SUNDAY MORNING COFFEE--Week 3 Review and Week 4 Line Predictions

[RJ Esq]

301 Texas A&M
302 Miami
<O</O
<O</O
303 Oklahoma<O</O
304 Tulsa<O</O
<O</O

305 Syracuse
306 L-ville

307 Illinois<O</O
308 Indiana<O</O
<O</O

309 Duke<O</O
310 Navy<O</O
<O</O

311 Baylor<O</O
312 Buffalo<O</O
<O</O

313 Kent<O</O
314 Akron<O</O
<O</O

315 Army<O</O
316 Boston College<O</O
<O</O

317 Miami OH<O</O
318 Colorado<O</O
<O</O

319 Ball St<O</O
320 Nebraska<O</O
<O</O

321 AFA<O</O
322 BYU<O</O
<O</O

323 Washington<O</O
324 UCLA<O</O
<O</O

325 Georgia<O</O
326 Alabama<O</O
<O</O

327 Florida<O</O
328 Ole Miss<O</O
<O</O

329 Northwestern<O</O
330 Ohio St<O</O
<O</O

331 Penn St<O</O
332 Michigan<O</O
<O</O

333 Texas Tech<O</O
334 Ok State<O</O
<O</O

335 Michigan St<O</O
336 Notre Dame<O</O
<O</O

337 Memphis<O</O
338 UCF<O</O
<O</O

339 Georgia Tech<O</O
340 Virginia<O</O
<O</O

341 Colorado St<O</O
342 Houston<O</O
<O</O

343 Arizona<O</O
344 California<O</O
<O</O

345 Northern Illinois<O</O
346 Idaho

<O</O
347 Temple<O</O
348 Bowling Green<O</O
<O</O

349 ECU<O</O
350 West Virginia<O</O
<O</O

351 Iowa St<O</O
352 Toledo<O</O
<O</O

353 UNC<O</O
354 USF<O</O
<O</O

355 Maryland<O</O
356 Wake Forest<O</O
<O</O

357 Clemson<O</O
358 NC State<O</O
<O</O

359 Marshall<O</O
360 Cincinnati<O</O
<O</O

361 Kentucky<O</O
362 Arkansas
<O</O
363 NM State<O</O
364 Auburn<O</O
<O</O

365 UConn<O</O
366 Pittsburgh<O</O
<O</O

367 Wyoming<O</O
368 Ohio<O</O
<O</O

369 Rice<O</O
370 Texas<O</O
<O</O

371 Washington St<O</O
372 USC<O</O
<O</O

373 South Carolina<O</O
374 LSU<O</O
<O</O

375 Iowa<O</O
376 Wisconsin
<O</O
<O</O
377 San Jose St<O</O
378 Utah St<O</O
<O</O

379 SMU<O</O
380 TCU<O</O
<O</O

381 Purdue<O</O
382 Minnesota<O</O
<O</O

383 Utah<O</O
384 UNLV<O</O
<O</O

385 Oregon<O</O
386 Stanford<O</O
<O</O

387 Oregon St<O</O
388 Arizona St<O</O
<O</O

389 FIU<O</O
390 Kansas<O</O
<O</O

391 Troy<O</O
392 ULL<O</O
<O</O

393 FAU<O</O
394 N Texas<O</O
<O</O

395 Arkansas St<O</O
396 Tennessee

 

[RJ Esq]

Bump

 

[frankiegotti]

god i love you rj, jk, but really this thread you do every week is awesome. much appreciated on this end.

 

[Dmoney416]

Some strange games next week with teams going cross-country, etc.

Some random preliminary thoughts:

- With Navy losing as a fav and Duke winning as a sizable dog today, I am interested to see that line.

- Buffalo might be worth a look if they are getting enough points. At the very least, they play hard, which is more than you can say for some other teams.

- BYU line will be interesting, especially if they lose to Tulsa tonight.

- UCF/Memphis could be a good over spot. Same with Colo St./Houston

- Idaho might worth be a look as a prohibitive dog. However, value may be lost with N Ill losing and Idaho hanging tough with the Cougs.

- I suspect that Cincy will be favored by too many and I have a lean on Marshall as of now.

- NMSU/Auburn is an interesting little game. Auburn loses two straight at home, now a gimmick offense comes to town. Interesting to see how they react.

- Purdue/Minnesota's O/U could rival UK/UL's.

- UNLV might be in a good spot at home against Utah.

At first glance, the non-conference games interest me and I might be leaning on some home dogs depending on the number.

 

[signalcaller]

<TABLE id=HB_Mail_Container height="100%" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0 UNSELECTABLE="on"><TBODY><TR height="100%" UNSELECTABLE="on" width="100%"><TD id=HB_Focus_Element vAlign=top width="100%" background="" height=250 UNSELECTABLE="off">I wish Iowa could have taken care of business this week so I could have got Wisconsin under a TD. Now very doubtful.
</TD></TR><TR UNSELECTABLE="on" hb_tag="1"><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 1pt" height=1 UNSELECTABLE="on">
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[mcm481]

RJ....where the hell has Meeks been hiding???


Lots of good looking spots next week depending on the numbers:smiley_acbe:

 

[frankiegotti]

Penn State- Boy michigan got a beating comming for them next weekend. Penn state remembers all those times in years past where they got beaten at the last second and got downright beatin like hell.

Navy- Duke actually won a game last weekend, i think navy will beat the crap out of them like duke is used to. I am looking around -14.

Louisville- Man is it going to be a hard week of practice for the UL defense. I think Louisville will come back firing hard, i would not like to be on the other sid eof this one. looking for less than -21

Florida- This team simply has too many options to use on a play by play basis. I think they could put up major points on LSU. Ole Miss can't be expected to defend this dangerous offense just try to contain them and play a slow down game.

Ohio State- I really do not want to bet this simply b/c i am a OSU fan but northwestern is so bad they lose to duke. Also, the OSU offense showed me that they may be clicking as they sort of proved against washington. looking for -16.5 or less.

Texas Tech- I saw the Ok. state game and when they were down 20 point against troy all there players were laughing and smiling on the sideline like it was a spring training game. I would have to guess very little of the players care what happen this season. Texas tech have a unbelievable spread offense with many viable optoins. Looking for -20 or less.

WVU- Simply b/c they are starting to use Devine more and more, giving slaton more rest, white's passing game is comming along. Easet carolina plays them tough but it'll be like all WVU's game they keep it close till half. After that the defensive players get tired of being on the field and WVU's RB's take over. Looking for -9 orless.

Cincinatti- After watching MSU's performance, cincy was not a product of their coaching but rather a product of the type of kids they scout. Cincy's scouting department is doing it right. I think they steamroll marshall. Looking for -10 or less.


LSU- Their defense cannot be messed with they are simply too good. Offense can move the ball as well. THeir QB is getting better and better every week. He will need all his development this week as they will be tested. Looking for -10 or better.

Purdue - Minnesota is getting worse not better. Purdue is the dark horse they simply put up points and teams have big problems stopping them. Looking for -21 or better.

 

[TroyStacks]

301 Texas A&M
302 Miami -2.5
<O</O
<O</O
303 Oklahoma<O</O
304 Tulsa +37.5<O</O
<O</O

305 Syracuse
306 L-ville -29.5

307 Illinois<O</O
308 Indiana -2<O</O
<O</O

309 Duke<O</O
310 Navy -4.5<O</O
<O</O

311 Baylor<O</O
312 Buffalo +6<O</O
<O</O

313 Kent<O</O
314 Akron -1.5<O</O
<O</O

315 Army<O</O
316 Boston College -27<O</O
<O</O

317 Miami OH<O</O
318 Colorado -7<O</O
<O</O

319 Ball St<O</O
320 Nebraska -17.5<O</O
<O</O

321 AFA<O</O
322 BYU -5.5<O</O
<O</O

323 Washington<O</O
324 UCLA -9.5<O</O
<O</O

325 Georgia<O</O
326 Alabama -1<O</O
<O</O

327 Florida<O</O
328 Ole Miss +18<O</O
<O</O

329 Northwestern<O</O
330 Ohio St -15.5<O</O
<O</O

331 Penn St<O</O
332 Michigan +8<O</O
<O</O

333 Texas Tech<O</O
334 Ok State -4<O</O
<O</O

335 Michigan St<O</O
336 Notre Dame +3.5<O</O
<O</O

337 Memphis<O</O
338 UCF -3<O</O
<O</O

339 Georgia Tech<O</O
340 Virginia +10.5<O</O
<O</O

341 Colorado St<O</O
342 Houston -6.5<O</O
<O</O

343 Arizona<O</O
344 California -14.5<O</O
<O</O

345 Northern Illinois<O</O
346 Idaho +5.5

<O</O
347 Temple<O</O
348 Bowling Green -17<O</O
<O</O

349 ECU<O</O
350 West Virginia -16<O</O
<O</O

351 Iowa St<O</O
352 Toledo -3.5<O</O
<O</O

353 UNC<O</O
354 USF -12.5<O</O
<O</O

355 Maryland<O</O
356 Wake Forest -7<O</O
<O</O

357 Clemson<O</O
358 NC State -6<O</O
<O</O

359 Marshall<O</O
360 Cincinnati -11<O</O
<O</O

361 Kentucky<O</O
362 Arkansas -3
<O</O
363 NM State<O</O
364 Auburn -19.5<O</O
<O</O

365 UConn<O</O
366 Pittsburgh -6<O</O
<O</O

367 Wyoming<O</O
368 Ohio +5.5<O</O
<O</O

369 Rice<O</O
370 Texas -29<O</O
<O</O

371 Washington St<O</O
372 USC -21<O</O
<O</O

373 South Carolina<O</O
374 LSU -13.5<O</O
<O</O

375 Iowa<O</O
376 Wisconsin -9
<O</O
<O</O
377 San Jose St<O</O
378 Utah St +7.5<O</O
<O</O

379 SMU<O</O
380 TCU -17<O</O
<O</O

381 Purdue<O</O
382 Minnesota +18<O</O
<O</O

383 Utah<O</O
384 UNLV +5.5<O</O
<O</O

385 Oregon<O</O
386 Stanford +19<O</O
<O</O

387 Oregon St<O</O
388 Arizona St -16.5<O</O
<O</O

389 FIU<O</O
390 Kansas -26<O</O
<O</O

391 Troy<O</O
392 ULL +14<O</O
<O</O

393 FAU <O</O
394 N Texas +8<O</O
<O</O

395 Arkansas St<O</O
396 Tennessee -19.5
<!-- / message -->

 

[TroyStacks]

back in the am to discuss

 

[signalcaller]

<TABLE id=HB_Mail_Container height="100%" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0 UNSELECTABLE="on"><TBODY><TR height="100%" UNSELECTABLE="on" width="100%"><TD id=HB_Focus_Element vAlign=top width="100%" background="" height=250 UNSELECTABLE="off">I would pound Louisville. I would expect that one to be around 32-35. Also would play Penn State and the U. Talk tommorow Troy and RJ
</TD></TR><TR UNSELECTABLE="on" hb_tag="1"><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 1pt" height=1 UNSELECTABLE="on">
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[JPicks]

I'd play BYU at 5.5 and that is after watching them self implode against Tulsa. Not to mention watching Air Force beat TCU in OT. I think that line HAS to be a TD or greater.

 

[RJ Esq]

Teams to Ride (Perfect ATS Record)
BC 3-0
Cincy 2-0
Pitt 2-0
Rutgers 2-0
WVU 2-0-1
Indiana 2-0
Purdue 2-0
Kansas 2-0
Kansas St 2-0
Mizzou 3-0
Oklahoma 3-0
Tulsa 2-0
UCF 2-0
UTEP 3-0
Bowling Green 2-0
Air Force 2-0
Arizona St 2-0 (SDSU pending)
Oregon 3-0
Kentucky 2-0
LSU 3-0
Arkansas St 2-0
Troy 2-0
La Tech 2-0

Teams to Fade (No ATS Wins)
Florida St 0-2 (Colorado pending)
Maryland 0-2
NC State 0-2
UNC 0-2
L-ville 0-2
Syracuse 0-3
Minny 0-3
Northwestern 0-2
Rice 0-2
SMU 0-3
Tulane 0-2
Navy 0-3
Notre Dame 0-3
N Illinois 0-2
Toledo 0-3
WMU 0-3
Auburn 0-3
Boise St 0-2
NM State 0-2
SJSU 0-2 (Stanford pending)

 

[JumpOnBoard]

minny is really good.

 

[signalcaller]

minny is really good.

LOL :down2: Never again will I lay points with the Gophers

 

[RJ Esq]

The only matchup next week between a perfect ATS team and a perfectly bad ATS team is:

Purdue at Minny

I don't think we'll get a good line on this one. Off the top of my head, I'd have to say Purdue -7 to -10. Purdue has been impressive but really hasn't gone on the road (except Toledo) and hasn't played any competition.

 

[JumpOnBoard]

7.5 or so sounds right RJ.

 

[Ray]

I will hit MSU if the line is less than a TD

 

[E.T.G.]

just thought i would throw some first glance line impressions out there. On games I have an interest in.

TAMU/MIAMI under 40
Oky -20 @ Tulsa
UGA +3 @ Bama
Cuse +40 @ L-Ville
ECU +24 @ WVU
MSU -10 @ ND
Miami (OH) +4 @ Colo
Penn St -4 @ Mich
Kentucky PK @ Arky
Purdue -13 @ Minny
SC +14.5 @ LSU
Colo St +8 @ Houston
No Illy +6 @ Idaho
Troy -6 @ ULL
Arky St +17 @ Tenn
NMST +10 @ Auburn
San Jose St / Utah St Under 34

 

[RJ Esq]

If anyone saw the Tulsa/BYU game, I'm very interested in the OU/Tulsa over.

Tulsa looks just sick on offense, scoring 55 points and approx. 600 yards against BYU. And of course, OU put up 50+ against Miami and another 50+ against Utah St without even trying.

Tulsa will be able to score against OU with this new offense and OU will pound away too as the Tulsa D is physical but won't be a match for OU.

I'm thinking that the total will be 64 or 66.

 

[Aztec4Life]

TroyStacks - I would be all over Washington +9.5 bro, so I hope you're right there.

I would also love Texas Tech +4, and Navy -4.5.

 

[signalcaller]

<TABLE id=HB_Mail_Container height="100%" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0 UNSELECTABLE="on"><TBODY><TR height="100%" UNSELECTABLE="on" width="100%"><TD id=HB_Focus_Element vAlign=top width="100%" background="" height=250 UNSELECTABLE="off">If its only 64 or 66 that would defintly be a play. Could see that like the Ville/Kentucky game today. Tulsa offense was very impressive to me today and OU can put up points with the best
</TD></TR><TR UNSELECTABLE="on" hb_tag="1"><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 1pt" height=1 UNSELECTABLE="on">
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[signalcaller]

ETG, if Penn State is only -4 that might be GOY potential right there

 

[HUNT]

Michigan gets a TD..I'm all over UM...

Why?

Anthony Morelli.

 

[signalcaller]

<TABLE id=HB_Mail_Container height="100%" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0 UNSELECTABLE="on"><TBODY><TR height="100%" UNSELECTABLE="on" width="100%"><TD id=HB_Focus_Element vAlign=top width="100%" background="" height=250 UNSELECTABLE="off">I just looke at Notre Dames schedule, and they can very easily start off the year 0-8. Thats insane
</TD></TR><TR UNSELECTABLE="on" hb_tag="1"><TD style="FONT-SIZE: 1pt" height=1 UNSELECTABLE="on">
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[RSMS9999]

...

301 Texas A&M
302 Miami -5
<o></o>
303 Oklahoma<o></o>
304 Tulsa +35.5<o></o>

305 Syracuse
306 L-ville -38

307 Illinois<o></o>
308 Indiana +6.5<o></o>

309 Duke<o></o><o></o>
310 Navy -6<o></o>

311 Baylor<o></o>
312 Buffalo +4.5<o></o>
<o></o>
313 Kent<o></o>
314 Akron -1.5<o></o>
<o></o>
315 Army<o></o>
316 Boston College -24.5<o></o>

317 Miami OH<o></o>
318 Colorado -10
<o></o>
319 Ball St<o></o>
320 Nebraska -16<o></o>

321 AFA<o></o>
322 BYU -7<o></o>

323 Washington<o></o>
324 UCLA -6.5
<o></o>
325 Georgia<o></o>
326 Alabama -3

327 Florida<o></o>
328 Ole Miss +22.5

329 Northwestern
330 Ohio St -17.5<o></o>

331 Penn St<o></o>
332 Michigan +6.5<o></o>

333 Texas Tech<o></o>
334 Ok State PK<o></o>

335 Michigan St<o></o>
336 Notre Dame +7.5<o></o>

337 Memphis<o></o>
338 UCF -6<o></o>

339 Georgia Tech<o></o>
340 Virginia +10<o></o>

341 Colorado St<o></o>
342 Houston -11
<o></o>
343 Arizona<o></o>
344 California -17<o></o>

345 Northern Illinois<o></o>
346 Idaho +5.5

<o></o>
347 Temple<o></o>
348 Bowling Green -13<o></o>

349 ECU<o></o>
350 West Virginia -16<o></o>
<o></o>
351 Iowa St<o></o>
352 Toledo -5.5<o></o>

353 UNC<o></o>
354 USF -12.5<o></o>

355 Maryland<o></o>
356 Wake Forest -6<o></o><o></o>

357 Clemson<o></o>
358 NC State +8<o></o>

359 Marshall<o></o>
360 Cincinnati -13<o></o>

361 Kentucky<o></o>
362 Arkansas -3.5
<o></o>
363 NM State<o></o>
364 Auburn -13<o></o>

365 UConn<o></o>
366 Pittsburgh -7<o></o>

367 Wyoming<o></o>
368 Ohio +5.5<o></o>

369 Rice<o></o>
370 Texas -24<o></o>

371 Washington St<o></o>
372 USC -29<o></o>

373 South Carolina<o></o>
374 LSU -13.5<o></o>

375 Iowa<o></o>
376 Wisconsin -11
<o></o><o></o>
377 San Jose St<o></o>
378 Utah St +7.5

379 SMU<o></o>
380 TCU -11<o></o>

381 Purdue<o></o>
382 Minnesota +25<o></o>

383 Utah<o></o>
384 UNLV +7<o></o>

385 Oregon<o></o>
386 Stanford +21<o></o>
<o></o>
387 Oregon St<o></o>
388 Arizona St -9<o></o>

389 FIU<o></o>
390 Kansas -27<o></o>

391 Troy<o></o>
392 ULL +14

393 FAU <o></o>
394 N Texas +8.5<o></o>

395 Arkansas St<o></o>
396 Tennessee -19.5

 

[slim5150]

You line projection guys are awesome. I haven't gotten around to that facet of the game quite yet. I can get a decent idea of about where something is going to be set, but there are those here that do it much better than I.

A couple I am real interested in and will try and hit if the openers are right.

Cincy - Their defense will have a field day with Marshall. They looked good on offense vs WVU simply because the Mounties defense is suspect. Of course it doesn't help my potential Cincy play that Marshall lost to friggen Maine today. I really meant to get over and see if there was a line on that at 5Dimes, but I ran out of time. Bernie Morris is not very good when he has to react quickly, which he will have to do against the Bearcats. I am not fooled by his numbers vs either WVU or Maine (he only played the last series of the second quarter and the second half). By this time the Wildcats were just playing to not lose, which they almost did. If some of you guys are right and I can get Cincy at 11 or so, I am all over it.

Idaho - Again, I hope you guys are correct in making the Vandals the home dogs in this series. I was thisclose to making a play against No. Illinois today, but did not. Idaho is not a great ballclub, but they play hard for 60 minutes and that is all I can ask. Is No. Illy still getting love from Wolfe having played there last year, cause I don't they think they should be a road fav in this spot.

ECU - I lost with em today, but I have still been eyeing this spot since I was going over the schedules this summer. WVU has USF on deck and we all know that is a huge revenge situation from last year for the Mounties. All that I wanted to happen to set this line up did, the Mounties won and covered (depending on line bet) against Maryland, and ECU losing at home today (altho ECU was not as important to the equation IMO). ECU were, I believe 24 or so point road dogs to the hokies in their opener, so might we see the same for the Pirates in Morgantown. I hope so, I really hope so.

there are a couple more than I am peeking at, but I have to get to my NFL card. Hope to see you guys tomorrow at 6.

 

[TroyStacks]

BC- avg win over non-conf foes is 21ppg

OrgSt-HT is 6-1

AZ- lost L6 P10 AGs

WVU- beats ECu on avg 17 ppg

BYU/AFA- total hs avg 63 ppg

AFA-lost L3 by 19 ppg

Texas- beat Rice on avg of 37 ppg L4

The "U"- 9-0 on Thrusday games

Okie St./TT- HT has won L5 and since '99 teams have avg.64 ppg


*Some thoughts I'd share with you all

 

[G-Man]

Teams to Ride (Perfect ATS Record)
BC 3-0
Cincy 2-0
Pitt 2-0
Rutgers 2-0
WVU 2-0-1
Indiana 2-0
Purdue 2-0
Kansas 2-0
Kansas St 2-0
Mizzou 3-0
Oklahoma 3-0
Tulsa 2-0
UCF 2-0
UTEP 3-0
Bowling Green 2-0
Air Force 2-0
Arizona St 2-0 (SDSU pending)
Oregon 3-0
Kentucky 2-0
LSU 3-0
Arkansas St 2-0
Troy 2-0
La Tech 2-0

Teams to Fade (No ATS Wins)
Florida St 0-2 (Colorado pending)
Maryland 0-2
NC State 0-2
UNC 0-2
L-ville 0-2
Syracuse 0-3
Minny 0-3
Northwestern 0-2
Rice 0-2
SMU 0-3
Tulane 0-2
Navy 0-3
Notre Dame 0-3
N Illinois 0-2
Toledo 0-3
WMU 0-3
Auburn 0-3
Boise St 0-2
NM State 0-2
SJSU 0-2 (Stanford pending)

Fade ND now large before they give the oddsmakers a chance to help them.:cheers:

 

[G-Man]

Michigan State will destroy ND next week,

 

[G-Man]

If anyone saw the Tulsa/BYU game, I'm very interested in the OU/Tulsa over.

Tulsa looks just sick on offense, scoring 55 points and approx. 600 yards against BYU. And of course, OU put up 50+ against Miami and another 50+ against Utah St without even trying.

Tulsa will be able to score against OU with this new offense and OU will pound away too as the Tulsa D is physical but won't be a match for OU.

I'm thinking that the total will be 64 or 66.

They sure can pass!!! But BYU gave them everything, see stats>>
BYU gave it away with TO's and penalties
------------------------------BYU.........................Tulsa

1st Downs--------------------36......................... 23
3rd down efficiency---------7-15 .....................3-13
4th down efficiency----------2-3........................1-1
Total Yards-------------------694........................595
Passing-----------------------537........................490
Comp-Att--------------------34-58.................. 22-37
Yards per pass---------------9.3.........................9.3
Rushing-----------------------157........................105
Rushing Attempts-------------36..........................33
Yards per rush----------------4.4 ........................3.2
Penalties--------------------14-138......................4-31
Turnovers-----------------------4 ..........................1
Fumbles lost--------------------2 ...........................0
Interceptions thrown-----------2 ...........................1
Possession-------------------35:04.......................24:56

 

[TroyStacks]

Leans all lines would be the max I would play it at:

ASU -13....AT is 1-8 ATS and ASu is 6-2 ATS in P10 home openers

Ark/KY Over 63....razorback def sucks but they can move the ball as well

Nebraska -20...Ball is 0-7 SU and ATS v. B12 teams

Baylor -7....now I really like this game I have been eying it since Lweek,
Bay 7-3 ATS after a win, Buff 1-7 ATS in home openers

BC -28... 9-4 ATS as HF of -20+

BG -14...9-3 ATS in home openers, avg score 51-17

BYU -10...SU winner is 19-1 ATS,Navy on deck (AFA is stellar b4 commanders game though)

Cal -17...14-5 ATS cover 3 of L4

Clemson -7...AT is 8-2 ATS L10, HT is 1-6 ATS

Col -7...4-1 ATS b4 facing OU

CSU+14...18-5 ATS after a bye week, is a very winnable game IMO as an upset but I hate dogs unless i get great number, Hou 3-10 ATS in home openers

Pitt -7...HT is 3-0 ATS

WVU-17....Will hammer this if it isthis or anything better mayeb even a double play

FAU -10... NT is horrible 3-0 ATS is the AT

UGA +3...22-4 SU and 18-8 ATS on the road under Richt

GT-14... I see a potential shutout in this game

Indiana+7....possibly a great HD situation

Kent St. -7...AT is 7-2 ATS, 6-2 ATS v. Ohio schools

LSU-17... should be a shutout love this team its deep

MD+10...Prolly wont get this but it may be worth a look as MD is 7-1 SU/ATS v WF

UCF -7...Mem is 2-7 ATS v CUSA road opening games

THE "U"-3...9-0 on primetime and 4-1 ATS v B12, TAMU 2-14 ATS in 1st road game

PSU-7...HT is 3-9 ATS all time, visitor covered 4 straight

MSU -10...7-2 ATS v. ND

NAVY-7...11-0 ATS/SU whoever wins I'll take Navy off a loss as a prep game v. AFA

Neb -20...10-5 ATS off a loss

USF -13...UNC is 5-14 ATS v. nonconf opp

tOSU -17....AT is 2-8 ATS, HT is 10-2 ATS

OU -35...this ain't BYUs defense and they don't turn the ball over we may see a great line here afte rtheir big win

Texas Tech-3...Fav is 6-3 ATS

Oregon-21...16-4 ATS in P10 openers

ASU-14...AT is 2-17 ATS

Purdue -17...8-2 ATS v. Minny

SJSU -6...10-1 ATS as AF

UCLA -7...9-1 ATS off a SU loss and 7-2 ATS v Wash, revenge from last year

USC -21...16-8 ATS v. P10 opp at home

Utah -7...avg win 42-20 and 6-1 ATS

 

[Dmoney416]

My guesses:

301 Texas A&M
302 Miami -4

<O</O
<O</O
303 Oklahoma - 25<O</O
304 Tulsa
<O</O
<O</O

305 Syracuse
306 L-ville -36


307 Illinois<O</O
308 Indiana PK - Had a tough time with this one.
<O</O
<O</O

309 Duke<O</O
310 Navy -11.5
<O</O
<O</O

311 Baylor -7<O</O
312 Buffalo
<O</O
<O</O

313 Kent<O</O
314 Akron -3
<O</O
<O</O

315 Army<O</O
316 Boston College -24
<O</O
<O</O

317 Miami OH<O</O
318 Colorado -12.5
<O</O
<O</O

319 Ball St<O</O
320 Nebraska -19
<O</O
<O</O

321 AFA<O</O
322 BYU -7.5
<O</O
<O</O

323 Washington<O</O
324 UCLA -7
<O</O
<O</O

325 Georgia<O</O
326 Alabama -3
<O</O
<O</O

327 Florida -19.5<O</O
328 Ole Miss
<O</O
<O</O

329 Northwestern<O</O
330 Ohio St -17
<O</O
<O</O

331 Penn St -7<O</O
332 Michigan
<O</O
<O</O

333 Texas Tech -4<O</O
334 Ok State
<O</O
<O</O

335 Michigan St -9<O</O
336 Notre Dame
<O</O
<O</O

337 Memphis<O</O
338 UCF -8.5
<O</O
<O</O

339 Georgia Tech -7<O</O
340 Virginia <O</O
<O</O


341 Colorado St<O</O
342 Houston -9.5<O</O
<O</O


343 Arizona<O</O
344 California -16.5<O</O
<O</O


345 Northern Illinois -3<O</O
346 Idaho

<O</O
347 Temple<O</O
348 Bowling Green -15.5<O</O
<O</O


349 ECU<O</O
350 West Virginia -18<O</O
<O</O


351 Iowa St<O</O
352 Toledo -4.5<O</O
<O</O


353 UNC<O</O
354 USF -11<O</O
<O</O


355 Maryland<O</O
356 Wake Forest -7<O</O
<O</O


357 Clemson -4<O</O
358 NC State<O</O
<O</O


359 Marshall<O</O
360 Cincinnati -17.5 - I disagree with others here - I don't see any way that this is under 14.<O</O
<O</O


361 Kentucky<O</O
362 Arkansas -3
<O</O

363 NM State<O</O
364 Auburn -14<O</O
<O</O


365 UConn<O</O
366 Pittsburgh -7<O</O
<O</O


367 Wyoming -3<O</O
368 Ohio<O</O
<O</O


369 Rice<O</O
370 Texas -33<O</O
<O</O


371 Washington St<O</O
372 USC -24.5<O</O
<O</O


373 South Carolina<O</O
374 LSU -12<O</O
<O</O


375 Iowa<O</O
376 Wisconsin -13.5
<O</O
<O</O

377 San Jose St -4.5<O</O
378 Utah St<O</O
<O</O


379 SMU<O</O
380 TCU -15<O</O
<O</O


381 Purdue -19<O</O
382 Minnesota<O</O
<O</O


383 Utah -7<O</O
384 UNLV<O</O
<O</O


385 Oregon -20<O</O
386 Stanford<O</O
<O</O


387 Oregon St<O</O
388 Arizona St -10<O</O
<O</O


389 FIU<O</O
390 Kansas -31<O</O
<O</O


391 Troy -9<O</O
392 ULL<O</O
<O</O


393 FAU -7.5<O</O
394 N Texas<O</O
<O</O


395 Arkansas St<O</O
396 Tennessee -22

Ok, go ahead and rip them to shreds. :cheers:

 

[JumpOnBoard]

I made Cincy 24.5 vs Marshall.

 

[JumpOnBoard]

I'll list descrepencies rather than all of em:

Also, I made Clemson -7 @ NCST, saw Troy made it the other way..

OU @ Tulsa I made 21.5...suppose that could be off, but I can't see that being 37...

BYU I made 13..a TD higher than others..

WVU I made 22..

Arky I made 7.5

Pitt I made 10

Lville I made 26.5

tOSU I made 27

 

[Dmoney416]

I made Cincy 24.5 vs Marshall.

I basically think that it will be somewhere between 17 and 21. They were 9 point favs (before Dr. Bob) on the road in a rivalry game against a MAC team that is probably better than Marshall last week and covered. Marshall was busy losing to New Hampshire.

 

[JumpOnBoard]

the were 9 pts faves, but what would they be now after that game was played...

At least 14...I'd assume...

 

[Dmoney416]

I'll list descrepencies rather than all of em:

Also, I made Clemson -7 @ NCST, saw Troy made it the other way..

OU @ Tulsa I made 21.5...suppose that could be off, but I can't see that being 37...

BYU I made 13..a TD higher than others..

WVU I made 22..

Arky I made 7.5

Pitt I made 10

Lville I made 26.5

tOSU I made 27

I can see the logic on the majority of these. I will be on L-Ville at -28 or under though.

 

[JumpOnBoard]

Lville might be a little low..

 

[Dmoney416]

the were 9 pts faves, but what would they be now after that game was played...

At least 14...I'd assume...

Agreed. Thinking about it now, I probably put it as -20. I would lean Marshall at that number though.

 

[RJ Esq]

G-Man--

As a BYU backer last night, I know that BYU played uncharachteristic football with tons of turnovers and penalties. BYU still had a shot to win SU in the final minutes. Two chances actually.

I'm not interested in a side in the OU game, but total should be good. I don't think the oddsmakers will set it too high figuring that OU is superior competition and Tulsa won't be able to score at will.

But watch those totals for Tulsa. It could get really interesting.

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

i'd play louisville up to 40... 55-10 cards

 

[JPicks]

G-Man--

As a BYU backer last night, I know that BYU played uncharachteristic football with tons of turnovers and penalties. BYU still had a shot to win SU in the final minutes. Two chances actually.

I'm not interested in a side in the OU game, but total should be good. I don't think the oddsmakers will set it too high figuring that OU is superior competition and Tulsa won't be able to score at will.

But watch those totals for Tulsa. It could get really interesting.

Couldn't agree more with your Tulsa/OU thoughts. That was a BYU defnese that gave up <300 yards of offense to UCLA as well as giving up 250 to an Arizona team that has put up 480 and 490 in the following games. I don't even know what the hell they call that offense, but the misdirection was ran with perfection. Anything short of 70 will look great to me.

 

[frankiegotti]

i like

Navy (-7 or less)
Louisville (less than -28)
Purdue (-14 or less)
PSU (-7 or less)
Washington (+8 or more)
Ohio State ( -16.5 or less)
Texas Tech (-6 or less)
Florida (-17 or less) unlikely but i can hope.

 

[RaiderRed]

I dont know if they can post a total high enough for Tex Tech and Okie St. Tech's D is pretty damn bad and Okie St. just gave up 40+ to Troy

 

[moneydog]

If anyone saw the Tulsa/BYU game, I'm very interested in the OU/Tulsa over.

Tulsa looks just sick on offense, scoring 55 points and approx. 600 yards against BYU. And of course, OU put up 50+ against Miami and another 50+ against Utah St without even trying.

Tulsa will be able to score against OU with this new offense and OU will pound away too as the Tulsa D is physical but won't be a match for OU.

I'm thinking that the total will be 64 or 66.

:smiley_acbe: Yes Agree with ya here rj ,Id even take tulsa with over 28.5 or more

 

[carolinablue]

Week 4 plays for me will come from the following list of games, depending on the lines of course...

OU/Tulsa over (if no higher than low 60's)
Louisville (if no higher than 35-37)
WVU (if no higher than 17-20)
Florida (if no higher than 14)
Navy (if no higher than 4)
BC (if no higher than 17)
Texas Tech (if no higher than 14, or the over if no higher than maybe 70)
MSU (if no higher than 10-14)
Baylor (if no higher than 7-10)
Kansas (if anything reasonable, say 35 or less)
USC (if no higher than 17-21)
Cincy (if no higher than 14)
Purdue (if no higher than 7-10)
Hawaii (if anything reasonable, say 48 or less)

These aren't my line predictions, just what it will take to keep these plays on the short list. I expect most (90%) will fall off the list due to the line, so my focus will be on the ones that remain in contention. I have my projected lines drawn up for all the week 4 matchups already, so for me its just a matter of comparing the actuals with the projections and going from there. That's why I am able to lock in plays so quickly after the lines open at The Greek. Best of luck in week 4 guys.

 

[RambleOn]

Looks good, CB. When are the lines coming out?

 

[HUNT]

I disagree with you guys on the ok/tulsa over..oklahoma could shut them out.

 

[RJ Esq]

301 Texas A&M -5
302 Miami
<O</O
<O</O
303 Oklahoma -19<O</O
304 Tulsa<O</O
<O</O

305 Syracuse
306 L-ville -35

307 Illinois -2<O</O
308 Indiana<O</O
<O</O

309 Duke<O</O
310 Navy -10<O</O
<O</O

311 Baylor -12<O</O
312 Buffalo<O</O
<O</O

313 Kent -3<O</O
314 Akron<O</O
<O</O

315 Army<O</O
316 Boston College -33<O</O
<O</O

317 Miami OH<O</O
318 Colorado -3<O</O
<O</O

319 Ball St<O</O
320 Nebraska -13<O</O
<O</O

321 AFA<O</O
322 BYU -14<O</O
<O</O

323 Washington<O</O
324 UCLA -7<O</O
<O</O

325 Georgia<O</O
326 Alabama -5<O</O
<O</O

327 Florida -24<O</O
328 Ole Miss<O</O
<O</O

329 Northwestern<O</O
330 Ohio St -14<O</O
<O</O

331 Penn St -6<O</O
332 Michigan<O</O
<O</O

333 Texas Tech -3<O</O
334 Ok State<O</O
<O</O

335 Michigan St -5<O</O
336 Notre Dame<O</O
<O</O

337 Memphis<O</O
338 UCF -9<O</O
<O</O

339 Georgia Tech -7<O</O
340 Virginia<O</O
<O</O

341 Colorado St<O</O
342 Houston -9<O</O
<O</O

343 Arizona<O</O
344 California -19<O</O
<O</O

345 Northern Illinois -2<O</O
346 Idaho

<O</O
347 Temple<O</O
348 Bowling Green -15<O</O
<O</O

349 ECU<O</O
350 West Virginia -24<O</O
<O</O

351 Iowa St -3<O</O
352 Toledo<O</O
<O</O

353 UNC<O</O
354 USF -17<O</O
<O</O

355 Maryland<O</O
356 Wake Forest -5<O</O
<O</O

357 Clemson -9<O</O
358 NC State<O</O
<O</O

359 Marshall<O</O
360 Cincinnati -19<O</O
<O</O

361 Kentucky<O</O
362 Arkansas -7
<O</O
363 NM State<O</O
364 Auburn -13<O</O
<O</O

365 UConn<O</O
366 Pittsburgh -9<O</O
<O</O

367 Wyoming<O</O
368 Ohio -1<O</O
<O</O

369 Rice<O</O
370 Texas -35<O</O
<O</O

371 Washington St<O</O
372 USC -24<O</O
<O</O

373 South Carolina<O</O
374 LSU -19<O</O
<O</O

375 Iowa<O</O
376 Wisconsin -9
<O</O
<O</O
377 San Jose St -2<O</O
378 Utah St<O</O
<O</O

379 SMU<O</O
380 TCU -21<O</O
<O</O

381 Purdue -11<O</O
382 Minnesota<O</O
<O</O

383 Utah -3<O</O
384 UNLV<O</O
<O</O

385 Oregon -27<O</O
386 Stanford<O</O
<O</O

387 Oregon St<O</O
388 Arizona St -7<O</O
<O</O

389 FIU<O</O
390 Kansas -30<O</O
<O</O

391 Troy -3<O</O
392 ULL<O</O
<O</O

393 FAU -11<O</O
394 N Texas<O</O
<O</O

395 Arkansas St<O</O
396 Tennessee -24

 

[HUNT]

what am I missing with OSU and NW..

NW just lost to Duke..

OSU will be favored by at least 24 at home.