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[h=1]UFC Stars Offer Insight On Silva-Weidman[/h] July 01, 2013
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Comments (9)

The pros are feeling the possible upset at UFC 162: Silva vs. Weidman. Check out what some of them have to say about the middleweight title fight taking place at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Las Vegas, Nevada – Anderson Silva’s reign of terror over the middleweight division began with a three-minute mauling of Rich Franklin in October 2006 and, in the seven years since, “The Spider” has barely been challenged inside the Octagon®, turning away a Who’s Who in the 185-pound and even 205-pound divisions.

However, a growing number of experts expect that challenge to finally emerge in the form of undefeated No. 1 contender Chris Weidman at UFC® 162: SILVA vs. WEIDMAN on July 6 at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nev.

Leading Las Vegas oddsmakers make the 9-0 Weidman the shortest underdog to face Silva in over five years, since then-reigning PRIDE® FC champion Dan Henderson collided with the Brazilian back in March 2008. The sportsbooks believe a Weidman victory this Independence Day Weekend is more likely than a Chael Sonnen victory was at last summer’s Independence Weekend event, despite Sonnen having famously dominated the Silva for four-plus rounds in a previous bout.

And UFC president Dana White said: “Every fighter out there that I've talked to and every fighter we’ve interviewed thinks Weidman is going to beat Anderson. All the pros think this is the biggest challenge Anderson has ever faced in the UFC. These are the guys who know the sport, the pros, and they are all saying Weidman could really shock the world. This is a huge fight in the middleweight division.”

Here some of the biggest names in the UFC weigh in on what could be the upset of the year.

Chael Sonnen (two-time title UFC middleweight title challenger to Anderson Silva)
“Listen, he has two wins over me, it does me no good at all to bash Anderson publically now our thing is over. But that’s not what I am doing here. I think Anderson is an excellent fighter, an awesome fighter, but he’s just not winning this fight.

“I think Weidman takes Anderson down at will, I think he blows past Anderson’s guard, and I think he finishes him. Taking Anderson down isn’t a hard thing to do. Chris will get to Anderson’s head, hurt him with ground and pound, and submit Anderson within three rounds with a D’arce choke or similar. Weidman is a younger version of me - and a better version when it comes to aspects like top game. I took Anderson down repeatedly, and while I punched him all night, I don’t have the submissions Weidman has. Weidman is going to have the same success I had with a ground attack but then he’s going to choke Anderson.

“The seven-year reign is over. That’s genuinely what I feel.”

Ronda Rousey (reigning UFC women’s bantamweight champion)
“I think Anderson Silva is the best pound-for-pound fighter in the world, but Weidman is the absolute worst possible matchup for him. It'll definitely be interesting and I’m excited to see what happens on the night.”

Matt Serra (former UFC welterweight champion, trains BJJ with Weidman)
“Chris is going to shock a lot of people. The combination of Chris’s skillset, which is a bad matchup for Anderson on any day, and his mentality to win is going to result in a huge win. Everyone sees what this kid has skill-wise, and Chris doesn’t take ‘no’ for an answer. He’s a beast, he’s an animal. He will take this fight to Anderson Silva – but unlike some of the other guys, he will do it with aggression and skills. He’s the complete fighter to beat Anderson.”

Miesha Tate (former women’s bantamweight champion, No.3 UFC contender)
“Chael Sonnen almost beat Anderson based on being a wrestler. And Weidman is a more dynamic wrestler than Sonnen - and Weidman doesn't get caught in submissions. Weidman’s wrestling definitely gives him a chance.”

Georges St-Pierre (two-time and reigning UFC welterweight champion)
“I believe it’s a bad matchup for Anderson Silva. Very bad, style wise. Anderson’s weaknesses are Weidman’s strengths. I’ve trained with Weidman and his wrestling is on another level. Not only is Chris Weidman going to beat Anderson Silva, I believe he’s going to finish Anderson. I believe it's not going to last too long, this fight. This fight will shock a lot of people. I’ve trained with Weidman and I know how good he is. He will be the champion. Anderson is smart, though, and is fighting Chris after a long layoff for injury. That’s why it is important for Weidman to have a great camp. But if Weidman gets though camp with no problems, he will win this fight.”

Kenny Florian (UFC Tonight host, three-time UFC title challenger)
“Weidman is going to be Anderson’s biggest challenge. Weidman is a guy who can take you down, has a tremendous ground and pound game and has excellent submissions as well. I think his D'Arce choke can pose a lot of problems for Anderson Silva when the fight hits the ground. The way Anderson tries to get to his feet – and the way Weidman controls opponents on the ground using their heads – will leave Anderson very vulnerable to the D’Arce.

“If you look at what my UFC Tonight co-host Chael Sonnen did to Silva – he won all five completed rounds over two fights – and not just kinda slightly won. He dominated, and Weidman is a bigger, stronger, younger and harder-hitting version of Chael. I don’t think there is any fighter in the world who can hope to beat Anderson on the feet, but I think Weidman can and will get this to the ground and, once there, I expect him to be in a huge position to win the fight.”

Michael Bisping (No. 4 ranked middleweight contender)
“With Weidman, I think he’s got a hell of a shot at becoming the new champion. Anderson Silva is the greatest of all time but, believe me; Weidman has a very bad style for him. A nightmare style, really. Weidman will be able to take Anderson down, and do serious damage when he does so. Weidman has a great ground game, and that’s where Anderson has shown vulnerabilities. Chael Sonnen took Anderson down at will and Anderson hardly ever got himself up; he had to wait for the end of the round. When I fought Chael I got up every time and punched him in the face. Anderson is the best fighter of all time, but his weakness is wrestling and Weidman is at least as good as Chael in that area.

“Also, you have to factor in that Anderson has been doing this for a very long time now. He’s put his body through a lot in the gym over the years and we all get old eventually. Beating guys like one-legged Canadians and broken down, semi-retired light heavyweights is one thing, but if Weidman can back his mouth up and really take the fight to Anderson I think he can do this.”

Gray Maynard (two-time UFC lightweight title challenger)
“If anyone is going to beat Anderson Silva, and stop this guy retiring with the belt, undefeated in the UFC, for sure it is Chris Weidman. Weidman is the only guy I can point to in the division and go ‘This guy can do it, this guy can beat Anderson’.”

Daniel Cormier (No. 2 ranked UFC heavyweight contender)
“I am always partial to wrestlers, but I honestly think Weidman has the tools to win this fight. Anderson is the greatest of all-time, but Weidman has the blueprint set by Chael Sonnen. It’s not like he has to spend a round or two figuring out what he has to do to win. Just follow the game plan that Chael had success with: take Anderson down and pound on him. I think Anderson’s takedown defense has improved over the years, but Chris is such a good wrestler he will get the job done. I pick Weidman by decision.”

Frank Mir (two-time UFC heavyweight champion)
“Anderson has shown one weakness – he can be controlled on the ground by powerful wrestlers – and Weidman is the most powerful wrestler there is in the division. Everyone is making the comparison to Chael Sonnen, but while Chael controlled Anderson on the ground and landed shots, he couldn’t hurt Anderson and that was his undoing. Weidman can hurt Anderson with ground and pound and he can submit Anderson.

“The only way I see Weidman not winning is if he has a macho thing where he has illusions of striking with the best striker in the world. But I think he’s too smart for that. I’m not just saying he’s got a great shot, I am picking Weidman to win.”

Alan Belcher (UFC middleweight contender)
“Weidman has all tools; on paper he can do this. Anderson always seems to find a way to win, but everyone is human, and style wise, I don’t like this for Anderson. Weidman’s really good on the top, and he could sub Anderson. He’s that good on the ground. What worries me about Weidman is he knows just enough to get himself into trouble on the feet. He is just good enough to land a shot or two and think he can win standing up. But he can’t. No one can beat Anderson standing. Weidman has to get this to the ground, and when that happens it is Chris Weidman’s fight, Chris Weidman’s world. If this hit the floor in the first round, it is going to be insane because Weidman could sub Anderson Silva in the very first round.”

Roger Gracie (UFC 162 fighter, middleweight)
“Weidman’s grappling is at a very high level. He has some very good submissions. He can put a lock on anyone - any world class grappler. I think he's that good that he can tap anyone, including me or Anderson Silva.”

TJ Grant (No.3 contender, UFC lightweight title)
“Personally, I feel Weidman has the tools to win. He’s young, confident and his grappling is on a completely different level. You never want to pick against Anderson Silva, but I give a slight edge to Weidman.”

Luke Rockhold (No.7 UFC middleweight contender)
“This is a 50/50 fight. I’ve not thought that about an Anderson fight in a long time, but this can go either way.”

John Moraga (No.4 flyweight contender)
“I’m going out of a limb and say Weidman is taking him out. He is real determined and confident and that’s the key to beating a legend. Weidman is going to let it all go, and I think his style is all wrong for Anderson. I can see Weidman dominating, actually.”

Rick Story (UFC welterweight contender)
“I can see Weidman grinding out a points win by controlling most of the fight on the ground. Ask Chael Sonnen, five rounds is a long time not to make a mistake in Anderson’s guard, but Chris is so young and hungry I think he can do it.”

Johny Hendricks (No.1 welterweight contender)
“Anderson doesn’t like to start fast but I think in this fight he needs to get going early. Weidman is coming off a long layoff and Anderson should take advantage, jump on him, and go for the first round KO. But if Weidman gets to the later rounds, his wrestling and being so young will take over. I think Weidman has the style and the skills to win this fight and I pick him to win a decision.”

Dominick Cruz (UFC bantamweight champion, FOX Sports Analyst)
“Weidman can absolutely do it. But against Anderson Silva the pressure is on not to make a mistake while he uses his strikes to set up a takedown. That is the critical thing for Weidman. I’ve spent some time with Chris, he’s a smart dude, and he knows he’s not going to try to strike with Anderson. And he has to be conscious of that fact: Striking wise, Weidman cannot compete against Anderson on any level. At all. The reason he was able to land that elbow against Mark Munoz was Munoz was trying to set up for a takedown just as much as Weidman was and, knowing that, Weidman was waiting for the overhand right and that allowed him to land that elbow. He cannot land anything like that against Anderson.

“Weidman has to have the exact same game plan as Chael Sonnen; everyone is saying that is the blueprint for him to win this fight. But here’s the problem: Anderson had two fights with Chael and has had over 30 minutes of Octagon time with that exact strategy. Anderson went through at least two camps expecting that to be his opponent’s strategy. Anderson’s takedown defense is light years away from where it was even two years ago. Remember, takedown defense is only one aspect of one discipline in MMA – and it is one of the easiest aspects to improve on.

“But Weidman can still get him down. Anderson takes anything from a minute to half a round to figure out his opponent’s distance and timing, and Chris has to make use of that to score a takedown. Once he has Anderson down, he can strike very well, and I expect him to pass and force Anderson into a scramble. Anderson usually waits in his guard for a chance to escape or counter, but Chris hits hard enough and is active enough to force Anderson to try to get back up fast. That’s where I see Weidman winning the fight, in the scramble as Anderson tries to get back up.”
 
OK Lets make this the official thread.

5dimes GOGOGOGOGOGOGO

[TABLE="class: LineTable, width: 620"]
<tbody>[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"]UFC 162 - Welterweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - Facebook - Saturday, July 06, 2013 7:00 PM[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]2001 David Mitchell[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+330[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -230[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]2002 Mike Pierce[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-490[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +170[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1901 Brian Melancon[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+185[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -285[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1902 Seth Baczynski[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-265[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +205[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"]UFC 162 - Lightweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - FX - Saturday, July 06, 2013 8:00 PM[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1801 Rafaello Oliveira[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+355[/TD]
[TD]Over 1½ -185[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1802 Edson Barboza[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-535[/TD]
[TD]Under 1½ +145[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"]UFC 162 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - FX - Saturday, July 06, 2013 8:30 PM[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1701 Dave Herman[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+180[/TD]
[TD]Over 1½ +140[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1702 Gabriel Gonzaga[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-260[/TD]
[TD]Under 1½ -180[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"]UFC 162 - Lightweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - FX - Saturday, July 06, 2013 9:00 PM[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1601 Kazuki Tokudome[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+130[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -185[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1602 Norman Parke[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-170[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +145[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"]UFC 162 - Middleweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - FX - Saturday, July 06, 2013 9:30 PM[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1501 Andrew Craig[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-160[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -185[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1502 Chris Leben[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+120[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +145[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"]UFC 162 - Featherweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - PPV - Saturday, July 06, 2013 10:00 PM[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1401 Dennis Siver[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+190[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -155[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1402 Cub Swanson[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-230[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +125[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"]UFC 162 - Middleweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - PPV - Saturday, July 06, 2013 10:30 PM[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1301 Tim Boetsch[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+105[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -150[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1302 Mark Munoz[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-125[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +120[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1201 Roger Gracie[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+130[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -165[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1202 Tim Kennedy[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-150[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +135[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"]UFC 162 - Featherweight 3 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - PPV - Saturday, July 06, 2013 11:30 PM[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1101 Charles Oliveira[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+425[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -130[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1102 Frankie Edgar[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-550[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +100[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"]UFC 162 - Middleweight 5 rounds - MGM Grand Garden Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - PPV - Saturday, July 06, 2013 11:59 PM[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1001 Chris Weidman[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+190[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ +135[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1002 Anderson Silva[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-230[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ -165[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Only thing I'm on so far is Gracie v Kennedy o2.5 rds (-150 BOL) to win 2u. Kennedy is an ultra durable guy with a very solid BJJ game that should be good enough to stay out of trouble with Roger if the fight does end up on the ground for any extended period which I don't see happening. Kennedy has gone the five round distance with two of the best middleweights in the world in Rockhold and Jacarae, so he has been in with a similar length fighter as Roger (Rockhold) and a fighter with similar MMA BJJ skill (Jacarae.) Neither guy punches with any real one punch KO power and neither has had a KO/TKO stoppage at the highest levels of the sport. I see a fight similar to Shields / Woodley in that we see Gracie trying to use his size to grapple and drag Kennedy to the ground but I don't see him having much success with that
 
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As per the previous UFC thread I am also on Weidman by Sub +1300 (BOL fuck up prop) for a unit. Weidman's best way to win IMO, this prop opened at +950ish on 5dimes and was crushed down to +450 a few weeks back. I guess a few people are seriously underestimating Weidman's ground game in this fight. If Weidman can get Silva to the ground he is nothing like Sonnen with his top game. He is an animal who aggressively seeks to advance position and constantly pressure with sub attacks. Weidmnan's front chokes are absolutely dangerous in this fight and at times Silva is so comfortable on his back he may find himself in serious trouble if Weidman attacks with them from half gaurd or side control.

Not advocating some kind of big play on Weidman as I think Silva KO is easily the most likely outcome but Weidman is IMO the most dangerous guy Anderson has faced in the UFC and the line (correctly) reflects this.
 
Yeah, there is a slight chance of a Weidman lay and pray (not really, but him just controlling Silva on the ground), but the most logical is Silva by KO. Second most, imo is Weidman by Sub, followed by Weidman by decision.

I don't really like this card from a betting perspective on my first couple looks. Is Munoz gunshy after Weidman mauled him?What will we see from Gracie?
 
Word was that Munoz came into this camp after his injury at upwards of 260 lbs. He's tweeted out end of camp pics looking absolutely ripped. Still want to see how he looks at the weigh in and if he comes in looking great I think there is decent value on fight doesn't go to decision at + odds. Also very much liking u2.5 +100 and Edgar ITD props in his fight but will wait for BOL to put up their shit. Also looking at parlaying Barboza / Edgar.
 
That pretty much guarantees Silva knocks him out.

2nd that!

I would not be surprised if Weidman won, BUT this is still Anderson Silva who has yet to lose in the UFC. I remember everyone was pumping up Belfort to k.o. Silva and then he got k.oed himslef with a front kick to his face in 30 seconds!
 
I'm shocked at how low the Swanson line is. I've been crazy impressed with him lately. Never been a huge Siver fan. May load up the truck
 
His losses are to pulver (07), also, Mendes, lamas. He put on display vs a very good porier. Knocked out Pearson, a good stand up guy.

Siver just hasn't fought the same caliber of fighters. And he got demolished by Cerrone recently
 
Wow Silva looked in the best shape i've ever seen him in his pre-fight workout video just FYI to any Weidman backers. Silva is clearly taking this fight very seriously.
 
I'm shocked at how low the Swanson line is. I've been crazy impressed with him lately. Never been a huge Siver fan. May load up the truck

I agree with you about how good Swanson has looked recently but I think the -250 range is around where Swanson should be in this fight. Siver is a pretty durable point fighter who can frustrate guys with his awkward striking and, excluding Pearson, has only struggled with much bigger guys at 155 (Maynard, Guillard, and Cerrone.) Where I do see value is Swanson ITD +158 and Swanson KO/TKO +450. When Siver struggles it is against guys that pressure and force him to move backward which I think Swanson should be able to do in this fight. If he can force Siver backward consistently there is a great chance he clips Siver and is able to finish. That being said, I definitely think there is real concern that Siver can turn this into some awkward kick boxing match and if he does I don't have much faith in Swanson being able to take a decision.

Would like to hear your thoughts on the ITD Swanson props as I'll probably be on the KO/TKO one.
 
I like it. Siver can get submitted or could get knocked out, IMO. Swanson is just on another level, IMO. Siver has the leg kicks, but Swanson isn't going to just stand on the outside and trade (though he can still win that way).

Maybe I underrate siver, but I see domination.
 
I think what I love about Swanson so much is that he's knocked out stand up fighters (Pearson, Oliveira) and he's beaten guys with great BJJ (Porier-he dominated him). He's beaten Roop, who is a bad matchup for anyone due to his height.

Im possibly putting too much into his last fight, but I was simply in awe.
 
Someone drilled the Munoz / Boetsch under 2.5 after weigh in. I'll be waiting to hopefully get a better price closer to the fight. Munoz KO / TKO +470 right now, waiting for BOL props to be put up but liking this one as well as Swanson KO/TKO prop.
 
Adding Munoz KO/TKO/DQ +380 @ BOL for 1u. This prop just got drilled on 5dimes and I think this is the best price we'll see before the fight. Obv basing this on how good Munoz looked at the weigh in. Still hoping to get a better price on the u2.5 rd or ITD prop as I think theres a great shot of this fight getting finished.
 
Curious to see how Frankie does. This might be the best athlete hes ever faced. Also surprised Barboza is that far on the undercard. Expect fireworks with him.

496250330smqrq.gif
 
first bet. under 2.5 in the Baczynski/Malecon fight.

Barboza gonna roll but I'm not laying that juice. Will be on Herman for at least 1 unit. I think Gonzaga has a glass jaw.
 
Saturday night on UFC 162, MMA fans will be treated to a middleweight fight when Mark “Filipino Wrecking Machine” Munoz, (12-3, 6KO’s, 1 Submission) faces off with Tim “The Barbarian” Boetsch, (16-5, 7KO’s, 5 Submissions) from Las Vegas, Nevada.

Munoz opened the contest as the very slight betting favorite but the lines have barely moved since opening with Munoz now sitting at -110 and Boetsch backers getting the underdog money at around +100.

The Will Go/Won’t Go on the bout is set at 3 rounds, with the Will Go coming in at -140, and the Won’t Go at +110. Munoz ITD (Inside The Distance) comes in at +350, while Munoz by decision will reward you with +165. Boetsch ITD hits the mark at +270, and Boetsch by decision lands at +320. The odds of the bout being declared a draw stand at +7000.

Both competitors in this matchup are coming into this bout off of TKO losses at the hands of surging middleweight contenders.

Munoz was last in action 11 months ago, being stopped by future title challenger Chris Weidman in the second round of their uncompetitive contest. Boetsch on the other hand had his night ended in the third round of an entertaining but relatively one sided bout with Costa Philippou.

Munoz’s defeat broke a four fight win streak for the “Filipino Wrecking Machine”, who had been looking pretty impressive against top notch opposition. 7-3 in the UFC overall, Munoz has established himself over the years as a very game competitor with a solid skillset and a tendency to seek finishes.

Mark boasts heavy hands and his ground and pound is some of the best in the middleweight division. A former Division I wrestling champion, Munoz is clearly an adept wrestler who, oddly enough, has a very low success rate with takedowns.

He is fairly well conditioned and shoots for a multitude of takedowns from the beginning of a fight, but his percentage of success with his takedowns is shockingly low for somebody as accomplished as him in wrestling! That being said, he usually is able to drag his opponent to the floor - no matter how many times it takes – and from there his stellar ground and pound and solid submission defense is put on display.

A Purple Belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Munoz is not known for his grappling ability but he boasts excellent submission defense. In what was a surprisingly grappling-heavy match with Demian Maia, the “Filipino Wrecking Machine” managed to not only survive on the ground but ultimately win the decision.

The striking department is probably where Munoz is most deficient, as he is fairly slow and relies heavily on intimidating punching power rather than technical skill. That said, the threat of his power often gives him the freedom to avoid being demolished on the feet due to Munoz’s tendency to mix up takedowns as well.

Tim Boetsch also had a win streak broken after his most recent defeat and in his most recent stint in the UFC has gone 5-2 overall. However, more significantly, Boetsch has notched a 4-1 record since moving down to the middleweight division, holding wins over Nick Ring, Yushin Okami and Hector Lombard!

“The Barbarian” is a bit of a Rocky story as he was able to come back to the UFC after posting a 2-2 record in a previous UFC run and not only move down in weight, but succeed as an underdog against both Okami and Lombard. Now, both wins were unimpressive as Boetsch was badly beaten by Okami before securing a shocking comeback and his bout with Lombard was one of the most boring of 2012, but Boetsch has managed to maintain a respectable record against notable opposition.

Stylistically Boetsch has always been a strong, overpowering kind of fighter even at light heavyweight. Infamously a powerhouse for one round at 205 pounds, Boetsch has shown much more lasting power and consistency at 185 pounds and his conditioning has improved significantly.

Boetsch is far stronger than most of his opponents at 185 pounds and he has done a good job of balancing his raw strength with powerful wrestling and takedowns. He was a very accomplished high school wrestler but a lack of results at a higher level shows that he is not a world class wrestler.

His takedowns rely heavily on strength but he has been successful with his shots for the majority of his career, only seriously being stifled by Costa Philippou in terms of takedowns. When it comes to striking Boetsch, again, prefers to employ a strong-man style of bullying and wearing out his opponents.

Despite what his stoppage win over Yushin Okami may suggest, Boetsch is not a massive puncher and typically roughs up and beats down his opponents rather than flattening them with striking. A Black Belt in Jeet Kune Do, “The Barbarian” is a decent striker but has some issues on the defensive side of things.

Fortunately Boetsch is a very durable fighter who immeasurable heart, but as we saw in his recent outings he can be worn down and beaten up in a striking match.

This particular matchup sees two fighters coming into this bout off of a loss and a multitude of injuries. Boetsch reportedly was fighting Costa Philippou with an injury and Munoz was out of action for 11 months due heavily to reoccurring injuries.

Stylistically, assuming both fighters are healthy or even comparably injured, and from what I have seen Munoz is in incredible shape for his return, I believe Mark Munoz holds the clear advantages here. He is the less durable fighter but his powerful wrestling and heavy ground and pound is just the kind of thing that poses the biggest problems to Boetsch.

Boetsch was dominated by Yushin Okami early in the fight thanks to being put on his back and roughed up with ground and pound. Okami is a far lighter puncher and he had Boetsch in serious danger early in that contest. If Munoz, admittedly an inferior wrestler, can drag Boetsch to the ground I believe he can secure victory with his “Donkey Kong” ground and pound.

In a pure striking match this fight becomes much less one sided, as Munoz is the heavier puncher but is liable to be knocked out by the physically stronger Boetsch.
 
Frankie doesn't have to worry bout the have to dominate the champ to get the fight to get the belt bulls it here....always give me the kid in that scenario...
 
If UFC doesn't work out, I'm pretty sure Barboza could be an NFL punter with those kicks. dayummmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
 
Still have no idea how Varner beat this kid. Hes one the best ive seen in the UFC in any division.
 
ya Craw. This guy is a nightmare of a matchup for anybody in that weight class. great takedown defense and viscious stand up.
 
Lets be honest, after the Etim fight and this one, who in the division is calling up Joe Silva wanting a fight?
 
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