If I could scream from the mountain tops to the entire world that this is 1000% incorrect, then I would.
Things are not symmetrical across college football conferences and divisions. Let's assume the following unlikely event were to happen:
Virginia beats clemson by some fluke.
Oregon beats utah.
Wisconsin beats ohio state by fluke.
Baylor beats oklahoma
Georgia beats LSU.
Two flukes and three other possibilities with better chances than the average joe might think.
Are you honestly gona choose your "top 4 teams" from:
Virginia (3 losses)
Oregon (2 losses)
Wisky (2 blowout losses)
Baylor
Georgia
???
You're gona toss Clemson, ohio state. And LSU to the side (all with one loss) just based on one bad flukey game out of 13 games?
This is seriously crazy to consider.
Its the four best teams. The four best. Sometimes two of the four might reside in the same conference or even the same division !!! (Alabama and LSU come to mind).
2 of the 20 teams who made the CFP the last 5 years did NOT win their conference.
Bravo to the CFP committee those 2 seasons for picking the best teams to make it, regardless of conf title.
So Alabama should be in the playoff. They are clearly one of the four "best" teams. Favored over LSU (who got a fluke win because they were the underdog when they won) and better than Auburn (who got a fluke win because they were the underdog when they won).
Patriots had a fluke comeback against Atlanta so let's crown the falcons the champion.
NcState winning the NCAA tourney was a fluke so let's just take that title away .. hell Let's give it to Georgetown and strip Nova of a win.
Hell, South Carolina had a fluke win over UGA this year but if they lose to LSU they are out but if LSU wins or loses they are in. So why are we counting that fluke loss?
Your entire post is logically ridiculous on its face. If we are going to take the four best teams then the game results simply don't matter and if they do, it is inconsistent. It is subjective bullshit. Alabama is the best team in the SEC. They would be favored on a neutral against anyone I think. They closed -5.5 to LSU. So they would be favored on a neutral. They are therefore the best of the two teams, no? The result, we know by your definitions above, don't matter. It was a fluke that LSU won. They rated to lose. They are not better than Alabama per the largest market available to make such a determination. A market that we all try to beat by half a point because it is so efficient that doing so makes a huge difference. So if we are taking the four best teams, then Alabama should be in before LSU no?
What would you make Alabama vs OU on a neutral field? Certainly over a TD. So Alabama is the better team regardless of any game outcomes .. therefore they deserve to be in over OU right? They are the best team between the two.
I like how you guys like to pick and choose what game is a fluke and what game isn't.
Clemson opened like a 9 point dog to Alabama last year. Was that game a fluke? But if Wiscy wins against Ohio State it is a fluke?
Let me tell you this ... I don't care if it is a fluke because the only way sports events matter is if the results actually matter.
Clemson has played 1 top 30 team the entire season and that team they played was one game over .500 vs fbs competition and their best win was against Miss State. How do you exactly come to the conclusion they are one of the four best teams? I think they are. You think they are. But how do we know?
Sports is about putting people on a playing surface with a set of rules and having them compete to see who wins. If the results don't matter, then it really isn't a sport anymore.
Your post is awful because it is logically wrong.
YES, if VIrginia wins their conference they deserve to be in the playoff more than any other team in the ACC. If they beat Clemson all of their losses to the other teams were just flukes right?
Ridiculous.