Ga So @ Ole Miss (Noon) Ole Miss -21/61 -QB change for Ga So? Coming off worst offensive performance that I can ever remember them having. Ga So extra prep time from midweek tilt against rival App St. Ole Miss coming off losses to Arky, LSU, Auburn and @ aTm on deck. Ole Miss rush defense is abysmal and theoretically Ga So should be able to move it against them - OM second versus option this year (Wofford 13 points, 305 yards, 4.1 ypc). OM pass offense should absolutely shred Ga So secondary. Ga So has been lethal in these spots past two games versus SEC (2015 - 23-17 Georgia L, 2013 - 26-20 Florida W) but this new staff has effectively destroyed the Eagles offense. Miserable spot for OM - will keep letting this get bet up.
aTm @ Miss St (Noon) Miss St +12.5/72.5 aTm off NMSU win and has OM on deck. Miss St has Bama on deck - bowl hopes not eliminated just yet. Miss St just played a wild shootout with FCS Samford (662-607 yardage edge - 187 plays). aTm rush offense should have lot of success against St esp if they can get some balance and Knight can make throws. Miss St gave up 292 on ground to UK and most recently gave up 469 through air against Samford. aTm defense worse than numbers indicate and poor corner play combined with Watts status at corner lead me to believe they will be vulnerable against erratic Miss St pass offense. Should be fast.
Vanderbilt @ Auburn (Noon) Auburn -30/50 Auburn in nasty little sammich - off OM win and UGA on deck (huge rivalry) and Vandy off of bye week and FCS prior. Vandy should be fully focused down stretch, need 2 of 4 to get 6 wins (@Aub, @Mizzou, OM, Tenn). Vanderbilt can't pass and Auburn can't be run on. Vandy actually dominated by a terrible UGA team in the game they won 17-16 in Athens - they finished less than 200 total yards of offense and I don't expect them to get to 200 yards offense here. Defensively they are more likely to get some stops than their offense is to do anything. Nice spot situationally for Vandy but taking points with the lesser in Jordan Hare is not something I like to do. Boring blowout - interested in total.
UF @ Arkansas (3:30) Arky +3/47.5 UF off big win in the cocktail party, I mean river shootout, and bye prior to that so they are healthier. UF rarely plays all that well following UGA game. Arky off of humiliation by Auburn and the bye week couldn't come at a better time. Austin Allen was knocked out of game (amazing he's lasted this long) with knee injury but came back with a knee support, it has been drained and monitored and he supposedly is a go. Brutal matchup for Hogs here in trying to get the offense going against a UF team that shuts down everything they do well. UF rush offense not good enough to take advantage of huge weakness of Arky in stopping run. Nice situational edge for Arky and if the calendar is correct this game will be played in NOVEMBERT and that mean NO FADING ARKY. I'm not saying bet on them, I'm saying whatever you do, do not bet against this team that becomes Top 10 in the leadup to the holidays. This game just looks like pure ugly and that's exactly the type of football I tend to bet on. SECW a dog to East is usually an easy money maker esp in NOVEMBERT.
Mizzou @ USCe (4:00) USCe -3/58 Mizzou off of good loss to MTSU and then dominated by UK at home last week. Defense just absolutely gashed again and offense took step in wrong direction. USCe off huge win at night against overmatched UT team. Bentley two games in and the kid born in 1997 who should still be playing high school ball is a huge upgrade for them. Mizzou has given up 634, 523, 584 and 582 yards past 4. They get some relief here against USCe offense but face a formidable defense who had some secondary attrition last game. I'm 6-0 on Mizzou totals and 0-5 when betting on them this year. If they would have come out and played the way I expected against UK then I would have favored them to win their first SEC game in sometime but it's time for me to make the major adjustment and concede they are trash right now. Biggest game in Muschamp's short tenure in Columbia as a win here improbably gets them to a bowl game against incredible odds. I saw +7 with Mizzou and started getting trigger happy but I pumped the brakes and decided I'm done losing money on them. If the total is crazy maybe I'll jump in - and it could be one way or the other.
Georgia @ UK (7:30) PICK/49 UGA off of loss to UF where they were just trashed by the UF defense. I don't have the eaxact figures in front of me but I don't know that UGA made even a hand full of first downs in the 2H of that game. Usual stuff, OL is butt, QB too young and WR that can't get open or when they do get open they can't catch. UK off of huge win at Mizzou and is actually competing to win the SEC East (lol). Matchups actually favor UGA here as they are very tough to run on and they can run sometimes on offense. UK can only run on offense and can't stop the run very well although I maintain their defense has made the largest strides in the conference the last half of their season thus far. UGA usually embarrasses UK - so if you follow SEC football and see UGA as less than a 3 point favorite there is probably something embedded deep in your soul that has you hovering over a UGA bet submission but as I keep saying and as they keep proving - it's gonna be 2018 before they put a relevant product in the field. Interested some in total but will depend on some key numbers.
Alabama @ LSU (8:00) LSU +10.5/47 Both teams off bye. Think that favors both teams for different reasons. For LSU it gives their patchwork OL a chance to mend and perhaps gel and for Bama it gives them time to adjust to scheme without Eddie Jackson at safety. Love that Kiffin has an extra week to scheme and I think the combo of him and Saban/Pruitt putting together a great plan versus the LSU staff putting together their plan is the biggest mismatch of the game. Hurts brings something to the Bama offense they've never had before and I have seen firsthand the trouble a mobile QB can cause even the best defenses. LSU offense still relatively same as before but making lots of explosive plays. Terrific skill talent on both sides of field. The LSU offense has but up nice numbers since the coaching change but I take with a grain of salt considering the opposition consists of Mizzou, Southern Miss and Ole Miss - three abysmal defensive teams. Love Bama against most pro style offenses and I like the matchup here as well. LSU defense the bigger concern as Bama fan/backer. Night game in BR is big stage for a freshman even though he has shown greater poise than 99% of 5th year seniors I've seen play the position. Bama winners of 5 in a row, LSU hasn't eclipsed the 17 point mark in that span with avg score being Bama 26-LSU 13.
Coach Harbaugh 
