Tuesday Discussion Thread

arozarena ov 2.5 h,r,rbi -110

i dont play a bunch of these at 2.5 but Randy appears rejuvenated in seattle and he has continued mashing lhp even during a down year. the way runs being put up in boston, paxton being a lhp who has not been all that good despite the record, think he worth a play on this number as i suspect he be on base plenty.

i like Witt jr also but dont like the idea of -130 on ov 2.5, usually when i play a ov 2.5 it plus money or no more than -110. he is super hot tho and did have a 3 hit day last time facing this pitcher and chisox pen which he clobbered again last night.

ray ov 6.5 k's -105

little risky with way a's been mashing lately but they been facing a bunch of crappy pitching. last decent lefty they faced was ranger suarez and he punched out 6, he doesn't have the strike out chops of ray. Ray 1st game back he fanned 8 dodgers over 5 innings despite having a 1st pitch strike rate below 50%, way below his norm. i expect he be allowed to pitch a bit deeper here, think the 1st pitch strike rate will be much closer to 60%, see no reason he can't fan 7+.
 
i'd like to see rays lineup but def lean ff under. they get springs back from tj tonight, little nervous it feels early but he looked fine in his last rehab start and threw 80+ pitches so he should be able to go 5 innings here and facing fish isn't much different than a triple a lineup, hell they might be worse vs lhp than some minor league teams! cabrera starts always a adventure but if he keeps walks down his stuff is still very good so i doubt rays do much damage vs him. i could have got behind Springs k's considering the lineup he facing but ov 4.5 k's is -175, just to expensive for me.
 
Another great day yesterday, hit all 4 of the umpire calls again and my big plays, hope it keeps going before regression kicks in...I'm big on Mets, Balty-1 (And over smaller), Cubs, Dodgers (and over), Atlanta (Edler sucks but Ross coming off IL 2 starts in minors rocked for 11 runs in 2 games), Royals,-1, Guardians, White sox over again (another fave ump and matchup), Dbags, Tejas, seattle over again (another fave ump and situation), and going against my yanks but F5 (Phils)-Nola 14-3 F5 and very solid at home, While Cole is solid he's not back to original form yet). thats some of my early thoughts, sure some things may change if trades happen, lineup moves. GL all.
 
Yankees close to PK. Unless it’s Stroman vs an ace. It may be the last time we see a plus next to them for awhile.
 
KJ said:
I might need a Red Bull for this one and I hate that shit
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ball is carrying like crazy in that park also, the 1st hr Jazz hit looked like a standard fly out off his bat, couldn't believe it got out, didn't even sound like a hr, there no way he got all of that. judge's woulda left any park in any temp! lol
 
assuming rangers keep Semien in the 3 hole i like his h,r,rbi ov 1.5, actually doesn't matter to me a ton if he leads off or hits 3rd, he has pretty good numbers vs lynn and he on a 9 game hit streak where he has went over this number in 7 of them:
 
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Snakes looking for another series win against Corbin tonight. Expect plenty of offense off that comeback yesterday. 7-0-1 in the last 8 series, that's the MO going into tonight.
 
KJ said:
Snakes looking for another series win against Corbin tonight. Expect plenty of offense off that comeback yesterday. 7-0-1 in the last 8 series, that's the MO going into tonight.
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agree, love the snakes and over tonight too. another good ump for runs tonight there too with fairchild and we all know corbin can be a gas can.
 
PirateAlew said:
agree, love the snakes and over tonight too. another good ump for runs tonight there too with fairchild and we all know corbin can be a gas can.
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I never bet on him simply because of his stats but Fairchild does trend to over

Also for those that aren't aware, it's monsoon season here so storms can pop up out of nowhere in a second. The roof at Chase is a situation, it can't be closed once fans are let in to the stadium due to some loose parts. So if the roof is open and a storm brews up, they can't close the roof. It's legitimately a hazard once people are let in to the stadium. If storms are expected, they'll likely close the roof before opening the gates. It's a big deal because closed roof typically means a full run less per game than an open roof.
 
KJ said:
I never bet on him simply because of his stats but Fairchild does trend to over

Also for those that aren't aware, it's monsoon season here so storms can pop up out of nowhere in a second. The roof at Chase is a situation, it can't be closed once fans are let in to the stadium due to some loose parts. So if the roof is open and a storm brews up, they can't close the roof. It's legitimately a hazard once people are let in to the stadium. If storms are expected, they'll likely close the roof before opening the gates. It's a big deal because closed roof typically means a full run less per game than an open roof.
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I do miss being in the desert, spent a lot of time in Scottsdale over the year, stayed a lot at the Biltmore Resort and Tapatio Cliffs. I went to a game or two where it was an issue and another time when the Haboob or sand storm was coming in. Believe it was delayed an hour.

Saw Christian Walker may go on IL, and it appears to be serious so much that the dbacks got Josh Bell from Miami today...now miami has only fat burger left, if they win tonight, i'll just laugh. Should be a decent acquisition for arizona getting Bell, but he's streaky.
 
PirateAlew said:
I do miss being in the desert, spent a lot of time in Scottsdale over the year, stayed a lot at the Biltmore Resort and Tapatio Cliffs. I went to a game or two where it was an issue and another time when the Haboob or sand storm was coming in. Believe it was delayed an hour.

Saw Christian Walker may go on IL, and it appears to be serious so much that the dbacks got Josh Bell from Miami today...now miami has only fat burger left, if they win tonight, i'll just laugh. Should be a decent acquisition for arizona getting Bell, but he's streaky.
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I don't remotely know who he is lol. Florida teams are getting raided
 
PirateAlew said:
I do miss being in the desert, spent a lot of time in Scottsdale over the year, stayed a lot at the Biltmore Resort and Tapatio Cliffs. I went to a game or two where it was an issue and another time when the Haboob or sand storm was coming in. Believe it was delayed an hour.

Saw Christian Walker may go on IL, and it appears to be serious so much that the dbacks got Josh Bell from Miami today...now miami has only fat burger left, if they win tonight, i'll just laugh. Should be a decent acquisition for arizona getting Bell, but he's streaky.
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Also, one of my favorite photos

Haboob.jpg
 
KJ said:
I never bet on him simply because of his stats but Fairchild does trend to over

Also for those that aren't aware, it's monsoon season here so storms can pop up out of nowhere in a second. The roof at Chase is a situation, it can't be closed once fans are let in to the stadium due to some loose parts. So if the roof is open and a storm brews up, they can't close the roof. It's legitimately a hazard once people are let in to the stadium. If storms are expected, they'll likely close the roof before opening the gates. It's a big deal because closed roof typically means a full run less per game than an open roof.
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Why on earth would they ever open the roof period, especially in July, or even if there's 20% chance of rain?
 
peelpub94 said:
Why on earth would they ever open the roof period, especially in July, or even if there's 20% chance of rain?
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It will likely be closed. it's supposed to be 109 today and it gets worse as the week progresses

Not sure we get an open roof before October. Simply pointing out that if it's open at first pitch, it will be open and subject to elements the entire game
 
KJ said:
Also, one of my favorite photos

View attachment 86409
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looks familiar to a few i saw out there, rode one out at the Talking Stick Casino in 2018, was over after an hour but I feel bad for those living out there, my buddy and golf partner out there had sand and dust all in his house as his wife left a window and sliding door open. Went through a few of those haboobs in iraq and duabi years ago--crazy thing over there is a couple hours after the haboob the streets and walks are clean as if nothing happened. They sure are effiecient at sweeping sand :p

What part of the valley are you in? I had clients all over but was mostly in Scottsdale, but did hit all the casino's almost nightly Gila River, Arizona, Talking stick, etc LOL
 
KJ said:
I never bet on him simply because of his stats but Fairchild does trend to over

Also for those that aren't aware, it's monsoon season here so storms can pop up out of nowhere in a second. The roof at Chase is a situation, it can't be closed once fans are let in to the stadium due to some loose parts. So if the roof is open and a storm brews up, they can't close the roof. It's legitimately a hazard once people are let in to the stadium. If storms are expected, they'll likely close the roof before opening the gates. It's a big deal because closed roof typically means a full run less per game than an open roof.
Click to expand...

lmao. that pretty funny, what a piece of shit! they got a pool tho!

i always just assume it closed from june til at least september. what's it usually open maybe 5-10 games a year?
 
so along with the arozarena and Ray props i played and posted this morning i also played;

semien ov 1.5 h,r,rbi -130
fish/rays ff un 3.5 +110 (think that what it was)
nyy/phi ov 9.5
atl/milw ov 9

i was kinda hoping to play a ff tt in milw but milw didnt have a listed pitcher so no 1st 5 options were up. elder vs whomever milw trots out and i assume roof be open, should lead to runs.
 
2daBank said:
lmao. that pretty funny, what a piece of shit! they got a pool tho!

i always just assume it closed from june til at least september. what's it usually open maybe 5-10 games a year?
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They open it in April and beginning of May

But September here is like July in the rest of the country so it's usually closed til postseason if that's in the cards
 
KJ said:
They open it in April and beginning of May

But September here is like July in the rest of the country so it's usually closed til postseason if that's in the cards
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yea i know it open some early in year, wasn't sure bout sept so figure i start paying attention then. it usually stays hot and shitty here in sept also these days. used to be a ok weather month but can't remember last time sept was nice!
 
2daBank said:
yea i know it open some early in year, wasn't sure bout sept so figure i start paying attention then. it usually stays hot and shitty here in sept also these days. used to be a ok weather month but can't remember last time sept was nice!
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I have to doppler the midwest because it's so boring here

Like an old man I make phone calls to family warning them of the Iowa weather
 
KJ said:
I have to doppler the midwest because it's so boring here

Like an old man I make phone calls to family warning them of the Iowa weather
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we got thunderstorms brewing all over, hope they don't effect game, more hoping they not bad, always afraid the fucking power go out, that just what i need, guess we prob have to go to hotel i don't think theresa could deal with no ac. i bought generator few years back when shit started happening and we had that week without power cause tree fell on line down street but that don't do shit for ac. we got so many big old ass trees around and over power lines i'm freaked out anytime we get bad storms.
 
my piece of crap hour by hour forecast on phone doesn't show any rain but think they lying cause i see it all over the place heading this way!
 
2daBank said:
we got thunderstorms brewing all over, hope they don't effect game, more hoping they not bad, always afraid the fucking power go out, that just what i need, guess we prob have to go to hotel i don't think theresa could deal with no ac. i bought generator few years back when shit started happening and we had that week without power cause tree fell on line down street but that don't do shit for ac. we got so many big old ass trees around and over power lines i'm freaked out anytime we get bad storms.
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we have that all the time here in VA in brandermill area. the whole multi development neighborhood is a forrest, so any wind storms we get a tree with a line down, happened twice in the same week last week and they're calling for 60+mph straight line winds here in Midlothian VA in an hour or so, imagine it will make its way up to Baltimore in that line a bit later and possibly Philly ....looks like a doozy coming through later. I always hate it when tropical storms/hurricanes start coming this way, these trees wont stand too many more big storms...
 
cole has been scratched, i dunno who taking his place, gotta think that total going up to 10 or higher now.
 
PirateAlew said:
we have that all the time here in VA in brandermill area. the whole multi development neighborhood is a forrest, so any wind storms we get a tree with a line down, happened twice in the same week last week and they're calling for 60+mph straight line winds here in Midlothian VA in an hour or so, imagine it will make its way up to Baltimore in that line a bit later and possibly Philly ....looks like a doozy coming through later. I always hate it when tropical storms/hurricanes start coming this way, these trees wont stand too many more big storms...
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man it sucks sitting on your ass dreading power going out and nothing you can do! pretty much gotta hope it a bigger area that goes out so they get to you sooner, few years back we had the tree go down on a line in my subdivision so prob only effected a handful of houses so we had to wait days till they got done with the bigger areas, think we were without power for 5 days, of course it was hot as balls so totally sucked. along with generator bought these fan things that advertised being like ac, they were not! and they spit out a water mist which was a stupid fuck idea, not what you need when the humidity already thru the roof! took those pieces of shit back! ever since then we have had pretty bad luck w power going out, not for that long but overnight a few times. this year we been lucky so far but still worries me every time, worse now cause the wife health, i don't think she be able to tough it out without ac now so just crossing my fingers.

i did see rain in balty later, i think that was part reason i passed on total. didnt see it in philly forecast, hope it misses them.
 
so bellinger back for cubs, i dunno how much a upgrade paredes is but he in lineup: reds throwing a pen game vs steele. pretty cheap price to back scrubbies, steele did have a dominant start at great american this year but his career numbers here are bad!
 
2daBank said:
looks like all the storms missed us and cards game should be good to go!
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you in STL area? I used to travel there for work a bit, and a lot of Illinois, had some rich clients downtown and across the river in Belleville and collinsville. I have texas tonight, although never know with Mad max....
 
PirateAlew said:
you in STL area? I used to travel there for work a bit, and a lot of Illinois, had some rich clients downtown and across the river in Belleville and collinsville. I have texas tonight, although never know with Mad max....
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yea i live bout 10 min south the stadium
 
missed all the heavy storms, looks like we might get little light rain here in minute but should be cleared out by 1st pitch
 
PirateAlew said:
you in STL area? I used to travel there for work a bit, and a lot of Illinois, had some rich clients downtown and across the river in Belleville and collinsville. I have texas tonight, although never know with Mad max....
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i'd be shocked if he didn't out pitch lynn. if wasn't for the storms pushing temps back down i woulda played over in some fashion. prob rangers team total cause i don't trust cards to score off max, i think you on right side for sure but im terrible capping lynn, he will pull a good game out his ass vs good lineups but get crushed vs crappy offenses! all i have is semien ov 1.5 h,r,rbi, he has good numbers vs lynn and like him in 3 hole for this bet.

fucjing yanks only got 1 with bases juiced no outs. that a killer. bright side philly outta score plenty tonight
 
2daBank said:
yea i live bout 10 min south the stadium
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Lucky you, I was a kid in the 90's a huge mcgwire fan. Of course Yanks are my team, saw Mcgwire and bash brothers in the Bronx in 1989 or so when Rickey was traded back to Oakland from NY, he and Rickey hit monster shots. Saw him later twice in Stl with my dad the year he hit 70, saw him hit a couple in the 30's and 40's. Years later, I went back to the new stadium when i was there for work and saw Pujols hit a few homers. But I couldnt stand that the budweiser was 20 damn bucks, and the factory was right down the street! HA! I used to stay at the Hilton at the ballpark a lot and the old Millenium hotel, that big circular hotel.
Beautiful city, love the midwest.
 
dude with a ops under 6 went yard on springs, gotta be shitting me! i knew he came back to damn early! he just had the tommy john in middle last season, most guys take a year and half to come back. my mistake thinking he be ok.
 
2daBank said:
dude with a ops under 6 went yard on springs, gotta be shitting me! i knew he came back to damn early! he just had the tommy john in middle last season, most guys take a year and half to come back. my mistake thinking he be ok.
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I am just going to laugh if the marlins with this bad news bears roster after sell off wins tonight....sometimes baseball is wacky....marlins have Fat Burger (Jake) as prob their best hitter left. De La Cruz is ok and everyone else would be lucky to make a team most days.
 
PirateAlew said:
Lucky you, I was a kid in the 90's a huge mcgwire fan. Of course Yanks are my team, saw Mcgwire and bash brothers in the Bronx in 1989 or so when Rickey was traded back to Oakland from NY, he and Rickey hit monster shots. Saw him later twice in Stl with my dad the year he hit 70, saw him hit a couple in the 30's and 40's. Years later, I went back to the new stadium when i was there for work and saw Pujols hit a few homers. But I couldnt stand that the budweiser was 20 damn bucks, and the factory was right down the street! HA! I used to stay at the Hilton at the ballpark a lot and the old Millenium hotel, that big circular hotel.
Beautiful city, love the midwest.
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more like 9.50 but i hear ya. we usually fill up gatorade jugs with vodka and bring them in so we don't gotta spend much on booze! lol. i used to go quite a bit but since they have started putting shit product on field i have passed up so many free tix, no chance it worth being hot, paying 30 bucks for parking, 10 dollar beers. plus it just so humid and miserable. back in day i would try to go to 10 or so before june, if we got a nice summer day i might go, then few times at end the year. went and watched big mac a lot the year him and sosa had the chase. dunno if you know "eat rite diner" but friend of mine grandparents owned it (sold and tore down now) but i could always park there for free which was awesome!! i went to game 6 and 7 the nlcs vs astros that was awesome, paid a fortune for me and my brother to go to those games! that was year red sox won 1st WS, it was clear they were gonna roll us before series got to stl so i wasn't putting out the money for that. we did go see them close out the WS in game 5 vs tigers. would have been great to go to game 6 and 7 vs rangers and see that epic comeback but i had just got out of prison and couldn't really afford to pay 1k a ticket so we watched at a bar on landing, almost as good!!
 
it maybe drizzling a tiny bit. shocked they delaying start in stl but it won't be long and they will for sure play.
 
PirateAlew said:
I am just going to laugh if the marlins with this bad news bears roster after sell off wins tonight....sometimes baseball is wacky....marlins have Fat Burger (Jake) as prob their best hitter left. De La Cruz is ok and everyone else would be lucky to make a team most days.
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dude with a ops under .600 hit a bomb vs springs. i was worried they bringing him back awful dang soon, Tj usually a year and half and think it barely been a year for springs, i figured vs fish lineup he be ok tho. that edwards kid leading off only bat that worries me, they got themselves a player with him. i totally expect edward cabrera to shut rays down tho, i know his era awful and he has walked a ton but i always been a big believer in his talent, think he has gotten his walks down a bit lately and his stuff is filthy. one these days he gonna put it together and be a legit front line starter imo. pretty confident he can hold rays offense down, they traded 3 of their best hitters and the offense wasn't that good to begin with. hoping springs settles down fast and cabrera shuts them out for 5 innings so i can still get this under!!
 
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