Sunday 4/28 MLB Discussion

[Big_Degenerate]

 

[mrpickem]

early stuff

 

[mrpickem]

rays are hot on road, vs lefties and sox are struggling...why not

continue to fade mia...why not

gio has been absolute stud in cold weather..have to recheck some things

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

Actually it was Max thats unbeatable in the cold, but Gio is very good too 20-8 +23.6% ROI and 21-7 under the total when temp under 60
12-4 on road in same conditions



He has struggled on road overall however going 1-10 in L11 and 5-12 since last year
View attachment 39202

 

[Big_Degenerate]

- OAK are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games when playing on the road vs TOR
- OAK 4-8 in the last 12 road games
- TOR 8-3 last 11 games overall

 

[tuck321]

Need to think but betting against Sale first half or game does sound good

 

[BenchCoach]

Tampa, Diego, Brewers, & Seattle are all fit the criteria for me today with overs in hotlanta and New York, unders in frisco and at Chavez

 

[mrpickem]

Home (TOR) dog of less than 155 allowing 3.9 runs or less and they allowed 2 or less last game when the total > 7 = lose over 60% over the last 5+ years
Even more profitable fade on RL at +14.8% ROI

 

[mrpickem]

take nats -1'
pads on RL vs teams with losing record are 27-45 since last year. 21.8% ROI for fading them

View attachment 39203

 

[mrpickem]

rays 48-28 RL in day games since last year +26% ROI
https://killersports.com/mlb/query?...+and+DAY+and+season>2017&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

 

[mrpickem]

money pounding A's SU, RL and OV

View attachment 39204

 

[mrpickem]

RAYS srore most ofter in 1st inn and allow opponents to score least often in 1st inn

View attachment 39206
View attachment 39205

 

[mrpickem]

3 umps go today who are in top 20 lowest OBP
22% of Whitson's batters strikeout..8th highest

View attachment 39207

 

[mrpickem]

my model..best value today

View attachment 39208

 

[BiffTFinancial]

Fish 6-26 L32 with Iassogna behind home plate

 

[mrpickem]

StatCast Supercut: The 10 worst called strikes so far this season

 

[mrpickem]

late stuff

View attachment 39210