Listening to the NLU preview podcast, it sounds like the #1 skill is going to be precision up and down the bag, with maybe a little less emphasis on putting. They make the case, and I agree, that the winner is not going to be able to fake it around and get lucky. This screams Scheffler (even with his putting woes), Brooks, and Rahm. I know that's some great insight, picking the 3 favorites. I won't have many bets on them, if any, but they will be part of my DFS lineups in some shape. One thing that may actually impact Brooks is that pace of play is expected to be obscenely slow
I'm considering a MC bet for Rory. There will be as many as 10-12 wedge shots per round, and many of them partial, and Rory just isn't a good wedge player. Plus throw in all the drama of the last 2 weeks, I could see another performance similar to Augusta
Moving past the 3 faves, guys I'm looking at: Cantlay, Xander, Morikawa (think he's actually decent value for a win bet), Hovland, Hideki, Adam Scott, Rose, Fleetwood, and Cam Smith. All of those guys are excellent strategists and have all the shots. I'm warming up to Spieth as well, because of all the different shots that will be necessary and the relatively generous fairways
Guys I'm looking to fade: Rory, Homa, Hatton, JT, and Cam Young
I have some interest in top 20/10/5 bets on Rickie and Shane Lowry
I want to like DJ, this course would have been in his wheelhouse a few years ago, but he seems so apathetic that I can't bet him, though he may accidentally play his way into a top 10