British Open courses are by their nature quirky, and this one seems to me more than usual, so I wonder how the players who don't handle bad luck well will do? Rahm is famous for his temper, but he's playing so well right now, I don't want to get in front of that. But I'm not looking to back the guys who think that golf should be an execution contest only: Rory, JT, Bryson, and a bunch of Americans that only play this style of golf for the Open.
I've changed my golf betting strategy where I'm pretty light on the matchups and go heavier on the top 5/10/20 props, plus a few outrights. I tend to ride a few players so hopefully a handful of them will play really well. Worked out really well for the US Open with Louis, Brooks and Rahm. And I'm taking Louis and Brokss top 5/10/20 in every major until further notice. Here's where I am so far:
To win:
Spieth
Fleetwood
Branden Grace
Top 5:
Speith
Xander
Louis
Fleetwood
Grace
Top 10:
Rahm
Xander
Spieth
Louis
Brooks
Fleetwood
Grace
Top 20:
Hovland
Casey
Fleetwood
Scheffler
Poulter
Finau
Grace
Lucas Herbert
Noren
Matchups:
Spieth over JT
Fleetwood over Hatton
I've thought since the early spring that Spieth will win this, so I'm sticking with it. I think he'll always do reasonably well on courses where you don't just hit your stock shots all over (like Augusta) and have to use your imagination. And he's proven that he can recover from bad shots and scores as well as anyone, because he does it almost any time he pegs it.
Good luck to everyone, coffee golf is the best