mwebb, yeah, maybe, but it doesn't make me comfortable with the wager if you are perhaps leaning the other way.
I see a game plan for Cincy much like that of last year. A healthy dose of running the ball. The Cincy offense is very efficient, so if they can get 3 or 4 scores on the board, they will let the defense do the rest. And they should be able to contian Brohm somewhat, and cause him to throw a couple picks. The less time Louisville has the ball, the better I will feel. Cincy is a good offense too, no doubt, they just won't have to score 50 to win.
To a lesser extent, Cincy sure would like to end that 4 game losing streak vs the ville. with the way the cincy defense has been playing, I like my chances here