Thursday I'm thirsty Discussion

[GWarner27]

Interests from the open:
fish +215 & u6.5 (not sure with Reynolds despite recent under numbers)
tigers u8
pirates +109
stl o8.5

locked in:
Chicago (AL)-Kansas City UNDER 7 (+105)

 

[GWarner27]

Guesses:
CIN -175/7.5o20
MIA +155/6o20
CHC +135
PHI -150/8.5o15
StL -170/9u25
SF -105/6.5o25
NYY -215/8.5u20 (made with Kuroda)
DET -220/7o20
KC -205/7o15

updated leans:
MIA +210
StL o8
DET u8: Welke

on the radar
MIA u6: Reynolds
CHC under
SF u7

 

[Gyno]

Interests from the open:
fish +215 & u6.5 (not sure with Reynolds despite recent under numbers)
tigers u8
pirates +109
stl o8.5

locked in:
Chicago (AL)-Kansas City UNDER 7 (+105)

sharp play my friend..

 

[GWarner27]

sharp play my friend..

Silly in hindsight cuz that 1/2 run is huge, but I'm a big shields fan and Cuzzi will help Quintana along with kc not hitting lhp (I hope)

 

[tuck321]

MLB Baseball Picks & Betting Trends for Thursday, August 22, 2013
National League
Arizona at Cincinnati, 12:35 ET MLB
Cahill: Under is 10-5 when Diamondbacks play a road series finale during the day in 2013
Latos: Reds 9-1 SU when Latos starts a home day game

Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami, 12:40 ET
Kershaw: Under is 6-1 last five times Dodgers have played a road day game
Alvarez: Marlins 3-6 SU when Alvarez starts

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Washington at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
Strasburg: Nationals 10-3 SU when Strasburg starts a road day game
Wood: Under is 11-4 in home starts for Wood in 2013

Colorado at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Bettis: Rockies 2-6 SU in last eight road series finales
Kendrick: Over is 10-3 in home starts for Kendrick in 2013

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MLBAtlanta at St. Louis, 8:15 ET
Maholm: Over is 9-1 in last 10 road starts for Maholm
Kelly: Cardinals 13-5 SU in first game of a 2013 home series

Pittsburgh at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Locke: Pirates 2-8 when Locke starts a road night game
Cain: Over is 9-3-2 when Cain has started at home in 2013

American League
Toronto at New York Yankees, 1:05 ET
Happ: Over is 5-2 in last seven Blue Jays road day games
Pettitte: Yankees 14-2 SU last 16 times Pettitte has started a home day game

Minnesota at Detroit, 1:08 ET
Albers: Under is 18-9 when Twins play a road day game in 2013
Verlander: Tigers 9-3 SU in last 12 home series finales

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Chicago White Sox at Kansas City, 8:10 ET MLB
Quintana: Under is 5-2 in last seven road starts for Quintana
Shields: Royals 12-3 SU in last 15 starts for Shields

 

[Gyno]

gwarner, I like some under 6.5 +143 in that KC game as well.

Final score could easily end up 3-2, 4-1 etc.

 

[nbafan88]

Shadows in effect in the Bronx.

 

[jdoggoakley]

My POD is the Cardinals. I got them this AM at -138, but I still like them at -140. Maholm first game back off DL from a sprained wrist on his throwing hand. I have to believe the Braves are still feeling the loss of their hottest hitter (Heyward) from the ugly HBP yesterday. The Cards seem to give Kelly support (30 runs last four starts) and I like the way Kelly has been throwing. No Yadie or Mujica is a bit of a concern, but I think if the game is close late, Molina off the bench could be nice lift for them. Beltran, Craig and Carpenter all with pretty good numbers against Maholm and the Cards seem to be one of those teams that hit in bunches. Add that just one month ago, the Braves swept the Cards down in ATL and the home crowd should be pretty fired up for the first game of this big series.
Hope it hits, but we'll see.
J
ps. Big props to VK for firing up after a day of drinking to sit with me while I had a few at the casino last night!

 

[austinhous]

I have a hard time seeing why StL is favored today. They have played ten games at home this month and have only 2 home runs versus 71 strikeouts in those ten games. And during that time they are also 1-3 SU with an average of 1.8 runs scored at home versus left handed starters, having lost their last three. They are 13-19 (6-10 home) versus lefties on the season and rank 23rd in OPS versus lefties.

:thinking:

 

[jdoggoakley]

those three losses you speak of against lefties this month were against Kershaw, Ryu and F. Liriano. Paul Maholm is not on the level of those three pitchers ... even a little bit. I agree, they had a tough 10-game home stand with 4 against the LAD, who have lost 9 times since June 1st (or something like that); and three against the Pirates who have the second best record in the NL. Agreed, they should have taken care of the Cubs better than 1-2, but I don't know that they are a fade at home because of that 10-game homestand - and I certainly don't think they should be a dog at home because of it.
Health if you play the Braves, Austin.
J

 

[austinhous]

StL actually beat Kershaw on the 6th, but was shut out by Christopher Rusin on the 9th. But I feel you on your other points. I'm going to hit up this total in KC instead, and will be rooting for you to get the money J.

:cheers:

 

[jdoggoakley]

thanks. I threw a bit on the under in KC as well - we'll see how it goes and you might be right. Maybe the Cards do suck against lefties and won't be able to hit Maholm, but I don't see it.

 

[austinhous]

Giants are 3-8 SU with 1.8 runs per game versus left handed starters since the break (2-5 and 1.7 at home).

:thinking:

 

[austinhous]

Since 2011 the Giants are 3-0 SU in Cain starts versus the Pirates. The Pirates averaged 0.7 runs in those three games.

 

[austinhous]

Those are some sick #s that back the under. But I tailed Scope in the contest on the SF over and got in at +110. He's got some sick #s in the contest. Under seems too easy.

:dunno:

 

[~Utah]

Cain almost no hit them last year as well. Went 8.1 before giving up the first hit ( in San Fran)

 

[~Utah]

Fucking white sox. Fading SOAL not working

 

[twinkie13]

OVER 7

 

[Gyno]

Please dont score KC

 

[Gyno]

He was out wow

 

[GWarner27]

My POD is the Cardinals. I got them this AM at -138, but I still like them at -140. Maholm first game back off DL from a sprained wrist on his throwing hand. I have to believe the Braves are still feeling the loss of their hottest hitter (Heyward) from the ugly HBP yesterday. The Cards seem to give Kelly support (30 runs last four starts) and I like the way Kelly has been throwing. No Yadie or Mujica is a bit of a concern, but I think if the game is close late, Molina off the bench could be nice lift for them. Beltran, Craig and Carpenter all with pretty good numbers against Maholm and the Cards seem to be one of those teams that hit in bunches. Add that just one month ago, the Braves swept the Cards down in ATL and the home crowd should be pretty fired up for the first game of this big series.
Hope it hits, but we'll see.
J
ps. Big props to VK for firing up after a day of drinking to sit with me while I had a few at the casino last night!

i still haven't been able to catch up with that curmudgeon despite having his number for years. C'mon VK wtf man?!?!?!?! I didn't even insult UTEP that much

 

[KowboyKarl]

You mean JUTEP