SUNDAY MORNING COFFEE: Week 4 Discussion and Week 5 Line Predictions

[abcs]

Well there is 2 games that i will be on.
If you can get Auburn at under 12 for the thursday night game and uga under 12 as well Pound it

 

[RJ Esq]

Garf's Lines from Covers (Hey, Garf! Why don't you post these here too?)

USM
UCF -2.5

BYU
TCU -5

Auburn -7.5
S. Carolina

Rutgers
S. Florida -2

NW
Penn State -13.5

Kansas
Nebraska -19

Wisconsin -6
Indiana

Illinois
Mich State -24

Houston
MiamiFL -27

Toledo
Pitt -14

Virginia PK
Duke

Wyoming
Syracuse -5.5

La Tech
Clemson -33

Navy
UConn PK

Rice
Army -8.5

B Green
Ohio -10.5

New Mexico
Air Force -6.5

Purdue
Notre Dame -11.5

Kansas State
Baylor -1

Idaho
Utah State PK

BYU
Utah -3.5

USC -17.5
WSU

Cal -9
Oregon State

Stanford
UCLA -25

Alabama
Florida -12

MiamiOH
Cincy -8

CMU
UK -6.5

SDSU
SJSU -1.5

NIU -7.5
Ball State

Miss St
LSU -37

Texas Tech
Texas A+M -3

Georgia -9.5
Ole Miss

Colorado
Missouri -15

Temple
Vandy -30.5

Georgia Tech
VT -13

Akron
Kent State PK

Ohio State -9.5
Iowa

Michigan -11
Minny

Tennessee -17.5
Memphis

SMU
Tulane -7.5

NMSU
UTEP -16.5

CSU
Fresno -10

Nevada-Reno
UNLV -1

Washington
Arizona -3.5

Oregon
ASU -3

EMU
ULL -4

Arkansas State
FIU -6

Troy
UAB -8.5

MTSU
North Texas -7

FAU
ULM -13.5

 

[E.T.G.]

Well there is 2 games that i will be on.
If you can get Auburn at under 12 for the thursday night game and uga under 12 as well Pound it

Agree here, as a Gamecock Student, we suck guys. We beat up on Florida Atlantic but who hasn't. Syvelle will start against Auburn, Blake came in for 1 play and fumbled. The crowd Boo'ed his ass right out. That means, with constant pressure in his face, Syvelle will roll out and throw the ball to no one other than Sidney Rice (5td's and 160 of Syvelles 220ish yds last night against that High School Team). A good team will have 2 guys on Rice and pick the ball when it comes near him, like Auburn. Another thing guys, Kenny Irons was resting for this game. It kind of reminds me of WVU-Maryland game because there was that feeling of "I'm going to show you up, make you pay big time" from Slaton towards Maryland. Well Irons is coming home for the first time, to the school he originally enrolled out. After sitting behind Demetris Summers and Cory Boyd, Irons transfered to Auburn. He is going to run like a man possessed by the Devil every time his hands are on the ball. This is going to be a Thursday Night beatdown, I would be incredibly surprised if we kept it respectable but we are not a good team. Our O-Line is going to be dominated and our defense will be on the field for too long. I think you are safe with anything like 17. I can see the score being something like 34-10.

 

[abcs]

RJ are you serious with that Ole Miss line? have you seen them play their last 3 games, gettin blown out by UK and wake..

 

[RJ Esq]

RJ are you serious with that Ole Miss line? have you seen them play their last 3 games, gettin blown out by UK and wake..

I haven't even posted my lines yet

Look at the top of each post. It will tell you whose lines those are.

When I do post my lines, yes, I am serious.

 

[RJ Esq]

Pinny already opened a few.

 

[E.T.G.]

Guys, Pinny has Auburn at -9.5... I think this is a damn steal. USC IS NOT GOOD. Oh my, I am laying a bet on Auburn right now.

 

[RJ Esq]

Liking Auburn under 10 and Florida under 14.

Thoughts, ABCs

 

[abcs]

I think the ND purdue game might be a shootout

 

[RJ Esq]

I agree Green. Asking ABCs now.

 

[RJ Esq]

First play of the week:

Auburn -9 (-110)

Auburn saved up for this one. Rolling big.

 

[TroyStacks]

301 So Miss
302 Cent Florida +3

303 BYU
304 TCU -3.5

305 Auburn
306 So Carolina+13

307 Rutgers
308 South Florida+4.5

309 Northwestern
310 Penn St -17.5

311 Kansas
312 Nebraska -18

313 Wisconsin
314 Indiana+14

315 Illinois
316 Michigan St -15.5

317 Houston
318 Miami Fl -16

319 Toledo
320 Pittsburgh -19

321 Virginia
322 Duke +7.5

323 Wyoming
324 Syracuse -8

325 La Tech
326 Clemson -27.5

327 Navy
328 Connecticut +5

329 Rice
330 Army -9

331 Bowling Green
332 Ohio -1.5

333 New Mexico
334 Air Force -6.5

335 Purdue
336 Notre Dame -17.5(begining to think nd gets -7 just for being at home every week)

337 Kansas St
338 Baylor -2.5

339 Idaho
340 Utah St+3

341 Boise St
342 Utah pkem

343 USC
344 Washington St+15(hoping for -14)

345 California
346 Oregon St +8

347 Stanford
348 UCLA -21

349 Alabama
350 Florida -13.5

351 Miami Oh
352 Cincinnati -7

353 Cent Michigan
354 Kentucky -5.5

355 San Diego St
356 San Jose St +4

357 No Illinois
358 Ball St +6

359 Miss St
360 LSU -24.5

361 Texas Tech
362 Texas A&M +2

363 Georgia
364 Mississippi +16.5

365 Colorado
366 Missouri -7.5

367 Temple
368 Vanderbilt -28

369 Georgia Tech
370 Virginia Tech -6.5

371 Akron
372 Kent +6

373 Ohio St
374 Iowa +3.5

375 Michigan
376 Minnesota+7.5

377 Tennessee
378 Memphis+14

379 SMU
380 Tulane +3

381 New Mexico St
382 UTEP -18

383 Colorado St
384 Fresno St -12.5

385 Nevada Reno
386 UNLV+5

387 Washington
388 Arizona +4

389 Oregon
390 Arizona St+6

391 E Michigan
392 UL Lafayette who the fuck cares hahahaha

393 Arkansas St
394 Florida Int same as above but fiu wins by dd

395 Troy State
396 UAB -9

397 Mid Tenn St
398 No Texas 2 shitty teams i will restate see above

399 Florida Atlantic
400 UL Monroe -9.5


similiar on some but i like theses better thoughts?

 

[TroyStacks]

betcris will release line within 2 hours they said

 

[TroyStacks]

whateles you lookin at rj i like those 2 plays right there capped auburn at -17ish and forida as well

 

[TroyStacks]

i ahte betting against vt but if i can get +8 on gt i will take that

 

[TroyStacks]

oregon will roll this week as well with a close "win" against ou and a bye week gimme the ducks against a pour asu team ats v/ top 25 2-15ats

 

[RJ Esq]

Thanks, Stacks.

I'll be posting mine soon.

just taking advantage of some early lines

 

[RJ Esq]

Was going to hit Florida. I'm off.

Chatting about BYU-TCU.

 

[E.T.G.]

I do not like to bet against VT either but again, this is another team I am just not impressed with, even in the win over Duke. Now not to say that GT looked amazing on Thurs night, but I got a sense that once they went up 17-0 at half, they had won the game already and just went into cruise control. That being said, I do not like to see them run the ball with Reggie Ball so much. I want to bet GT, hope I get some value on it.

 

[CHSGTMD]

Thanks for all the early info RJ.

My early plays so far

Auburn -10 3 units

tOSU -6.5 1 unit

Florida -13 2 units

Leaning to Texas Tech, A&M coaching just awful. Agree with Baylor ... that team is better than their record and are really hungry for a win. Missouri also a lean, might wait on that line to see if Colorado gets some action after their UGA miracle.

Good luck all on NFL too

 

[TroyStacks]

vt is a really good team but they are young and to me that eliminates the whole vt mistique at lane stadium. gt is all seniors and the defense is good which will cause problems for glennon. value is gt +7.5 or better

 

[TroyStacks]

tcu rolls this week. i believe they had a bye week as well and they are at home.

 

[tru]

rj whats ur thoughts on byu/tcu game? im leanin towards tcu right now. looks like line will go to atleast 6.5 soon

 

[TroyStacks]

tru under a td value is still there...

tt looks good too with hicks back and that confidence builderr this past week what an anal raping

 

[RJ Esq]

Tru--I like BYU at a TD or over. So does Sooner. Under a TD, TCU.

Going to hit Florida.

 

[RJ Esq]

Added:

Florida -13 (-107)

 

[TroyStacks]

rj thanks for the reinforcement on that game i like that....florida is the play under 2 tds they have a lot to prove and this is the week the show something special

 

[tru]

looks like tcu went to -6 now. opened tcu -9.5 at 12:35. its moved 3.5 points in 1 hour. big move already

 

[RJ Esq]

ATTENTION--

Would someone please hit me on IM when BetCris releases their lines.

AIM: rjurewitz

Thanks.

 

[TroyStacks]

i got you

 

[RJ Esq]

More lines up now too

 

[RJ Esq]

Think there is a ton of value in MSU against Illinois.

Depends on their mindset with UM coming the next week.

Anyone like laying -23.5 in this spot.

 

[SoonerBS]

G Tech is at +12 on Pinny!

 

[RJ Esq]

Time For My Lines

301 so mississippi -3
302 central florida

303 byu
304 tcu -7

305 auburn -12
306 south carolina

307 rutgers -5
308 south florida

309 northwestern
310 penn state -12

311 kansas
312 nebraska -18

313 wisconsin -14
314 indiana

315 illinois
316 michigan state -30

317 houston
318 miami florida -6

319 toledo
320 pittsburgh -9

321 virginia -9
322 duke

323 wyoming
324 syracuse -5

325 louisiana tech
326 clemson -33

327 navy -4
328 connecticut

329 rice
330 army -6

331 bowling green
332 ohio -10

333 new mexico
334 air force -9

335 purdue
336 notre dame -12

337 kansas state
338 baylor -3

339 idaho
340 utah state -1

341 boise state
342 utah pk

343 usc -19
344 washington state

345 california -12
346 oregon state

347 stanford
348 ucla -22

349 alabama
350 florida -12

351 miami ohio
352 cincinnati -10

353 central michigan
354 kentucky -2

355 san diego state -5
356 san jose state

357 northern illinois -1
358 ball state

359 mississippi state
360 lsu -31

361 texas tech
362 texas am pk

363 georgia -29
364 mississippi

365 colorado
366 missouri -14

367 temple
368 vanderbilt -35

369 georgia tech
370 virginia tech -11

371 akron -5
372 kent state

373 ohio state -7
374 iowa

375 michigan -11
376 minnesota

377 tennessee -21
378 memphis

379 smu -1
380 tulane

381 new mexico state
382 utep -28

383 colorado state
384 fresno state -13

385 nevada -5
386 unlv

387 washington
388 arizona -7

389 oregon -1
390 arizona state

391 eastern michigan
392 ul - lafayette -1

393 arkansas state
394 florida international -12

395 troy
396 uab -4

397 mid tennessee state -2
398 north texas

399 florida atlantic
400 ul - monroe -7

 

[SoonerBS]

I bought Auburn down to -8.5 and bought Florida -13.

Those will likely be the only two plays I'll make until I see some other lines.

I like BYU straight up, so I'm willing to wait to see if that line will go back up.

 

[abcs]

No way vandy should be favored by that much.

 

[E.T.G.]

No way vandy should be favored by that much.

I looked at it and thought it was a bit high as well but man I do not got anything near the balls or the willingness to bet TEMPLE!

 

[abcs]

Yea if u tease temple you should be alright.
I think Tech gets blown out at va tech. This is similar to that game last year where tech went on the road and got smashed. But thats just pure hatred of the jackets for me..

 

[RJ Esq]

My top 10:

1. USC 106/116.33
2. Ohio St 103/107.33
3. Texas 102/100.67
4. Auburn 101/99.33
5. Michigan 99/107.33
6. Florida 99/103
7. Georgia 99/94.33
8. Louisville 98/116
9. LSU 98/109
10. Cal 97/101

 

[HUNT]

you have a 1 loss team in your top 3 rj?

 

[redbearde]

Think there is a ton of value in MSU against Illinois.

Depends on their mindset with UM coming the next week.

Anyone like laying -23.5 in this spot.

I like that a lot. This is an offense that MSU defense might be able to stop, and there's no way in hell illinois can stop MSU. This one's going to be a slaughter. I sold up to -24.

=)

 

[RJ Esq]

Hunt--

Based solely on my PRs. Don't need to justify them or use them to place teams in the NC game.

Think Texas is very good and did not have a good, let alone ok game against tOSU.

However, notice that in the last 3 games, I have Michigan, L-ville, and LSU playing better ball.

Texas is also getting hit by injuries. SHSU is a welcome rest this week. Lots of backups playing.

Red River will be interesting again this year with OU playing better ball in their last 2. Still like Texas SU and have the line capped at Texas -7 right now.

 

[RJ Esq]

I like that a lot. This is an offense that MSU defense might be able to stop, and there's no way in hell illinois can stop MSU. This one's going to be a slaughter. I sold up to -24.

=)

Only reason why I'm holding off of this is the sandwich game angle with UM coming the following week.

However, it is HC and my trends support MSU here (MSU 8-1 ATS).

 

[abcs]

No way vandy should be favored by that much.

The line has dropped 2.5 points since i posted that comment..:drinking:

 

[redbearde]

I only took two lines early.

I think I'm going to go with Garf's style of focusing on the ML dogs. I don't expect so many to win but maybe one other saturday this year. ML dog players had a HUGE haul yesterday. I caught Purdue, Washington, Miss St, New Mexico, Army, & Kent St (dear GOD what a blowout). I'm most proud of Army and Miss St. I think I got the cream of the lines on those, too.

I've suggested to Garf that he come over here more often...haven't really said anything to Matador. I don't particularly want to get banned from covers, so I likely won't say much very often...but if we get regular contributions from those two guys over here, it would benefit us greatly...I like the near dearth of stupid bullshit here...though I have to tell you, if you haven't seen the Penalty Box since "I_am_Pete_Rose" got rehabbed, boy are you missing out...

goddamn fire alarm. I doubt being in a nonsmoking room will keep us from getting cited for still being in the room...

 

[RJ Esq]

I only took two lines early.

I think I'm going to go with Garf's style of focusing on the ML dogs. I don't expect so many to win but maybe one other saturday this year. ML dog players had a HUGE haul yesterday. I caught Purdue, Washington, Miss St, New Mexico, Army, & Kent St (dear GOD what a blowout). I'm most proud of Army and Miss St. I think I got the cream of the lines on those, too.

I've suggested to Garf that he come over here more often...haven't really said anything to Matador. I don't particularly want to get banned from covers, so I likely won't say much very often...but if we get regular contributions from those two guys over here, it would benefit us greatly...I like the near dearth of stupid bullshit here...though I have to tell you, if you haven't seen the Penalty Box since "I_am_Pete_Rose" got rehabbed, boy are you missing out...

goddamn fire alarm. I doubt being in a nonsmoking room will keep us from getting cited for still being in the room...

:shake:

Garf is a member here but hardly posts.

Would love for Matador to come over here. The three of us used to do the line speculations on Sunday Mornings.

 

[RJ Esq]

ATS Records--Teams to Ride and Teams to Fade

Perfectly Good
L-ville
Syracuse
Nebraska
ECU
Ball St
CMU
AFA
TCU
Hawaii

At Least 3 ATS Wins
L-ville
Clemson
Michigan St
Ohio St.
Texas
Akron
Buffalo
Kent St.
WMU
BYU
Wyoming
Auburn
LSU
Tennessee
Vandy
FIU
Nevada
Syracuse
Nebraska
ECU
Ball St
CMU
AFA
TCU
Hawaii

At Least 3 ATS Losses
Maryland
UNC
Virginia
Iowa
Michigan
Iowa St
Marshall
UAB
Notre Dame
Temple
Bowling Green
EMU
Miami OH
NIU
Stanford
Arkansas
Mississippi St
Ole Miss
FAU
UNT
Fresno St.
Utah St.

Perfectly Bad
Maryland
UNC
Iowa
Marshall
NIU
Stanford
Arkansas
FAU
Fresno St.

 

[RJ Esq]

MWS's Lines from Covers

Matador's numbers followed by mine

301 So Miss
302 Cent Florida Pk/+3

303 BYU
304 TCU 4/3

305 Auburn 8/12
306 So Carolina

307 Rutgers 4/3
308 South Florida

309 Northwestern
310 Penn St 14/17

311 Kansas
312 Nebraska 17/21

313 Wisconsin 10/10
314 Indiana

315 Illinois
316 Michigan St 22/31

317 Houston
318 Miami Fl 14/18

319 Toledo
320 Pittsburgh 16/14

321 Virginia 6/8
322 Duke

323 Wyoming
324 Syracuse 6/+2

325 La Tech
326 Clemson 24/31

327 Navy
328 Connecticut 2/+1

329 Rice
330 Army 14/6

331 Bowling Green
332 Ohio 6/6

333 New Mexico
334 Air Force 11/3

335 Purdue
336 Notre Dame 14/21

337 Kansas St
338 Baylor Pk/4

339 Idaho 2/4
340 Utah St

341 Boise St
342 Utah 3/3

343 USC 14/17
344 Washington St

345 California 7/5
346 Oregon St

347 Stanford
348 UCLA 21/17

349 Alabama
350 Florida 13/17

351 Miami Oh
352 Cincinnati 9/13

353 Cent Michigan
354 Kentucky 10/7

355 San Diego St 3/7
356 San Jose St

357 No Illinois 6/7
358 Ball St

359 Miss St
360 LSU 25/31

361 Texas Tech
362 Texas A&M 1/+4

363 Georgia 17/11
364 Mississippi

365 Colorado
366 Missouri 8/14

367 Temple
368 Vanderbilt 36/31

369 Georgia Tech
370 Virginia Tech 8/6

371 Akron 7/3
372 Kent

373 Ohio St 10/3
374 Iowa

375 Michigan 7/6
376 Minnesota

377 Tennessee 15/14
378 Memphis

379 SMU
380 Tulane 3/+2

381 New Mexico St
382 UTEP 19/17

383 Colorado St
384 Fresno St 10/14

385 Nevada Reno 3/10
386 UNLV

387 Washington
388 Arizona 2/6

389 Oregon 3/-p-
390 Arizona St

391 E Michigan 4/+10
392 UL Lafayette

393 Arkansas St
394 Florida Int 7/3

395 Troy State
396 UAB 7/4

397 Mid Tenn St
398 No Texas 3/-p-

399 Florida Atlantic
400 UL Monroe 13/9

 

[RJ Esq]

JGalt's Lines from Covers

USM
UCF PK

BYU
TCU -3.5

Auburn -10
S. Carolina

Rutgers -2
S. Florida

NW
Penn State -15

Kansas
Nebraska -14

Wisconsin -4
Indiana

Illinois
Mich State -24

Houston
MiamiFL -17

Toledo
Pitt -8

Virginia -3
Duke

Wyoming
Syracuse -7

La Tech
Clemson -37

Navy
UConn -3

Rice
Army -7

B Green
Ohio -8.5

New Mexico
Air Force -12

Purdue
Notre Dame -14.5

Kansas State
Baylor -4

Idaho
Utah State -1

BYU
Utah -5

USC -14
WSU

Cal -13
Oregon State

Stanford
UCLA -28

Alabama
Florida -9.5

MiamiOH
Cincy -6.5

CMU
UK -8

SDSU
SJSU PK

NIU -6.5
Ball State

Miss St
LSU -37

Texas Tech
Texas A+M -1.5

Georgia -7.5
Ole Miss

Colorado
Missouri -17

Temple
Vandy -30.5

Georgia Tech
VT -9

Akron -2.5
Kent State

Ohio State -4.5
Iowa

Michigan -7
Minny

Tennessee -13
Memphis

SMU
Tulane -4.5

NMSU
UTEP -20

CSU
Fresno -14

Nevada-Reno -3
UNLV

Washington
Arizona -3.5

Oregon
ASU -3

EMU
ULL -6

Arkansas State
FIU -8.5

Troy
UAB -6

MTSU
North Texas -7.5

FAU
ULM -10

 

[HUNT]

I was just giving you shit RJ...I understand.