Thursday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Jun 30 Thu 2022

01:10 PM
959Minnesota TwinsC. Archer -R+1½
-150		+134O 8½
-110
960Cleveland GuardiansS. Bieber -R-1½
+130		-145U 8½
-110
06:05 PM
951Atlanta BravesI. Anderson -R+1½
-170		+120O 8½
+100
952Philadelphia PhilliesA. Nola -R-1½
+150		-130U 8½
-120
06:10 PM
961New York YankeesL. Severino -R-1½
+140		-120O 8
-115
962Houston AstrosL. Garcia -R+1½
-160		+110U 8
-105
07:05 PM
953Milwaukee BrewersA. Houser -R-1½
+125		-125O 8½
-115
954Pittsburgh PiratesJ. Brubaker -R+1½
-145		+115U 8½
-105
08:05 PM
955Cincinnati RedsG. Ashcraft -R+108
956Chicago CubsK. Hendricks -R-118
10:10 PM
957San Diego PadresJ. Musgrove -R+1½
-195		+110O 8
+100
958Los Angeles DodgersM. White -R-1½
+170		-120U 8
-120
10:10 PM
965Oakland AthleticsA. Martinez -R+1½
-115		+184O 7½
-105
966Seattle MarinersL. Gilbert -R-1½
-105		-201U 7½
-115
 
Initial look off the cuff, no wagers yet

Twins/Cavs under and ff under
Phils ML
NYY/Hou ff under
Brubaker ks over and Pirates +1.5/u 8.5 parlay
Gilbert ks and outs
 
Kinda attractive card without many games, nothing should be insanely priced. Can't predict the prop lines of course but easy to parlay them if they jack up the price tag.
 
Musgrove vs. White? If Joe is ever going to get his 1st win over the Dodgers then tonight's game is as good a matchup as he's gonna get.
Big gap in performance this season for Hendricks based on who's catching him and who has not. If Contreras is starting catcher I'll back the Reds.
Tough to go against Nola but past performances at Citizen Bank Park by Anderson has me thinking Braves can pull off the sweep.
Can Bieber lose two in a row? If so, today's game seems like the most likely candidate as he has perennially been at his worst (relatively speaking) at home during the day.

Just my $0.04 worth....adjusted for inflation.

:popcorn:
 
Ouch....should've looked at C. Archer's day & career numbers vs. Cleveland before making above post...not good to say the least and will keep me off the Twins....pass.

:(
 
I can’t believe fish won that game last night. I stopped watching after Fuckin Alcantera blew the 1st 5. If it wasn’t for reds asshole manager yanking greene early I woulda had a huge freaking day. I dunno if he woulda got the 2 more k’s or not but it was a serious bitch move not letting him pitch the 5th!
 
JROCK1966 said:
Ouch....should've looked at C. Archer's day & career numbers vs. Cleveland before making above post...not good to say the least and will keep me off the Twins....pass.

:(
Click to expand...

At least you didn’t bet it 1st, I hate when I do that then cap afterwords, lol. Last time I did it actually worked out, played Josiah gray k prop then after betting it realized texas was going with a lineup stacked w lefties and he don’t have nearly the success or strike out rate vs them, had I seen that before betting I prob woulda passed and he cashed easy!
 
KJ said:
Initial look off the cuff, no wagers yet

Twins/Cavs under and ff under
Phils ML
NYY/Hou ff under
Brubaker ks over and Pirates +1.5/u 8.5 parlay
Gilbert ks and outs
Click to expand...

I love Nola but I can’t get behind -150 for Phillies against Braves. Maybe his k prop?
 
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Reactions: KJ
I can’t believe Gilbert k’s only 5.5, I don’t even care bout the juice, I thought for sure they would come w 6.5 here. I’d be shocked if he doesn’t punch out at least 6 vs this lineup!
 
Inspekdah said:
Strong line for Shane. Don’t love his day splits but I’ve never trusted Archer.
Click to expand...

I don’t plan on getting to casino before that start so didn’t even look at., I’m not much a archer fan either, they not letting him Pitch very deep, I’m assuming they yanking him before lineups get a 3rd crack at him?
 
5 innings is a great start for him, dunno why ya want to start a guy you pulling after 4-5 innings every start? Seems like a strain on the pen. Do twins have a guy who piggybacks his starts?
 
2daBank said:
I’d like a strong fav to pair up with Gilbert k’s.
Click to expand...

Dunno that I see one, might just have to suck it up and lay the juice. I think it worth it here, he have to have a seriously off night not to get 6+ k’s vs Oakland!!
 
KJ said:
Why not Phils?
Click to expand...

Cause they playing the Braves. I find one those team to be winners and the other not so much. Anderson was awesome in his 2 starts at citizens bank last year, I don’t really like Braves I’m just not confident in Philly,
 
My fuckinb chrome book is acting stupid so this taking me to long. I dunno wtf it’s deal is? It died so I plugged in but it still not firing up.
 
yep that was it. Fuckinb w this thing for 5 min and turns out my power strip was unplugged. Lmfao
 
  • Haha
Reactions: KJ
only having one eye is no fun, i really hope this mfer im going to see in morning can fix this, i have my doubts, im kinda worried that moron last week just didnt see the detachment, since then it has gotten increasingly worse every day this week to where i really cant see shit out my left eye.
 
Nola is only 4-5 in his 15 starts this year. certainly not blaming him, for the most part he has been fantastic,..he hasnt been great vs atl but he did pitch a gem in atl bout a month ago, prior to that he had faced them 13 times last 3 years with a era above 4, not exactly lights out. again im not trying to talk myself or anyone else into the braves. im just trying to find a fav i feel great about pairing with Gilbert k prop... phillies not it for me.
 
Anderson has fanned 5 or more in 6 of last 7 starts, has went 5.2 innings or more in 6 of last 8, his k number is only 4.5 and total outs is 16.5., feel like there is def a play here. everyone focused on Nola (for good reason) and we get a sneaky winner with anderson!!
 
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i guess anderson k's/outs kinda go hand and hand here, if he goes 5.2 innings im pretty confident he fans 5..
 
anderson swinging strike rate is damn near elite, much better than you would expect from a guy slightly under 8 k's per 9!! his called strikes unusually low..
 
lius garcai ov 4.5 k's vs yanks..nyy didnt see him when they faced in ny, there been a lot of swing and miss going on between the big innings where yanks hit the long ball. he has hit this in 4 of his last 5 starts.
 
rays throwing a opener against jays, those always worry me but i love to fade Kikuchi getting plus money, he is fucking awful imo. He gets barreled up a lot and he walks a ton of ppl, that a really bad combo!! maybe the way to go is avoid the plus money and just play rays team total?
 
2daBank said:
rays throwing a opener against jays, those always worry me but i love to fade Kikuchi getting plus money, he is fucking awful imo. He gets barreled up a lot and he walks a ton of ppl, that a really bad combo!! maybe the way to go is avoid the plus money and just play rays team total?
Click to expand...

of course he dominated the rays twice last year! lol. in 13 innings only allowed 2 runs, he did walk 5 to go with 10 hits while punching out 11.. makes this a little tougher, i do find that the more a team sees this guy the more success they have.
 
Houser ov 15.5 outs seems like a solid bet.. surely he can go 5+ innings vs this lineup, i dont see anything glaring wrong that would lead to a bad outing here.
 
Haha Archer pulled after 4 with 90 pitches and only 45 strikes

That Cleveland only has one run has to be an illusion
 
It was a round robin kinda day!!

Houser ov 15.5 outs
Anderson ov 15.5 outs
Garcia ov 14.5 outs
Gilbert ov 5.5 k’s

Reds Ff/gm
Tampa Ff/gm


They jacked Garcia k’s up to 5.5 on me, wasn’t thrilled bout that. All the damn A’s pitchers managed to go 5+ innings at ny so 14.5 outs seemed light.
 
Wow, what a final in Cleveland!

They're down 3-1 bottom of the eighth and get two to tie, and then a walkoff 2 run homer in the ninth.

All on just three hits, but I suppose the ten walks helped a lilttle...

:barman:
 
inZane said:
Wow, what a final in Cleveland!

They're down 3-1 bottom of the eighth and get two to tie, and then a walkoff 2 run homer in the ninth.

All on just three hits, but I suppose the ten walks helped a lilttle...

:barman:
Click to expand...

2nd game in a row they get the crazy comeback on twins.
 
Pretty rough luck to lose both Twins TT and full game over by 0.5 a run. Especially when Twins had 3 early. Oh well. On to the night slate
 
Ryno14 said:
Pretty rough luck to lose both Twins TT and full game over by 0.5 a run. Especially when Twins had 3 early. Oh well. On to the night slate
Click to expand...

I swear that the worst thing bout overs needing 1 stinking run for 6 innings and watching them do nothing. Of course pitcher props no better when you just need 1k and asshole manager pulls pitcher after 80 pitches or some bs.
 
Jfc anderson comes out after easy 1st inning and gives up 5 fuckinv hits in a row to middle then bottom Philly lineup. You gotta be shitting me.
 
KJ said:
He's throwing BP
Click to expand...

He went 3-2 on schwarber. Thought for sure if he walked him he was on cusp of getting yanked: now he 3-2 on Hoskins, even if he gets out this inning and acts right his pitch count going thru roof, unless he just a sacrificial lamb no chance he goes past 5.
 
Garcia taking a lot of pitches but only needing to go 5 innings to cash im not too worried bout that. More important he clean thru 3.
 
Not real sure why they let anderson finish the 2nd then yank him? I mean I don’t care I knew there wasn’t any chance he went 5.1 just seems odd to let him give up 7 then take him out to start next inning? I would have either pulled him during 2nd or now I’d have let him come out in 3rd and seen if he could go another inning or 2 to save pen.
 
Ok rays, getting out on the 1st pitch a terrible strategy vs a guy known to have serious control issues. Last thing ya should be doing is making 2 outs on 2 stinking pitches!
 
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