SUNDAY MORNING COFFEE: Week 4 Discussion and Week 5 Line Predictions

redbearde said:
I only took two lines early.

I think I'm going to go with Garf's style of focusing on the ML dogs. I don't expect so many to win but maybe one other saturday this year. ML dog players had a HUGE haul yesterday. I caught Purdue, Washington, Miss St, New Mexico, Army, & Kent St (dear GOD what a blowout). I'm most proud of Army and Miss St. I think I got the cream of the lines on those, too.

I've suggested to Garf that he come over here more often...haven't really said anything to Matador. I don't particularly want to get banned from covers, so I likely won't say much very often...but if we get regular contributions from those two guys over here, it would benefit us greatly...I like the near dearth of stupid bullshit here...though I have to tell you, if you haven't seen the Penalty Box since "I_am_Pete_Rose" got rehabbed, boy are you missing out...

goddamn fire alarm. I doubt being in a nonsmoking room will keep us from getting cited for still being in the room...
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I like how SmokeRocks suggested Pete come over here and the mods deleted the post but kept up your reply which quotes Smoke's post.

Good free advertising.
 
Pete rose is full of it. His lines are always like .5 to 1 point better than any sportsbook. At least if or when i buy a point i admit it and show the juice. THis guy is a fraud.
 
Bring him over

I looked forward to Pete's posts every week as most are comical. I am also a dog/against the public player most of the time. I hope he comes over just not all the B.S.
 
damn i havent been over to covers ina few days, didnt see this shit till i saw tha talk here. hes gonna get shit when he loses of course, but u never see them niggas that piss on him when hes down after a 5-0 day or somethin. ive seen a few lines seem a bit high hes posted, i wish i had that local. tha few locals i deal wit give me better lines alot of tha time, but not 1 or 2 points. i know myself an cruzer an others here do like to take vegas side on alot of bets, so i respect what he does. is he tha greatest capper out there? nah but he is solid.

covers have been fuckin up alot over there lately. i got banned a month ago, stacks banned, thamoneyshot banned, pete rose boxed.
 
redbearde, get BYU on your ML bet, dude. They'll win SU Thursday night.

cleverman.gif
 
rjurewitz said:
good to see Sooner here

Don't know about BYU SU though.
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I had to take me a 2 hour nap so I can stay up and watch the NE/Den game and drink beer tonight.
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rjurewitz said:
good to see Sooner here

Don't know about BYU SU though.
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By the way, everybody gave me shit about taking ECU ATS over WVU Saturday, too. I'm telling you now, BYU wins this one SU. One thing they have that Texas Tech did not have is a better offensive line and a better defense.

Take the points, but BYU wins straight up. I'm going to wait until this comes out at some other sportsbooks before I take it. I think I'll get a better doggy line at www.BetUS.com whenever they put their lines out.
 
rjurewitz said:
Good luck Sooner.

Probably a no play for me.

What do you think the USM-UCF line will be?
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Hopefully a good line for USM. I'm taking USM regardless what the line is. BGS, Nyouface and Mr. Mulligan all attend the UCF games and are season ticket holders. They say that UCF is just terrible this year. I'll take their word and fade UCF. I don't think 3 TDs will be too much to take with S. Miss.
 
How high do yall like Auburn? It's already up to -14.5 on Pinnacle. I think Auburn rolls and 2 TD's should be fine.
 
-14 is as high as I go with Auburn

Thinking of middling half of my bet if I can get positive juice at +14'
 
I'd say -16 is a good number!!! Dammit, I'm going to be gone whenever this line comes out. We need to slam USM on anything under a TD -- I MEAN SLAM IT!!!!
 
USM could be the best bet on the board this week, guys. Great thing is, we will not have to wait long to receive our money on it!!
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Games I plan on hitting...
Southern Miss
Nebraska
Wisky -10 or less
Miami
Syracuse
Ohio
Cal under 14
Georgia (total is 35 - and I think Georgia wins by 4 tds+)
I see Tenny being overvalued
UTEP to bounce back
 
damn...another great thread to start the week

and i missed it all. shit.
hopefully by the time i get in tonight, the lines aren't all outta whack...and i miss out on all the value again. christ.
 
C'mon Yanks. You don't plan your weekend around line releases?

Off to the gym after the early value is grabbed.
 
rjurewitz said:
C'mon Yanks. You don't plan your weekend around line releases?

Off to the gym after the early value is grabbed.
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especially not when the wife's in a mood...
too much football yesterday, so yardwork today.

i did go grab tuesday's game, tailing Sooner. took it a -5.5 (+100), wtf.

the rest will have to wait until late tonight.
 
LISTEN TO ME: Slam Georgia. If they don't cover, it's just bad luck guys. We lost by 24 to Wake. We are horrible. I was predicting this line to come out at -21. For some reason, the books have not realized how bad we are.
 
SHSUHorn said:
Georgia, Auburn, and Florida are all money.
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I agree! I have Florida and Auburn and will get Georgia in a bit.

Guys, I'm still showing S. Miss at a reasonable price of -4 at BetCRIS and Pinny. I absolutely LOVE this play under a TD!!!

I'll wait a bit and check out a few more things before I slam it hard. :smiley_acbe:
 
Wait a minute on Georgia . . . . . . . . . Somebody convince me that Georgia is any better than Mississippi on offense. It better be very convincing because I see a defensive struggle here with two sorry offenses.
 
I can't do that, Sooner. The fact is that Georgia may not be much better than us on offense. But we're down - we just got killed at home and Georgia's comin to town. I'm not going to give stats - but I will tell you this: when Ole Miss went to Kentucky, word around here was that we had a good team and we'd cover. I took Kentucky, against everyone's recommendations, and cashed easily. Last week, I saw Wake +3.5 come out and hit it immediately, before it quickly dropped to 2.5. Everyone around here said it was our game to win, because we have a tough stretch comin up........THE WHOLE STRETCH IS TOUGH FOR THIS TEAM I said. So we stay favored by 2.5 and LOSE BY fuckin 24. We didn't even score a TD against Wake, who was without starting QB, RB, and and O Lineman. That was our game to win, and we lose by that much. Our team does not have the heart to beat Georgia. We will get down a TD and then fold like fuckin pansies. I don't see how we score. And, following the recent sentiment, Georgia is at +102 juice, with everyone and their mother hittin' Ole Miss because "this is too many for an SEC matchup". Well tell that to me when i had Auburn -21 when they went to Miss St. and slaughtered. Auburn didn't do anything fancy, just played solidly to a, what, 28 point win? Georgia does the same here. JMO.
 
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