston going for sweep today.

shoulda won last time til he got Koji-ed

leans from the BOL open:
NYM +119: Mooch
ARI o7: Davis
BOS +124: Guccione
HOU +158: Emmel

on the radar:

 

[GWarner27]

As great as he is Kershaw is 1-5 in his last 6 starts in Phoenix.

he referenced the bad start in a couple interviews I saw on SNB, think he'll be plenty motivated to turn it around tonight so i should probably lay off o7 (even though I like overs with aces because the hitters are on their toes and bullpens seem to break)

 

[tuck321]

I may have underestimated the Timmons effect. Went by Gilmo574 thread and saw
GiL @GiLmo574 · 8m

<s>#</s>MLB = RHP Colby Lewis STATLINE when HP ump Tim Timmons is assigned to his games; 2-0, 1.05 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 2 CG, 1CGSO (5 starts)

 

[tuck321]

Probably would not hurt to try Rangers first 5

 

[GWarner27]

I may have underestimated the Timmons effect. Went by Gilmo574 thread and saw
GiL @GiLmo574 · 8m

<s>#</s>MLB = RHP Colby Lewis STATLINE when HP ump Tim Timmons is assigned to his games; 2-0, 1.05 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 2 CG, 1CGSO (5 starts)

he's not pitcher-friendly regardless of stats

 

[tuck321]

Believeing what you see is a good trait.
Noesi on 6+ 1 example this season 4.50 ERA 6 innings
Career 1-2 4.87 ERA

 

[tuck321]

Having trouble betting against Kershaw myself. Last 3 starts with that ump he wins at home 1-0
6-2 win at Padres
6-1 win at Frisco
Of course powerhouse Arizona will get him

 

[tuck321]

got 55 cents with the first half. 4-0 Texas bottom of the second

 

[GWarner27]

fuck skipped the SEA game cuz I originally made the number with King Felix, think I woulda faded Erasmo

 

[tuck321]

Really like Smyly but lifetime 2-8 on 4 and coming off his first complete game shutout

 

[tuck321]

I suspect Erasmo is not getting very good calls.

 

[GWarner27]

I suspect Erasmo is not getting very good calls.

he's one of the wilder pitchers in the game imho, so that makes sense


...looks like it's HOU or pass today for me

 

[tuck321]

Why not Mets?

 

[chancedog]

Look who 's back... Papi's back
Batting 510 over last 10

 

[GWarner27]

Why not Mets?

think that's my other possibility, Teheran is not a guy I want to fade and the line isn't out of wack even if I don't like the Braves offense whatsoever. Been a good year, just trying to pick my spots

 

[cogenman]

Look who 's back... Papi's back
Batting 510 over last 10

Hopefully he can help my OVER 9

 

[chancedog]

Cespedes out of line up

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Former Twin, Liam Hendricks is a gascan. Im playing over and twins tt over.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Odd TT compared to gameline

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[TD="colspan: 8"]<small>Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals</small>[/TD]
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[TD]Wed 8/27[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]975 Minnesota Twins P Hughes - R[/TD]
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[TD]<input id="editx" name="M1_50" size="4"> +110 Listed [/TD]
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[TD]<input id="editx" name="E1_50" size="4"> o3½ -120 [/TD]
[TD]<input id="editx" name="E3_50" size="4"> u3½ +100 [/TD]
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[TD]8:10PM [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]976 Kansas City Royals L Hendriks - R[/TD]
[TD]<input id="editx" name="S2_50" size="4"> [/TD]
[TD]<input id="editx" name="M2_50" size="4"> -120 Listed [/TD]
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[TD]<input id="editx" name="E2_50" size="4"> o3½ -115 [/TD]
[TD]<input id="editx" name="E4_50" size="4"> u3½ -105 [/TD]
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</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

[tuck321]

Starting to like my Yankee bet.

 

[twinkie13]

Fuckin Nats