SEC Championship discussion
- Thread starter gps_3
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booksbestfriend
On Johnny's Shitlist
Haven’t played this game, but thing sticks out to me. Sacks. UGA has not pressured opposing QBs. If they don’t get pressure on Tua, AL will go up and down the field on them.
gps_3
Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
There are strong indicators that OLB Terrell Lewis will dress for this game and possibly be available to play. He's been out all year recovering from ACL injury. He is a great pass rusher and was instrumental in shutting down UGA last year in the last 1.5 quarters. He had the sack in OT that forced UGA to attempt (and make) the long FG. Not sure if he'll be full speed and how much rust he'll have, but if he's able to go, he is a weapon. And if he's looking at playing this weekend, I imagine he'll be a go for the playoff, should we get there
takeit
THE Wife
We all know Bama needs more weapons. lol
This line is total horseshit. Georgia been neck and neck with Bama and Clemson since the bye, has motivation and Atlanta on its side, playing desperate to win. They keep the ball in front of them defensively and Bama susceptible to big runs much more than often this year. This will be a 4th quarter game, line is off by 6+ points.
Best offense Bama has faced this year is Missouri, they’re gonna get hit in the mouth Saturday and will have to adjust to being in a real fight.
Best offense Bama has faced this year is Missouri, they’re gonna get hit in the mouth Saturday and will have to adjust to being in a real fight.
gps_3
Head of Alabama Department of Decision-Making
I tend to agree that this will be a 4th quarter game, but I can see how this gets sideways for UGA if they aren't careful. I made the comparison earlier this season that UGA reminds me a lot of pre-Kiffin Alabama. Really hard to blow out a team like that. They got hit in the mouth against LSU, and the whole team from coaches to players panicked. They should be better equipped to handle adversity after that, but Alabama is a different animal than LSU obviously. I think the key will be how well UGA's OL can run block, and how much pressure UGA can get on Tua. If he has time to throw, not sure there's anything UGA can do to keep Alabama from scoring 50 points. And if UGA can't run, I don't think Fromm can pick apart the defense and keep drives going. On the other side, if Alabama reverts back to the beginning of the season on defense where they were giving up chunk plays fairly often, UGA has the skill players to turn chunk plays into scoring plays. On offense, as long as Alabama takes what they give them like they did against LSU, AU, and to an extent Miss St, I don't think there will be much to be concerned about. If they get anxious and start forcing things, could be trouble. Kicking game is a decided UGA advantage. Right now I'm leaning toward an Alabama win in the neighborhood of 45-21, but haven't had a whole lot of time to dig in
Jimmydafreak
Pretty much a regular
I agree. I think the two things that Georgia will have to do to stay competitive is, #1, not get down early in the game, and #2, as other teams have demonstrated, the key to slowing down Tua is to get him out of rhythm with a fierce pass rush.
I think Bama probably scores in the 30-40 point range, and Georgia will probably score in the 10-20 point range. So, in my mind, a score like 31-20 Bama is certainly in play here. But so is 38-17. I lean more to the latter. In fact I have wagered money that Bama will win by two TDs+.
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JohnnyGambler
Kevin Warren Fan Club Founder
Georgia is a total fraud. I've watched almost every one of their games this season and they are highly overrated. They are down several orders of magnitude in the trenches this season. They get no pressure on good days and vs elite Bama OL they aren't going to get any. Tua can get wild and erratic when pressured but that won't happen here. Georgia secondary is by far their best unit but again with no pressure and the absurd depth at WR for Bama they aren't going to be able to hold up. You just can't cover 4 NFL players on every snap for 3-4 seconds. Georgia is not good against the run at all either. Below average in rush success rate and ranked close to 100 in opportunity rate and stuff rate.
On the other side Bama somehow has an underrated defense. Their whole secondary was raided in the offseason and they were very young back there and at LB and have got better as the year has gone on. Georgia's OL is down and I am not a Fromm guy at all. When he gets the least bit rattled he is terrible. He was almost benched in the LSU game because of the pressure. Bama has the #1 non-garbage time sack rate in the country.
Not normally a transitive guy either but Georgia vs Auburn at home was a 10 point game in the 4th until Swift busted an 80 yard run to win by 17. Bama at home beat Auburn by 32. Georgia went to LSU and got manhandled in the trenches, gave up 450 yards and lost by 20. Bama went to LSU and held them to 12 yards rushing and pitched a shutout.
Too many people thinking this will be a war like last year and close game. That won't be lost on Saban. Fully expect Georgia to get blasted on Saturday.
On the other side Bama somehow has an underrated defense. Their whole secondary was raided in the offseason and they were very young back there and at LB and have got better as the year has gone on. Georgia's OL is down and I am not a Fromm guy at all. When he gets the least bit rattled he is terrible. He was almost benched in the LSU game because of the pressure. Bama has the #1 non-garbage time sack rate in the country.
Not normally a transitive guy either but Georgia vs Auburn at home was a 10 point game in the 4th until Swift busted an 80 yard run to win by 17. Bama at home beat Auburn by 32. Georgia went to LSU and got manhandled in the trenches, gave up 450 yards and lost by 20. Bama went to LSU and held them to 12 yards rushing and pitched a shutout.
Too many people thinking this will be a war like last year and close game. That won't be lost on Saban. Fully expect Georgia to get blasted on Saturday.
Jimmydafreak
Pretty much a regular
Last season, with Tua in the game, Alabama outscored Georgia 26-10. Expect more of the same.
Jimmydafreak
Pretty much a regular
The only reason the game was close was because of Jalen Hurts. Had Tua played the entire game, I think Bama wins that game by DD. And I agree with you. I think Alabama blasts UGA on Saturday. My conservative score prediction for this game has Alabama winning by 3 touchdowns - 38-17.
pressitup
Leader of the Adult Humor Industry
My brother asked me last night who I was betting on. He grew up in GA, loves the dawgs.
Like this would be a predictor, he knows nothing about point spreads etc....
I told him Bama
He was crushed.
I said you know they aren't as strong as last year.
He understands that, but they'll be ready , he says.
mmmmmm good luck
Went through the same dance with the LSU game.
Like this would be a predictor, he knows nothing about point spreads etc....
I told him Bama
He was crushed.
I said you know they aren't as strong as last year.
He understands that, but they'll be ready , he says.
mmmmmm good luck
Went through the same dance with the LSU game.
CPA-hole
Good night, Duke, and sweet dreams!
I'd like Georgia more if I hadn't seen the LSU game. After Kirbys ill fated fake field goal, it was total domination. I thought Chaney panicked and abandoned the running game and Fromm was terrible. I just don't see how this team minus Lorenzo Carter and Roquan Smith on defense turns the tables this year.
Frank Costanza
Co-Inventor of the Man's Bra
booksbestfriend
On Johnny's Shitlist
Insightful. Good analysis.
Lame write-up. Let‘s have some stats to back up his this or that is excellent bullshit. Georgia is second in isoppp+ wow. Is Bama‘s O especially predicated on big plays tho?? Why does it matter
booksbestfriend
On Johnny's Shitlist
Not everyone uses down in the weeds stats to support an argument. Plenty of good handicappers use feel and eye test to support a side. I found this to be a refreshing read, not having to unravel a bunch of useless stats that make articles too busy.
captjohn67
Pretty much a regular
I've seen the Alabama avg margin of victory of 22 points in another article as well and am confused how they came to that conclusion (not that it really matters). Hope it's a good game because I doubt there will be many Saturday.
